---
title: "AK 47 V.2 case on DaddySkins: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "AK 47 V.2 ($29.46) on DaddySkins, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 83.33% from 39 items with odds, observed 72.00% over 278 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/404
rendered: 2026-11-11T15:21Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [DaddySkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/daddyskins) / [AK 47 V.2](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/404)

# [DaddySkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/daddyskins) · AK 47 V.2

A case on DaddySkins, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is DaddySkins's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/404?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/404?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/404) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/404?window=all)

Price · $29.46

Advertised RTP · 83.33% · EV $24.55 from 39 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 72.00% · 278 openings, odds method

Variance · 6.1× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 16.0% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 79.0% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 11 openings · below min

7 days · 75.72% ±32.94 216 openings

30 days · 72.00% ±29.04 278 openings

since tracking started · 72.00% ±29.04 278 openings

42.0% 193.5% 345.0%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/404?window=24h) | 11 | 198.27% ±146.0 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/404?window=7d) | 216 | 75.72% ±32.9 | −0.5σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/404) | 278 | 72.00% ±29.0 | −0.8σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/404?window=all) | 278 | 72.00% ±29.0 | −0.8σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 39 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 278 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [AK-47 \| Wild Lotus (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wild-lotus-well-worn) | 1 in 20,000 | $6,437 | 1.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| X-Ray (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-x-ray-factory-new) | 1 in 20,000 | $3,733 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| X-Ray (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-x-ray-field-tested) | 1 in 10,000 | $1,477 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Panthera onca (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-panthera-onca-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $1,416 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Fire Serpent (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fire-serpent-field-tested) | 1 in 10,000 | $1,016 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Vulcan (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-vulcan-factory-new) | 1 in 5,000 | $866 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Leet Museo (Minimal Wear) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-leet-museo-minimal-wear) | 1 in 3,333 | $651 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Neon Rider (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-neon-rider-factory-new) | 1 in 2,000 | $566 | 1.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [AK-47 \| The Empress (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-the-empress-factory-new) | 1 in 2,000 | $528 | 1.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Leet Museo (Field-Tested) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-leet-museo-field-tested) | 1 in 2,000 | $481 | 1.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Jaguar (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-jaguar-factory-new) | 1 in 2,000 | $472 | 1.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Vulcan (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-vulcan-minimal-wear) | 1 in 2,000 | $469 | 1.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Case Hardened (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-case-hardened-field-tested) | 1 in 1,000 | $315 | 1.3% | 1 | 0.3 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Frontside Misty (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-frontside-misty-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $314 | 1.3% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Vulcan (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-vulcan-field-tested) | 1 in 1,000 | $293 | 1.2% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Case Hardened (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-case-hardened-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,000 | $292 | 1.2% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Fuel Injector (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fuel-injector-field-tested) | 1 in 1,000 | $276 | 1.1% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Case Hardened (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-case-hardened-well-worn) | 1 in 667 | $256 | 1.6% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Bloodsport (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-bloodsport-factory-new) | 1 in 500 | $246 | 2.0% | 1 | 0.6 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Bloodsport (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-bloodsport-minimal-wear) | 1 in 333 | $240 | 2.9% | 1 | 0.8 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Bloodsport (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-bloodsport-field-tested) | 1 in 333 | $207 | 2.5% | 0 | 0.8 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Neon Rider (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-neon-rider-minimal-wear) | 1 in 200 | $142 | 2.9% | 1 | 1.4 | 0.72× |
| [AK-47 \| Nightwish (Battle-Scarred) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-nightwish-battle-scarred) | 1 in 100 | $93.49 | 3.8% | 4 | 2.8 | 1.44× |
| [AK-47 \| Asiimov (Minimal Wear) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-asiimov-minimal-wear) | 1 in 100 | $82.43 | 3.4% | 4 | 2.8 | 1.44× |
| [AK-47 \| Asiimov (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-asiimov-field-tested) | 1 in 58 | $59.13 | 4.1% | 6 | 4.8 | 1.26× |
| [AK-47 \| Legion of Anubis (Minimal Wear) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-legion-of-anubis-minimal-wear) | 1 in 50 | $54.51 | 4.4% | 9 | 5.6 | 1.62× |
| [AK-47 \| Redline (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-redline-field-tested) | 1 in 33 | $48.62 | 5.9% | 2 | 8.3 | 0.24× |
| [AK-47 \| Blue Laminate (Factory New) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-blue-laminate-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $35.47 | 7.2% | 11 | 13.9 | 0.79× |
| [AK-47 \| Green Laminate (Field-Tested) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-green-laminate-field-tested) | 1 in 20 | $31.55 | 6.4% | 11 | 13.9 | 0.79× |
| [AK-47 \| Cartel (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-cartel-field-tested) | 1 in 17 | $26.68 | 6.5% | 16 | 16.7 | 0.96× |
| [AK-47 \| Baroque Purple (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-baroque-purple-minimal-wear) | 1 in 17 | $25.29 | 6.2% | 11 | 16.7 | 0.66× |
| [AK-47 \| Slate (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-slate-factory-new) | 1 in 17 | $24.11 | 5.9% | 26 | 16.7 | 1.56× |
| [AK-47 \| Point Disarray (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-point-disarray-field-tested) | 1 in 14 | $20.35 | 5.8% | 20 | 19.5 | 1.03× |
| [AK-47 \| Phantom Disruptor (Minimal Wear) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-phantom-disruptor-minimal-wear) | 1 in 14 | $13.49 | 3.8% | 17 | 19.5 | 0.87× |
| [AK-47 \| Slate (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-slate-field-tested) | 1 in 11 | $7.02 | 2.6% | 30 | 25.0 | 1.20× |
| [AK-47 \| Rat Rod (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-rat-rod-field-tested) | 1 in 11 | $6.85 | 2.5% | 29 | 25.0 | 1.16× |
| [AK-47 \| Emerald Pinstripe (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-emerald-pinstripe-battle-scarred) | 1 in 11 | $3.76 | 1.4% | 22 | 25.0 | 0.88× |
| [AK-47 \| Uncharted (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-uncharted-factory-new) | 10.0% | $3.05 | 1.2% | 25 | 27.8 | 0.90× |
| [AK-47 \| Olive Polycam (Factory New) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-olive-polycam-factory-new) | 10.0% | $1.11 | 0.5% | 31 | 27.8 | 1.12× |

Values are DaddySkins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `daddyskins:graphql case(slug: ak-47)`, 11 Nov, 15:00 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=daddyskins&case=404)

[AK-47 | Rat Rod (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-rat-rod-field-tested) [\[BOT\] John Doe](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20John%20Doe) $29.46 $6.85 0.23x 2026-11-11 13:58 UTC

[AK-47 | Bloodsport (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-bloodsport-factory-new) [\[BOT\] Mr. Blonde](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Mr.%20Blonde) $29.46 $246 8.34x 2026-11-11 13:58 UTC

[AK-47 | Uncharted (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-uncharted-factory-new) [\[BOT\] Hans Landa](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Hans%20Landa) $29.46 $3.05 0.10x 2026-11-11 13:58 UTC

[AK-47 | Asiimov (Minimal Wear) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-asiimov-minimal-wear) [\[BOT\] Alonzo Harris](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Alonzo%20Harris) $29.46 $82.43 2.80x 2026-11-11 13:58 UTC

[AK-47 | Cartel (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-cartel-field-tested) [\[BOT\] Bane](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Bane) $29.46 $26.68 0.91x 2026-11-11 13:58 UTC

[AK-47 | Rat Rod (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-rat-rod-field-tested) [kevinlowroller](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/kevinlowroller) $29.46 $6.85 0.23x 2026-11-11 13:58 UTC

[AK-47 | Uncharted (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-uncharted-factory-new) [\[BOT\] Thanos](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Thanos) $29.46 $3.05 0.10x 2026-11-11 01:24 UTC

[AK-47 | Point Disarray (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-point-disarray-field-tested) [\[BOT\] Voldemort](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Voldemort) $29.46 $20.35 0.69x 2026-11-11 01:24 UTC

[AK-47 | Rat Rod (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-rat-rod-field-tested) [Q群124210043](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/Q%E7%BE%A4124210043) $29.46 $6.85 0.23x 2026-11-11 01:24 UTC

[AK-47 | Bloodsport (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-bloodsport-minimal-wear) [\[BOT\] Agent Smith](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Agent%20Smith) $29.46 $240 8.13x 2026-11-10 20:35 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $29.46 | 83.33% | 39 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 3.5% classified 16.5% red 1.0% Ancient 3.0% Mythical 14.0% blue 5.0% industrial 6.0% restricted 15.0% Legendary 7.0% violet 9.0% Rare 10.0% Uncommon 10.0% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 83.3% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $83.33 on average: an expected loss of $16.67 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt