--- title: "Royal Gem case on DaddySkins: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Royal Gem ($4.50) on DaddySkins, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 83.24% from 13 items with odds, observed 93.08% over 2,496 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/373 rendered: 2026-11-11T17:21Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [DaddySkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/daddyskins) / [Royal Gem](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/373) # [DaddySkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/daddyskins) · Royal Gem A case on DaddySkins, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is DaddySkins's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/373?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/373?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/373) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/373?window=all) Price · $4.50 Advertised RTP · 83.24% · EV $3.75 from 13 items Observed RTP, 30d · 93.08% · 2,496 openings, odds method Variance · 74.8× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 53 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 80.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 257.04% ±95.34 316 openings 7 days · 96.43% ±37.59 2,033 openings 30 days · 93.08% ±33.92 2,496 openings since tracking started · 93.08% ±33.92 2,496 openings 58.0% 205.5% 353.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/373?window=24h) | 316 | 257.04% ±95.3 | +3.6σ | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/373?window=7d) | 2,033 | 96.43% ±37.6 | +0.7σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/373) | 2,496 | 93.08% ±33.9 | +0.6σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/373?window=all) | 2,496 | 93.08% ±33.9 | +0.6σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 13 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 2,505 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [AWP \| The Prince (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-the-prince-field-tested) | 1 in 10,000 | $2,638 | 7.0% | 0 | 0.3 | — | | [AWP \| Desert Hydra (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-desert-hydra-well-worn) | 1 in 10,000 | $1,787 | 4.8% | 0 | 0.3 | — | | [AWP \| Fade (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-fade-minimal-wear) | 1 in 10,000 | $1,227 | 3.3% | 0 | 0.3 | — | | [★ Bowie Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 2,000 | $620 | 8.3% | 6 | 1.3 | 4.79× | | [★ Bayonet \| Lore (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-lore-minimal-wear) | 1 in 2,000 | $399 | 5.3% | 0 | 1.3 | 0.00× | | [★ Bowie Knife \| Lore (Minimal Wear) knife · Immortal](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-lore-minimal-wear) | 1 in 2,000 | $193 | 2.6% | 0 | 1.3 | 0.00× | | [Glock-18 \| Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) weapon · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear) | 1 in 2,000 | $185 | 2.5% | 2 | 1.3 | 1.60× | | [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| The Empress (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-the-empress-field-tested) | 1 in 2,000 | $156 | 2.1% | 1 | 1.3 | 0.80× | | [StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Ocean Drive (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-ocean-drive-well-worn) | 1 in 1,000 | $91.36 | 2.4% | 2 | 2.5 | 0.80× | | [Glock-18 \| Bullet Queen (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-bullet-queen-field-tested) | 1 in 200 | $73.69 | 9.8% | 15 | 12.5 | 1.20× | | [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Cortex (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-cortex-field-tested) | 1 in 100 | $9.82 | 2.6% | 29 | 25.1 | 1.16× | | [M4A4 \| Evil Daimyo (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-evil-daimyo-minimal-wear) | 18.1% | $5.42 | 26.2% | 463 | 453.9 | 1.02× | | [Glock-18 \| Candy Apple (Field-Tested) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-candy-apple-field-tested) | 80.0% | $1.08 | 23.1% | 1,987 | 2004.0 | 0.99× | Values are DaddySkins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `daddyskins:graphql case(slug: royal-gem)`, 11 Nov, 15:00 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Bowie Knife | Doppler (Factory New) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-doppler-factory-new) [kevinlowroller](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/kevinlowroller) $4.50 $620 137.8x 2026-11-11 14:06 UTC [★ Bowie Knife | Doppler (Factory New) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-doppler-factory-new) [supper817](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/supper817) $4.50 $620 137.8x 2026-11-11 10:56 UTC [★ Bowie Knife | Doppler (Factory New) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-doppler-factory-new) [Fighterinio CSGO-SKINS.COM](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/Fighterinio%20CSGO-SKINS.COM) $4.50 $620 137.8x 2026-11-11 09:22 UTC [★ Bowie Knife | Doppler (Factory New) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-doppler-factory-new) [kdmeucafe](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/kdmeucafe) $4.50 $620 137.8x 2026-11-11 01:36 UTC [★ Bowie Knife | Doppler (Factory New) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-doppler-factory-new) [Dinodead](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/Dinodead) $4.50 $620 137.8x 2026-11-08 18:25 UTC [★ Bowie Knife | Doppler (Factory New) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-doppler-factory-new) [Code "Emirate" ;)](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/Code%20%22Emirate%22%20%3B%29) $4.50 $620 137.8x 2026-11-03 20:29 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=daddyskins&case=373) [M4A4 | Evil Daimyo (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-evil-daimyo-minimal-wear) [Leverage](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/Leverage) $4.50 $5.42 1.20x 2026-11-11 17:09 UTC [Glock-18 | Candy Apple (Field-Tested) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-candy-apple-field-tested) [ArHiMiDaS](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/ArHiMiDaS) $4.50 $1.08 0.24x 2026-11-11 17:09 UTC [Glock-18 | Candy Apple (Field-Tested) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-candy-apple-field-tested) [Szymon Siurek](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/Szymon%20Siurek) $4.50 $1.08 0.24x 2026-11-11 15:44 UTC [M4A4 | Evil Daimyo (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-evil-daimyo-minimal-wear) [Kerowane Gówno |](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/Kerowane%20G%C3%B3wno%20%7C) $4.50 $5.42 1.20x 2026-11-11 15:44 UTC [Glock-18 | Candy Apple (Field-Tested) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-candy-apple-field-tested) [巴拉巴拉DK](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%E5%B7%B4%E6%8B%89%E5%B7%B4%E6%8B%89DK) $4.50 $1.08 0.24x 2026-11-11 15:44 UTC [Glock-18 | Candy Apple (Field-Tested) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-candy-apple-field-tested) [Betting on](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/Betting%20on) $4.50 $1.08 0.24x 2026-11-11 15:44 UTC [Glock-18 | Candy Apple (Field-Tested) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-candy-apple-field-tested) [Mythwar](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/Mythwar) $4.50 $1.08 0.24x 2026-11-11 15:44 UTC [Glock-18 | Candy Apple (Field-Tested) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-candy-apple-field-tested) [BlueBeard](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/BlueBeard) $4.50 $1.08 0.24x 2026-11-11 15:38 UTC [Glock-18 | Candy Apple (Field-Tested) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-candy-apple-field-tested) [Ducky](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/Ducky) $4.50 $1.08 0.24x 2026-11-11 15:38 UTC [Glock-18 | Candy Apple (Field-Tested) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-candy-apple-field-tested) [Szymon Siurek](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/Szymon%20Siurek) $4.50 $1.08 0.24x 2026-11-11 15:38 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $4.50 | 83.24% | 13 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 0.7% #ffd700 0.1% Immortal 0.1% Covert 0.1% Legendary 1.0% restricted 18.1% Rare 80.0% best hit $620 (137.8x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 83.2% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $83.24 on average: an expected loss of $16.76 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt