--- title: "1% Heaven case on DaddySkins: odds, RTP & drops" description: "1% Heaven ($5.85) on DaddySkins, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 83.29% from 16 items with odds, observed 75.30% over 4,250 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/384 rendered: 2026-11-11T13:29Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [DaddySkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/daddyskins) / [1% Heaven](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/384) # [DaddySkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/daddyskins) · 1% Heaven A case on DaddySkins, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is DaddySkins's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/384?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/384?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/384) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/384?window=all) Price · $5.85 Advertised RTP · 83.29% · EV $4.87 from 16 items Observed RTP, 30d · 75.30% · 4,250 openings, odds method Variance · 75.6× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 100 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 99.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 63.96% ±55.11 956 openings 7 days · 75.93% ±27.20 3,925 openings 30 days · 75.30% ±26.14 4,250 openings since tracking started · 75.30% ±26.14 4,250 openings 8.0% 63.8% 119.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/384?window=24h) | 956 | 63.96% ±55.1 | −0.7σ | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/384?window=7d) | 3,925 | 75.93% ±27.2 | −0.5σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/384) | 4,250 | 75.30% ±26.1 | −0.6σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/384?window=all) | 4,250 | 75.30% ±26.1 | −0.6σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 16 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 4,254 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [AK-47 \| X-Ray (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-x-ray-minimal-wear) | 1 in 10,000 | $2,310 | 4.7% | 1 | 0.4 | — | | [AK-47 \| Fire Serpent (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fire-serpent-minimal-wear) | 1 in 10,000 | $1,745 | 3.6% | 0 | 0.4 | — | | [AWP \| Fade (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $1,538 | 3.2% | 0 | 0.4 | — | | [★ Karambit \| Blue Steel (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-blue-steel-minimal-wear) | 1 in 10,000 | $1,049 | 2.2% | 0 | 0.4 | — | | [AK-47 \| Fire Serpent (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fire-serpent-field-tested) | 1 in 10,000 | $1,009 | 2.1% | 1 | 0.4 | — | | [M4A1-S \| Welcome to the Jungle (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-welcome-to-the-jungle-battle-scarred) | 1 in 10,000 | $914 | 1.9% | 1 | 0.4 | — | | [M4A1-S \| Imminent Danger (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-imminent-danger-field-tested) | 1 in 10,000 | $857 | 1.8% | 0 | 0.4 | — | | [★ Talon Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 5,000 | $697 | 2.9% | 0 | 0.9 | — | | [Desert Eagle \| Golden Koi (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-golden-koi-factory-new) | 1 in 2,000 | $582 | 6.0% | 1 | 2.1 | 0.47× | | [AK-47 \| The Empress (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-the-empress-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $442 | 9.1% | 7 | 4.3 | 1.65× | | [★ Huntsman Knife \| Crimson Web (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-crimson-web-minimal-wear) | 1 in 132 | $304 | 47.5% | 25 | 32.3 | 0.77× | | [MAG-7 \| Popdog (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-popdog-factory-new) | 19.8% | $1.46 | 5.9% | 884 | 842.3 | 1.05× | | [Nova \| Wood Fired (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-wood-fired-factory-new) | 19.8% | $1.06 | 4.3% | 821 | 842.3 | 0.97× | | [MAG-7 \| Sonar (Minimal Wear) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-sonar-minimal-wear) | 19.8% | $0.92 | 3.7% | 836 | 842.3 | 0.99× | | [XM1014 \| Scumbria (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-scumbria-field-tested) | 19.8% | $0.27 | 1.1% | 873 | 842.3 | 1.04× | | [Sawed-Off \| Snake Camo (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-snake-camo-field-tested) | 19.8% | $0.05 | 0.2% | 804 | 842.3 | 0.95× | Values are DaddySkins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `daddyskins:graphql case(slug: 1-heaven)`, 11 Nov, 08:55 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [AK-47 | X-Ray (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-x-ray-minimal-wear) [\[BOT\] Hans Landa](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Hans%20Landa) $5.85 $2,310 394.8x 2026-11-09 11:04 UTC [AK-47 | Fire Serpent (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fire-serpent-field-tested) [G2 Peter\_S |](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/G2%20Peter_S%20%7C) $5.85 $1,009 172.5x 2026-11-05 06:25 UTC [M4A1-S | Welcome to the Jungle (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-welcome-to-the-jungle-battle-scarred) [M3F3Dron](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/M3F3Dron) $5.85 $914 156.3x 2026-11-08 21:56 UTC [Desert Eagle | Golden Koi (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-golden-koi-factory-new) [\[BOT\] Patrick Bateman](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Patrick%20Bateman) $5.85 $582 99.46x 2026-11-09 17:55 UTC [AK-47 | The Empress (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-the-empress-factory-new) [\[BOT\] Max Cady](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Max%20Cady) $5.85 $442 75.51x 2026-11-11 13:08 UTC [AK-47 | The Empress (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-the-empress-factory-new) [drey](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/drey) $5.85 $442 75.51x 2026-11-09 17:56 UTC [AK-47 | The Empress (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-the-empress-factory-new) [\[BOT\] Thanos](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Thanos) $5.85 $442 75.51x 2026-11-08 15:31 UTC [AK-47 | The Empress (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-the-empress-factory-new) [\[BOT\] Sauron](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Sauron) $5.85 $442 75.51x 2026-11-07 14:04 UTC [AK-47 | The Empress (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-the-empress-factory-new) [Przʎgo](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/Prz%CA%8Ego) $5.85 $442 75.51x 2026-11-06 18:41 UTC [AK-47 | The Empress (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-the-empress-factory-new) [Несквик](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%D0%9D%D0%B5%D1%81%D0%BA%D0%B2%D0%B8%D0%BA) $5.85 $442 75.51x 2026-11-06 14:23 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=daddyskins&case=384) [MAG-7 | Popdog (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-popdog-factory-new) [\[BOT\] Agent Smith](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Agent%20Smith) $5.85 $1.46 0.25x 2026-11-11 13:18 UTC [Sawed-Off | Snake Camo (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-snake-camo-field-tested) [\[BOT\] Dr. Evil](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Dr.%20Evil) $5.85 $0.05 0.01x 2026-11-11 13:18 UTC [XM1014 | Scumbria (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-scumbria-field-tested) [\[BOT\] Anton Chigurh](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Anton%20Chigurh) $5.85 $0.27 0.05x 2026-11-11 13:18 UTC [MAG-7 | Popdog (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-popdog-factory-new) [\[BOT\] Max Cady](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Max%20Cady) $5.85 $1.46 0.25x 2026-11-11 13:18 UTC [Sawed-Off | Snake Camo (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-snake-camo-field-tested) [\[BOT\] The Joker](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20The%20Joker) $5.85 $0.05 0.01x 2026-11-11 13:18 UTC [Sawed-Off | Snake Camo (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-snake-camo-field-tested) [火锅锅](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%E7%81%AB%E9%94%85%E9%94%85) $5.85 $0.05 0.01x 2026-11-11 13:18 UTC [XM1014 | Scumbria (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-scumbria-field-tested) [\[BOT\] HAL 9000](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20HAL%209000) $5.85 $0.27 0.05x 2026-11-11 13:17 UTC [Nova | Wood Fired (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-wood-fired-factory-new) [\[BOT\] T-1000](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20T-1000) $5.85 $1.06 0.18x 2026-11-11 13:17 UTC [XM1014 | Scumbria (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-scumbria-field-tested) [\[BOT\] Darth Vader](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Darth%20Vader) $5.85 $0.27 0.05x 2026-11-11 13:17 UTC [XM1014 | Scumbria (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-scumbria-field-tested) [\[BOT\] Patrick Bateman](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Patrick%20Bateman) $5.85 $0.27 0.05x 2026-11-11 13:17 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $5.85 | 83.29% | 16 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 1.0% epic 0.0% Rare 19.8% mil spec 19.8% blue 19.8% milspec 19.8% industrial 19.8% best hit $2,310 (394.8x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 83.3% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $83.29 on average: an expected loss of $16.71 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt