---
title: "Red Mystery Case case on DaddySkins: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Red Mystery Case ($10.00) on DaddySkins, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 83.33% from 74 items with odds, observed 78.20% over 1,537 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/433
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:39Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [DaddySkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/daddyskins) / [Red Mystery Case](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/433)

# [DaddySkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/daddyskins) · Red Mystery Case

A case on DaddySkins, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is DaddySkins's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/433?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/433?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/433) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/433?window=all)

Price · $10.00

Advertised RTP · 83.33% · EV $8.33 from 74 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 78.20% · 1,537 openings, odds method

Variance · 12.7× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 13.3% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 78.9% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 63.50% ±55.91 156 openings

7 days · 79.96% ±18.91 1,363 openings

30 days · 78.20% ±17.81 1,537 openings

since tracking started · 78.20% ±17.81 1,537 openings

7.0% 63.5% 120.0%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/433?window=24h) | 156 | 63.50% ±55.9 | −0.7σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/433?window=7d) | 1,363 | 79.96% ±18.9 | −0.3σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/433) | 1,537 | 78.20% ±17.8 | −0.6σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/433?window=all) | 1,537 | 78.20% ±17.8 | −0.6σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 74 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,541 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [M4A1-S \| Welcome to the Jungle (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-welcome-to-the-jungle-minimal-wear) | 1 in 20,000 | $2,449 | 1.5% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Imminent Danger (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-imminent-danger-factory-new) | 1 in 20,000 | $2,399 | 1.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Imminent Danger (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-imminent-danger-minimal-wear) | 1 in 20,000 | $1,591 | 1.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Welcome to the Jungle (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-welcome-to-the-jungle-field-tested) | 1 in 14,286 | $1,406 | 1.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Welcome to the Jungle (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-welcome-to-the-jungle-battle-scarred) | 1 in 10,000 | $914 | 1.1% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Imminent Danger (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-imminent-danger-field-tested) | 1 in 10,000 | $857 | 1.0% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [USP-S \| Target Acquired (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-target-acquired-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $763 | 0.9% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Imminent Danger (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-imminent-danger-battle-scarred) | 1 in 10,000 | $649 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Bloodsport (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-bloodsport-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $492 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Bloodsport (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-bloodsport-minimal-wear) | 1 in 10,000 | $375 | 0.4% | 1 | 0.2 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Bloodsport (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-bloodsport-field-tested) | 1 in 10,000 | $320 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Bloodsport (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-bloodsport-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $293 | 0.4% | 1 | 0.2 | — |
| [USP-S \| Target Acquired (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-target-acquired-minimal-wear) | 1 in 10,000 | $270 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [USP-S \| Target Acquired (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-target-acquired-field-tested) | 1 in 10,000 | $222 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Bloodsport (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-bloodsport-field-tested) | 1 in 5,000 | $200 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Bloodsport (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-bloodsport-well-worn) | 1 in 5,000 | $189 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Desolate Space (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-desolate-space-factory-new) | 1 in 5,000 | $184 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [USP-S \| Target Acquired (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-target-acquired-battle-scarred) | 1 in 5,000 | $157 | 0.4% | 1 | 0.3 | — |
| [USP-S \| Target Acquired (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-target-acquired-well-worn) | 1 in 5,000 | $155 | 0.4% | 1 | 0.3 | — |
| [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Desolate Space (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-desolate-space-factory-new) | 1 in 5,000 | $143 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [USP-S \| Ancient Visions (Factory New) weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-ancient-visions-factory-new) | 1 in 5,000 | $126 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Five-SeveN \| Case Hardened (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-five-seven-case-hardened-factory-new) | 1 in 2,000 | $98.71 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.8 | — |
| [StatTrak™ P250 \| Mehndi (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-mehndi-factory-new) | 1 in 2,000 | $87.12 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.8 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Reactor (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-reactor-factory-new) | 1 in 2,000 | $83.08 | 0.5% | 2 | 0.8 | — |
| [USP-S \| Ancient Visions (Minimal Wear) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-ancient-visions-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,000 | $77.61 | 0.9% | 3 | 1.5 | 1.95× |
| [USP-S \| Ancient Visions (Field-Tested) weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-ancient-visions-field-tested) | 1 in 1,000 | $62.56 | 0.8% | 0 | 1.5 | 0.00× |
| [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Desolate Space (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-desolate-space-minimal-wear) | 1 in 714 | $58.64 | 1.0% | 3 | 2.2 | 1.39× |
| [M4A4 \| Desolate Space (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-desolate-space-minimal-wear) | 1 in 714 | $56.61 | 1.0% | 6 | 2.2 | 2.78× |
| [StatTrak™ P250 \| Splash (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-splash-minimal-wear) | 1 in 500 | $42.05 | 1.0% | 1 | 3.1 | 0.32× |
| [StatTrak™ P250 \| Mehndi (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-mehndi-minimal-wear) | 1 in 500 | $41.66 | 1.0% | 4 | 3.1 | 1.30× |
| [StatTrak™ P250 \| Splash (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-splash-field-tested) | 1 in 500 | $39.15 | 0.9% | 2 | 3.1 | 0.65× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Case Hardened (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-case-hardened-factory-new) | 1 in 333 | $33.39 | 1.2% | 2 | 4.6 | 0.43× |
| [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Desolate Space (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-desolate-space-field-tested) | 1 in 333 | $32.00 | 1.2% | 6 | 4.6 | 1.30× |
| [StatTrak™ Tec-9 \| Fuel Injector (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-tec-9-fuel-injector-minimal-wear) | 1 in 333 | $30.16 | 1.1% | 1 | 4.6 | 0.22× |
| [P250 \| Splash (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-splash-minimal-wear) | 1 in 250 | $27.81 | 1.3% | 6 | 6.2 | 0.97× |
| [StatTrak™ Five-SeveN \| Case Hardened (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-five-seven-case-hardened-battle-scarred) | 1 in 250 | $27.38 | 1.3% | 8 | 6.2 | 1.30× |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Mortis (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-mortis-factory-new) | 1 in 250 | $27.14 | 1.3% | 1 | 6.2 | 0.16× |
| [StatTrak™ Five-SeveN \| Case Hardened (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-five-seven-case-hardened-well-worn) | 1 in 238 | $26.42 | 1.3% | 6 | 6.5 | 0.93× |
| [P250 \| Splash (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-splash-field-tested) | 1 in 200 | $24.95 | 1.5% | 8 | 7.7 | 1.04× |
| [StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Light Rail (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-light-rail-factory-new) | 1 in 200 | $23.90 | 1.4% | 12 | 7.7 | 1.56× |
| [Tec-9 \| Fuel Injector (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-fuel-injector-minimal-wear) | 1 in 200 | $22.06 | 1.3% | 10 | 7.7 | 1.30× |
| [M4A4 \| Desolate Space (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-desolate-space-field-tested) | 1 in 200 | $21.17 | 1.3% | 7 | 7.7 | 0.91× |
| [P250 \| Mehndi (Field-Tested) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-mehndi-field-tested) | 1 in 200 | $21.13 | 1.3% | 3 | 7.7 | 0.39× |
| [AWP \| Mortis (Factory New) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-mortis-factory-new) | 1 in 200 | $20.97 | 1.3% | 12 | 7.7 | 1.56× |
| [Glock-18 \| Reactor (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-reactor-minimal-wear) | 1 in 200 | $18.99 | 1.1% | 4 | 7.7 | 0.52× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Case Hardened (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-case-hardened-minimal-wear) | 1 in 200 | $18.39 | 1.1% | 12 | 7.7 | 1.56× |
| [P250 \| Mehndi (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-mehndi-well-worn) | 1 in 167 | $17.07 | 1.2% | 15 | 9.2 | 1.62× |
| [StatTrak™ Tec-9 \| Fuel Injector (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-tec-9-fuel-injector-field-tested) | 1 in 167 | $16.78 | 1.2% | 11 | 9.2 | 1.19× |
| [P250 \| Mehndi (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-mehndi-battle-scarred) | 1 in 167 | $16.01 | 1.2% | 9 | 9.2 | 0.97× |
| [M4A4 \| Desolate Space (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-desolate-space-well-worn) | 1 in 167 | $15.48 | 1.1% | 10 | 9.2 | 1.08× |
| [Tec-9 \| Fuel Injector (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-fuel-injector-field-tested) | 1 in 143 | $14.44 | 1.2% | 12 | 10.8 | 1.11× |
| [M4A4 \| Desolate Space (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-desolate-space-battle-scarred) | 1 in 143 | $14.32 | 1.2% | 8 | 10.8 | 0.74× |
| [Tec-9 \| Fuel Injector (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-fuel-injector-well-worn) | 1 in 133 | $13.16 | 1.2% | 11 | 11.6 | 0.95× |
| [StatTrak™ Tec-9 \| Fuel Injector (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-tec-9-fuel-injector-well-worn) | 1 in 133 | $12.84 | 1.2% | 11 | 11.6 | 0.95× |
| [Glock-18 \| Reactor (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-reactor-field-tested) | 1 in 133 | $12.40 | 1.1% | 13 | 11.6 | 1.12× |
| [Glock-18 \| Reactor (Well-Worn) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-reactor-well-worn) | 1 in 100 | $11.90 | 1.4% | 14 | 15.4 | 0.91× |
| [Glock-18 \| Reactor (Battle-Scarred) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-reactor-battle-scarred) | 1 in 50 | $11.66 | 2.8% | 38 | 30.8 | 1.23× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Case Hardened (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-case-hardened-well-worn) | 1 in 50 | $11.63 | 2.8% | 24 | 30.8 | 0.78× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Case Hardened (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-case-hardened-battle-scarred) | 1 in 50 | $11.23 | 2.7% | 28 | 30.8 | 0.91× |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Mortis (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-mortis-battle-scarred) | 1 in 50 | $9.51 | 2.3% | 27 | 30.8 | 0.88× |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Mortis (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-mortis-field-tested) | 1 in 50 | $8.84 | 2.1% | 26 | 30.8 | 0.84× |
| [StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Light Rail (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-light-rail-minimal-wear) | 1 in 50 | $8.58 | 2.1% | 36 | 30.8 | 1.17× |
| [AWP \| Mortis (Minimal Wear) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-mortis-minimal-wear) | 1 in 50 | $7.78 | 1.9% | 27 | 30.8 | 0.88× |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Phobos (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-phobos-minimal-wear) | 1 in 33 | $7.10 | 2.6% | 49 | 46.2 | 1.06× |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Phobos (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-phobos-field-tested) | 1 in 33 | $6.63 | 2.4% | 50 | 46.2 | 1.08× |
| [AWP \| Phobos (Factory New) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-phobos-factory-new) | 1 in 25 | $5.73 | 2.8% | 46 | 61.6 | 0.75× |
| [AWP \| Mortis (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-mortis-field-tested) | 1 in 20 | $4.87 | 2.9% | 71 | 77.1 | 0.92× |
| [AWP \| Mortis (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-mortis-battle-scarred) | 1 in 20 | $4.81 | 2.9% | 74 | 77.1 | 0.96× |
| [StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Light Rail (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-light-rail-field-tested) | 1 in 20 | $4.38 | 2.6% | 83 | 77.1 | 1.08× |
| [StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Light Rail (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-light-rail-well-worn) | 1 in 20 | $4.34 | 2.6% | 83 | 77.1 | 1.08× |
| [StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Light Rail (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-light-rail-battle-scarred) | 1 in 20 | $4.04 | 2.4% | 69 | 77.1 | 0.90× |
| [AWP \| Phobos (Minimal Wear) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-phobos-minimal-wear) | 1 in 13 | $2.90 | 2.8% | 127 | 123.3 | 1.03× |
| [AWP \| Phobos (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-phobos-field-tested) | 1 in 13 | $2.51 | 2.4% | 125 | 123.3 | 1.01× |
| [AUG \| Aristocrat (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-aristocrat-field-tested) | 19.9% | $1.60 | 3.8% | 321 | 307.2 | 1.04× |

Values are DaddySkins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `daddyskins:graphql case(slug: red-mystery)`, 11 Nov, 08:55 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=daddyskins&case=433)

[AWP | Phobos (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-phobos-field-tested) [Kapitan Gówienow](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/Kapitan%20G%C3%B3wienow) $10.00 $2.51 0.25x 2026-11-11 13:24 UTC

[Glock-18 | Reactor (Battle-Scarred) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-reactor-battle-scarred) [Hajzlát](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/Hajzl%C3%A1t) $10.00 $11.66 1.17x 2026-11-11 13:24 UTC

[AWP | Mortis (Minimal Wear) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-mortis-minimal-wear) [Miguel](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/Miguel) $10.00 $7.78 0.78x 2026-11-11 13:24 UTC

[AUG | Aristocrat (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-aristocrat-field-tested) [<font face='Segoe Print'>oldcat](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%26lt%3Bfont%20face%3D'Segoe%20Print'%26gt%3Boldcat) $10.00 $1.60 0.16x 2026-11-11 13:24 UTC

[AUG | Aristocrat (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-aristocrat-field-tested) [MaDaRa](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/MaDaRa) $10.00 $1.60 0.16x 2026-11-11 13:24 UTC

[Glock-18 | Reactor (Battle-Scarred) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-reactor-battle-scarred) [Mantelli](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/Mantelli) $10.00 $11.66 1.17x 2026-11-11 13:24 UTC

[P250 | Splash (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-splash-minimal-wear) [\[BOT\] Voldemort](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Voldemort) $10.00 $27.81 2.78x 2026-11-11 12:32 UTC

[AUG | Aristocrat (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-aristocrat-field-tested) [\[BOT\] Bane](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Bane) $10.00 $1.60 0.16x 2026-11-11 12:32 UTC

[AWP | Phobos (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-phobos-field-tested) [\[BOT\] Alonzo Harris](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Alonzo%20Harris) $10.00 $2.51 0.25x 2026-11-11 12:32 UTC

[StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Light Rail (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-light-rail-well-worn) [User1917263](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/User1917263) $10.00 $4.34 0.43x 2026-11-11 12:32 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $10.00 | 83.33% | 74 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 0.1% classified 18.9% Covert 0.0% Restricted 0.1% restricted 51.4% mil spec 4.3% #8847ff 13.1% Legendary 2.8% #d32ee6 1.3% #d32ce6 2.0% Mythical 6.0% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 83.3% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $83.33 on average: an expected loss of $16.67 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt