--- title: "Gold or Stone case on DaddySkins: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Gold or Stone ($55.96) on DaddySkins, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 83.33% from 12 items with odds, observed 101.26% over 616 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/380 rendered: 2026-11-11T13:56Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [DaddySkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/daddyskins) / [Gold or Stone](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/380) # [DaddySkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/daddyskins) · Gold or Stone A case on DaddySkins, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is DaddySkins's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/380?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/380?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/380) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/380?window=all) Price · $55.96 Advertised RTP · 83.33% · EV $46.63 from 12 items Observed RTP, 30d · 101.26% · 616 openings, odds method Variance · 3.8× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 11 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 81.8% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 65.28% ±28.60 177 openings 7 days · 85.60% ±18.18 438 openings 30 days · 101.26% ±15.33 616 openings since tracking started · 101.26% ±15.33 616 openings 36.0% 76.5% 117.0% **Outside band, 30 days.** Advertised 83.33% sits outside the 95% band of the observed openings (85.93% – 116.59%, 616 openings, 30 days). The band comes from the site's own odds and values; the figure is a fact about these openings, not a verdict on the case. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/380?window=24h) | 177 | 65.28% ±28.6 | −1.2σ | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/380?window=7d) | 438 | 85.60% ±18.2 | +0.2σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/380) | 616 | 101.26% ±15.3 | +2.3σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/380?window=all) | 616 | 101.26% ±15.3 | +2.3σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 12 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 616 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [AWP \| Silk Tiger (Factory New) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-silk-tiger-factory-new) | 1 in 400 | $1,552 | 8.3% | 4 | 1.5 | 2.60× | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Arid (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-arid-battle-scarred) | 1 in 133 | $506 | 8.1% | 5 | 4.6 | 1.08× | | [★ Ursus Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 80 | $391 | 10.5% | 11 | 7.7 | 1.43× | | [★ Bayonet \| Lore (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-lore-field-tested) | 1 in 57 | $284 | 10.6% | 17 | 10.8 | 1.58× | | [★ Specialist Gloves \| Crimson Web (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-crimson-web-field-tested) | 1 in 44 | $206 | 9.9% | 9 | 13.9 | 0.65× | | [PP-Bizon \| Judgement of Anubis (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-judgement-of-anubis-battle-scarred) | 1 in 33 | $153 | 9.9% | 19 | 18.5 | 1.03× | | [M4A4 \| Asiimov (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-asiimov-battle-scarred) | 1 in 25 | $107 | 9.2% | 25 | 24.6 | 1.01× | | [★ Shadow Daggers \| Urban Masked (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-urban-masked-field-tested) | 1 in 20 | $75.46 | 8.1% | 31 | 30.8 | 1.01× | | [★ Hydra Gloves \| Mangrove (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hydra-gloves-mangrove-field-tested) | 1 in 17 | $55.68 | 7.2% | 40 | 37.0 | 1.08× | | [AK-47 \| Frontside Misty (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-frontside-misty-field-tested) | 11.0% | $24.25 | 5.7% | 64 | 67.8 | 0.94× | | [M4A4 \| Evil Daimyo (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-evil-daimyo-factory-new) | 22.0% | $13.98 | 6.6% | 130 | 135.5 | 0.96× | | [MAG-7 \| Justice (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-justice-field-tested) | 42.8% | $6.37 | 5.8% | 261 | 263.3 | 0.99× | Values are DaddySkins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `daddyskins:graphql case(slug: gold-or-stone)`, 11 Nov, 08:55 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [AWP | Silk Tiger (Factory New) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-silk-tiger-factory-new) [ISaidTheCalculation](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/ISaidTheCalculation) $55.96 $1,552 27.73x 2026-11-07 13:26 UTC [AWP | Silk Tiger (Factory New) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-silk-tiger-factory-new) [\[BOT\] T-1000](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20T-1000) $55.96 $1,552 27.73x 2026-11-04 01:16 UTC [AWP | Silk Tiger (Factory New) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-silk-tiger-factory-new) [\[BOT\] Magneto](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Magneto) $55.96 $1,552 27.73x 2026-11-04 01:15 UTC [AWP | Silk Tiger (Factory New) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-silk-tiger-factory-new) [登峰造极 子豪kannprecise](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%E7%99%BB%E5%B3%B0%E9%80%A0%E6%9E%81%20%20%E5%AD%90%E8%B1%AAkannprecise) $55.96 $1,552 27.73x 2026-11-03 16:01 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Arid (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-arid-battle-scarred) [\[BOT\] HAL 9000](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20HAL%209000) $55.96 $506 9.05x 2026-11-08 23:59 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Arid (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-arid-battle-scarred) [登峰造极 子豪kannprecise](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%E7%99%BB%E5%B3%B0%E9%80%A0%E6%9E%81%20%20%E5%AD%90%E8%B1%AAkannprecise) $55.96 $506 9.05x 2026-11-07 21:37 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Arid (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-arid-battle-scarred) [Sälen](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/S%C3%A4len) $55.96 $506 9.05x 2026-11-03 16:02 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Arid (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-arid-battle-scarred) [Code: JonasRR - Depo Bonus](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/Code%3A%20JonasRR%20-%20Depo%20Bonus) $55.96 $506 9.05x 2026-11-03 08:43 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Arid (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-arid-battle-scarred) [NAS^-^](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/NAS%5E-%5E) $55.96 $506 9.05x 2026-11-03 08:42 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=daddyskins&case=380) [★ Hydra Gloves | Mangrove (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hydra-gloves-mangrove-field-tested) [dencik](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/dencik) $55.96 $55.68 0.99x 2026-11-11 10:23 UTC [M4A4 | Evil Daimyo (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-evil-daimyo-factory-new) [menglin](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/menglin) $55.96 $13.98 0.25x 2026-11-11 10:23 UTC [MAG-7 | Justice (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-justice-field-tested) [f](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/f) $55.96 $6.37 0.11x 2026-11-11 10:23 UTC [M4A4 | Evil Daimyo (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-evil-daimyo-factory-new) [dencik](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/dencik) $55.96 $13.98 0.25x 2026-11-11 10:22 UTC [MAG-7 | Justice (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-justice-field-tested) [menglin](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/menglin) $55.96 $6.37 0.11x 2026-11-11 10:22 UTC [M4A4 | Evil Daimyo (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-evil-daimyo-factory-new) [f](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/f) $55.96 $13.98 0.25x 2026-11-11 10:22 UTC [★ Bayonet | Lore (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-lore-field-tested) [dencik](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/dencik) $55.96 $284 5.07x 2026-11-11 10:22 UTC [AK-47 | Frontside Misty (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-frontside-misty-field-tested) [menglin](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/menglin) $55.96 $24.25 0.43x 2026-11-11 10:22 UTC [MAG-7 | Justice (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-justice-field-tested) [f](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/f) $55.96 $6.37 0.11x 2026-11-11 10:22 UTC [MAG-7 | Justice (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-justice-field-tested) [\[BOT\] Thanos](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Thanos) $55.96 $6.37 0.11x 2026-11-11 01:44 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $55.96 | 83.33% | 12 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed #d32ee6 0.3% extraordinary 9.0% sunny 1.3% covert 13.8% classified 53.8% restricted 22.0% best hit $1,552 (27.73x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 83.3% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $83.33 on average: an expected loss of $16.67 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt