--- title: "Golden Gem CS2 Skins case on DaddySkins: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Golden Gem CS2 Skins ($27.24) on DaddySkins, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 83.31% from 17 items with odds, observed 74.30% over 870 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/360 rendered: 2026-11-11T13:39Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [DaddySkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/daddyskins) / [Golden Gem CS2 Skins](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/360) # [DaddySkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/daddyskins) · Golden Gem CS2 Skins A case on DaddySkins, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is DaddySkins's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/360?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/360?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/360) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/360?window=all) Price · $27.24 Advertised RTP · 83.31% · EV $22.69 from 17 items Observed RTP, 30d · 74.30% · 870 openings, odds method Variance · 19.2× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 20 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 86.9% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 20 openings · below min 7 days · 73.81% ±33.93 642 openings 30 days · 74.30% ±29.15 870 openings since tracking started · 74.30% ±29.15 870 openings -0.5% 109.0% 218.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/360?window=24h) | 20 | 25.60% ±192.2 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/360?window=7d) | 642 | 73.81% ±33.9 | −0.5σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/360) | 870 | 74.30% ±29.1 | −0.6σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/360?window=all) | 870 | 74.30% ±29.1 | −0.6σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 17 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 870 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [AWP \| Dragon Lore (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-dragon-lore-field-tested) | 1 in 10,000 | $8,200 | 3.6% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [AK-47 \| X-Ray (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-x-ray-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $4,800 | 2.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [★ Butterfly Knife \| Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $3,000 | 1.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [★ Karambit \| Doppler (Factory New) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 5,000 | $1,600 | 1.4% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [★ Karambit \| Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-marble-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 4,000 | $1,476 | 1.6% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [M4A1-S \| Icarus Fell (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-icarus-fell-factory-new) | 1 in 3,333 | $1,338 | 1.8% | 1 | 0.3 | — | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Vice (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-vice-field-tested) | 1 in 2,500 | $800 | 1.4% | 0 | 0.3 | — | | [★ Flip Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 2,222 | $772 | 1.5% | 0 | 0.4 | — | | [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Cyrex (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-cyrex-factory-new) | 1 in 77 | $296 | 17.0% | 14 | 11.3 | 1.24× | | [★ Stiletto Knife \| Stained (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-stained-field-tested) | 1 in 63 | $218 | 15.4% | 14 | 13.9 | 1.01× | | [★ Hand Wraps \| Overprint (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-overprint-field-tested) | 1 in 50 | $174 | 15.4% | 8 | 17.4 | 0.46× | | [AK-47 \| Redline (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-redline-field-tested) | 1 in 13 | $47.43 | 16.7% | 70 | 69.6 | 1.01× | | [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Rat Rod (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-rat-rod-well-worn) | 12.0% | $15.94 | 8.4% | 117 | 104.4 | 1.12× | | [AK-47 \| Phantom Disruptor (Minimal Wear) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-phantom-disruptor-minimal-wear) | 13.0% | $11.51 | 6.6% | 125 | 113.1 | 1.11× | | [AK-47 \| Emerald Pinstripe (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-emerald-pinstripe-minimal-wear) | 14.0% | $5.88 | 3.6% | 113 | 121.8 | 0.93× | | [AUG \| Arctic Wolf (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-arctic-wolf-field-tested) | 20.0% | $2.36 | 2.1% | 159 | 174.0 | 0.91× | | [AUG \| Sweeper (Field-Tested) weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-sweeper-field-tested) | 27.9% | $0.03 | 0.0% | 249 | 242.8 | 1.03× | Values are DaddySkins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `daddyskins:graphql case(slug: gold-bonanza)`, 11 Nov, 08:55 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [M4A1-S | Icarus Fell (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-icarus-fell-factory-new) [\[BOT\] John Doe](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20John%20Doe) $27.24 $1,338 49.13x 2026-11-04 17:04 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=daddyskins&case=360) [AUG | Arctic Wolf (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-arctic-wolf-field-tested) [\[BOT\] Thanos](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Thanos) $27.24 $2.36 0.09x 2026-11-11 01:24 UTC [AUG | Sweeper (Field-Tested) weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-sweeper-field-tested) [\[BOT\] Voldemort](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Voldemort) $27.24 $0.03 0.00x 2026-11-11 01:24 UTC [StatTrak™ AK-47 | Rat Rod (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-rat-rod-well-worn) [Q群124210043](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/Q%E7%BE%A4124210043) $27.24 $15.94 0.59x 2026-11-11 01:24 UTC [StatTrak™ AK-47 | Rat Rod (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-rat-rod-well-worn) [\[BOT\] Magneto](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Magneto) $27.24 $15.94 0.59x 2026-11-10 23:12 UTC [AK-47 | Phantom Disruptor (Minimal Wear) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-phantom-disruptor-minimal-wear) [\[BOT\] The Joker](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20The%20Joker) $27.24 $11.51 0.42x 2026-11-10 23:12 UTC [AK-47 | Phantom Disruptor (Minimal Wear) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-phantom-disruptor-minimal-wear) [\[BOT\] Thanos](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Thanos) $27.24 $11.51 0.42x 2026-11-10 23:12 UTC [AUG | Sweeper (Field-Tested) weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-sweeper-field-tested) [\[BOT\] Max Cady](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Max%20Cady) $27.24 $0.03 0.00x 2026-11-10 23:12 UTC [AUG | Sweeper (Field-Tested) weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-sweeper-field-tested) [\[BOT\] Bane](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Bane) $27.24 $0.03 0.00x 2026-11-10 23:12 UTC [AUG | Sweeper (Field-Tested) weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-sweeper-field-tested) [elfanta](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/elfanta) $27.24 $0.03 0.00x 2026-11-10 23:12 UTC [AUG | Arctic Wolf (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-arctic-wolf-field-tested) [\[BOT\] Magneto](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Magneto) $27.24 $2.36 0.09x 2026-11-10 23:10 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $27.24 | 83.31% | 17 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 3.0% Covert 0.0% restricted 20.0% extraordinary 2.0% #ffd700 0.0% classified 8.0% Restricted 12.0% Legendary 13.0% Mythical 14.0% Consumer Grade 27.9% best hit $1,338 (49.13x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 83.3% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $83.31 on average: an expected loss of $16.69 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt