--- title: "Insignia case on DaddySkins: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Insignia ($0.41) on DaddySkins, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 81.36% from 23 items with odds, observed 83.41% over 47K openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/410 rendered: 2026-11-11T13:42Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [DaddySkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/daddyskins) / [Insignia](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/410) # [DaddySkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/daddyskins) · Insignia A case on DaddySkins, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is DaddySkins's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/410?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/410?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/410) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/410?window=all) Price · $0.41 Advertised RTP · 81.36% · EV $0.33 from 23 items Observed RTP, 30d · 83.41% · 47K openings, odds method Variance · 22.2× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 91 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 88.9% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 86.43% ±12.40 5,545 openings 7 days · 82.54% ±4.64 39.7K openings 30 days · 83.41% ±4.26 47K openings since tracking started · 83.41% ±4.26 47K openings 73.5% 86.5% 99.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/410?window=24h) | 5,545 | 86.43% ±12.4 | +0.8σ | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/410?window=7d) | 39.7K | 82.54% ±4.64 | +0.5σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/410) | 47K | 83.41% ±4.26 | +0.9σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/410?window=all) | 47K | 83.41% ±4.26 | +0.9σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 23 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 47.1K openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Sticker \| aizy (Foil) \| Cluj-Napoca 2015 sticker · exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-aizy-foil-cluj-napoca-2015) | 1 in 1,000 | $40.00 | 12.0% | 51 | 47.1 | 1.08× | | [Sticker \| pashaBiceps \| MLG Columbus 2016 sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-pashabiceps-mlg-columbus-2016) | 1 in 1,000 | $30.00 | 9.0% | 54 | 47.1 | 1.15× | | [Sticker \| Ninjas in Pyjamas \| Katowice 2015 sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-ninjas-in-pyjamas-katowice-2015) | 1 in 1,000 | $15.00 | 4.5% | 49 | 47.1 | 1.04× | | [Sticker \| Team Liquid \| Atlanta 2017 sticker · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-team-liquid-atlanta-2017) | 1 in 1,000 | $15.00 | 4.5% | 43 | 47.1 | 0.91× | | [Sticker \| s1mple \| Boston 2018 sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-s1mple-boston-2018) | 1 in 1,000 | $15.00 | 4.5% | 42 | 47.1 | 0.89× | | [Sticker \| karrigan (Gold, Champion) \| Antwerp 2022 sticker · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-karrigan-gold-champion-antwerp-2022) | 1 in 1,000 | $14.00 | 4.2% | 51 | 47.1 | 1.08× | | [Sticker \| Liquid Fire sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-liquid-fire) | 1 in 1,000 | $12.00 | 3.6% | 57 | 47.1 | 1.21× | | [Sticker \| bodyy (Foil) \| London 2018 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-bodyy-foil-london-2018) | 1 in 1,000 | $8.38 | 2.5% | 48 | 47.1 | 1.02× | | [Sticker \| FalleN \| Boston 2018 sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-fallen-boston-2018) | 1 in 1,000 | $8.00 | 2.4% | 51 | 47.1 | 1.08× | | [Sticker \| GeT\_RiGhT \| Cologne 2016 sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-get-right-cologne-2016) | 1 in 1,000 | $7.00 | 2.1% | 48 | 47.1 | 1.02× | | [Sticker \| BIG \| Katowice 2019 sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-big-katowice-2019) | 1 in 1,000 | $6.00 | 1.8% | 34 | 47.1 | 0.72× | | [Sticker \| FaZe Clan (Holo) \| Antwerp 2022 sticker · exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-faze-clan-holo-antwerp-2022) | 1 in 1,000 | $5.00 | 1.5% | 53 | 47.1 | 1.13× | | [Sticker \| Sharks Esports (Foil) \| Stockholm 2021 sticker · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-sharks-esports-foil-stockholm-2021) | 1 in 1,000 | $3.00 | 0.9% | 35 | 47.1 | 0.74× | | [Sticker \| Twistzz (Holo, Champion) \| Antwerp 2022 sticker · exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-twistzz-holo-champion-antwerp-2022) | 1 in 1,000 | $3.00 | 0.9% | 45 | 47.1 | 0.96× | | [Sticker \| roeJ (Gold) \| Antwerp 2022 sticker · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-roej-gold-antwerp-2022) | 1 in 1,000 | $3.00 | 0.9% | 45 | 47.1 | 0.96× | | [Sticker \| First Blood sticker · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-first-blood) | 1 in 1,000 | $2.00 | 0.6% | 51 | 47.1 | 1.08× | | [Sticker \| PGL (Foil) \| Stockholm 2021 sticker · exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-pgl-foil-stockholm-2021) | 1 in 1,000 | $1.30 | 0.4% | 46 | 47.1 | 0.98× | | [Sticker \| Boom (Foil) \| 2020 RMR sticker · Exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-boom-foil-2020-rmr) | 1 in 11 | $0.60 | 16.9% | 4,522 | 4423.3 | 1.02× | | [Sticker \| Entropiq \| Stockholm 2021 sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-entropiq-stockholm-2021) | 1 in 10 | $0.30 | 8.9% | 4,562 | 4658.5 | 0.98× | | [Sealed Graffiti \| Sheriff (Jungle Green) graffiti · common](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-sheriff-jungle-green) | 10.0% | $0.20 | 6.0% | 4,694 | 4705.6 | 1.00× | | [Sticker \| Squeaky Door sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-squeaky-door) | 10.0% | $0.20 | 6.0% | 4,786 | 4705.6 | 1.02× | | [Sticker \| Obey SAS sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-obey-sas) | 10.0% | $0.10 | 3.0% | 4,685 | 4705.6 | 1.00× | | [Sticker \| huNter \| Antwerp 2022 sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-hunter-antwerp-2022) | 49.0% | $0.02 | 2.9% | 23,004 | 23057.4 | 1.00× | Values are DaddySkins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `daddyskins:graphql case(slug: insignia)`, 11 Nov, 08:55 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [Sticker | aizy (Foil) | Cluj-Napoca 2015 sticker · exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-aizy-foil-cluj-napoca-2015) [Pekelnicek](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/Pekelnicek) $0.41 $40.00 97.56x 2026-11-11 12:29 UTC [Sticker | aizy (Foil) | Cluj-Napoca 2015 sticker · exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-aizy-foil-cluj-napoca-2015) [Chudy](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/Chudy) $0.41 $40.00 97.56x 2026-11-11 05:45 UTC [Sticker | aizy (Foil) | Cluj-Napoca 2015 sticker · exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-aizy-foil-cluj-napoca-2015) [Ipanema](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/Ipanema) $0.41 $40.00 97.56x 2026-11-11 00:05 UTC [Sticker | aizy (Foil) | Cluj-Napoca 2015 sticker · exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-aizy-foil-cluj-napoca-2015) [Karol355{PL}](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/Karol355%7BPL%7D) $0.41 $40.00 97.56x 2026-11-10 03:38 UTC [Sticker | aizy (Foil) | Cluj-Napoca 2015 sticker · exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-aizy-foil-cluj-napoca-2015) [Prodigy](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/Prodigy) $0.41 $40.00 97.56x 2026-11-09 23:44 UTC [Sticker | aizy (Foil) | Cluj-Napoca 2015 sticker · exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-aizy-foil-cluj-napoca-2015) [AnimeTiddies](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/AnimeTiddies) $0.41 $40.00 97.56x 2026-11-09 18:39 UTC [Sticker | aizy (Foil) | Cluj-Napoca 2015 sticker · exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-aizy-foil-cluj-napoca-2015) [Mademoiselle](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/Mademoiselle) $0.41 $40.00 97.56x 2026-11-09 18:36 UTC [Sticker | aizy (Foil) | Cluj-Napoca 2015 sticker · exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-aizy-foil-cluj-napoca-2015) [reveglow-](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/reveglow-) $0.41 $40.00 97.56x 2026-11-09 15:57 UTC [Sticker | aizy (Foil) | Cluj-Napoca 2015 sticker · exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-aizy-foil-cluj-napoca-2015) [★Zarcus★](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%E2%98%85Zarcus%E2%98%85) $0.41 $40.00 97.56x 2026-11-09 14:55 UTC [Sticker | aizy (Foil) | Cluj-Napoca 2015 sticker · exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-aizy-foil-cluj-napoca-2015) [\[BOT\] HAL 9000](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20HAL%209000) $0.41 $40.00 97.56x 2026-11-09 12:49 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=daddyskins&case=410) [Sticker | Boom (Foil) | 2020 RMR sticker · Exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-boom-foil-2020-rmr) [Paula](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/Paula) $0.41 $0.60 1.46x 2026-11-11 13:41 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | Sheriff (Jungle Green) graffiti · common](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-sheriff-jungle-green) [Sanji](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/Sanji) $0.41 $0.20 0.49x 2026-11-11 13:41 UTC [Sticker | Boom (Foil) | 2020 RMR sticker · Exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-boom-foil-2020-rmr) [Rojas](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/Rojas) $0.41 $0.60 1.46x 2026-11-11 13:40 UTC [Sticker | huNter | Antwerp 2022 sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-hunter-antwerp-2022) [NicoBoyzzzz |](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/NicoBoyzzzz%20%7C) $0.41 $0.02 0.05x 2026-11-11 13:40 UTC [Sticker | huNter | Antwerp 2022 sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-hunter-antwerp-2022) [可爱的 ( ^ω^)机灵鬼](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%E5%8F%AF%E7%88%B1%E7%9A%84%20%28%20%5E%CF%89%5E%29%E6%9C%BA%E7%81%B5%E9%AC%BC) $0.41 $0.02 0.05x 2026-11-11 13:40 UTC [Sticker | huNter | Antwerp 2022 sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-hunter-antwerp-2022) [secret](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/secret) $0.41 $0.02 0.05x 2026-11-11 13:40 UTC [Sticker | huNter | Antwerp 2022 sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-hunter-antwerp-2022) [secret](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/secret) $0.41 $0.02 0.05x 2026-11-11 13:39 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | Sheriff (Jungle Green) graffiti · common](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-sheriff-jungle-green) [Drache93xx](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/Drache93xx) $0.41 $0.20 0.49x 2026-11-11 13:39 UTC [Sticker | Boom (Foil) | 2020 RMR sticker · Exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-boom-foil-2020-rmr) [MrGuitarBoi](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/MrGuitarBoi) $0.41 $0.60 1.46x 2026-11-11 13:39 UTC [Sticker | huNter | Antwerp 2022 sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-hunter-antwerp-2022) [HLXG](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/HLXG) $0.41 $0.02 0.05x 2026-11-11 13:39 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $0.41 | 81.36% | 23 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed exotic 0.4% high 79.5% Rare 0.1% pink 0.1% extraordinary 0.2% remarkable 0.1% Legendary 0.1% blue 0.1% Exotic 9.4% common 10.0% best hit $40.00 (97.56x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 81.4% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $81.36 on average: an expected loss of $18.64 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt