---
title: "GLOCK-18 V.2 case on DaddySkins: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "GLOCK-18 V.2 ($19.49) on DaddySkins, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 83.32% from 24 items with odds, observed 97.42% over 1,260 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/407
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:30Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [DaddySkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/daddyskins) / [GLOCK-18 V.2](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/407)

# [DaddySkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/daddyskins) · GLOCK-18 V.2

A case on DaddySkins, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is DaddySkins's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/407?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/407?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/407) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/407?window=all)

Price · $19.49

Advertised RTP · 83.32% · EV $16.24 from 24 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 97.42% · 1,260 openings, odds method

Variance · 4.3× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 12.3% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 79.7% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 118.35% ±30.07 183 openings

7 days · 103.30% ±13.60 894 openings

30 days · 97.42% ±11.46 1,260 openings

since tracking started · 97.42% ±11.46 1,260 openings

82.5% 115.8% 149.0%

**Outside band, 30 days.** Advertised 83.32% sits outside the 95% band of the observed openings (85.96% – 108.87%, 1,260 openings, 30 days). The band comes from the site's own odds and values; the figure is a fact about these openings, not a verdict on the case.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/407?window=24h) | 183 | 118.35% ±30.1 | +2.3σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/407?window=7d) | 894 | 103.30% ±13.6 | +2.9σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/407) | 1,260 | 97.42% ±11.5 | +2.4σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/407?window=all) | 1,260 | 97.42% ±11.5 | +2.4σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 24 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,360 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [Glock-18 \| Fade (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $2,412 | 1.5% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Twilight Galaxy (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-twilight-galaxy-factory-new) | 1 in 5,000 | $997 | 1.2% | 1 | 0.3 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Neo-Noir (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-neo-noir-factory-new) | 1 in 3,333 | $502 | 0.9% | 3 | 0.4 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Franklin (Factory New) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-franklin-factory-new) | 1 in 2,000 | $350 | 1.1% | 2 | 0.7 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-gamma-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 2,000 | $345 | 1.1% | 1 | 0.7 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Bullet Queen (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-bullet-queen-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $302 | 1.9% | 3 | 1.4 | 2.21× |
| [Glock-18 \| Snack Attack (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-snack-attack-factory-new) | 1 in 667 | $271 | 2.5% | 2 | 2.0 | 0.98× |
| [Glock-18 \| Brass (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-brass-minimal-wear) | 1 in 500 | $222 | 2.7% | 3 | 2.7 | 1.10× |
| [Glock-18 \| Dragon Tattoo (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-dragon-tattoo-factory-new) | 1 in 370 | $192 | 3.2% | 3 | 3.7 | 0.82× |
| [Glock-18 \| Wasteland Rebel (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-wasteland-rebel-minimal-wear) | 1 in 333 | $153 | 2.8% | 6 | 4.1 | 1.47× |
| [Glock-18 \| Neo-Noir (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-neo-noir-minimal-wear) | 1 in 200 | $107 | 3.3% | 11 | 6.8 | 1.62× |
| [Glock-18 \| Pink DDPAT (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-pink-ddpat-field-tested) | 1 in 167 | $95.07 | 3.5% | 13 | 8.2 | 1.59× |
| [Glock-18 \| Night (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-night-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $80.14 | 4.9% | 16 | 13.6 | 1.18× |
| [Glock-18 \| Water Elemental (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-water-elemental-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $47.67 | 5.9% | 28 | 27.2 | 1.03× |
| [Glock-18 \| Neo-Noir (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-neo-noir-well-worn) | 1 in 50 | $47.03 | 5.8% | 23 | 27.2 | 0.85× |
| [Glock-18 \| Reactor (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-reactor-minimal-wear) | 1 in 20 | $37.36 | 11.5% | 78 | 68.0 | 1.15× |
| [Glock-18 \| Water Elemental (Minimal Wear) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-water-elemental-minimal-wear) | 1 in 13 | $27.31 | 13.5% | 92 | 108.8 | 0.85× |
| [Glock-18 \| Nuclear Garden (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-nuclear-garden-factory-new) | 10.0% | $15.71 | 9.7% | 126 | 136.0 | 0.93× |
| [Glock-18 \| Royal Legion (Minimal Wear) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-royal-legion-minimal-wear) | 10.0% | $13.46 | 8.3% | 140 | 136.0 | 1.03× |
| [StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Block-18 (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-glock-18-block-18-factory-new) | 11.7% | $8.64 | 6.2% | 161 | 159.4 | 1.01× |
| [Glock-18 \| Vogue (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-vogue-field-tested) | 12.0% | $5.68 | 4.2% | 164 | 163.2 | 1.00× |
| [Glock-18 \| Royal Legion (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-royal-legion-well-worn) | 12.0% | $3.53 | 2.6% | 160 | 163.2 | 0.98× |
| [Glock-18 \| Umbral Rabbit (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-umbral-rabbit-minimal-wear) | 12.0% | $1.49 | 1.1% | 159 | 163.2 | 0.97× |
| [Glock-18 \| Coral Bloom (Field-Tested) weapon · common](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-coral-bloom-field-tested) | 12.0% | $0.85 | 0.6% | 165 | 163.2 | 1.01× |

Values are DaddySkins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `daddyskins:graphql case(slug: glock-18)`, 11 Nov, 08:55 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[Glock-18 | Twilight Galaxy (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-twilight-galaxy-factory-new) [\[BOT\] Agent Smith](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Agent%20Smith) $19.49 $997 51.17x 2026-11-09 22:42 UTC

[Glock-18 | Neo-Noir (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-neo-noir-factory-new) [andrew](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/andrew) $19.49 $502 25.75x 2026-11-11 04:37 UTC

[Glock-18 | Neo-Noir (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-neo-noir-factory-new) [Code Tarkox](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/Code%20Tarkox) $19.49 $502 25.75x 2026-11-06 22:26 UTC

[Glock-18 | Neo-Noir (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-neo-noir-factory-new) [RACCOON](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/RACCOON) $19.49 $502 25.75x 2026-11-05 14:20 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=daddyskins&case=407)

[Glock-18 | Vogue (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-vogue-field-tested) [sexy](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/sexy) $19.49 $5.68 0.29x 2026-11-11 12:04 UTC

[Glock-18 | Water Elemental (Minimal Wear) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-water-elemental-minimal-wear) [SuperMan](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/SuperMan) $19.49 $27.31 1.40x 2026-11-11 12:04 UTC

[Glock-18 | Night (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-night-factory-new) [RENGOKU KYOJURO](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/RENGOKU%20KYOJURO) $19.49 $80.14 4.11x 2026-11-11 12:04 UTC

[Glock-18 | Royal Legion (Minimal Wear) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-royal-legion-minimal-wear) [KUPROY420](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/KUPROY420) $19.49 $13.46 0.69x 2026-11-11 12:04 UTC

[Glock-18 | Royal Legion (Minimal Wear) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-royal-legion-minimal-wear) [sexy](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/sexy) $19.49 $13.46 0.69x 2026-11-11 12:04 UTC

[Glock-18 | Vogue (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-vogue-field-tested) [SuperMan](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/SuperMan) $19.49 $5.68 0.29x 2026-11-11 12:04 UTC

[Glock-18 | Neo-Noir (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-neo-noir-minimal-wear) [RENGOKU KYOJURO](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/RENGOKU%20KYOJURO) $19.49 $107 5.49x 2026-11-11 12:04 UTC

[Glock-18 | Coral Bloom (Field-Tested) weapon · common](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-coral-bloom-field-tested) [KUPROY420](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/KUPROY420) $19.49 $0.85 0.04x 2026-11-11 12:04 UTC

[Glock-18 | Royal Legion (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-royal-legion-well-worn) [sexy](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/sexy) $19.49 $3.53 0.18x 2026-11-11 12:04 UTC

[Glock-18 | Royal Legion (Minimal Wear) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-royal-legion-minimal-wear) [SuperMan](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/SuperMan) $19.49 $13.46 0.69x 2026-11-11 12:04 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $19.49 | 83.32% | 24 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed restricted 23.1% classified 2.2% covert 2.9% Mythical 12.0% red 0.1% industrial 1.0% mil spec 5.0% Legendary 20.0% violet 10.0% #8847ff 11.7% common 12.0% best hit $997 (51.17x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 83.3% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $83.32 on average: an expected loss of $16.68 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

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How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt