--- title: "CS2 Seek and Destroy Case on DaddySkins: odds & RTP" description: "Item values at the site’s own prices, biggest and latest drops. Independent and free, no sign-up. Figures from public feeds and chains." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/418 rendered: 2026-11-11T13:29Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [DaddySkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/daddyskins) / [CS2 Seek and Destroy Case](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/418) # [DaddySkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/daddyskins) · CS2 Seek and Destroy Case A case on DaddySkins, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is DaddySkins's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/418?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/418?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/418) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/418?window=all) Price · $11.63 Advertised RTP · 83.30% · EV $9.69 from 40 items Observed RTP, 30d · 84.96% · 1,587 openings, odds method Variance · 8.8× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 26 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 87.9% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 65.80% ±44.97 167 openings 7 days · 86.00% ±15.31 1,441 openings 30 days · 84.96% ±14.59 1,587 openings since tracking started · 84.96% ±14.59 1,587 openings 20.0% 65.8% 111.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/418?window=24h) | 167 | 65.80% ±45.0 | −0.8σ | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/418?window=7d) | 1,441 | 86.00% ±15.3 | +0.3σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/418) | 1,587 | 84.96% ±14.6 | +0.2σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/418?window=all) | 1,587 | 84.96% ±14.6 | +0.2σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 40 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,592 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Hand Wraps \| Badlands (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-badlands-minimal-wear) | 1 in 10,000 | $1,420 | 1.5% | 1 | 0.2 | — | | [M4A4 \| Radiation Hazard (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-radiation-hazard-factory-new) | 1 in 6,667 | $1,323 | 2.0% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [M4A1-S \| Mecha Industries (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-mecha-industries-factory-new) | 1 in 4,000 | $554 | 1.4% | 0 | 0.4 | — | | [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Mecha Industries (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-mecha-industries-factory-new) | 1 in 2,500 | $332 | 1.4% | 2 | 0.6 | — | | [M4A1-S \| Mecha Industries (Minimal Wear) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-mecha-industries-minimal-wear) | 1 in 2,500 | $321 | 1.3% | 1 | 0.6 | — | | [★ Bayonet \| Lore (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-lore-battle-scarred) | 1 in 2,000 | $287 | 1.5% | 0 | 0.8 | — | | [★ Driver Gloves \| Overtake (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-overtake-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,818 | $258 | 1.5% | 0 | 0.9 | — | | [Glock-18 \| Sand Dune (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-sand-dune-factory-new) | 1 in 1,818 | $253 | 1.4% | 0 | 0.9 | — | | [★ Flip Knife \| Lore (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-lore-well-worn) | 1 in 1,667 | $233 | 1.4% | 1 | 1.0 | — | | [★ Hand Wraps \| Badlands (Well-Worn) gloves · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-badlands-well-worn) | 1 in 1,667 | $227 | 1.4% | 3 | 1.0 | — | | [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Mecha Industries (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-mecha-industries-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,538 | $200 | 1.3% | 2 | 1.0 | 1.93× | | [MAG-7 \| Hazard (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-hazard-factory-new) | 1 in 1,250 | $163 | 1.3% | 1 | 1.3 | 0.79× | | [★ Falchion Knife \| Lore (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-lore-field-tested) | 1 in 1,000 | $161 | 1.7% | 0 | 1.6 | 0.00× | | [M4A1-S \| Mecha Industries (Well-Worn) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-mecha-industries-well-worn) | 1 in 667 | $138 | 2.1% | 2 | 2.4 | 0.84× | | [M4A1-S \| Mecha Industries (Battle-Scarred) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-mecha-industries-battle-scarred) | 1 in 667 | $133 | 2.1% | 2 | 2.4 | 0.84× | | [★ Huntsman Knife \| Lore (Battle-Scarred) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-lore-battle-scarred) | 1 in 667 | $132 | 2.0% | 3 | 2.4 | 1.26× | | [M4A4 \| Radiation Hazard (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-radiation-hazard-minimal-wear) | 1 in 667 | $131 | 2.0% | 2 | 2.4 | 0.84× | | [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Mecha Industries (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-mecha-industries-well-worn) | 1 in 667 | $127 | 2.0% | 3 | 2.4 | 1.26× | | [FAMAS \| Mecha Industries (Factory New) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-mecha-industries-factory-new) | 1 in 667 | $122 | 1.9% | 0 | 2.4 | 0.00× | | [★ Bowie Knife \| Lore (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-lore-battle-scarred) | 1 in 500 | $115 | 2.4% | 3 | 3.2 | 0.94× | | [Galil AR \| CAUTION! (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-caution-factory-new) | 1 in 500 | $115 | 2.4% | 3 | 3.2 | 0.94× | | [★ Gut Knife \| Lore (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-lore-battle-scarred) | 1 in 500 | $110 | 2.3% | 3 | 3.2 | 0.94× | | [SSG 08 \| Sand Dune (Factory New) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-sand-dune-factory-new) | 1 in 500 | $99.68 | 2.1% | 5 | 3.2 | 1.57× | | [★ Driver Gloves \| Overtake (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-overtake-field-tested) | 1 in 500 | $98.26 | 2.0% | 2 | 3.2 | 0.63× | | [FAMAS \| Mecha Industries (Minimal Wear) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-mecha-industries-minimal-wear) | 1 in 400 | $77.27 | 2.0% | 6 | 4.0 | 1.51× | | [Galil AR \| CAUTION! (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-caution-minimal-wear) | 1 in 400 | $72.03 | 1.9% | 2 | 4.0 | 0.50× | | [FAMAS \| Mecha Industries (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-mecha-industries-well-worn) | 1 in 286 | $64.59 | 2.3% | 6 | 5.6 | 1.08× | | [StatTrak™ FAMAS \| Mecha Industries (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-famas-mecha-industries-factory-new) | 1 in 250 | $59.28 | 2.4% | 3 | 6.4 | 0.47× | | [Galil AR \| CAUTION! (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-caution-well-worn) | 1 in 222 | $57.39 | 2.7% | 8 | 7.2 | 1.12× | | [StatTrak™ FAMAS \| Mecha Industries (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-famas-mecha-industries-minimal-wear) | 1 in 154 | $37.96 | 2.5% | 9 | 10.3 | 0.87× | | [StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Mecha Industries (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-mecha-industries-factory-new) | 1 in 148 | $37.17 | 2.6% | 9 | 10.7 | 0.84× | | [MAG-7 \| Hazard (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-hazard-minimal-wear) | 1 in 100 | $33.22 | 3.4% | 18 | 15.9 | 1.13× | | [Desert Eagle \| Mecha Industries (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-mecha-industries-factory-new) | 1 in 67 | $21.33 | 3.3% | 30 | 23.9 | 1.26× | | [MAG-7 \| Hazard (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-hazard-field-tested) | 1 in 50 | $17.87 | 3.7% | 34 | 31.8 | 1.07× | | [StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Mecha Industries (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-mecha-industries-well-worn) | 1 in 50 | $17.50 | 3.6% | 17 | 31.8 | 0.53× | | [Desert Eagle \| Mecha Industries (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-mecha-industries-minimal-wear) | 1 in 25 | $9.66 | 4.0% | 65 | 63.7 | 1.02× | | [Glock-18 \| Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-sand-dune-well-worn) | 10.0% | $7.58 | 7.8% | 166 | 159.2 | 1.04× | | [Desert Eagle \| Mecha Industries (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-mecha-industries-battle-scarred) | 10.0% | $6.95 | 7.2% | 154 | 159.2 | 0.97× | | [SSG 08 \| Sand Dune (Field-Tested) weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-sand-dune-field-tested) | 19.0% | $4.01 | 7.9% | 266 | 302.5 | 0.88× | | [Nova \| Sand Dune (Minimal Wear) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-sand-dune-minimal-wear) | 44.9% | $0.05 | 0.2% | 760 | 715.1 | 1.06× | Values are DaddySkins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `daddyskins:graphql case(slug: seek-and-destroy-case)`, 11 Nov, 08:55 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Hand Wraps | Badlands (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-badlands-minimal-wear) [\[420\]capitain kush](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5B420%5Dcapitain%20kush) $11.63 $1,420 122.1x 2026-11-08 07:46 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=daddyskins&case=418) [Nova | Sand Dune (Minimal Wear) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-sand-dune-minimal-wear) [\[BOT\] Thanos](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Thanos) $11.63 $0.05 0.00x 2026-11-11 13:23 UTC [Nova | Sand Dune (Minimal Wear) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-sand-dune-minimal-wear) [\[BOT\] Magneto](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Magneto) $11.63 $0.05 0.00x 2026-11-11 13:23 UTC [Nova | Sand Dune (Minimal Wear) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-sand-dune-minimal-wear) [\[BOT\] T-1000](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20T-1000) $11.63 $0.05 0.00x 2026-11-11 13:23 UTC [Desert Eagle | Mecha Industries (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-mecha-industries-minimal-wear) [\[BOT\] King Joffrey](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20King%20Joffrey) $11.63 $9.66 0.83x 2026-11-11 13:23 UTC [Nova | Sand Dune (Minimal Wear) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-sand-dune-minimal-wear) [\[BOT\] Darth Vader](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Darth%20Vader) $11.63 $0.05 0.00x 2026-11-11 13:23 UTC [Desert Eagle | Mecha Industries (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-mecha-industries-minimal-wear) [12138](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/12138) $11.63 $9.66 0.83x 2026-11-11 13:23 UTC [Desert Eagle | Mecha Industries (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-mecha-industries-battle-scarred) [\[BOT\] Dr. Evil](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Dr.%20Evil) $11.63 $6.95 0.60x 2026-11-11 13:22 UTC [Nova | Sand Dune (Minimal Wear) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-sand-dune-minimal-wear) [\[BOT\] Anton Chigurh](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Anton%20Chigurh) $11.63 $0.05 0.00x 2026-11-11 13:22 UTC [Nova | Sand Dune (Minimal Wear) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-sand-dune-minimal-wear) [\[BOT\] Thanos](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Thanos) $11.63 $0.05 0.00x 2026-11-11 13:22 UTC [SSG 08 | Sand Dune (Field-Tested) weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-sand-dune-field-tested) [\[BOT\] Frederick Charles Krueger](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Frederick%20Charles%20Krueger) $11.63 $4.01 0.34x 2026-11-11 13:22 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $11.63 | 83.30% | 40 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed extraordinary 0.3% mil spec 3.2% covert 0.9% Ancient 0.0% industrial 10.1% gold 0.2% red 0.3% Legendary 1.9% restricted 0.9% consumer 45.1% pink 0.6% classified 17.5% Consumer Grade 19.0% best hit $1,420 (122.1x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 83.3% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $83.30 on average: an expected loss of $16.70 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt