--- title: "Ocean Gem case on DaddySkins: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Ocean Gem ($144.62) on DaddySkins, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 83.33% from 15 items with odds, observed 88.24% over 397 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/381 rendered: 2026-11-11T17:03Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [DaddySkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/daddyskins) / [Ocean Gem](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/381) # [DaddySkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/daddyskins) · Ocean Gem A case on DaddySkins, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is DaddySkins's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/381?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/381?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/381) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/381?window=all) Price · $144.62 Advertised RTP · 83.33% · EV $120.52 from 15 items Observed RTP, 30d · 88.24% · 397 openings, odds method Variance · 4.8× · of price², per opening Tail share · 14.8% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 91.3% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 98 openings · below min 7 days · 79.82% ±28.40 228 openings 30 days · 88.24% ±21.52 397 openings since tracking started · 88.24% ±21.52 397 openings 20.5% 65.5% 110.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/381?window=24h) | 98 | 64.25% ±43.3 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/381?window=7d) | 228 | 79.82% ±28.4 | −0.2σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/381) | 397 | 88.24% ±21.5 | +0.4σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/381?window=all) | 397 | 88.24% ±21.5 | +0.4σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 15 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 399 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [M4A4 \| Poseidon (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-poseidon-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $4,734 | 3.9% | 0 | 0.4 | — | | [★ Moto Gloves \| Cool Mint (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-cool-mint-field-tested) | 1 in 667 | $3,310 | 4.1% | 1 | 0.6 | — | | [★ Karambit \| Case Hardened (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-case-hardened-factory-new) | 1 in 500 | $3,252 | 5.4% | 1 | 0.8 | — | | [AWP \| Medusa (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-medusa-field-tested) | 1 in 500 | $3,173 | 5.3% | 2 | 0.8 | — | | [AWP \| Medusa (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-medusa-well-worn) | 1 in 333 | $2,462 | 6.1% | 1 | 1.2 | 0.84× | | [Desert Eagle \| Ocean Drive (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-ocean-drive-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $563 | 4.7% | 3 | 4.0 | 0.75× | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Amphibious (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-amphibious-well-worn) | 1 in 77 | $485 | 5.2% | 4 | 5.2 | 0.77× | | [★ Specialist Gloves \| Tiger Strike (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-tiger-strike-field-tested) | 1 in 50 | $333 | 5.5% | 8 | 8.0 | 1.00× | | [★ Driver Gloves \| King Snake (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-king-snake-well-worn) | 1 in 29 | $223 | 6.5% | 18 | 14.0 | 1.29× | | [Desert Eagle \| Cobalt Disruption (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-cobalt-disruption-factory-new) | 1 in 17 | $144 | 7.2% | 27 | 23.9 | 1.13× | | [Desert Eagle \| Ocean Drive (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-ocean-drive-field-tested) | 1 in 11 | $135 | 10.1% | 29 | 35.9 | 0.81× | | [AK-47 \| Aquamarine Revenge (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-aquamarine-revenge-minimal-wear) | 12.0% | $110 | 10.9% | 45 | 47.9 | 0.94× | | [M4A1-S \| Dark Water (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-dark-water-field-tested) | 14.2% | $86.37 | 10.2% | 60 | 56.9 | 1.06× | | [AWP \| Redline (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-redline-field-tested) | 20.0% | $52.00 | 8.6% | 83 | 79.8 | 1.04× | | [FAMAS \| Dark Water (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-dark-water-minimal-wear) | 30.0% | $24.82 | 6.2% | 117 | 119.7 | 0.98× | Values are DaddySkins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `daddyskins:graphql case(slug: ocean-gem)`, 11 Nov, 15:00 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Moto Gloves | Cool Mint (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-cool-mint-field-tested) [\[BOT\] Hans Landa](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Hans%20Landa) $145 $3,310 22.89x 2026-11-04 10:13 UTC [★ Karambit | Case Hardened (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-case-hardened-factory-new) [\[BOT\] Frederick Charles Krueger](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Frederick%20Charles%20Krueger) $145 $3,252 22.49x 2026-11-07 21:01 UTC [AWP | Medusa (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-medusa-field-tested) [\[BOT\] Hans Landa](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Hans%20Landa) $145 $3,173 21.94x 2026-11-06 10:50 UTC [AWP | Medusa (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-medusa-field-tested) [\[BOT\] Voldemort](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Voldemort) $145 $3,173 21.94x 2026-11-04 10:13 UTC [AWP | Medusa (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-medusa-well-worn) [\[BOT\] Sauron](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Sauron) $145 $2,462 17.03x 2026-11-04 08:41 UTC [Desert Eagle | Ocean Drive (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-ocean-drive-factory-new) [Dave](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/Dave) $145 $563 3.90x 2026-11-11 07:10 UTC [Desert Eagle | Ocean Drive (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-ocean-drive-factory-new) [\[BOT\] Magneto](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Magneto) $145 $563 3.90x 2026-11-06 10:50 UTC [Desert Eagle | Ocean Drive (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-ocean-drive-factory-new) [\[BOT\] Hans Landa](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Hans%20Landa) $145 $563 3.90x 2026-11-04 10:13 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=daddyskins&case=381) [Desert Eagle | Ocean Drive (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-ocean-drive-field-tested) [\[BOT\] Frederick Charles Krueger](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Frederick%20Charles%20Krueger) $145 $135 0.93x 2026-11-11 15:54 UTC [FAMAS | Dark Water (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-dark-water-minimal-wear) [\[BOT\] Magneto](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Magneto) $145 $24.82 0.17x 2026-11-11 15:54 UTC [AWP | Redline (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-redline-field-tested) [\[BOT\] Sauron](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Sauron) $145 $52.00 0.36x 2026-11-11 15:54 UTC [AWP | Redline (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-redline-field-tested) [\[BOT\] Patrick Bateman](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Patrick%20Bateman) $145 $52.00 0.36x 2026-11-11 15:54 UTC [★ Driver Gloves | King Snake (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-king-snake-well-worn) [\[BOT\] Darth Vader](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Darth%20Vader) $145 $223 1.54x 2026-11-11 15:54 UTC [FAMAS | Dark Water (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-dark-water-minimal-wear) [Boyka](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/Boyka) $145 $24.82 0.17x 2026-11-11 15:54 UTC [FAMAS | Dark Water (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-dark-water-minimal-wear) [\[BOT\] Frederick Charles Krueger](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Frederick%20Charles%20Krueger) $145 $24.82 0.17x 2026-11-11 15:54 UTC [AWP | Redline (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-redline-field-tested) [\[BOT\] Magneto](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Magneto) $145 $52.00 0.36x 2026-11-11 15:54 UTC [AWP | Redline (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-redline-field-tested) [\[BOT\] Sauron](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Sauron) $145 $52.00 0.36x 2026-11-11 15:54 UTC [Desert Eagle | Cobalt Disruption (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-cobalt-disruption-factory-new) [\[BOT\] Patrick Bateman](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Patrick%20Bateman) $145 $144 1.00x 2026-11-11 15:54 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $145 | 83.33% | 15 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed classified 26.1% extraordinary 7.0% covert 22.7% restricted 14.2% mil spec 30.0% best hit $3,310 (22.89x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 83.3% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $83.33 on average: an expected loss of $16.67 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt