---
title: "New Age case on DaddySkins: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "New Age ($109.98) on DaddySkins, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 83.33% from 31 items with odds, observed 89.90% over 455 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/388
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:31Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [DaddySkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/daddyskins) / [New Age](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/388)

# [DaddySkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/daddyskins) · New Age

A case on DaddySkins, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is DaddySkins's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/388?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/388?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/388) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/388?window=all)

Price · $109.98

Advertised RTP · 83.33% · EV $91.65 from 31 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 89.90% · 455 openings, odds method

Variance · 2.3× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 10.6% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 79.7% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 26 openings · below min

7 days · 97.57% ±20.24 215 openings

30 days · 89.90% ±13.91 455 openings

since tracking started · 89.90% ±13.91 455 openings

19.5% 78.5% 137.5%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/388?window=24h) | 26 | 78.43% ±58.2 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/388?window=7d) | 215 | 97.57% ±20.2 | +1.4σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/388) | 455 | 89.90% ±13.9 | +0.9σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/388?window=all) | 455 | 89.90% ±13.9 | +0.9σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 31 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 455 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [Glock-18 \| Fade (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-fade-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,000 | $2,273 | 2.5% | 1 | 0.5 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Gold Arabesque (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-gold-arabesque-battle-scarred) | 1 in 800 | $1,718 | 2.3% | 0 | 0.6 | — |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Slaughter (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-slaughter-minimal-wear) | 1 in 667 | $1,530 | 2.5% | 2 | 0.7 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Leet Museo (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-leet-museo-factory-new) | 1 in 571 | $1,289 | 2.5% | 0 | 0.8 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Welcome to the Jungle (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-welcome-to-the-jungle-well-worn) | 1 in 333 | $753 | 2.5% | 0 | 1.4 | 0.00× |
| [★ Karambit \| Freehand (Minimal Wear) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-freehand-minimal-wear) | 1 in 250 | $650 | 2.8% | 3 | 1.8 | 1.65× |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Lore (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-lore-field-tested) | 1 in 222 | $591 | 2.9% | 1 | 2.0 | 0.49× |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Crimson Web (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-crimson-web-well-worn) | 1 in 200 | $535 | 2.9% | 3 | 2.3 | 1.32× |
| [★ Driver Gloves \| Black Tie (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-black-tie-minimal-wear) | 1 in 182 | $482 | 2.9% | 5 | 2.5 | 2.00× |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Amphibious (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-amphibious-field-tested) | 1 in 182 | $479 | 2.9% | 4 | 2.5 | 1.60× |
| [Galil AR \| Phoenix Blacklight (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-phoenix-blacklight-factory-new) | 1 in 167 | $442 | 2.9% | 4 | 2.7 | 1.47× |
| [★ Bayonet \| Crimson Web (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-crimson-web-minimal-wear) | 1 in 91 | $371 | 4.5% | 5 | 5.0 | 1.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Panthera onca (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-panthera-onca-field-tested) | 1 in 91 | $367 | 4.4% | 4 | 5.0 | 0.80× |
| [SSG 08 \| Blood in the Water (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-blood-in-the-water-factory-new) | 1 in 91 | $366 | 4.4% | 7 | 5.0 | 1.40× |
| [★ Skeleton Knife \| Case Hardened (Well-Worn) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-case-hardened-well-worn) | 1 in 83 | $352 | 4.6% | 5 | 5.5 | 0.92× |
| [★ Specialist Gloves \| Marble Fade (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-marble-fade-battle-scarred) | 1 in 45 | $179 | 4.3% | 14 | 10.0 | 1.40× |
| [★ Huntsman Knife \| Blue Steel (Field-Tested) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-blue-steel-field-tested) | 1 in 45 | $174 | 4.2% | 10 | 10.0 | 1.00× |
| [★ Broken Fang Gloves \| Jade (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/broken-fang-gloves-jade-field-tested) | 1 in 40 | $143 | 3.9% | 14 | 11.4 | 1.23× |
| [AUG \| Sand Storm (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-sand-storm-factory-new) | 1 in 40 | $140 | 3.8% | 14 | 11.4 | 1.23× |
| [SG 553 \| Hypnotic (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-hypnotic-factory-new) | 1 in 40 | $139 | 3.8% | 13 | 11.4 | 1.14× |
| [USP-S \| Kill Confirmed (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-kill-confirmed-field-tested) | 1 in 33 | $101 | 3.3% | 8 | 13.7 | 0.59× |
| [★ Broken Fang Gloves \| Unhinged (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/broken-fang-gloves-unhinged-field-tested) | 1 in 29 | $94.88 | 3.6% | 16 | 15.9 | 1.00× |
| [★ Specialist Gloves \| Buckshot (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-buckshot-field-tested) | 1 in 25 | $90.94 | 4.0% | 14 | 18.2 | 0.77× |
| [AWP \| Wildfire (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-wildfire-field-tested) | 1 in 17 | $70.66 | 4.6% | 22 | 27.3 | 0.81× |
| [AK-47 \| Neon Rider (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-neon-rider-field-tested) | 1 in 17 | $70.36 | 4.6% | 18 | 27.3 | 0.66× |
| [M4A1-S \| Guardian (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-guardian-minimal-wear) | 1 in 13 | $50.61 | 4.4% | 39 | 36.4 | 1.07× |
| [MP9 \| Hydra (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-hydra-field-tested) | 1 in 11 | $33.37 | 3.3% | 44 | 41.9 | 1.05× |
| [M4A4 \| Desolate Space (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-desolate-space-field-tested) | 10.0% | $21.24 | 2.3% | 38 | 45.5 | 0.84× |
| [StatTrak™ AUG \| Syd Mead (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-aug-syd-mead-field-tested) | 10.0% | $12.44 | 1.4% | 53 | 45.5 | 1.16× |
| [FAMAS \| Eye of Athena (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-eye-of-athena-field-tested) | 10.0% | $7.56 | 0.8% | 45 | 45.5 | 0.99× |
| [MAG-7 \| Monster Call (Minimal Wear) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-monster-call-minimal-wear) | 10.0% | $1.64 | 0.2% | 49 | 45.5 | 1.08× |

Values are DaddySkins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `daddyskins:graphql case(slug: new-age)`, 11 Nov, 08:55 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[Glock-18 | Fade (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-fade-minimal-wear) [\[BOT\] The Joker](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20The%20Joker) $110 $2,273 20.67x 2026-11-04 15:40 UTC

[★ Butterfly Knife | Slaughter (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-slaughter-minimal-wear) [\[BOT\] Frederick Charles Krueger](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Frederick%20Charles%20Krueger) $110 $1,530 13.91x 2026-11-04 15:39 UTC

[★ Butterfly Knife | Slaughter (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-slaughter-minimal-wear) [\[BOT\] Sauron](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Sauron) $110 $1,530 13.91x 2026-11-04 10:10 UTC

[★ Karambit | Freehand (Minimal Wear) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-freehand-minimal-wear) [f](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/f) $110 $650 5.91x 2026-11-09 12:05 UTC

[★ Karambit | Freehand (Minimal Wear) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-freehand-minimal-wear) [\[BOT\] King Joffrey](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20King%20Joffrey) $110 $650 5.91x 2026-11-04 10:11 UTC

[★ Karambit | Freehand (Minimal Wear) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-freehand-minimal-wear) [\[BOT\] Magneto](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Magneto) $110 $650 5.91x 2026-11-04 09:10 UTC

[★ M9 Bayonet | Lore (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-lore-field-tested) [\[BOT\] Magneto](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Magneto) $110 $591 5.37x 2026-11-04 15:39 UTC

[★ M9 Bayonet | Crimson Web (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-crimson-web-well-worn) [FLOW](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/FLOW) $110 $535 4.86x 2026-11-07 13:50 UTC

[★ M9 Bayonet | Crimson Web (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-crimson-web-well-worn) [Lunare](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/Lunare) $110 $535 4.86x 2026-11-05 01:27 UTC

[★ M9 Bayonet | Crimson Web (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-crimson-web-well-worn) [\[BOT\] Hans Landa](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Hans%20Landa) $110 $535 4.86x 2026-11-04 02:37 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=daddyskins&case=388)

[StatTrak™ AUG | Syd Mead (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-aug-syd-mead-field-tested) [✪-By"Mertcan"❤️](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%E2%9C%AA-By%22Mertcan%22%E2%9D%A4%EF%B8%8F) $110 $12.44 0.11x 2026-11-11 08:40 UTC

[FAMAS | Eye of Athena (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-eye-of-athena-field-tested) [STRYCK](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/STRYCK) $110 $7.56 0.07x 2026-11-11 08:40 UTC

[MAG-7 | Monster Call (Minimal Wear) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-monster-call-minimal-wear) [\[BOT\] Voldemort](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Voldemort) $110 $1.64 0.01x 2026-11-10 20:37 UTC

[AK-47 | Panthera onca (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-panthera-onca-field-tested) [\[BOT\] Alonzo Harris](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Alonzo%20Harris) $110 $367 3.34x 2026-11-10 20:37 UTC

[M4A1-S | Guardian (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-guardian-minimal-wear) [\[BOT\] Hans Landa](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Hans%20Landa) $110 $50.61 0.46x 2026-11-10 20:37 UTC

[★ Specialist Gloves | Buckshot (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-buckshot-field-tested) [\[BOT\] Magneto](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Magneto) $110 $90.94 0.83x 2026-11-10 20:37 UTC

[M4A4 | Desolate Space (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-desolate-space-field-tested) [mIKEY](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/mIKEY) $110 $21.24 0.19x 2026-11-10 20:37 UTC

[AUG | Sand Storm (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-sand-storm-factory-new) [\[BOT\] Frederick Charles Krueger](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Frederick%20Charles%20Krueger) $110 $140 1.28x 2026-11-10 20:37 UTC

[MAG-7 | Monster Call (Minimal Wear) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-monster-call-minimal-wear) [\[BOT\] Thanos](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Thanos) $110 $1.64 0.01x 2026-11-10 16:29 UTC

[★ Specialist Gloves | Buckshot (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-buckshot-field-tested) [\[BOT\] John Doe](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20John%20Doe) $110 $90.94 0.83x 2026-11-10 16:29 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $110 | 83.33% | 31 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed restricted 5.7% covert 18.9% Covert 0.4% extraordinary 13.3% pink 10.3% gold 1.2% #ffd700 2.2% classified 38.0% violet 10.0% best hit $2,273 (20.67x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 83.3% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $83.33 on average: an expected loss of $16.67 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt