---
title: "The Mission Case case on DaddySkins: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "The Mission Case ($14.69) on DaddySkins, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 83.32% from 173 items with odds, observed 80.88% over 944 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/434
rendered: 2026-11-11T16:03Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [DaddySkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/daddyskins) / [The Mission Case](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/434)

# [DaddySkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/daddyskins) · The Mission Case

A case on DaddySkins, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is DaddySkins's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/434?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/434?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/434) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/434?window=all)

Price · $14.69

Advertised RTP · 83.32% · EV $12.24 from 173 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 80.88% · 944 openings, odds method

Variance · 1.7× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 11.8% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 81.3% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 81 openings · below min

7 days · 79.82% ±8.95 836 openings

30 days · 80.88% ±8.42 944 openings

since tracking started · 80.88% ±8.42 944 openings

43.0% 72.2% 101.5%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/434?window=24h) | 81 | 72.19% ±28.8 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/434?window=7d) | 836 | 79.82% ±8.95 | −0.8σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/434) | 944 | 80.88% ±8.42 | −0.6σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/434?window=all) | 944 | 80.88% ±8.42 | −0.6σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 173 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 944 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [StatTrak™ P90 \| Asiimov (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · #eb4b4b](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p90-asiimov-factory-new) | 1 in 2,778 | $314 | 0.9% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [P90 \| Asiimov (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-asiimov-factory-new) | 1 in 2,778 | $303 | 0.9% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [P90 \| Asiimov (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-asiimov-minimal-wear) | 1 in 2,778 | $243 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [P90 \| Asiimov (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-asiimov-field-tested) | 1 in 2,778 | $219 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [P90 \| Asiimov (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #eb4b4b](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-asiimov-battle-scarred) | 1 in 2,778 | $205 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [P90 \| Asiimov (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-asiimov-well-worn) | 1 in 2,778 | $203 | 0.6% | 2 | 0.3 | — |
| [StatTrak™ P90 \| Asiimov (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p90-asiimov-well-worn) | 1 in 2,500 | $196 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [StatTrak™ P90 \| Asiimov (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p90-asiimov-field-tested) | 1 in 2,500 | $193 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [StatTrak™ P90 \| Asiimov (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p90-asiimov-battle-scarred) | 1 in 2,381 | $187 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [P90 \| Shallow Grave (Factory New) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-shallow-grave-factory-new) | 1 in 1,389 | $124 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.7 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Legion of Anubis (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-legion-of-anubis-factory-new) | 1 in 769 | $94.43 | 1.0% | 0 | 1.2 | 0.00× |
| [P90 \| Shallow Grave (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-shallow-grave-minimal-wear) | 1 in 714 | $86.92 | 1.0% | 4 | 1.3 | 3.03× |
| [AK-47 \| Legion of Anubis (Factory New) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-legion-of-anubis-factory-new) | 1 in 667 | $77.78 | 1.0% | 1 | 1.4 | 0.71× |
| [AWP \| Neo-Noir (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-neo-noir-factory-new) | 1 in 667 | $75.19 | 0.9% | 3 | 1.4 | 2.12× |
| [P90 \| Shallow Grave (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-shallow-grave-field-tested) | 1 in 625 | $69.12 | 0.9% | 0 | 1.5 | 0.00× |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Slate (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-slate-factory-new) | 1 in 625 | $68.01 | 0.9% | 1 | 1.5 | 0.66× |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Blue Laminate (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-blue-laminate-factory-new) | 1 in 588 | $65.53 | 0.9% | 4 | 1.6 | 2.49× |
| [P90 \| Shallow Grave (Well-Worn) weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-shallow-grave-well-worn) | 1 in 588 | $64.97 | 0.9% | 2 | 1.6 | 1.25× |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Neo-Noir (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-neo-noir-field-tested) | 1 in 556 | $63.72 | 0.9% | 1 | 1.7 | 0.59× |
| [P90 \| Shallow Grave (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-shallow-grave-battle-scarred) | 1 in 500 | $61.03 | 1.0% | 2 | 1.9 | 1.06× |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Neo-Noir (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-neo-noir-battle-scarred) | 1 in 500 | $60.31 | 1.0% | 1 | 1.9 | 0.53× |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Blue Laminate (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-blue-laminate-well-worn) | 1 in 500 | $59.55 | 1.0% | 0 | 1.9 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Neo-Noir (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-neo-noir-minimal-wear) | 1 in 455 | $57.82 | 1.0% | 3 | 2.1 | 1.44× |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Legion of Anubis (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-legion-of-anubis-minimal-wear) | 1 in 455 | $57.40 | 1.0% | 2 | 2.1 | 0.96× |
| [Glock-18 \| Royal Legion (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-royal-legion-factory-new) | 1 in 455 | $54.94 | 1.0% | 0 | 2.1 | 0.00× |
| [StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Royal Legion (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-glock-18-royal-legion-factory-new) | 1 in 455 | $54.92 | 1.0% | 1 | 2.1 | 0.48× |
| [AWP \| Neo-Noir (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-neo-noir-battle-scarred) | 1 in 400 | $51.86 | 1.1% | 0 | 2.4 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Neo-Noir (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-neo-noir-well-worn) | 1 in 400 | $51.85 | 1.1% | 4 | 2.4 | 1.69× |
| [AWP \| Neo-Noir (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-neo-noir-field-tested) | 1 in 400 | $51.71 | 1.1% | 1 | 2.4 | 0.42× |
| [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Cortex (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-cortex-factory-new) | 1 in 400 | $51.05 | 1.0% | 2 | 2.4 | 0.85× |
| [AUG \| Syd Mead (Factory New) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-syd-mead-factory-new) | 1 in 400 | $50.69 | 1.0% | 1 | 2.4 | 0.42× |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Legion of Anubis (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-legion-of-anubis-well-worn) | 1 in 400 | $50.47 | 1.0% | 1 | 2.4 | 0.42× |
| [AK-47 \| Legion of Anubis (Minimal Wear) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-legion-of-anubis-minimal-wear) | 1 in 400 | $49.98 | 1.0% | 2 | 2.4 | 0.85× |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Legion of Anubis (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-legion-of-anubis-field-tested) | 1 in 400 | $49.82 | 1.0% | 5 | 2.4 | 2.12× |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Blue Laminate (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-blue-laminate-minimal-wear) | 1 in 400 | $49.60 | 1.0% | 5 | 2.4 | 2.12× |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Legion of Anubis (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-legion-of-anubis-battle-scarred) | 1 in 400 | $47.55 | 1.0% | 3 | 2.4 | 1.27× |
| [AK-47 \| Legion of Anubis (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-legion-of-anubis-field-tested) | 1 in 364 | $46.64 | 1.0% | 6 | 2.6 | 2.31× |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Blue Laminate (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-blue-laminate-field-tested) | 1 in 364 | $45.93 | 1.0% | 0 | 2.6 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Legion of Anubis (Well-Worn) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-legion-of-anubis-well-worn) | 1 in 364 | $45.48 | 1.0% | 3 | 2.6 | 1.16× |
| [StatTrak™ MP9 \| Food Chain (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp9-food-chain-factory-new) | 1 in 333 | $43.80 | 1.1% | 5 | 2.8 | 1.77× |
| [AK-47 \| Legion of Anubis (Battle-Scarred) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-legion-of-anubis-battle-scarred) | 1 in 333 | $43.35 | 1.1% | 6 | 2.8 | 2.12× |
| [Tec-9 \| Remote Control (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-remote-control-factory-new) | 1 in 333 | $41.96 | 1.0% | 5 | 2.8 | 1.77× |
| [USP-S \| Cortex (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-cortex-factory-new) | 1 in 333 | $41.75 | 1.0% | 3 | 2.8 | 1.06× |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Elite Build (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-elite-build-factory-new) | 1 in 333 | $41.17 | 1.0% | 3 | 2.8 | 1.06× |
| [StatTrak™ P90 \| Shallow Grave (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p90-shallow-grave-factory-new) | 1 in 333 | $39.21 | 1.0% | 3 | 2.8 | 1.06× |
| [StatTrak™ AUG \| Syd Mead (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-aug-syd-mead-factory-new) | 1 in 333 | $39.15 | 1.0% | 2 | 2.8 | 0.71× |
| [AK-47 \| Blue Laminate (Factory New) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-blue-laminate-factory-new) | 1 in 333 | $33.08 | 0.8% | 5 | 2.8 | 1.77× |
| [MP9 \| Food Chain (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-food-chain-factory-new) | 1 in 286 | $31.36 | 0.9% | 2 | 3.3 | 0.61× |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Slate (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-slate-minimal-wear) | 1 in 286 | $31.03 | 0.9% | 4 | 3.3 | 1.21× |
| [FAMAS \| Rapid Eye Movement (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-rapid-eye-movement-factory-new) | 1 in 250 | $28.86 | 0.9% | 5 | 3.8 | 1.32× |
| [StatTrak™ FAMAS \| Rapid Eye Movement (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-famas-rapid-eye-movement-factory-new) | 1 in 250 | $28.44 | 0.9% | 2 | 3.8 | 0.53× |
| [StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Naga (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-naga-factory-new) | 1 in 250 | $28.30 | 0.9% | 5 | 3.8 | 1.32× |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Mortis (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-mortis-factory-new) | 1 in 250 | $27.14 | 0.9% | 3 | 3.8 | 0.79× |
| [AK-47 \| Blue Laminate (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-blue-laminate-well-worn) | 1 in 222 | $26.86 | 1.0% | 6 | 4.2 | 1.41× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Naga (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-naga-factory-new) | 1 in 222 | $25.23 | 0.9% | 2 | 4.2 | 0.47× |
| [StatTrak™ P90 \| Shallow Grave (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p90-shallow-grave-minimal-wear) | 1 in 200 | $23.64 | 1.0% | 6 | 4.7 | 1.27× |
| [AK-47 \| Slate (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-slate-factory-new) | 1 in 200 | $22.33 | 0.9% | 4 | 4.7 | 0.85× |
| [AK-47 \| Blue Laminate (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-blue-laminate-minimal-wear) | 1 in 200 | $21.45 | 0.9% | 4 | 4.7 | 0.85× |
| [AWP \| Mortis (Factory New) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-mortis-factory-new) | 1 in 200 | $20.97 | 0.9% | 5 | 4.7 | 1.06× |
| [AUG \| Syd Mead (Minimal Wear) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-syd-mead-minimal-wear) | 1 in 200 | $20.56 | 0.8% | 4 | 4.7 | 0.85× |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Slate (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-slate-field-tested) | 1 in 200 | $19.82 | 0.8% | 4 | 4.7 | 0.85× |
| [AK-47 \| Blue Laminate (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-blue-laminate-field-tested) | 1 in 200 | $19.81 | 0.8% | 2 | 4.7 | 0.42× |
| [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Cyrex (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-cyrex-factory-new) | 1 in 200 | $18.40 | 0.8% | 5 | 4.7 | 1.06× |
| [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Cortex (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-cortex-minimal-wear) | 1 in 200 | $18.19 | 0.7% | 2 | 4.7 | 0.42× |
| [StatTrak™ MP9 \| Food Chain (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp9-food-chain-minimal-wear) | 1 in 200 | $17.00 | 0.7% | 6 | 4.7 | 1.27× |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Slate (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-slate-well-worn) | 1 in 200 | $16.78 | 0.7% | 4 | 4.7 | 0.85× |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Slate (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-slate-battle-scarred) | 1 in 200 | $16.19 | 0.7% | 2 | 4.7 | 0.42× |
| [StatTrak™ AUG \| Syd Mead (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-aug-syd-mead-minimal-wear) | 1 in 200 | $14.71 | 0.6% | 6 | 4.7 | 1.27× |
| [AUG \| Syd Mead (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-syd-mead-field-tested) | 1 in 200 | $14.03 | 0.6% | 5 | 4.7 | 1.06× |
| [StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Royal Legion (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-glock-18-royal-legion-minimal-wear) | 1 in 200 | $13.99 | 0.6% | 0 | 4.7 | 0.00× |
| [StatTrak™ P90 \| Shallow Grave (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p90-shallow-grave-well-worn) | 1 in 200 | $13.73 | 0.6% | 4 | 4.7 | 0.85× |
| [AUG \| Syd Mead (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-syd-mead-well-worn) | 1 in 200 | $12.84 | 0.5% | 5 | 4.7 | 1.06× |
| [USP-S \| Cyrex (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-cyrex-factory-new) | 1 in 200 | $12.84 | 0.5% | 3 | 4.7 | 0.64× |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Mortis (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-mortis-minimal-wear) | 1 in 200 | $12.82 | 0.5% | 6 | 4.7 | 1.27× |
| [AUG \| Syd Mead (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-syd-mead-battle-scarred) | 1 in 200 | $12.69 | 0.5% | 2 | 4.7 | 0.42× |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Elite Build (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-elite-build-minimal-wear) | 1 in 200 | $12.40 | 0.5% | 3 | 4.7 | 0.64× |
| [StatTrak™ P90 \| Shallow Grave (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p90-shallow-grave-field-tested) | 1 in 200 | $12.18 | 0.5% | 4 | 4.7 | 0.85× |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Worm God (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-worm-god-factory-new) | 1 in 200 | $12.05 | 0.5% | 4 | 4.7 | 0.85× |
| [MP9 \| Food Chain (Minimal Wear) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-food-chain-minimal-wear) | 1 in 200 | $11.91 | 0.5% | 4 | 4.7 | 0.85× |
| [AK-47 \| Elite Build (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-elite-build-factory-new) | 1 in 200 | $11.86 | 0.5% | 4 | 4.7 | 0.85× |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Mortis (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-mortis-well-worn) | 1 in 200 | $11.71 | 0.5% | 6 | 4.7 | 1.27× |
| [StatTrak™ AUG \| Syd Mead (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-aug-syd-mead-well-worn) | 1 in 200 | $11.46 | 0.5% | 2 | 4.7 | 0.42× |
| [StatTrak™ G3SG1 \| High Seas (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-g3sg1-high-seas-factory-new) | 1 in 200 | $11.40 | 0.5% | 2 | 4.7 | 0.42× |
| [FAMAS \| Rapid Eye Movement (Minimal Wear) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-rapid-eye-movement-minimal-wear) | 1 in 200 | $11.34 | 0.5% | 3 | 4.7 | 0.64× |
| [StatTrak™ AUG \| Syd Mead (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-aug-syd-mead-field-tested) | 1 in 200 | $11.26 | 0.5% | 4 | 4.7 | 0.85× |
| [StatTrak™ P90 \| Shallow Grave (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p90-shallow-grave-battle-scarred) | 1 in 200 | $11.09 | 0.5% | 3 | 4.7 | 0.64× |
| [USP-S \| Cortex (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-cortex-minimal-wear) | 1 in 200 | $11.00 | 0.4% | 1 | 4.7 | 0.21× |
| [StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Grinder (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-glock-18-grinder-factory-new) | 1 in 200 | $11.00 | 0.4% | 4 | 4.7 | 0.85× |
| [Glock-18 \| Grinder (Factory New) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-grinder-factory-new) | 1 in 200 | $10.64 | 0.4% | 7 | 4.7 | 1.48× |
| [StatTrak™ AUG \| Syd Mead (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-aug-syd-mead-battle-scarred) | 1 in 200 | $10.55 | 0.4% | 8 | 4.7 | 1.69× |
| [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Cortex (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-cortex-field-tested) | 1 in 200 | $9.82 | 0.4% | 4 | 4.7 | 0.85× |
| [StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Naga (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-naga-minimal-wear) | 1 in 200 | $9.58 | 0.4% | 2 | 4.7 | 0.42× |
| [StatTrak™ FAMAS \| Rapid Eye Movement (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-famas-rapid-eye-movement-minimal-wear) | 1 in 200 | $9.54 | 0.4% | 3 | 4.7 | 0.64× |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Mortis (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-mortis-battle-scarred) | 1 in 200 | $9.51 | 0.4% | 8 | 4.7 | 1.69× |
| [AK-47 \| Slate (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-slate-minimal-wear) | 1 in 200 | $9.35 | 0.4% | 2 | 4.7 | 0.42× |
| [StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Grinder (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-glock-18-grinder-field-tested) | 1 in 200 | $9.28 | 0.4% | 10 | 4.7 | 2.12× |
| [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Cortex (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-cortex-well-worn) | 1 in 200 | $9.13 | 0.4% | 3 | 4.7 | 0.64× |
| [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Cortex (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-cortex-battle-scarred) | 1 in 200 | $9.12 | 0.4% | 3 | 4.7 | 0.64× |
| [StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Grinder (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-glock-18-grinder-minimal-wear) | 1 in 200 | $9.07 | 0.4% | 4 | 4.7 | 0.85× |
| [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Cyrex (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-cyrex-minimal-wear) | 1 in 200 | $9.06 | 0.4% | 8 | 4.7 | 1.69× |
| [StatTrak™ MP9 \| Food Chain (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp9-food-chain-field-tested) | 1 in 200 | $8.87 | 0.4% | 7 | 4.7 | 1.48× |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Mortis (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-mortis-field-tested) | 1 in 200 | $8.84 | 0.4% | 2 | 4.7 | 0.42× |
| [FAMAS \| Rapid Eye Movement (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-rapid-eye-movement-field-tested) | 1 in 200 | $8.03 | 0.3% | 6 | 4.7 | 1.27× |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Worm God (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-worm-god-minimal-wear) | 1 in 200 | $7.90 | 0.3% | 5 | 4.7 | 1.06× |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Worm God (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-worm-god-well-worn) | 1 in 200 | $7.87 | 0.3% | 9 | 4.7 | 1.91× |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Elite Build (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-elite-build-field-tested) | 1 in 200 | $7.85 | 0.3% | 5 | 4.7 | 1.06× |
| [AWP \| Mortis (Minimal Wear) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-mortis-minimal-wear) | 1 in 200 | $7.78 | 0.3% | 6 | 4.7 | 1.27× |
| [USP-S \| Cyrex (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-cyrex-minimal-wear) | 1 in 200 | $7.41 | 0.3% | 4 | 4.7 | 0.85× |
| [FAMAS \| Rapid Eye Movement (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-rapid-eye-movement-well-worn) | 1 in 200 | $7.37 | 0.3% | 3 | 4.7 | 0.64× |
| [StatTrak™ FAMAS \| Rapid Eye Movement (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-famas-rapid-eye-movement-field-tested) | 1 in 200 | $7.35 | 0.3% | 4 | 4.7 | 0.85× |
| [FAMAS \| Rapid Eye Movement (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-rapid-eye-movement-battle-scarred) | 1 in 200 | $7.30 | 0.3% | 7 | 4.7 | 1.48× |
| [StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Royal Legion (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-glock-18-royal-legion-field-tested) | 1 in 200 | $7.06 | 0.3% | 1 | 4.7 | 0.21× |
| [StatTrak™ FAMAS \| Rapid Eye Movement (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-famas-rapid-eye-movement-well-worn) | 1 in 200 | $7.03 | 0.3% | 2 | 4.7 | 0.42× |
| [USP-S \| Cyrex (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-cyrex-field-tested) | 1 in 200 | $6.99 | 0.3% | 9 | 4.7 | 1.91× |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Worm God (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-worm-god-field-tested) | 1 in 200 | $6.97 | 0.3% | 4 | 4.7 | 0.85× |
| [Glock-18 \| Royal Legion (Minimal Wear) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-royal-legion-minimal-wear) | 1 in 200 | $6.87 | 0.3% | 10 | 4.7 | 2.12× |
| [StatTrak™ FAMAS \| Rapid Eye Movement (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-famas-rapid-eye-movement-battle-scarred) | 1 in 100 | $6.85 | 0.6% | 10 | 9.4 | 1.06× |
| [USP-S \| Cyrex (Well-Worn) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-cyrex-well-worn) | 1 in 100 | $6.60 | 0.5% | 6 | 9.4 | 0.64× |
| [StatTrak™ MP9 \| Food Chain (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp9-food-chain-well-worn) | 1 in 100 | $6.51 | 0.5% | 13 | 9.4 | 1.38× |
| [USP-S \| Cyrex (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-cyrex-battle-scarred) | 1 in 100 | $6.21 | 0.5% | 11 | 9.4 | 1.17× |
| [Tec-9 \| Remote Control (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-remote-control-minimal-wear) | 1 in 100 | $6.17 | 0.5% | 11 | 9.4 | 1.17× |
| [G3SG1 \| High Seas (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-high-seas-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $6.01 | 0.5% | 12 | 9.4 | 1.27× |
| [AK-47 \| Slate (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-slate-field-tested) | 1 in 100 | $5.96 | 0.5% | 5 | 9.4 | 0.53× |
| [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Cyrex (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-cyrex-well-worn) | 1 in 100 | $5.94 | 0.5% | 8 | 9.4 | 0.85× |
| [StatTrak™ MP9 \| Food Chain (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp9-food-chain-battle-scarred) | 1 in 100 | $5.83 | 0.5% | 7 | 9.4 | 0.74× |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Elite Build (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-elite-build-well-worn) | 1 in 100 | $5.72 | 0.5% | 10 | 9.4 | 1.06× |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Elite Build (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-elite-build-battle-scarred) | 1 in 100 | $5.68 | 0.5% | 6 | 9.4 | 0.64× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Naga (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-naga-minimal-wear) | 1 in 100 | $5.56 | 0.5% | 13 | 9.4 | 1.38× |
| [StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Royal Legion (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-glock-18-royal-legion-well-worn) | 1 in 100 | $5.40 | 0.4% | 9 | 9.4 | 0.95× |
| [MP9 \| Food Chain (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-food-chain-field-tested) | 1 in 100 | $5.36 | 0.4% | 4 | 9.4 | 0.42× |
| [AWP \| Mortis (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-mortis-well-worn) | 1 in 100 | $5.29 | 0.4% | 9 | 9.4 | 0.95× |
| [AWP \| Worm God (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-worm-god-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $5.25 | 0.4% | 9 | 9.4 | 0.95× |
| [USP-S \| Cortex (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-cortex-field-tested) | 1 in 100 | $5.19 | 0.4% | 14 | 9.4 | 1.48× |
| [StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Naga (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-naga-field-tested) | 1 in 100 | $5.18 | 0.4% | 15 | 9.4 | 1.59× |
| [AK-47 \| Slate (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-slate-well-worn) | 1 in 100 | $5.17 | 0.4% | 5 | 9.4 | 0.53× |
| [StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Royal Legion (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-glock-18-royal-legion-battle-scarred) | 1 in 100 | $5.14 | 0.4% | 12 | 9.4 | 1.27× |
| [StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Naga (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-naga-battle-scarred) | 1 in 100 | $5.09 | 0.4% | 8 | 9.4 | 0.85× |
| [StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Naga (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-naga-well-worn) | 1 in 100 | $4.97 | 0.4% | 11 | 9.4 | 1.17× |
| [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Cyrex (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-cyrex-field-tested) | 1 in 100 | $4.96 | 0.4% | 10 | 9.4 | 1.06× |
| [AK-47 \| Slate (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-slate-battle-scarred) | 1 in 100 | $4.90 | 0.4% | 7 | 9.4 | 0.74× |
| [AWP \| Mortis (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-mortis-field-tested) | 1 in 100 | $4.87 | 0.4% | 3 | 9.4 | 0.32× |
| [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Cyrex (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-cyrex-battle-scarred) | 1 in 100 | $4.83 | 0.4% | 9 | 9.4 | 0.95× |
| [AWP \| Mortis (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-mortis-battle-scarred) | 1 in 100 | $4.81 | 0.4% | 16 | 9.4 | 1.69× |
| [USP-S \| Cortex (Well-Worn) weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-cortex-well-worn) | 1 in 100 | $4.66 | 0.4% | 13 | 9.4 | 1.38× |
| [MP9 \| Food Chain (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-food-chain-well-worn) | 1 in 100 | $4.63 | 0.4% | 15 | 9.4 | 1.59× |
| [USP-S \| Cortex (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-cortex-battle-scarred) | 1 in 100 | $4.60 | 0.4% | 10 | 9.4 | 1.06× |
| [MP9 \| Food Chain (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-food-chain-battle-scarred) | 1 in 100 | $4.58 | 0.4% | 10 | 9.4 | 1.06× |
| [StatTrak™ G3SG1 \| High Seas (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-g3sg1-high-seas-minimal-wear) | 1 in 100 | $4.10 | 0.3% | 9 | 9.4 | 0.95× |
| [Glock-18 \| Grinder (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-grinder-minimal-wear) | 1 in 100 | $3.95 | 0.3% | 10 | 9.4 | 1.06× |
| [AK-47 \| Elite Build (Minimal Wear) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-elite-build-minimal-wear) | 1 in 100 | $3.74 | 0.3% | 11 | 9.4 | 1.17× |
| [AWP \| Worm God (Minimal Wear) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-worm-god-minimal-wear) | 1 in 100 | $3.27 | 0.3% | 10 | 9.4 | 1.06× |
| [Glock-18 \| Royal Legion (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-royal-legion-field-tested) | 1 in 100 | $3.20 | 0.3% | 9 | 9.4 | 0.95× |
| [Tec-9 \| Remote Control (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-remote-control-field-tested) | 1 in 100 | $3.05 | 0.2% | 9 | 9.4 | 0.95× |
| [AWP \| Worm God (Well-Worn) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-worm-god-well-worn) | 1 in 100 | $3.02 | 0.2% | 9 | 9.4 | 0.95× |
| [Glock-18 \| Grinder (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-grinder-field-tested) | 1 in 100 | $2.99 | 0.2% | 15 | 9.4 | 1.59× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Naga (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-naga-battle-scarred) | 1 in 100 | $2.88 | 0.2% | 5 | 9.4 | 0.53× |
| [Glock-18 \| Royal Legion (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-royal-legion-well-worn) | 1 in 100 | $2.73 | 0.2% | 6 | 9.4 | 0.64× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Naga (Well-Worn) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-naga-well-worn) | 1 in 100 | $2.69 | 0.2% | 11 | 9.4 | 1.17× |
| [AWP \| Worm God (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-worm-god-field-tested) | 1 in 100 | $2.66 | 0.2% | 12 | 9.4 | 1.27× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Naga (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-naga-field-tested) | 1 in 100 | $2.63 | 0.2% | 9 | 9.4 | 0.95× |
| [Glock-18 \| Royal Legion (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-royal-legion-battle-scarred) | 1 in 100 | $2.63 | 0.2% | 13 | 9.4 | 1.38× |
| [Tec-9 \| Remote Control (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-remote-control-battle-scarred) | 1 in 100 | $2.39 | 0.2% | 6 | 9.4 | 0.64× |
| [Tec-9 \| Remote Control (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-remote-control-well-worn) | 1 in 100 | $2.39 | 0.2% | 13 | 9.4 | 1.38× |
| [AK-47 \| Elite Build (Field-Tested) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-elite-build-field-tested) | 1 in 100 | $2.37 | 0.2% | 9 | 9.4 | 0.95× |
| [StatTrak™ G3SG1 \| High Seas (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-g3sg1-high-seas-well-worn) | 1 in 100 | $2.14 | 0.2% | 9 | 9.4 | 0.95× |
| [G3SG1 \| High Seas (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-high-seas-minimal-wear) | 1 in 100 | $2.12 | 0.2% | 10 | 9.4 | 1.06× |
| [AK-47 \| Elite Build (Well-Worn) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-elite-build-well-worn) | 1 in 100 | $1.84 | 0.2% | 12 | 9.4 | 1.27× |
| [StatTrak™ G3SG1 \| High Seas (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-g3sg1-high-seas-field-tested) | 1 in 100 | $1.81 | 0.1% | 7 | 9.4 | 0.74× |
| [StatTrak™ G3SG1 \| High Seas (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-g3sg1-high-seas-battle-scarred) | 1 in 100 | $1.79 | 0.1% | 10 | 9.4 | 1.06× |
| [AK-47 \| Elite Build (Battle-Scarred) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-elite-build-battle-scarred) | 1 in 100 | $1.77 | 0.1% | 5 | 9.4 | 0.53× |
| [G3SG1 \| High Seas (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-high-seas-well-worn) | 1 in 98 | $1.03 | 0.1% | 9 | 9.7 | 0.93× |
| [G3SG1 \| High Seas (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-high-seas-field-tested) | 1 in 89 | $0.96 | 0.1% | 14 | 10.6 | 1.32× |
| [G3SG1 \| High Seas (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-high-seas-battle-scarred) | 1 in 89 | $0.86 | 0.1% | 11 | 10.6 | 1.04× |

Values are DaddySkins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `daddyskins:graphql case(slug: the-mission)`, 11 Nov, 15:00 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=daddyskins&case=434)

[FAMAS | Rapid Eye Movement (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-rapid-eye-movement-field-tested) [\[BOT\] Bane](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Bane) $14.69 $8.03 0.55x 2026-11-11 16:01 UTC

[StatTrak™ MP9 | Food Chain (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp9-food-chain-well-worn) [\[BOT\] Hans Landa](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Hans%20Landa) $14.69 $6.51 0.44x 2026-11-11 16:01 UTC

[G3SG1 | High Seas (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-high-seas-minimal-wear) [\[BOT\] Agent Smith](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Agent%20Smith) $14.69 $2.12 0.14x 2026-11-11 16:01 UTC

[G3SG1 | High Seas (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-high-seas-well-worn) [\[BOT\] Alonzo Harris](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Alonzo%20Harris) $14.69 $1.03 0.07x 2026-11-11 16:01 UTC

[AK-47 | Blue Laminate (Factory New) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-blue-laminate-factory-new) [\[BOT\] Darth Vader](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Darth%20Vader) $14.69 $33.08 2.25x 2026-11-11 16:01 UTC

[FAMAS | Rapid Eye Movement (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-rapid-eye-movement-battle-scarred) [LamaKicker](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/LamaKicker) $14.69 $7.30 0.50x 2026-11-11 16:01 UTC

[StatTrak™ FAMAS | Rapid Eye Movement (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-famas-rapid-eye-movement-minimal-wear) [\[BOT\] Hans Landa](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Hans%20Landa) $14.69 $9.54 0.65x 2026-11-11 16:00 UTC

[StatTrak™ G3SG1 | High Seas (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-g3sg1-high-seas-battle-scarred) [\[BOT\] Agent Smith](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Agent%20Smith) $14.69 $1.79 0.12x 2026-11-11 16:00 UTC

[StatTrak™ AWP | Mortis (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-mortis-minimal-wear) [\[BOT\] Dr. Evil](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Dr.%20Evil) $14.69 $12.82 0.87x 2026-11-11 16:00 UTC

[AWP | Worm God (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-worm-god-factory-new) [\[BOT\] HAL 9000](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20HAL%209000) $14.69 $5.25 0.36x 2026-11-11 16:00 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $14.69 | 83.32% | 173 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed #eb4b4b 0.1% covert 2.5% Legendary 2.3% Ancient 0.5% classified 21.9% pink 8.6% restricted 37.4% Classified 3.0% Covert 0.2% red 0.8% mil spec 2.8% Mythical 4.8% #d32ee6 0.5% Restricted 2.0% #d32ce6 0.5% #8847ff 5.5% violet 1.5% milspec 3.0% Rare 1.0% blue 1.0% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 83.3% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $83.32 on average: an expected loss of $16.68 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt