---
title: "Slow and Steady case on DaddySkins: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Slow and Steady ($2.92) on DaddySkins, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 83.24% from 12 items with odds, observed 62.81% over 3,894 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/397
rendered: 2026-11-11T15:29Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [DaddySkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/daddyskins) / [Slow and Steady](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/397)

# [DaddySkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/daddyskins) · Slow and Steady

A case on DaddySkins, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is DaddySkins's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/397?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/397?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/397) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/397?window=all)

Price · $2.92

Advertised RTP · 83.24% · EV $2.43 from 12 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 62.81% · 3,894 openings, odds method

Variance · 55.4× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 118 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 95.2% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 63.12% ±51.35 807 openings

7 days · 65.37% ±25.28 3,331 openings

30 days · 62.81% ±23.38 3,894 openings

since tracking started · 62.81% ±23.38 3,894 openings

11.0% 63.0% 115.0%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/397?window=24h) | 807 | 63.12% ±51.4 | −0.8σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/397?window=7d) | 3,331 | 65.37% ±25.3 | −1.4σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/397) | 3,894 | 62.81% ±23.4 | −1.7σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/397?window=all) | 3,894 | 62.81% ±23.4 | −1.7σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 12 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 3,918 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [AWP \| Elite Build (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-elite-build-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $616 | 25.3% | 1 | 3.9 | 0.26× |
| [SSG 08 \| Bloodshot (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-bloodshot-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,000 | $187 | 7.7% | 3 | 3.9 | 0.77× |
| [★ Moto Gloves \| Smoke Out (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-smoke-out-battle-scarred) | 1 in 1,000 | $143 | 5.9% | 4 | 3.9 | 1.02× |
| [★ Hand Wraps \| Duct Tape (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-duct-tape-field-tested) | 1 in 500 | $87.29 | 7.2% | 6 | 7.8 | 0.77× |
| [P250 \| Whiteout (Field-Tested) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-whiteout-field-tested) | 1 in 286 | $65.01 | 9.4% | 15 | 13.7 | 1.09× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Kumicho Dragon (Minimal Wear) weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-kumicho-dragon-minimal-wear) | 1 in 200 | $40.90 | 8.4% | 16 | 19.6 | 0.82× |
| [MP5-SD \| Autumn Twilly (Factory New) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-autumn-twilly-factory-new) | 1 in 200 | $28.54 | 5.9% | 17 | 19.6 | 0.87× |
| [FAMAS \| Contrast Spray (Well-Worn) weapon · #777777](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-contrast-spray-well-worn) | 1 in 100 | $6.29 | 2.6% | 27 | 39.2 | 0.69× |
| [M4A4 \| Tooth Fairy (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-tooth-fairy-field-tested) | 1 in 100 | $5.59 | 2.3% | 40 | 39.2 | 1.02× |
| [Dual Berettas \| Drift Wood (Field-Tested) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-drift-wood-field-tested) | 1 in 100 | $3.32 | 1.4% | 26 | 39.2 | 0.66× |
| [USP-S \| Ticket to Hell (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-ticket-to-hell-field-tested) | 15.2% | $1.16 | 7.2% | 583 | 593.6 | 0.98× |
| [Tec-9 \| Flash Out (Well-Worn) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-flash-out-well-worn) | 80.0% | $0.51 | 16.8% | 3,180 | 3134.4 | 1.01× |

Values are DaddySkins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `daddyskins:graphql case(slug: slow-and-steady)`, 11 Nov, 15:00 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[AWP | Elite Build (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-elite-build-factory-new) [❥.晓](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%E2%9D%A5.%E6%99%93) $2.92 $616 210.9x 2026-11-06 22:23 UTC

[SSG 08 | Bloodshot (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-bloodshot-minimal-wear) [642438](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/642438) $2.92 $187 64.04x 2026-11-11 07:23 UTC

[SSG 08 | Bloodshot (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-bloodshot-minimal-wear) [Azrael](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/Azrael) $2.92 $187 64.04x 2026-11-05 10:14 UTC

[SSG 08 | Bloodshot (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-bloodshot-minimal-wear) [Cadu](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/Cadu) $2.92 $187 64.04x 2026-11-04 08:00 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=daddyskins&case=397)

[Tec-9 | Flash Out (Well-Worn) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-flash-out-well-worn) [ALO E DO CASTELO DA PIZZA?](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/ALO%20E%20DO%20CASTELO%20DA%20PIZZA%3F) $2.92 $0.51 0.17x 2026-11-11 15:29 UTC

[USP-S | Ticket to Hell (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-ticket-to-hell-field-tested) [Szymon Siurek](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/Szymon%20Siurek) $2.92 $1.16 0.40x 2026-11-11 15:29 UTC

[Tec-9 | Flash Out (Well-Worn) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-flash-out-well-worn) [ALO E DO CASTELO DA PIZZA?](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/ALO%20E%20DO%20CASTELO%20DA%20PIZZA%3F) $2.92 $0.51 0.17x 2026-11-11 15:29 UTC

[Tec-9 | Flash Out (Well-Worn) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-flash-out-well-worn) [Szymon Siurek](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/Szymon%20Siurek) $2.92 $0.51 0.17x 2026-11-11 15:29 UTC

[Tec-9 | Flash Out (Well-Worn) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-flash-out-well-worn) [Udoy](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/Udoy) $2.92 $0.51 0.17x 2026-11-11 15:28 UTC

[Tec-9 | Flash Out (Well-Worn) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-flash-out-well-worn) [Ducky](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/Ducky) $2.92 $0.51 0.17x 2026-11-11 15:28 UTC

[Tec-9 | Flash Out (Well-Worn) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-flash-out-well-worn) [EMTN](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/EMTN) $2.92 $0.51 0.17x 2026-11-11 14:44 UTC

[Tec-9 | Flash Out (Well-Worn) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-flash-out-well-worn) [Tobi](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/Tobi) $2.92 $0.51 0.17x 2026-11-11 14:44 UTC

[Tec-9 | Flash Out (Well-Worn) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-flash-out-well-worn) [FUCKshit](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/FUCKshit) $2.92 $0.51 0.17x 2026-11-11 14:44 UTC

[Tec-9 | Flash Out (Well-Worn) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-flash-out-well-worn) [MawMaw❤](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/MawMaw%E2%9D%A4) $2.92 $0.51 0.17x 2026-11-11 14:44 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $2.92 | 83.24% | 12 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed classified 0.2% extraordinary 0.3% blue 0.3% Classified 0.5% #8847ff 0.5% #777777 1.0% Legendary 1.0% Uncommon 1.0% Mythical 15.2% mil spec 80.0% best hit $616 (210.9x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 83.2% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $83.24 on average: an expected loss of $16.76 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt