---
title: "AK Rush V.2 case on DaddySkins: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "AK Rush V.2 ($35.48) on DaddySkins, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 83.33% from 21 items with odds, observed 84.50% over 620 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/402
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:30Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [DaddySkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/daddyskins) / [AK Rush V.2](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/402)

# [DaddySkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/daddyskins) · AK Rush V.2

A case on DaddySkins, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is DaddySkins's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/402?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/402?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/402) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/402?window=all)

Price · $35.48

Advertised RTP · 83.33% · EV $29.57 from 21 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 84.50% · 620 openings, odds method

Variance · 4.9× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 20 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 90.0% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 42 openings · below min

7 days · 81.38% ±19.29 501 openings

30 days · 84.50% ±17.34 620 openings

since tracking started · 84.50% ±17.34 620 openings

13.0% 80.3% 147.5%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/402?window=24h) | 42 | 80.16% ±66.6 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/402?window=7d) | 501 | 81.38% ±19.3 | −0.2σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/402) | 620 | 84.50% ±17.3 | +0.1σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/402?window=all) | 620 | 84.50% ±17.3 | +0.1σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 21 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 620 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [AK-47 \| Leet Museo (Minimal Wear) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-leet-museo-minimal-wear) | 1 in 200 | $651 | 11.0% | 1 | 3.1 | 0.32× |
| [AK-47 \| Neon Rider (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-neon-rider-factory-new) | 1 in 200 | $566 | 9.6% | 4 | 3.1 | 1.29× |
| [AK-47 \| Jaguar (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-jaguar-factory-new) | 1 in 200 | $472 | 8.0% | 3 | 3.1 | 0.97× |
| [AK-47 \| Fuel Injector (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fuel-injector-field-tested) | 1 in 200 | $276 | 4.7% | 2 | 3.1 | 0.65× |
| [AK-47 \| Bloodsport (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-bloodsport-factory-new) | 1 in 200 | $246 | 4.2% | 6 | 3.1 | 1.94× |
| [AK-47 \| Bloodsport (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-bloodsport-field-tested) | 1 in 200 | $207 | 3.5% | 2 | 3.1 | 0.65× |
| [AK-47 \| Vulcan (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-vulcan-well-worn) | 1 in 100 | $195 | 6.6% | 7 | 6.2 | 1.13× |
| [AK-47 \| Bloodsport (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-bloodsport-well-worn) | 1 in 100 | $193 | 6.5% | 8 | 6.2 | 1.29× |
| [AK-47 \| Nightwish (Well-Worn) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-nightwish-well-worn) | 1 in 40 | $95.94 | 8.1% | 19 | 15.5 | 1.23× |
| [AK-47 \| Redline (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-redline-field-tested) | 1 in 40 | $48.62 | 4.1% | 15 | 15.5 | 0.97× |
| [AK-47 \| Blue Laminate (Factory New) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-blue-laminate-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $35.47 | 6.0% | 38 | 31.0 | 1.23× |
| [AK-47 \| Point Disarray (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-point-disarray-minimal-wear) | 1 in 20 | $35.06 | 5.9% | 32 | 31.0 | 1.03× |
| [AK-47 \| Baroque Purple (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-baroque-purple-minimal-wear) | 1 in 20 | $25.29 | 4.3% | 26 | 31.0 | 0.84× |
| [AK-47 \| Slate (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-slate-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $24.11 | 4.1% | 35 | 31.0 | 1.13× |
| [AK-47 \| Slate (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-slate-minimal-wear) | 1 in 20 | $10.91 | 1.8% | 29 | 31.0 | 0.94× |
| [AK-47 \| Phantom Disruptor (Field-Tested) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-phantom-disruptor-field-tested) | 1 in 20 | $8.80 | 1.5% | 29 | 31.0 | 0.94× |
| [AK-47 \| Slate (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-slate-field-tested) | 10.0% | $7.02 | 2.4% | 56 | 62.0 | 0.90× |
| [AK-47 \| Rat Rod (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-rat-rod-well-worn) | 10.0% | $6.26 | 2.1% | 55 | 62.0 | 0.89× |
| [AK-47 \| Emerald Pinstripe (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-emerald-pinstripe-minimal-wear) | 10.0% | $6.19 | 2.1% | 69 | 62.0 | 1.11× |
| [AK-47 \| Safety Net (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-safety-net-field-tested) | 15.0% | $3.99 | 2.0% | 94 | 93.0 | 1.01× |
| [AK-47 \| Uncharted (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-uncharted-factory-new) | 15.0% | $3.05 | 1.5% | 90 | 93.0 | 0.97× |

Values are DaddySkins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `daddyskins:graphql case(slug: ak-rush)`, 11 Nov, 08:55 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[AK-47 | Leet Museo (Minimal Wear) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-leet-museo-minimal-wear) [\[BOT\] Dr. Evil](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Dr.%20Evil) $35.48 $651 18.34x 2026-11-04 00:09 UTC

[AK-47 | Neon Rider (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-neon-rider-factory-new) [\[BOT\] Sauron](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Sauron) $35.48 $566 15.96x 2026-11-08 23:50 UTC

[AK-47 | Neon Rider (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-neon-rider-factory-new) [\[BOT\] Dr. Evil](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Dr.%20Evil) $35.48 $566 15.96x 2026-11-07 14:52 UTC

[AK-47 | Neon Rider (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-neon-rider-factory-new) [\[BOT\] Magneto](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Magneto) $35.48 $566 15.96x 2026-11-07 14:52 UTC

[AK-47 | Neon Rider (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-neon-rider-factory-new) [\[BOT\] Magneto](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Magneto) $35.48 $566 15.96x 2026-11-06 20:58 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=daddyskins&case=402)

[AK-47 | Safety Net (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-safety-net-field-tested) [\[BOT\] Voldemort](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Voldemort) $35.48 $3.99 0.11x 2026-11-11 07:05 UTC

[AK-47 | Rat Rod (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-rat-rod-well-worn) [\[BOT\] Bane](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Bane) $35.48 $6.26 0.18x 2026-11-11 07:05 UTC

[AK-47 | Nightwish (Well-Worn) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-nightwish-well-worn) [\[BOT\] Hans Landa](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Hans%20Landa) $35.48 $95.94 2.70x 2026-11-11 07:05 UTC

[AK-47 | Slate (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-slate-factory-new) [\[BOT\] T-1000](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20T-1000) $35.48 $24.11 0.68x 2026-11-11 07:05 UTC

[AK-47 | Safety Net (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-safety-net-field-tested) [\[BOT\] John Doe](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20John%20Doe) $35.48 $3.99 0.11x 2026-11-11 07:05 UTC

[AK-47 | Bloodsport (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-bloodsport-field-tested) [Dave](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/Dave) $35.48 $207 5.84x 2026-11-11 07:05 UTC

[AK-47 | Uncharted (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-uncharted-factory-new) [\[BOT\] John Doe](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20John%20Doe) $35.48 $3.05 0.09x 2026-11-11 06:58 UTC

[AK-47 | Uncharted (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-uncharted-factory-new) [\[BOT\] Patrick Bateman](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Patrick%20Bateman) $35.48 $3.05 0.09x 2026-11-11 06:58 UTC

[AK-47 | Uncharted (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-uncharted-factory-new) [\[BOT\] Sauron](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Sauron) $35.48 $3.05 0.09x 2026-11-11 06:58 UTC

[AK-47 | Blue Laminate (Factory New) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-blue-laminate-factory-new) [\[BOT\] Max Cady](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Max%20Cady) $35.48 $35.47 1.00x 2026-11-11 06:58 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $35.48 | 83.33% | 21 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed red 3.0% covert 4.5% classified 7.5% Mythical 25.0% industrial 5.0% restricted 35.0% #d32ee6 5.0% Rare 15.0% best hit $651 (18.34x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 83.3% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $83.33 on average: an expected loss of $16.67 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt
