---
title: "Demon Slayer's case on DaddySkins: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Demon Slayer's ($37.11) on DaddySkins, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 83.33% from 15 items with odds, observed 64.21% over 457 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/367
rendered: 2026-11-11T14:04Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [DaddySkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/daddyskins) / [Demon Slayer's](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/367)

# [DaddySkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/daddyskins) · Demon Slayer's

A case on DaddySkins, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is DaddySkins's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/367?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/367?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/367) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/367?window=all)

Price · $37.11

Advertised RTP · 83.33% · EV $30.92 from 15 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 64.21% · 457 openings, odds method

Variance · 7.6× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 15 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 85.0% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 52 openings · below min

7 days · 65.59% ±29.06 344 openings

30 days · 64.21% ±25.21 457 openings

since tracking started · 64.21% ±25.21 457 openings

-0.5% 58.8% 118.0%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/367?window=24h) | 52 | 42.46% ±74.7 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/367?window=7d) | 344 | 65.59% ±29.1 | −1.2σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/367) | 457 | 64.21% ±25.2 | −1.5σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/367?window=all) | 457 | 64.21% ±25.2 | −1.5σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 15 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 457 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ Karambit \| Doppler (Factory New) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 500 | $1,763 | 11.4% | 0 | 0.9 | — |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 333 | $724 | 7.0% | 0 | 1.4 | 0.00× |
| [★ Hand Wraps \| Cobalt Skulls (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-cobalt-skulls-minimal-wear) | 1 in 200 | $615 | 9.9% | 1 | 2.3 | 0.44× |
| [★ Shadow Daggers \| Doppler (Factory New) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 200 | $287 | 4.6% | 4 | 2.3 | 1.75× |
| [★ Specialist Gloves \| Mogul (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-mogul-minimal-wear) | 1 in 200 | $241 | 3.9% | 2 | 2.3 | 0.88× |
| [USP-S \| Kill Confirmed (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-kill-confirmed-minimal-wear) | 1 in 100 | $180 | 5.8% | 5 | 4.6 | 1.09× |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Redline (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-redline-field-tested) | 1 in 100 | $106 | 3.4% | 6 | 4.6 | 1.31× |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Blue Laminate (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-blue-laminate-factory-new) | 1 in 40 | $66.42 | 5.4% | 7 | 11.4 | 0.61× |
| [USP-S \| Pathfinder (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-pathfinder-factory-new) | 1 in 12 | $48.81 | 13.4% | 36 | 38.8 | 0.93× |
| [MP9 \| Latte Rush (Well-Worn) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-latte-rush-well-worn) | 10.0% | $36.78 | 11.9% | 41 | 45.7 | 0.90× |
| [AUG \| Death by Puppy (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-death-by-puppy-factory-new) | 15.0% | $21.84 | 10.6% | 74 | 68.5 | 1.08× |
| [AK-47 \| The Outsiders (Field-Tested) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-the-outsiders-field-tested) | 15.0% | $13.51 | 6.6% | 64 | 68.5 | 0.93× |
| [M4A4 \| Tooth Fairy (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-tooth-fairy-battle-scarred) | 15.0% | $5.21 | 2.5% | 77 | 68.5 | 1.12× |
| [Desert Eagle \| The Bronze (Minimal Wear) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-the-bronze-minimal-wear) | 15.0% | $4.34 | 2.1% | 66 | 68.5 | 0.96× |
| [AK-47 \| Crossfade (Battle-Scarred) weapon · common](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-crossfade-battle-scarred) | 15.0% | $2.88 | 1.4% | 74 | 68.5 | 1.08× |

Values are DaddySkins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `daddyskins:graphql case(slug: demon-slayers)`, 11 Nov, 08:55 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[★ Hand Wraps | Cobalt Skulls (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-cobalt-skulls-minimal-wear) [elfanta](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/elfanta) $37.11 $615 16.57x 2026-11-04 21:24 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=daddyskins&case=367)

[AK-47 | Crossfade (Battle-Scarred) weapon · common](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-crossfade-battle-scarred) [Negritow 2](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/Negritow%202) $37.11 $2.88 0.08x 2026-11-11 13:35 UTC

[AK-47 | Crossfade (Battle-Scarred) weapon · common](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-crossfade-battle-scarred) [as21999](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/as21999) $37.11 $2.88 0.08x 2026-11-11 13:35 UTC

[Desert Eagle | The Bronze (Minimal Wear) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-the-bronze-minimal-wear) [Lemon](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/Lemon) $37.11 $4.34 0.12x 2026-11-11 13:35 UTC

[Desert Eagle | The Bronze (Minimal Wear) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-the-bronze-minimal-wear) [adrian10127](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/adrian10127) $37.11 $4.34 0.12x 2026-11-11 13:35 UTC

[StatTrak™ AK-47 | Redline (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-redline-field-tested) [\[BOT\] Voldemort](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Voldemort) $37.11 $106 2.86x 2026-11-11 07:05 UTC

[AK-47 | Crossfade (Battle-Scarred) weapon · common](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-crossfade-battle-scarred) [\[BOT\] Bane](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Bane) $37.11 $2.88 0.08x 2026-11-11 07:05 UTC

[MP9 | Latte Rush (Well-Worn) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-latte-rush-well-worn) [\[BOT\] Hans Landa](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Hans%20Landa) $37.11 $36.78 0.99x 2026-11-11 07:05 UTC

[M4A4 | Tooth Fairy (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-tooth-fairy-battle-scarred) [\[BOT\] T-1000](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20T-1000) $37.11 $5.21 0.14x 2026-11-11 07:05 UTC

[M4A4 | Tooth Fairy (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-tooth-fairy-battle-scarred) [\[BOT\] John Doe](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20John%20Doe) $37.11 $5.21 0.14x 2026-11-11 07:05 UTC

[MP9 | Latte Rush (Well-Worn) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-latte-rush-well-worn) [Dave](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/Dave) $37.11 $36.78 0.99x 2026-11-11 07:05 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $37.11 | 83.33% | 15 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed Covert 0.7% sunny 0.3% extraordinary 1.0% covert 1.0% classified 16.0% restricted 2.5% industrial 8.5% uncommon 10.0% rare 15.0% pink 15.0% Uncommon 15.0% common 15.0% best hit $615 (16.57x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 83.3% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $83.33 on average: an expected loss of $16.67 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt