--- title: "Vgorefs V2 case on DaddySkins: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Vgorefs V2 ($20.08) on DaddySkins, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 83.31% from 15 items with odds, observed 85.95% over 1,187 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/386 rendered: 2026-11-11T13:52Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [DaddySkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/daddyskins) / [Vgorefs V2](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/386) # [DaddySkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/daddyskins) · Vgorefs V2 A case on DaddySkins, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is DaddySkins's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/386?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/386?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/386) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/386?window=all) Price · $20.08 Advertised RTP · 83.31% · EV $16.73 from 15 items Observed RTP, 30d · 85.95% · 1,187 openings, odds method Variance · 9.9× · of price², per opening Tail share · 10.5% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 82.5% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 71.58% ±48.96 158 openings 7 days · 90.08% ±19.24 1,023 openings 30 days · 85.95% ±17.86 1,187 openings since tracking started · 85.95% ±17.86 1,187 openings 22.0% 71.5% 121.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/386?window=24h) | 158 | 71.58% ±49.0 | −0.5σ | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/386?window=7d) | 1,023 | 90.08% ±19.2 | +0.7σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/386) | 1,187 | 85.95% ±17.9 | +0.3σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/386?window=all) | 1,187 | 85.95% ±17.9 | +0.3σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 15 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,187 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [AWP \| Desert Hydra (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-desert-hydra-field-tested) | 1 in 10,000 | $2,063 | 1.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [AK-47 \| Fire Serpent (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fire-serpent-minimal-wear) | 1 in 5,000 | $1,745 | 2.1% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [AWP \| Containment Breach (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-containment-breach-factory-new) | 1 in 2,000 | $1,302 | 3.9% | 0 | 0.6 | — | | [M4A1-S \| Icarus Fell (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-icarus-fell-factory-new) | 1 in 2,000 | $1,163 | 3.5% | 2 | 0.6 | — | | [★ Butterfly Knife \| Damascus Steel (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-damascus-steel-minimal-wear) | 1 in 2,000 | $1,017 | 3.0% | 1 | 0.6 | — | | [★ M9 Bayonet \| Case Hardened (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-case-hardened-battle-scarred) | 1 in 1,000 | $533 | 3.2% | 0 | 1.2 | 0.00× | | [AK-47 \| Case Hardened (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-case-hardened-field-tested) | 1 in 400 | $311 | 4.7% | 2 | 3.0 | 0.67× | | [AWP \| BOOM (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-boom-minimal-wear) | 1 in 200 | $211 | 6.3% | 4 | 5.9 | 0.67× | | [★ Gut Knife \| Lore (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-lore-field-tested) | 1 in 100 | $124 | 7.4% | 18 | 11.9 | 1.52× | | [AK-47 \| Red Laminate (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-red-laminate-field-tested) | 1 in 67 | $82.11 | 7.4% | 23 | 17.8 | 1.29× | | [P250 \| Asiimov (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-asiimov-minimal-wear) | 1 in 50 | $57.32 | 6.9% | 30 | 23.7 | 1.26× | | [Glock-18 \| Water Elemental (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-water-elemental-battle-scarred) | 1 in 20 | $25.13 | 7.5% | 60 | 59.4 | 1.01× | | [M4A1-S \| Control Panel (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-control-panel-field-tested) | 1 in 14 | $22.89 | 9.6% | 78 | 83.1 | 0.94× | | [XM1014 \| Entombed (Factory New) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-entombed-factory-new) | 15.5% | $11.79 | 10.9% | 178 | 183.6 | 0.97× | | [USP-S \| Cortex (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-cortex-field-tested) | 67.0% | $5.62 | 22.5% | 791 | 795.3 | 0.99× | Values are DaddySkins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `daddyskins:graphql case(slug: vgorefs)`, 11 Nov, 08:55 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [M4A1-S | Icarus Fell (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-icarus-fell-factory-new) [\[BOT\] T-1000](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20T-1000) $20.08 $1,163 57.94x 2026-11-10 01:23 UTC [M4A1-S | Icarus Fell (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-icarus-fell-factory-new) [九命猫死](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%E4%B9%9D%E5%91%BD%E7%8C%AB%E6%AD%BB) $20.08 $1,163 57.94x 2026-11-05 14:53 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Damascus Steel (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-damascus-steel-minimal-wear) [\[BOT\] Agent Smith](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Agent%20Smith) $20.08 $1,017 50.63x 2026-11-10 01:25 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=daddyskins&case=386) [USP-S | Cortex (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-cortex-field-tested) [Tamerunal98](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/Tamerunal98) $20.08 $5.62 0.28x 2026-11-11 13:00 UTC [USP-S | Cortex (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-cortex-field-tested) [WHITEBEARD](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/WHITEBEARD) $20.08 $5.62 0.28x 2026-11-11 13:00 UTC [USP-S | Cortex (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-cortex-field-tested) [Bugghappen](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/Bugghappen) $20.08 $5.62 0.28x 2026-11-11 13:00 UTC [USP-S | Cortex (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-cortex-field-tested) [1124827605](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/1124827605) $20.08 $5.62 0.28x 2026-11-11 13:00 UTC [USP-S | Cortex (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-cortex-field-tested) [GustaGOD](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/GustaGOD) $20.08 $5.62 0.28x 2026-11-11 12:55 UTC [USP-S | Cortex (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-cortex-field-tested) [Mayers](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/Mayers) $20.08 $5.62 0.28x 2026-11-11 12:55 UTC [USP-S | Cortex (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-cortex-field-tested) [19](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/19) $20.08 $5.62 0.28x 2026-11-11 12:55 UTC [USP-S | Cortex (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-cortex-field-tested) [\[BOT\] T-1000](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20T-1000) $20.08 $5.62 0.28x 2026-11-11 10:07 UTC [USP-S | Cortex (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-cortex-field-tested) [\[BOT\] HAL 9000](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20HAL%209000) $20.08 $5.62 0.28x 2026-11-11 10:07 UTC [USP-S | Cortex (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-cortex-field-tested) [\[BOT\] Patrick Bateman](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Patrick%20Bateman) $20.08 $5.62 0.28x 2026-11-11 10:07 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $20.08 | 83.31% | 15 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 1.1% restricted 0.1% covert knife 0.1% classified 71.3% pink 12.0% Legendary 15.5% best hit $1,163 (57.94x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 83.3% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $83.31 on average: an expected loss of $16.69 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt