--- title: "Solaris CS2 Case case on DaddySkins: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Solaris CS2 Case ($1.00) on DaddySkins, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 83.29% from 6 items with odds, observed 91.95% over 16.1K openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/426 rendered: 2026-11-11T13:34Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [DaddySkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/daddyskins) / [Solaris CS2 Case](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/426) # [DaddySkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/daddyskins) · Solaris CS2 Case A case on DaddySkins, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is DaddySkins's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/426?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/426?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/426) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/426?window=all) Price · $1.00 Advertised RTP · 83.29% · EV $0.83 from 6 items Observed RTP, 30d · 91.95% · 16.1K openings, odds method Variance · 104.6× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 286 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 99.4% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 39.90% ±45.69 1,924 openings 7 days · 99.86% ±17.36 13.3K openings 30 days · 91.95% ±15.80 16.1K openings since tracking started · 91.95% ±15.80 16.1K openings -0.5% 58.8% 118.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/426?window=24h) | 1,924 | 39.90% ±45.7 | −1.9σ | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/426?window=7d) | 13.3K | 99.86% ±17.4 | +1.9σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/426) | 16.1K | 91.95% ±15.8 | +1.1σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/426?window=all) | 16.1K | 91.95% ±15.8 | +1.1σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 6 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 16.2K openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Broken Fang Gloves \| Jade (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/broken-fang-gloves-jade-minimal-wear) | 1 in 2,000 | $265 | 15.9% | 9 | 8.1 | 1.11× | | [★ Specialist Gloves \| Buckshot (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-buckshot-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,000 | $197 | 23.6% | 16 | 16.2 | 0.99× | | [★ Hydra Gloves \| Case Hardened (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hydra-gloves-case-hardened-field-tested) | 1 in 500 | $108 | 26.0% | 41 | 32.3 | 1.27× | | [★ Hydra Gloves \| Rattler (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hydra-gloves-rattler-battle-scarred) | 1 in 420 | $57.97 | 16.6% | 42 | 38.5 | 1.09× | | [SCAR-20 \| Jungle Slipstream (Well-Worn) weapon · 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-jungle-slipstream-well-worn) | 49.7% | $0.23 | 13.7% | 8,002 | 8038.8 | 1.00× | | [Five-SeveN \| Orange Peel (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-orange-peel-field-tested) | 49.7% | $0.07 | 4.2% | 8,064 | 8040.1 | 1.00× | Values are DaddySkins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `daddyskins:graphql case(slug: solaris)`, 11 Nov, 08:55 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Broken Fang Gloves | Jade (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/broken-fang-gloves-jade-minimal-wear) [Rodeal](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/Rodeal) $1.00 $265 264.7x 2026-11-09 21:09 UTC [★ Broken Fang Gloves | Jade (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/broken-fang-gloves-jade-minimal-wear) [\[Hellcase.com\] HermitPurple](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BHellcase.com%5D%20HermitPurple) $1.00 $265 264.7x 2026-11-09 00:35 UTC [★ Broken Fang Gloves | Jade (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/broken-fang-gloves-jade-minimal-wear) [kaukst](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/kaukst) $1.00 $265 264.7x 2026-11-08 14:38 UTC [★ Broken Fang Gloves | Jade (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/broken-fang-gloves-jade-minimal-wear) [New Paradigma](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/New%20Paradigma) $1.00 $265 264.7x 2026-11-07 10:17 UTC [★ Broken Fang Gloves | Jade (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/broken-fang-gloves-jade-minimal-wear) [24K,囚人](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/24K%2C%E5%9B%9A%E4%BA%BA) $1.00 $265 264.7x 2026-11-07 07:37 UTC [★ Broken Fang Gloves | Jade (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/broken-fang-gloves-jade-minimal-wear) [Soshi](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/Soshi) $1.00 $265 264.7x 2026-11-05 07:24 UTC [★ Broken Fang Gloves | Jade (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/broken-fang-gloves-jade-minimal-wear) [Schlub](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/Schlub) $1.00 $265 264.7x 2026-11-05 01:49 UTC [★ Broken Fang Gloves | Jade (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/broken-fang-gloves-jade-minimal-wear) [\[BOT\] Frederick Charles Krueger](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Frederick%20Charles%20Krueger) $1.00 $265 264.7x 2026-11-04 22:55 UTC [★ Broken Fang Gloves | Jade (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/broken-fang-gloves-jade-minimal-wear) [Foganholo](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/Foganholo) $1.00 $265 264.7x 2026-11-04 21:11 UTC [★ Specialist Gloves | Buckshot (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-buckshot-minimal-wear) [Bℓiss](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/B%E2%84%93iss) $1.00 $197 196.8x 2026-11-11 06:29 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=daddyskins&case=426) [Five-SeveN | Orange Peel (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-orange-peel-field-tested) [✦ Cuervo™✦ 2.0](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%E2%9C%A6%20Cuervo%E2%84%A2%E2%9C%A6%202.0) $1.00 $0.07 0.07x 2026-11-11 13:31 UTC [Five-SeveN | Orange Peel (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-orange-peel-field-tested) [Can I get an OhHH YeeEEaaaHH?](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/Can%20I%20get%20an%20OhHH%20YeeEEaaaHH%3F) $1.00 $0.07 0.07x 2026-11-11 13:31 UTC [SCAR-20 | Jungle Slipstream (Well-Worn) weapon · 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-jungle-slipstream-well-worn) [Miguel](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/Miguel) $1.00 $0.23 0.23x 2026-11-11 13:31 UTC [SCAR-20 | Jungle Slipstream (Well-Worn) weapon · 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-jungle-slipstream-well-worn) [MrGuitarBoi](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/MrGuitarBoi) $1.00 $0.23 0.23x 2026-11-11 13:31 UTC [Five-SeveN | Orange Peel (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-orange-peel-field-tested) [可爱的 ( ^ω^)机灵鬼](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%E5%8F%AF%E7%88%B1%E7%9A%84%20%28%20%5E%CF%89%5E%29%E6%9C%BA%E7%81%B5%E9%AC%BC) $1.00 $0.07 0.07x 2026-11-11 13:31 UTC [Five-SeveN | Orange Peel (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-orange-peel-field-tested) [Epixess](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/Epixess) $1.00 $0.07 0.07x 2026-11-11 13:31 UTC [Five-SeveN | Orange Peel (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-orange-peel-field-tested) [Hajzlát](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/Hajzl%C3%A1t) $1.00 $0.07 0.07x 2026-11-11 13:26 UTC [Five-SeveN | Orange Peel (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-orange-peel-field-tested) [MaDaRa](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/MaDaRa) $1.00 $0.07 0.07x 2026-11-11 13:26 UTC [Five-SeveN | Orange Peel (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-orange-peel-field-tested) [Miguel](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/Miguel) $1.00 $0.07 0.07x 2026-11-11 13:26 UTC [Five-SeveN | Orange Peel (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-orange-peel-field-tested) [<font face='Segoe Print'>oldcat](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%26lt%3Bfont%20face%3D'Segoe%20Print'%26gt%3Boldcat) $1.00 $0.07 0.07x 2026-11-11 13:25 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $1.00 | 83.29% | 6 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed 1 49.7% extraordinary 0.6% industrial 49.7% best hit $265 (264.7x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 83.3% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $83.29 on average: an expected loss of $16.71 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt