--- title: "Botai case on DaddySkins: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Botai ($13.99) on DaddySkins, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 83.31% from 19 items with odds, observed 99.37% over 1,247 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/345 rendered: 2026-11-11T13:31Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [DaddySkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/daddyskins) / [Botai](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/345) # [DaddySkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/daddyskins) · Botai A case on DaddySkins, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is DaddySkins's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/345?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/345?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/345) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/345?window=all) Price · $13.99 Advertised RTP · 83.31% · EV $11.65 from 19 items Observed RTP, 30d · 99.37% · 1,247 openings, odds method Variance · 17.6× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 17 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 82.2% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 77 openings · below min 7 days · 93.88% ±24.57 1,119 openings 30 days · 99.37% ±23.27 1,247 openings since tracking started · 99.37% ±23.27 1,247 openings -0.5% 70.5% 141.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/345?window=24h) | 77 | 47.26% ±93.7 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/345?window=7d) | 1,119 | 93.88% ±24.6 | +0.8σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/345) | 1,247 | 99.37% ±23.3 | +1.4σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/345?window=all) | 1,247 | 99.37% ±23.3 | +1.4σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 19 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,254 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ M9 Bayonet \| Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 2,000 | $1,792 | 7.7% | 2 | 0.6 | — | | [AK-47 \| Fire Serpent (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fire-serpent-field-tested) | 1 in 2,000 | $1,009 | 4.3% | 1 | 0.6 | — | | [AWP \| Oni Taiji (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-oni-taiji-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,333 | $738 | 4.8% | 2 | 0.9 | — | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Slingshot (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-slingshot-field-tested) | 1 in 1,000 | $676 | 5.8% | 0 | 1.3 | 0.00× | | [M4A4 \| X-Ray (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-x-ray-factory-new) | 1 in 500 | $268 | 4.6% | 1 | 2.5 | 0.40× | | [★ Ursus Knife \| Crimson Web (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-crimson-web-field-tested) | 1 in 408 | $202 | 4.2% | 6 | 3.1 | 1.95× | | [★ Bowie Knife \| Crimson Web (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-crimson-web-field-tested) | 1 in 333 | $167 | 4.3% | 5 | 3.8 | 1.33× | | [AK-47 \| Jaguar (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-jaguar-well-worn) | 1 in 128 | $98.99 | 6.6% | 9 | 9.8 | 0.92× | | [AWP \| Neo-Noir (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-neo-noir-field-tested) | 1 in 67 | $54.90 | 7.1% | 20 | 18.8 | 1.06× | | [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Nightmare (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-nightmare-field-tested) | 1 in 40 | $36.38 | 7.8% | 29 | 31.4 | 0.93× | | [AK-47 \| Point Disarray (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-point-disarray-minimal-wear) | 1 in 33 | $35.37 | 9.1% | 33 | 37.6 | 0.88× | | [UMP-45 \| Primal Saber (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-primal-saber-factory-new) | 1 in 33 | $34.91 | 9.0% | 36 | 37.6 | 0.96× | | [Glock-18 \| Water Elemental (Minimal Wear) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-water-elemental-minimal-wear) | 1 in 33 | $27.59 | 7.1% | 31 | 37.6 | 0.82× | | [AWP \| Fever Dream (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-fever-dream-field-tested) | 1 in 33 | $17.83 | 4.6% | 35 | 37.6 | 0.93× | | [MP9 \| Food Chain (Minimal Wear) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-food-chain-minimal-wear) | 1 in 33 | $11.74 | 3.0% | 41 | 37.6 | 1.09× | | [P250 \| Franklin (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-franklin-factory-new) | 1 in 11 | $6.26 | 4.9% | 128 | 115.4 | 1.11× | | [Tec-9 \| Re-Entry (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-re-entry-minimal-wear) | 15.0% | $1.94 | 2.5% | 189 | 188.1 | 1.00× | | [MP7 \| Cirrus (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-cirrus-battle-scarred) | 25.0% | $0.79 | 1.7% | 321 | 313.5 | 1.02× | | [MAC-10 \| Oceanic (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-oceanic-field-tested) | 30.0% | $0.33 | 0.8% | 365 | 376.2 | 0.97× | Values are DaddySkins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `daddyskins:graphql case(slug: botai)`, 11 Nov, 08:55 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ M9 Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-doppler-factory-new) [\[BOT\] Dr. Evil](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Dr.%20Evil) $13.99 $1,792 128.1x 2026-11-09 18:01 UTC [★ M9 Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-doppler-factory-new) [\[BOT\] Mr. Blonde](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Mr.%20Blonde) $13.99 $1,792 128.1x 2026-11-04 01:36 UTC [AK-47 | Fire Serpent (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fire-serpent-field-tested) [Ali Bey](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/Ali%20Bey) $13.99 $1,009 72.12x 2026-11-10 02:02 UTC [AWP | Oni Taiji (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-oni-taiji-minimal-wear) [qo\_Op](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/qo_Op) $13.99 $738 52.78x 2026-11-10 02:02 UTC [AWP | Oni Taiji (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-oni-taiji-minimal-wear) [Joekern](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/Joekern) $13.99 $738 52.78x 2026-11-07 20:14 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=daddyskins&case=345) [MAC-10 | Oceanic (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-oceanic-field-tested) [\[BOT\] Voldemort](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Voldemort) $13.99 $0.33 0.02x 2026-11-11 13:16 UTC [MAC-10 | Oceanic (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-oceanic-field-tested) [so lucky](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/so%20lucky) $13.99 $0.33 0.02x 2026-11-11 13:16 UTC [MP7 | Cirrus (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-cirrus-battle-scarred) [\[BOT\] Bane](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Bane) $13.99 $0.79 0.06x 2026-11-11 13:16 UTC [P250 | Franklin (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-franklin-factory-new) [\[BOT\] Alonzo Harris](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Alonzo%20Harris) $13.99 $6.26 0.45x 2026-11-11 13:16 UTC [MAC-10 | Oceanic (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-oceanic-field-tested) [\[BOT\] King Joffrey](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20King%20Joffrey) $13.99 $0.33 0.02x 2026-11-11 13:16 UTC [MAC-10 | Oceanic (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-oceanic-field-tested) [\[BOT\] Max Cady](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Max%20Cady) $13.99 $0.33 0.02x 2026-11-11 13:16 UTC [UMP-45 | Primal Saber (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-primal-saber-factory-new) [mira](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/mira) $13.99 $34.91 2.50x 2026-11-11 07:48 UTC [Tec-9 | Re-Entry (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-re-entry-minimal-wear) [Holapes](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/Holapes) $13.99 $1.94 0.14x 2026-11-11 07:48 UTC [MAC-10 | Oceanic (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-oceanic-field-tested) [\[BOT\] Dr. Evil](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Dr.%20Evil) $13.99 $0.33 0.02x 2026-11-11 07:18 UTC [MP7 | Cirrus (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-cirrus-battle-scarred) [\[BOT\] Patrick Bateman](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Patrick%20Bateman) $13.99 $0.79 0.06x 2026-11-11 07:18 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $13.99 | 83.31% | 19 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed sunny 0.1% covert 3.1% extraordinary 0.1% classified 20.7% Legendary 3.0% pink 3.0% restricted 15.0% #4b69ff 25.0% mil spec 30.0% best hit $1,792 (128.1x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 83.3% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $83.31 on average: an expected loss of $16.69 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt