---
title: "Team Battles case on DaddySkins: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Team Battles ($23.45) on DaddySkins, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 83.31% from 21 items with odds, observed 97.16% over 626 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/393
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:33Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [DaddySkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/daddyskins) / [Team Battles](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/393)

# [DaddySkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/daddyskins) · Team Battles

A case on DaddySkins, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is DaddySkins's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/393?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/393?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/393) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/393?window=all)

Price · $23.45

Advertised RTP · 83.31% · EV $19.54 from 21 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 97.16% · 626 openings, odds method

Variance · 5.0× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 16 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 83.7% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 29 openings · below min

7 days · 94.92% ±19.36 514 openings

30 days · 97.16% ±17.54 626 openings

since tracking started · 97.16% ±17.54 626 openings

66.5% 148.8% 231.0%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/393?window=24h) | 29 | 148.80% ±81.5 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/393?window=7d) | 514 | 94.92% ±19.4 | +1.2σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/393) | 626 | 97.16% ±17.5 | +1.5σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/393?window=all) | 626 | 97.16% ±17.5 | +1.5σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 21 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 636 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [AK-47 \| Vulcan (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-vulcan-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $866 | 4.4% | 1 | 0.6 | — |
| [★ Karambit \| Case Hardened (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-case-hardened-well-worn) | 1 in 1,000 | $831 | 4.3% | 1 | 0.6 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Fuel Injector (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fuel-injector-field-tested) | 1 in 333 | $276 | 4.2% | 2 | 1.9 | 1.05× |
| [★ Hand Wraps \| Arboreal (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-arboreal-factory-new) | 1 in 333 | $265 | 4.1% | 3 | 1.9 | 1.57× |
| [M4A4 \| Desolate Space (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-desolate-space-factory-new) | 1 in 200 | $197 | 5.0% | 3 | 3.2 | 0.94× |
| [★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife \| Scorched (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bowie-knife-scorched-minimal-wear) | 1 in 200 | $172 | 4.4% | 2 | 3.2 | 0.63× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Berries And Cherries (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-berries-and-cherries-factory-new) | 1 in 200 | $168 | 4.3% | 5 | 3.2 | 1.57× |
| [FAMAS \| Meltdown (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-meltdown-factory-new) | 1 in 200 | $168 | 4.3% | 7 | 3.2 | 2.20× |
| [M4A1-S \| Dark Water (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-dark-water-minimal-wear) | 1 in 133 | $145 | 5.6% | 4 | 4.8 | 0.84× |
| [P90 \| Death by Kitty (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-death-by-kitty-field-tested) | 1 in 80 | $107 | 6.8% | 7 | 8.0 | 0.88× |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Frontside Misty (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-frontside-misty-minimal-wear) | 1 in 67 | $95.23 | 7.3% | 13 | 9.5 | 1.36× |
| [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| In Living Color (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-in-living-color-field-tested) | 1 in 33 | $40.76 | 6.3% | 22 | 19.1 | 1.15× |
| [USP-S \| Monster Mashup (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-monster-mashup-field-tested) | 1 in 29 | $36.15 | 6.5% | 23 | 22.3 | 1.03× |
| [M4A1-S \| Decimator (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-decimator-minimal-wear) | 1 in 29 | $32.49 | 5.8% | 24 | 22.3 | 1.08× |
| [StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Trigger Discipline (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-trigger-discipline-factory-new) | 1 in 16 | $19.08 | 6.1% | 41 | 39.4 | 1.04× |
| [StatTrak™ Nova \| Rising Skull (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-nova-rising-skull-factory-new) | 1 in 13 | $17.95 | 6.9% | 53 | 47.7 | 1.11× |
| [StatTrak™ MP9 \| Food Chain (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp9-food-chain-field-tested) | 10.0% | $11.22 | 5.7% | 60 | 63.6 | 0.94× |
| [Dual Berettas \| Sweet Little Angels (Well-Worn) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-sweet-little-angels-well-worn) | 15.0% | $5.92 | 4.5% | 78 | 95.4 | 0.82× |
| [StatTrak™ MP5-SD \| Kitbash (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp5-sd-kitbash-minimal-wear) | 15.0% | $1.59 | 1.2% | 94 | 95.4 | 0.99× |
| [M4A1-S \| VariCamo (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-varicamo-factory-new) | 15.0% | $1.52 | 1.2% | 85 | 95.4 | 0.89× |
| [AUG \| Triqua (Factory New) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-triqua-factory-new) | 15.0% | $1.39 | 1.1% | 108 | 95.4 | 1.13× |

Values are DaddySkins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `daddyskins:graphql case(slug: team-battles)`, 11 Nov, 08:55 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[AK-47 | Vulcan (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-vulcan-factory-new) [\[BOT\] Agent Smith](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Agent%20Smith) $23.45 $866 36.94x 2026-11-09 20:43 UTC

[★ Karambit | Case Hardened (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-case-hardened-well-worn) [A\_hero](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/A_hero) $23.45 $831 35.44x 2026-11-03 14:35 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=daddyskins&case=393)

[M4A1-S | VariCamo (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-varicamo-factory-new) [Schlub](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/Schlub) $23.45 $1.52 0.06x 2026-11-11 08:29 UTC

[Dual Berettas | Sweet Little Angels (Well-Worn) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-sweet-little-angels-well-worn) [DerG](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/DerG) $23.45 $5.92 0.25x 2026-11-11 08:29 UTC

[M4A1-S | VariCamo (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-varicamo-factory-new) [W22](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/W22) $23.45 $1.52 0.06x 2026-11-11 06:13 UTC

[AUG | Triqua (Factory New) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-triqua-factory-new) [Gilbert](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/Gilbert) $23.45 $1.39 0.06x 2026-11-11 06:13 UTC

[StatTrak™ Nova | Rising Skull (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-nova-rising-skull-factory-new) [as21999](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/as21999) $23.45 $17.95 0.77x 2026-11-11 06:13 UTC

[StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Kitbash (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp5-sd-kitbash-minimal-wear) [♥ski♥mask♥](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%E2%99%A5ski%E2%99%A5mask%E2%99%A5) $23.45 $1.59 0.07x 2026-11-11 06:13 UTC

[★ Hand Wraps | Arboreal (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-arboreal-factory-new) [使你才能](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%E4%BD%BF%E4%BD%A0%E6%89%8D%E8%83%BD) $23.45 $265 11.31x 2026-11-11 06:13 UTC

[M4A1-S | Dark Water (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-dark-water-minimal-wear) [W22](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/W22) $23.45 $145 6.18x 2026-11-11 06:13 UTC

[M4A1-S | VariCamo (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-varicamo-factory-new) [Gilbert](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/Gilbert) $23.45 $1.52 0.06x 2026-11-11 06:13 UTC

[StatTrak™ Nova | Rising Skull (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-nova-rising-skull-factory-new) [as21999](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/as21999) $23.45 $17.95 0.77x 2026-11-11 06:13 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $23.45 | 83.31% | 21 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 1.8% extraordinary 0.3% classified 9.5% covert knife 0.5% restricted 22.4% Covert 3.0% Restricted 7.5% pink 10.0% uncommon 15.0% mil spec 15.0% milspec 15.0% best hit $866 (36.94x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 83.3% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $83.31 on average: an expected loss of $16.69 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt