--- title: "Skull Cache CS2 Case case on DaddySkins: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Skull Cache CS2 Case ($50.00) on DaddySkins, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 83.33% from 13 items with odds, observed 83.97% over 676 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/429 rendered: 2026-11-11T19:33Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [DaddySkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/daddyskins) / [Skull Cache CS2 Case](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/429) # [DaddySkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/daddyskins) · Skull Cache CS2 Case A case on DaddySkins, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is DaddySkins's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/429?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/429?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/429) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/429?window=all) Price · $50.00 Advertised RTP · 83.33% · EV $41.66 from 13 items Observed RTP, 30d · 83.97% · 676 openings, odds method Variance · 2.0× · of price², per opening Tail share · 13.3% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 75.7% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 85.46% ±20.73 181 openings 7 days · 83.66% ±12.20 523 openings 30 days · 83.97% ±10.73 676 openings since tracking started · 83.97% ±10.73 676 openings 64.0% 85.5% 107.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/429?window=24h) | 181 | 85.46% ±20.7 | +0.2σ | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/429?window=7d) | 523 | 83.66% ±12.2 | +0.1σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/429) | 676 | 83.97% ±10.7 | +0.1σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/429?window=all) | 676 | 83.97% ±10.7 | +0.1σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 13 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 676 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [AK-47 \| The Empress (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-the-empress-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $490 | 11.7% | 7 | 6.8 | 1.04× | | [★ Hand Wraps \| Constrictor (Factory New) gloves · Extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-constrictor-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $350 | 8.4% | 9 | 6.8 | 1.33× | | [Galil AR \| Chatterbox (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-chatterbox-field-tested) | 1 in 50 | $234 | 11.2% | 12 | 13.5 | 0.89× | | [★ Flip Knife \| Freehand (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-freehand-field-tested) | 1 in 50 | $163 | 7.8% | 16 | 13.5 | 1.18× | | [AWP \| Sun in Leo (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-sun-in-leo-factory-new) | 1 in 33 | $139 | 10.0% | 14 | 20.3 | 0.69× | | [StatTrak™ FAMAS \| Commemoration (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-famas-commemoration-factory-new) | 1 in 23 | $84.88 | 8.8% | 27 | 29.1 | 0.93× | | [M4A1-S \| Golden Coil (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-golden-coil-well-worn) | 1 in 20 | $68.92 | 8.3% | 40 | 33.8 | 1.18× | | [USP-S \| Stainless (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-stainless-factory-new) | 1 in 17 | $53.11 | 7.6% | 38 | 40.6 | 0.94× | | [Five-SeveN \| Fairy Tale (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-fairy-tale-field-tested) | 1 in 14 | $34.69 | 5.8% | 53 | 47.3 | 1.12× | | [M4A1-S \| Nightmare (Minimal Wear) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-nightmare-minimal-wear) | 1 in 13 | $30.39 | 5.5% | 42 | 50.7 | 0.83× | | [StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto \| Yellow Jacket (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-cz75-auto-yellow-jacket-minimal-wear) | 13.0% | $19.74 | 6.2% | 94 | 87.9 | 1.07× | | [SSG 08 \| Detour (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-detour-minimal-wear) | 18.0% | $16.77 | 7.2% | 120 | 121.7 | 0.99× | | [P2000 \| Amber Fade (Minimal Wear) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-amber-fade-minimal-wear) | 30.2% | $1.92 | 1.4% | 204 | 204.2 | 1.00× | Values are DaddySkins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `daddyskins:graphql case(slug: skull-cache)`, 11 Nov, 15:00 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=daddyskins&case=429) [SSG 08 | Detour (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-detour-minimal-wear) [\[BOT\] Anton Chigurh](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Anton%20Chigurh) $50.00 $16.77 0.34x 2026-11-11 15:39 UTC [M4A1-S | Nightmare (Minimal Wear) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-nightmare-minimal-wear) [\[BOT\] Thanos](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Thanos) $50.00 $30.39 0.61x 2026-11-11 15:39 UTC [SSG 08 | Detour (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-detour-minimal-wear) [\[BOT\] The Joker](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20The%20Joker) $50.00 $16.77 0.34x 2026-11-11 15:39 UTC [P2000 | Amber Fade (Minimal Wear) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-amber-fade-minimal-wear) [\[BOT\] Hans Landa](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Hans%20Landa) $50.00 $1.92 0.04x 2026-11-11 15:39 UTC [P2000 | Amber Fade (Minimal Wear) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-amber-fade-minimal-wear) [\[BOT\] Mr. Blonde](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Mr.%20Blonde) $50.00 $1.92 0.04x 2026-11-11 15:39 UTC [P2000 | Amber Fade (Minimal Wear) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-amber-fade-minimal-wear) [Boyka](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/Boyka) $50.00 $1.92 0.04x 2026-11-11 15:39 UTC [USP-S | Stainless (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-stainless-factory-new) [KERORO\_GUNSO(GILMER)](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/KERORO_GUNSO%28GILMER%29) $50.00 $53.11 1.06x 2026-11-11 10:39 UTC [AK-47 | The Empress (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-the-empress-factory-new) [Garri Gudiηi 四](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/Garri%20Gudi%CE%B7i%20%E5%9B%9B) $50.00 $490 9.79x 2026-11-11 10:39 UTC [P2000 | Amber Fade (Minimal Wear) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-amber-fade-minimal-wear) [KERORO\_GUNSO(GILMER)](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/KERORO_GUNSO%28GILMER%29) $50.00 $1.92 0.04x 2026-11-11 10:39 UTC [P2000 | Amber Fade (Minimal Wear) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-amber-fade-minimal-wear) [Garri Gudiηi 四](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/Garri%20Gudi%CE%B7i%20%E5%9B%9B) $50.00 $1.92 0.04x 2026-11-11 10:39 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $50.00 | 83.33% | 13 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 14.3% Extraordinary 1.0% industrial 3.0% mil spec 24.0% Legendary 7.0% pink 7.5% classified 13.0% #8847ff 30.2% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 83.3% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $83.33 on average: an expected loss of $16.67 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt