---
title: "GK68 case on DaddySkins: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "GK68 ($15.55) on DaddySkins, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 83.33% from 20 items with odds, observed 91.69% over 1,119 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/371
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:33Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [DaddySkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/daddyskins) / [GK68](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/371)

# [DaddySkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/daddyskins) · GK68

A case on DaddySkins, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is DaddySkins's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/371?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/371?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/371) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/371?window=all)

Price · $15.55

Advertised RTP · 83.33% · EV $12.96 from 20 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 91.69% · 1,119 openings, odds method

Variance · 3.8× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 20.0% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 80.0% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 108.15% ±30.60 154 openings

7 days · 88.20% ±12.54 917 openings

30 days · 91.69% ±11.35 1,119 openings

since tracking started · 91.69% ±11.35 1,119 openings

75.0% 107.3% 139.5%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/371?window=24h) | 154 | 108.15% ±30.6 | +1.6σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/371?window=7d) | 917 | 88.20% ±12.5 | +0.8σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/371) | 1,119 | 91.69% ±11.4 | +1.4σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/371?window=all) | 1,119 | 91.69% ±11.4 | +1.4σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 20 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,125 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [AK-47 \| Vulcan (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-vulcan-factory-new) | 1 in 6,667 | $946 | 1.1% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Bayonet \| Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 4,000 | $861 | 1.7% | 1 | 0.3 | — |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Amphibious (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-amphibious-field-tested) | 1 in 2,000 | $521 | 2.0% | 0 | 0.6 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Vulcan (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-vulcan-field-tested) | 1 in 1,250 | $434 | 2.7% | 4 | 0.9 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Frontside Misty (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-frontside-misty-factory-new) | 1 in 769 | $230 | 2.3% | 0 | 1.5 | 0.00× |
| [MAC-10 \| Neon Rider (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-neon-rider-factory-new) | 1 in 500 | $168 | 2.6% | 3 | 2.3 | 1.33× |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Hyper Beast (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-hyper-beast-minimal-wear) | 1 in 500 | $163 | 2.5% | 0 | 2.3 | 0.00× |
| [M4A4 \| 龍王 (Dragon King) (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-dragon-king-factory-new) | 1 in 333 | $132 | 3.0% | 6 | 3.4 | 1.78× |
| [AWP \| Hyper Beast (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-hyper-beast-field-tested) | 1 in 100 | $50.75 | 3.9% | 7 | 11.3 | 0.62× |
| [AK-47 \| Frontside Misty (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-frontside-misty-minimal-wear) | 1 in 67 | $47.89 | 5.5% | 23 | 16.9 | 1.36× |
| [Glock-18 \| Water Elemental (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-water-elemental-factory-new) | 1 in 67 | $47.44 | 5.5% | 16 | 16.9 | 0.95× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Conspiracy (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-conspiracy-factory-new) | 1 in 33 | $30.09 | 7.0% | 38 | 33.8 | 1.13× |
| [M4A4 \| Desolate Space (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-desolate-space-field-tested) | 1 in 20 | $25.71 | 9.9% | 61 | 56.3 | 1.08× |
| [Glock-18 \| Reactor (Well-Worn) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-reactor-well-worn) | 1 in 14 | $20.89 | 11.3% | 84 | 78.8 | 1.07× |
| [StatTrak™ P2000 \| Imperial Dragon (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p2000-imperial-dragon-field-tested) | 10.0% | $14.47 | 11.2% | 114 | 112.5 | 1.01× |
| [StatTrak™ UMP-45 \| Primal Saber (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ump-45-primal-saber-field-tested) | 10.0% | $14.04 | 10.8% | 92 | 112.5 | 0.82× |
| [AK-47 \| Phantom Disruptor (Field-Tested) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-phantom-disruptor-field-tested) | 15.0% | $7.79 | 9.0% | 169 | 168.8 | 1.00× |
| [XM1014 \| Entombed (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-entombed-field-tested) | 15.0% | $5.08 | 5.9% | 182 | 168.8 | 1.08× |
| [PP-Bizon \| Photic Zone (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-photic-zone-minimal-wear) | 15.0% | $1.15 | 1.3% | 155 | 168.8 | 0.92× |
| [StatTrak™ P250 \| Valence (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-valence-field-tested) | 15.0% | $0.62 | 0.7% | 170 | 168.8 | 1.01× |

Values are DaddySkins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `daddyskins:graphql case(slug: gk68)`, 11 Nov, 08:55 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[★ Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-doppler-factory-new) [\[BOT\] Hans Landa](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Hans%20Landa) $15.55 $861 55.38x 2026-11-04 01:47 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=daddyskins&case=371)

[XM1014 | Entombed (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-entombed-field-tested) [RetroGod](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/RetroGod) $15.55 $5.08 0.33x 2026-11-11 12:59 UTC

[PP-Bizon | Photic Zone (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-photic-zone-minimal-wear) [Tamerunal98](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/Tamerunal98) $15.55 $1.15 0.07x 2026-11-11 12:59 UTC

[Glock-18 | Reactor (Well-Worn) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-reactor-well-worn) [WHITEBEARD](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/WHITEBEARD) $15.55 $20.89 1.34x 2026-11-11 12:59 UTC

[StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Primal Saber (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ump-45-primal-saber-field-tested) [\[BOT\] John Doe](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20John%20Doe) $15.55 $14.04 0.90x 2026-11-11 12:28 UTC

[StatTrak™ P250 | Valence (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-valence-field-tested) [User1917263](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/User1917263) $15.55 $0.62 0.04x 2026-11-11 12:28 UTC

[XM1014 | Entombed (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-entombed-field-tested) [\[BOT\] Max Cady](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Max%20Cady) $15.55 $5.08 0.33x 2026-11-11 12:28 UTC

[AK-47 | Phantom Disruptor (Field-Tested) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-phantom-disruptor-field-tested) [\[BOT\] T-1000](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20T-1000) $15.55 $7.79 0.50x 2026-11-11 12:28 UTC

[PP-Bizon | Photic Zone (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-photic-zone-minimal-wear) [\[BOT\] King Joffrey](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20King%20Joffrey) $15.55 $1.15 0.07x 2026-11-11 12:28 UTC

[StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Primal Saber (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ump-45-primal-saber-field-tested) [\[BOT\] Frederick Charles Krueger](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Frederick%20Charles%20Krueger) $15.55 $14.04 0.90x 2026-11-11 12:28 UTC

[StatTrak™ P250 | Valence (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-valence-field-tested) [\[BOT\] Mr. Blonde](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Mr.%20Blonde) $15.55 $0.62 0.04x 2026-11-11 11:18 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $15.55 | 83.33% | 20 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 1.5% sunny 0.0% extraordinary 0.1% classified 31.4% mil spec 22.0% #d32ee6 15.0% pink 15.0% milspec 15.0% best hit $861 (55.38x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 83.3% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $83.33 on average: an expected loss of $16.67 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt