--- title: "Tyga Case case on DaddySkins: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Tyga Case ($3.06) on DaddySkins, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 83.24% from 13 items with odds, observed 97.91% over 4,451 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/378 rendered: 2026-11-11T16:59Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [DaddySkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/daddyskins) / [Tyga Case](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/378) # [DaddySkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/daddyskins) · Tyga Case A case on DaddySkins, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is DaddySkins's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/378?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/378?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/378) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/378?window=all) Price · $3.06 Advertised RTP · 83.24% · EV $2.55 from 13 items Observed RTP, 30d · 97.91% · 4,451 openings, odds method Variance · 60.2× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 159 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 93.4% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 117.26% ±48.42 987 openings 7 days · 98.83% ±24.68 3,799 openings 30 days · 97.91% ±22.80 4,451 openings since tracking started · 97.91% ±22.80 4,451 openings 68.0% 117.3% 166.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/378?window=24h) | 987 | 117.26% ±48.4 | +1.4σ | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/378?window=7d) | 3,799 | 98.83% ±24.7 | +1.2σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/378) | 4,451 | 97.91% ±22.8 | +1.3σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/378?window=all) | 4,451 | 97.91% ±22.8 | +1.3σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 13 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 4,459 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Moto Gloves \| Boom! (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-boom-field-tested) | 1 in 3,333 | $766 | 9.0% | 3 | 1.3 | 2.24× | | [M4A1-S \| Chantico's Fire (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-chanticos-fire-factory-new) | 1 in 2,000 | $646 | 12.7% | 3 | 2.2 | 1.35× | | [SSG 08 \| Dragonfire (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-dragonfire-minimal-wear) | 1 in 2,000 | $500 | 9.8% | 1 | 2.2 | 0.45× | | [M4A1-S \| Chantico's Fire (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-chanticos-fire-well-worn) | 1 in 1,000 | $156 | 6.1% | 3 | 4.5 | 0.67× | | [P2000 \| Fire Elemental (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-fire-elemental-field-tested) | 1 in 1,000 | $106 | 4.2% | 7 | 4.5 | 1.57× | | [★ Hand Wraps \| Arboreal (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-arboreal-field-tested) | 1 in 1,000 | $90.13 | 3.5% | 8 | 4.5 | 1.79× | | [★ Hydra Gloves \| Emerald (Field-Tested) gloves · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/hydra-gloves-emerald-field-tested) | 1 in 1,000 | $64.99 | 2.6% | 5 | 4.5 | 1.12× | | [P2000 \| Scorpion (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-scorpion-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $62.76 | 2.5% | 8 | 4.5 | 1.79× | | [Glock-18 \| Reactor (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-reactor-field-tested) | 1 in 100 | $26.08 | 10.2% | 54 | 44.6 | 1.21× | | [Tec-9 \| Isaac (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-isaac-field-tested) | 1 in 20 | $5.10 | 10.0% | 229 | 223.0 | 1.03× | | [XM1014 \| Seasons (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-seasons-minimal-wear) | 10.0% | $2.51 | 9.9% | 417 | 445.9 | 0.94× | | [MP7 \| Urban Hazard (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-urban-hazard-factory-new) | 30.0% | $0.77 | 9.1% | 1,351 | 1337.7 | 1.01× | | [MP7 \| Urban Hazard (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-urban-hazard-minimal-wear) | 53.4% | $0.50 | 10.5% | 2,370 | 2379.8 | 1.00× | Values are DaddySkins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `daddyskins:graphql case(slug: tyga-case)`, 11 Nov, 15:00 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Moto Gloves | Boom! (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-boom-field-tested) [\[BOT\] Mr. Blonde](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Mr.%20Blonde) $3.06 $766 250.4x 2026-11-11 05:54 UTC [★ Moto Gloves | Boom! (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-boom-field-tested) [\[BOT\] Agent Smith](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Agent%20Smith) $3.06 $766 250.4x 2026-11-10 20:54 UTC [★ Moto Gloves | Boom! (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-boom-field-tested) [awesomeszt](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/awesomeszt) $3.06 $766 250.4x 2026-11-08 11:38 UTC [M4A1-S | Chantico's Fire (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-chanticos-fire-factory-new) [CAMARO EKE-EKE-EKE](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/CAMARO%20EKE-EKE-EKE) $3.06 $646 211.0x 2026-11-08 23:41 UTC [M4A1-S | Chantico's Fire (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-chanticos-fire-factory-new) [P.U.N.I.S.H.E.R](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/P.U.N.I.S.H.E.R) $3.06 $646 211.0x 2026-11-08 08:05 UTC [M4A1-S | Chantico's Fire (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-chanticos-fire-factory-new) [SeNseeeJ |](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/SeNseeeJ%20%7C) $3.06 $646 211.0x 2026-11-03 09:58 UTC [SSG 08 | Dragonfire (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-dragonfire-minimal-wear) [\[BOT\] Magneto](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Magneto) $3.06 $500 163.4x 2026-11-06 15:02 UTC [M4A1-S | Chantico's Fire (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-chanticos-fire-well-worn) [\[BOT\] Magneto](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Magneto) $3.06 $156 50.90x 2026-11-10 16:01 UTC [M4A1-S | Chantico's Fire (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-chanticos-fire-well-worn) [ilyayra](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/ilyayra) $3.06 $156 50.90x 2026-11-07 17:36 UTC [M4A1-S | Chantico's Fire (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-chanticos-fire-well-worn) [\[BOT\] John Doe](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20John%20Doe) $3.06 $156 50.90x 2026-11-06 12:02 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=daddyskins&case=378) [MP7 | Urban Hazard (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-urban-hazard-minimal-wear) [九月落雨画秋凉](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%E4%B9%9D%E6%9C%88%E8%90%BD%E9%9B%A8%E7%94%BB%E7%A7%8B%E5%87%89) $3.06 $0.50 0.16x 2026-11-11 16:43 UTC [MP7 | Urban Hazard (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-urban-hazard-minimal-wear) [TowerBaby](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/TowerBaby) $3.06 $0.50 0.16x 2026-11-11 16:43 UTC [MP7 | Urban Hazard (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-urban-hazard-minimal-wear) [nikibonnn](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/nikibonnn) $3.06 $0.50 0.16x 2026-11-11 16:43 UTC [Tec-9 | Isaac (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-isaac-field-tested) [Magisk](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/Magisk) $3.06 $5.10 1.67x 2026-11-11 16:37 UTC [Glock-18 | Reactor (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-reactor-field-tested) [Schlub](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/Schlub) $3.06 $26.08 8.52x 2026-11-11 16:37 UTC [MP7 | Urban Hazard (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-urban-hazard-minimal-wear) [Ephemeral](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/Ephemeral) $3.06 $0.50 0.16x 2026-11-11 16:37 UTC [Glock-18 | Reactor (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-reactor-field-tested) [nikibonnn](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/nikibonnn) $3.06 $26.08 8.52x 2026-11-11 16:31 UTC [MP7 | Urban Hazard (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-urban-hazard-minimal-wear) [ShatteredArt](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/ShatteredArt) $3.06 $0.50 0.16x 2026-11-11 16:31 UTC [MP7 | Urban Hazard (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-urban-hazard-factory-new) [FARAMİR ☣](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/FARAM%C4%B0R%20%E2%98%A3) $3.06 $0.77 0.25x 2026-11-11 16:31 UTC [MP7 | Urban Hazard (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-urban-hazard-minimal-wear) [Zubu](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/Zubu) $3.06 $0.50 0.16x 2026-11-11 16:27 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $3.06 | 83.24% | 13 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed extraordinary 0.1% covert 0.3% gold 0.1% restricted 10.1% mil spec 36.0% Rare 53.4% best hit $766 (250.4x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 83.2% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $83.24 on average: an expected loss of $16.76 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt