---
title: "CS2 Uninhabitated Case case on DaddySkins: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "CS2 Uninhabitated Case ($14.50) on DaddySkins, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 83.30% from 21 items with odds, observed 91.51% over 692 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/435
rendered: 2026-11-11T15:20Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [DaddySkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/daddyskins) / [CS2 Uninhabitated Case](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/435)

# [DaddySkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/daddyskins) · CS2 Uninhabitated Case

A case on DaddySkins, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is DaddySkins's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/435?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/435?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/435) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/435?window=all)

Price · $14.50

Advertised RTP · 83.30% · EV $12.08 from 21 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 91.51% · 692 openings, odds method

Variance · 5.3× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 14 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 86.9% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 67 openings · below min

7 days · 91.08% ±18.85 576 openings

30 days · 91.51% ±17.19 692 openings

since tracking started · 91.51% ±17.19 692 openings

22.0% 78.0% 134.0%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/435?window=24h) | 67 | 78.16% ±55.3 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/435?window=7d) | 576 | 91.08% ±18.8 | +0.8σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/435) | 692 | 91.51% ±17.2 | +0.9σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/435?window=all) | 692 | 91.51% ±17.2 | +0.9σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 21 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 692 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [AK-47 \| Fuel Injector (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fuel-injector-factory-new) | 1 in 3,333 | $972 | 2.4% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Buzz Kill (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-buzz-kill-field-tested) | 1 in 2,222 | $734 | 2.7% | 1 | 0.3 | — |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Omega (Field-Tested) gloves · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-omega-field-tested) | 1 in 1,250 | $382 | 2.5% | 0 | 0.6 | — |
| [★ Hand Wraps \| Cobalt Skulls (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-cobalt-skulls-field-tested) | 1 in 833 | $328 | 3.3% | 2 | 0.8 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Cobalt Disruption (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-cobalt-disruption-factory-new) | 1 in 333 | $144 | 3.6% | 3 | 2.1 | 1.45× |
| [M4A4 \| The Emperor (Minimal Wear) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-the-emperor-minimal-wear) | 1 in 222 | $136 | 5.1% | 5 | 3.1 | 1.61× |
| [M4A1-S \| Golden Coil (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-golden-coil-field-tested) | 1 in 167 | $97.89 | 4.9% | 3 | 4.2 | 0.72× |
| [★ Paracord Knife \| Night Stripe (Well-Worn) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/paracord-knife-night-stripe-well-worn) | 1 in 154 | $90.15 | 4.9% | 4 | 4.5 | 0.89× |
| [Glock-18 \| Bullet Queen (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-bullet-queen-well-worn) | 1 in 100 | $67.28 | 5.6% | 5 | 6.9 | 0.72× |
| [AWP \| Wildfire (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-wildfire-field-tested) | 1 in 100 | $65.47 | 5.4% | 8 | 6.9 | 1.16× |
| [MAC-10 \| Stalker (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-stalker-field-tested) | 1 in 77 | $53.28 | 5.7% | 11 | 9.0 | 1.22× |
| [FAMAS \| Commemoration (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-commemoration-field-tested) | 1 in 67 | $44.14 | 5.5% | 15 | 10.4 | 1.45× |
| [M4A4 \| Spider Lily (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-spider-lily-minimal-wear) | 1 in 50 | $39.75 | 6.6% | 13 | 13.8 | 0.94× |
| [AK-47 \| Blue Laminate (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-blue-laminate-field-tested) | 1 in 25 | $19.81 | 6.6% | 32 | 27.7 | 1.16× |
| [Tec-9 \| Fuel Injector (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-fuel-injector-field-tested) | 1 in 22 | $14.44 | 5.4% | 30 | 31.1 | 0.96× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Monkey Business (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-monkey-business-well-worn) | 1 in 12 | $13.79 | 9.6% | 46 | 58.3 | 0.79× |
| [XM1014 \| Incinegator (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-incinegator-well-worn) | 10.0% | $6.32 | 5.2% | 71 | 69.2 | 1.03× |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Yellow Jacket (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-yellow-jacket-field-tested) | 10.0% | $6.31 | 5.2% | 65 | 69.2 | 0.94× |
| [StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Oxide Blaze (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-glock-18-oxide-blaze-factory-new) | 14.0% | $3.06 | 3.5% | 98 | 96.9 | 1.01× |
| [SCAR-20 \| Powercore (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-powercore-minimal-wear) | 20.0% | $2.14 | 3.5% | 144 | 138.4 | 1.04× |
| [StatTrak™ MP9 \| Goo (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp9-goo-battle-scarred) | 20.0% | $1.69 | 2.8% | 136 | 138.4 | 0.98× |

Values are DaddySkins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `daddyskins:graphql case(slug: uninhabited)`, 11 Nov, 15:00 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[M4A4 | Buzz Kill (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-buzz-kill-field-tested) [文明游戏](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%E6%96%87%E6%98%8E%E6%B8%B8%E6%88%8F) $14.50 $734 50.65x 2026-11-07 01:16 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=daddyskins&case=435)

[Tec-9 | Fuel Injector (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-fuel-injector-field-tested) [ZimtSchnüffler](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/ZimtSchn%C3%BCffler) $14.50 $14.44 1.00x 2026-11-11 14:09 UTC

[CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-yellow-jacket-field-tested) [Hayllan Bodybuilder](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/Hayllan%20Bodybuilder) $14.50 $6.31 0.44x 2026-11-11 14:09 UTC

[AK-47 | Blue Laminate (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-blue-laminate-field-tested) [Fox](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/Fox) $14.50 $19.81 1.37x 2026-11-11 10:20 UTC

[XM1014 | Incinegator (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-incinegator-well-worn) [❤Grinnych❤](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%E2%9D%A4Grinnych%E2%9D%A4) $14.50 $6.32 0.44x 2026-11-11 10:20 UTC

[StatTrak™ MP9 | Goo (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp9-goo-battle-scarred) [阿巴阿巴](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%E9%98%BF%E5%B7%B4%E9%98%BF%E5%B7%B4) $14.50 $1.69 0.12x 2026-11-11 10:20 UTC

[StatTrak™ MP9 | Goo (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp9-goo-battle-scarred) [< blank >](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%26lt%3B%20blank%20%26gt%3B) $14.50 $1.69 0.12x 2026-11-11 10:20 UTC

[CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-yellow-jacket-field-tested) [dama de paus](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/dama%20de%20paus) $14.50 $6.31 0.44x 2026-11-11 10:20 UTC

[XM1014 | Incinegator (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-incinegator-well-worn) [007](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/007) $14.50 $6.32 0.44x 2026-11-11 07:59 UTC

[StatTrak™ MP9 | Goo (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp9-goo-battle-scarred) [ⓋⒾⓇⓊⓈⒺⓀ](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%E2%93%8B%E2%92%BE%E2%93%87%E2%93%8A%E2%93%88%E2%92%BA%E2%93%80) $14.50 $1.69 0.12x 2026-11-11 07:59 UTC

[Five-SeveN | Monkey Business (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-monkey-business-well-worn) [\[BOT\] T-1000](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20T-1000) $14.50 $13.79 0.95x 2026-11-11 06:41 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $14.50 | 83.30% | 21 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 5.5% rare 0.1% extraordinary 0.1% classified 33.2% red 0.5% covert knife 0.7% Mythical 22.0% restricted 24.0% milspec 14.0% best hit $734 (50.65x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 83.3% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $83.30 on average: an expected loss of $16.70 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt