--- title: "Predator case on DaddySkins: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Predator ($17.75) on DaddySkins, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 83.30% from 18 items with odds, observed 86.16% over 1,709 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/346 rendered: 2026-11-11T13:31Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [DaddySkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/daddyskins) / [Predator](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/346) # [DaddySkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/daddyskins) · Predator A case on DaddySkins, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is DaddySkins's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/346?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/346?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/346) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/346?window=all) Price · $17.75 Advertised RTP · 83.30% · EV $14.79 from 18 items Observed RTP, 30d · 86.16% · 1,709 openings, odds method Variance · 8.7× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 15 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 87.2% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 70.41% ±51.06 128 openings 7 days · 88.14% ±14.95 1,493 openings 30 days · 86.16% ±13.97 1,709 openings since tracking started · 86.16% ±13.97 1,709 openings 18.5% 70.3% 122.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/346?window=24h) | 128 | 70.41% ±51.1 | −0.5σ | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/346?window=7d) | 1,493 | 88.14% ±15.0 | +0.6σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/346) | 1,709 | 86.16% ±14.0 | +0.4σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/346?window=all) | 1,709 | 86.16% ±14.0 | +0.4σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 18 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,709 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [AWP \| Medusa (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-medusa-field-tested) | 1 in 10,000 | $2,459 | 1.7% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [M4A4 \| Poseidon (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-poseidon-minimal-wear) | 1 in 6,667 | $1,752 | 1.8% | 0 | 0.3 | — | | [★ Karambit \| Slaughter (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-slaughter-minimal-wear) | 1 in 5,000 | $1,279 | 1.7% | 1 | 0.3 | — | | [Desert Eagle \| Blaze (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-blaze-minimal-wear) | 1 in 2,500 | $693 | 1.9% | 0 | 0.7 | — | | [AK-47 \| Fire Serpent (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fire-serpent-battle-scarred) | 1 in 2,000 | $633 | 2.1% | 2 | 0.9 | — | | [AK-47 \| Hydroponic (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-hydroponic-battle-scarred) | 1 in 1,667 | $582 | 2.4% | 3 | 1.0 | 2.93× | | [★ Bayonet \| Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 1,333 | $465 | 2.4% | 0 | 1.3 | 0.00× | | [AK-47 \| Case Hardened (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-case-hardened-battle-scarred) | 1 in 833 | $239 | 1.9% | 3 | 2.1 | 1.46× | | [★ Flip Knife \| Autotronic (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-autotronic-field-tested) | 1 in 667 | $203 | 2.1% | 3 | 2.6 | 1.17× | | [USP-S \| Kill Confirmed (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-kill-confirmed-minimal-wear) | 1 in 370 | $191 | 3.5% | 6 | 4.6 | 1.30× | | [★ Falchion Knife \| Boreal Forest (Factory New) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-boreal-forest-factory-new) | 1 in 200 | $173 | 5.9% | 7 | 8.5 | 0.82× | | [AK-47 \| Jaguar (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-jaguar-field-tested) | 1 in 133 | $128 | 6.5% | 17 | 12.8 | 1.33× | | [AK-47 \| Wasteland Rebel (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wasteland-rebel-field-tested) | 1 in 100 | $103 | 7.0% | 14 | 17.1 | 0.82× | | [AK-47 \| Asiimov (Minimal Wear) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-asiimov-minimal-wear) | 1 in 80 | $83.27 | 7.0% | 18 | 21.4 | 0.84× | | [Glock-18 \| Neo-Noir (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-neo-noir-well-worn) | 1 in 40 | $46.54 | 7.9% | 44 | 42.7 | 1.03× | | [M4A1-S \| Decimator (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-decimator-field-tested) | 1 in 17 | $18.68 | 7.6% | 95 | 102.5 | 0.93× | | [M4A1-S \| Leaded Glass (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-leaded-glass-field-tested) | 10.0% | $11.04 | 7.5% | 151 | 170.9 | 0.88× | | [USP-S \| Cortex (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-cortex-field-tested) | 77.2% | $5.62 | 29.3% | 1,345 | 1319.2 | 1.02× | Values are DaddySkins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `daddyskins:graphql case(slug: predator)`, 11 Nov, 08:55 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Karambit | Slaughter (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-slaughter-minimal-wear) [GS](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/GS) $17.75 $1,279 72.08x 2026-11-05 10:32 UTC [AK-47 | Fire Serpent (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fire-serpent-battle-scarred) [GS](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/GS) $17.75 $633 35.68x 2026-11-05 10:31 UTC [AK-47 | Fire Serpent (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fire-serpent-battle-scarred) [\[BOT\] Dr. Evil](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Dr.%20Evil) $17.75 $633 35.68x 2026-11-05 05:37 UTC [AK-47 | Hydroponic (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-hydroponic-battle-scarred) [donsabigan](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/donsabigan) $17.75 $582 32.76x 2026-11-09 08:22 UTC [AK-47 | Hydroponic (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-hydroponic-battle-scarred) [\[BOT\] Anton Chigurh](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Anton%20Chigurh) $17.75 $582 32.76x 2026-11-08 19:18 UTC [AK-47 | Hydroponic (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-hydroponic-battle-scarred) [Lunare](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/Lunare) $17.75 $582 32.76x 2026-11-05 10:27 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=daddyskins&case=346) [M4A1-S | Leaded Glass (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-leaded-glass-field-tested) [so lucky](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/so%20lucky) $17.75 $11.04 0.62x 2026-11-11 13:24 UTC [USP-S | Cortex (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-cortex-field-tested) [\[BOT\] Voldemort](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Voldemort) $17.75 $5.62 0.32x 2026-11-11 13:24 UTC [USP-S | Cortex (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-cortex-field-tested) [\[BOT\] Sauron](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Sauron) $17.75 $5.62 0.32x 2026-11-11 13:24 UTC [USP-S | Cortex (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-cortex-field-tested) [\[BOT\] Bane](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Bane) $17.75 $5.62 0.32x 2026-11-11 13:24 UTC [USP-S | Cortex (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-cortex-field-tested) [\[BOT\] T-1000](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20T-1000) $17.75 $5.62 0.32x 2026-11-11 13:24 UTC [Glock-18 | Neo-Noir (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-neo-noir-well-worn) [\[BOT\] Max Cady](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Max%20Cady) $17.75 $46.54 2.62x 2026-11-11 13:24 UTC [USP-S | Cortex (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-cortex-field-tested) [freberekk](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/freberekk) $17.75 $5.62 0.32x 2026-11-11 13:12 UTC [USP-S | Cortex (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-cortex-field-tested) [freberekk](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/freberekk) $17.75 $5.62 0.32x 2026-11-11 13:12 UTC [USP-S | Cortex (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-cortex-field-tested) [freberekk](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/freberekk) $17.75 $5.62 0.32x 2026-11-11 13:12 UTC [USP-S | Cortex (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-cortex-field-tested) [freberekk](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/freberekk) $17.75 $5.62 0.32x 2026-11-11 13:12 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $17.75 | 83.30% | 18 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 4.8% classified 93.4% restricted 0.0% covert knife 0.5% Ancient 1.3% best hit $1,279 (72.08x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 83.3% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $83.30 on average: an expected loss of $16.70 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt