---
title: "Vis-a-Vis Case case on DaddySkins: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Vis-a-Vis Case ($12.00) on DaddySkins, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 83.33% from 53 items with odds, observed 71.93% over 1,403 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/438
rendered: 2026-11-11T15:57Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [DaddySkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/daddyskins) / [Vis-a-Vis Case](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/438)

# [DaddySkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/daddyskins) · Vis-a-Vis Case

A case on DaddySkins, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is DaddySkins's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/438?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/438?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/438) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/438?window=all)

Price · $12.00

Advertised RTP · 83.33% · EV $10.00 from 53 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 71.93% · 1,403 openings, odds method

Variance · 11.7× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 14 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 79.9% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 78.87% ±59.98 125 openings

7 days · 73.90% ±19.43 1,191 openings

30 days · 71.93% ±17.90 1,403 openings

since tracking started · 71.93% ±17.90 1,403 openings

18.0% 78.8% 139.5%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/438?window=24h) | 125 | 78.87% ±60.0 | −0.1σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/438?window=7d) | 1,191 | 73.90% ±19.4 | −1.0σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/438) | 1,403 | 71.93% ±17.9 | −1.2σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/438?window=all) | 1,403 | 71.93% ±17.9 | −1.2σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 53 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,411 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ Specialist Gloves \| Foundation (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-foundation-minimal-wear) | 1 in 10,000 | $3,121 | 3.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Icarus Fell (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-icarus-fell-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $1,258 | 1.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Karambit \| Damascus Steel (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-damascus-steel-factory-new) | 1 in 6,667 | $996 | 1.5% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Bayonet \| Autotronic (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-autotronic-field-tested) | 1 in 2,857 | $337 | 1.2% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| [★ Falchion Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 2,000 | $241 | 1.2% | 1 | 0.7 | — |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Autotronic (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-autotronic-field-tested) | 1 in 1,429 | $219 | 1.5% | 0 | 1.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Fuel Injector (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fuel-injector-well-worn) | 1 in 833 | $197 | 2.4% | 0 | 1.7 | 0.00× |
| [M4A4 \| Desolate Space (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-desolate-space-factory-new) | 1 in 667 | $177 | 2.7% | 0 | 2.1 | 0.00× |
| [M4A4 \| Spider Lily (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-spider-lily-factory-new) | 1 in 571 | $167 | 2.9% | 4 | 2.5 | 1.62× |
| [AK-47 \| Point Disarray (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-point-disarray-factory-new) | 1 in 400 | $120 | 3.0% | 4 | 3.5 | 1.13× |
| [M4A1-S \| Player Two (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-player-two-field-tested) | 1 in 250 | $68.67 | 2.7% | 1 | 5.6 | 0.18× |
| [M4A1-S \| Player Two (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-player-two-well-worn) | 1 in 250 | $67.97 | 2.7% | 8 | 5.6 | 1.42× |
| [M4A1-S \| Player Two (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-player-two-battle-scarred) | 1 in 222 | $65.90 | 3.0% | 3 | 6.3 | 0.47× |
| [AWP \| Neo-Noir (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-neo-noir-minimal-wear) | 1 in 200 | $57.36 | 2.9% | 10 | 7.1 | 1.42× |
| [AWP \| Neo-Noir (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-neo-noir-battle-scarred) | 1 in 200 | $51.94 | 2.6% | 6 | 7.1 | 0.85× |
| [AWP \| Neo-Noir (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-neo-noir-field-tested) | 1 in 200 | $51.94 | 2.6% | 10 | 7.1 | 1.42× |
| [AK-47 \| Head Shot (Field-Tested) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-head-shot-field-tested) | 1 in 200 | $50.65 | 2.5% | 5 | 7.1 | 0.71× |
| [M4A4 \| Desolate Space (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-desolate-space-minimal-wear) | 1 in 167 | $45.63 | 2.7% | 7 | 8.5 | 0.83× |
| [AK-47 \| Head Shot (Well-Worn) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-head-shot-well-worn) | 1 in 167 | $43.24 | 2.6% | 8 | 8.5 | 0.94× |
| [AK-47 \| Head Shot (Battle-Scarred) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-head-shot-battle-scarred) | 1 in 167 | $40.60 | 2.4% | 10 | 8.5 | 1.18× |
| [M4A4 \| Spider Lily (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-spider-lily-minimal-wear) | 1 in 167 | $39.75 | 2.4% | 4 | 8.5 | 0.47× |
| [AWP \| Fever Dream (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-fever-dream-factory-new) | 1 in 160 | $36.26 | 2.3% | 7 | 8.8 | 0.79× |
| [AK-47 \| Point Disarray (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-point-disarray-minimal-wear) | 1 in 160 | $34.36 | 2.1% | 12 | 8.8 | 1.36× |
| [AWP \| Atheris (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-atheris-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $22.86 | 2.3% | 10 | 14.1 | 0.71× |
| [AK-47 \| Point Disarray (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-point-disarray-well-worn) | 1 in 100 | $21.17 | 2.1% | 22 | 14.1 | 1.56× |
| [AWP \| Fever Dream (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-fever-dream-minimal-wear) | 1 in 100 | $21.11 | 2.1% | 22 | 14.1 | 1.56× |
| [AK-47 \| Point Disarray (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-point-disarray-field-tested) | 1 in 83 | $18.13 | 2.2% | 15 | 16.9 | 0.89× |
| [AWP \| Fever Dream (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-fever-dream-field-tested) | 1 in 78 | $17.03 | 2.2% | 13 | 18.0 | 0.72× |
| [AWP \| Fever Dream (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-fever-dream-well-worn) | 1 in 77 | $16.60 | 2.2% | 14 | 18.3 | 0.76× |
| [PP-Bizon \| Embargo (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-embargo-factory-new) | 1 in 77 | $16.52 | 2.1% | 14 | 18.3 | 0.76× |
| [AK-47 \| Point Disarray (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-point-disarray-battle-scarred) | 1 in 77 | $16.30 | 2.1% | 18 | 18.3 | 0.98× |
| [AWP \| Fever Dream (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-fever-dream-battle-scarred) | 1 in 71 | $15.95 | 2.2% | 18 | 19.8 | 0.91× |
| [M4A4 \| Spider Lily (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-spider-lily-field-tested) | 1 in 67 | $14.32 | 2.1% | 21 | 21.2 | 0.99× |
| [Galil AR \| Rocket Pop (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-rocket-pop-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $11.18 | 2.2% | 30 | 28.2 | 1.06× |
| [AWP \| Atheris (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-atheris-minimal-wear) | 1 in 50 | $9.92 | 2.0% | 32 | 28.2 | 1.13× |
| [M4A4 \| Spider Lily (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-spider-lily-well-worn) | 1 in 33 | $7.23 | 2.2% | 29 | 42.3 | 0.69× |
| [M4A4 \| Spider Lily (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-spider-lily-battle-scarred) | 1 in 33 | $5.94 | 1.8% | 44 | 42.3 | 1.04× |
| [AWP \| Atheris (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-atheris-field-tested) | 1 in 33 | $5.88 | 1.8% | 38 | 42.3 | 0.90× |
| [M4A1-S \| Emphorosaur-S (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-emphorosaur-s-factory-new) | 1 in 33 | $5.40 | 1.6% | 28 | 42.3 | 0.66× |
| [PP-Bizon \| Embargo (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-embargo-minimal-wear) | 1 in 33 | $5.04 | 1.5% | 53 | 42.3 | 1.25× |
| [AWP \| Atheris (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-atheris-well-worn) | 1 in 25 | $4.66 | 1.9% | 72 | 56.4 | 1.28× |
| [AWP \| Atheris (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-atheris-battle-scarred) | 1 in 25 | $4.29 | 1.7% | 50 | 56.4 | 0.89× |
| [Galil AR \| Rocket Pop (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-rocket-pop-minimal-wear) | 1 in 25 | $3.02 | 1.2% | 69 | 56.4 | 1.22× |
| [PP-Bizon \| Embargo (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-embargo-field-tested) | 1 in 25 | $2.34 | 0.9% | 51 | 56.4 | 0.90× |
| [PP-Bizon \| Embargo (Well-Worn) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-embargo-well-worn) | 1 in 20 | $2.13 | 1.1% | 72 | 69.7 | 1.03× |
| [PP-Bizon \| Embargo (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-embargo-battle-scarred) | 1 in 20 | $2.10 | 1.0% | 82 | 70.5 | 1.16× |
| [M4A1-S \| Emphorosaur-S (Minimal Wear) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-emphorosaur-s-minimal-wear) | 1 in 20 | $1.37 | 0.7% | 67 | 70.5 | 0.95× |
| [Galil AR \| Rocket Pop (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-rocket-pop-field-tested) | 1 in 20 | $1.16 | 0.6% | 83 | 70.5 | 1.18× |
| [M4A1-S \| Emphorosaur-S (Well-Worn) weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-emphorosaur-s-well-worn) | 1 in 20 | $0.97 | 0.5% | 64 | 70.5 | 0.91× |
| [M4A1-S \| Emphorosaur-S (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-emphorosaur-s-field-tested) | 1 in 20 | $0.73 | 0.4% | 70 | 70.5 | 0.99× |
| [Galil AR \| Rocket Pop (Well-Worn) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-rocket-pop-well-worn) | 1 in 20 | $0.72 | 0.4% | 57 | 70.5 | 0.81× |
| [M4A1-S \| Emphorosaur-S (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-emphorosaur-s-battle-scarred) | 1 in 20 | $0.70 | 0.3% | 78 | 70.5 | 1.11× |
| [Galil AR \| Rocket Pop (Battle-Scarred) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-rocket-pop-battle-scarred) | 1 in 20 | $0.57 | 0.3% | 75 | 70.5 | 1.06× |

Values are DaddySkins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `daddyskins:graphql case(slug: vis-a-vis)`, 11 Nov, 15:00 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=daddyskins&case=438)

[AWP | Atheris (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-atheris-well-worn) [GustaGOD](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/GustaGOD) $12.00 $4.66 0.39x 2026-11-11 12:50 UTC

[M4A1-S | Emphorosaur-S (Well-Worn) weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-emphorosaur-s-well-worn) [abd28](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/abd28) $12.00 $0.97 0.08x 2026-11-11 12:50 UTC

[M4A1-S | Emphorosaur-S (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-emphorosaur-s-battle-scarred) [Re.Emilia](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/Re.Emilia) $12.00 $0.70 0.06x 2026-11-11 12:50 UTC

[AK-47 | Head Shot (Battle-Scarred) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-head-shot-battle-scarred) [Naruto\_LoquillÖ](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/Naruto_Loquill%C3%96) $12.00 $40.60 3.38x 2026-11-11 12:50 UTC

[Galil AR | Rocket Pop (Battle-Scarred) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-rocket-pop-battle-scarred) [\[BOT\] John Doe](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20John%20Doe) $12.00 $0.57 0.05x 2026-11-11 12:27 UTC

[AWP | Atheris (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-atheris-well-worn) [User1917263](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/User1917263) $12.00 $4.66 0.39x 2026-11-11 12:27 UTC

[PP-Bizon | Embargo (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-embargo-battle-scarred) [\[BOT\] Max Cady](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Max%20Cady) $12.00 $2.10 0.18x 2026-11-11 12:27 UTC

[M4A1-S | Emphorosaur-S (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-emphorosaur-s-factory-new) [\[BOT\] T-1000](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20T-1000) $12.00 $5.40 0.45x 2026-11-11 12:27 UTC

[M4A1-S | Emphorosaur-S (Minimal Wear) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-emphorosaur-s-minimal-wear) [\[BOT\] King Joffrey](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20King%20Joffrey) $12.00 $1.37 0.11x 2026-11-11 12:27 UTC

[M4A1-S | Emphorosaur-S (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-emphorosaur-s-battle-scarred) [\[BOT\] Frederick Charles Krueger](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Frederick%20Charles%20Krueger) $12.00 $0.70 0.06x 2026-11-11 12:27 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $12.00 | 83.33% | 53 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed extraordinary 0.0% restricted 37.5% covert 3.0% classified 10.7% Ancient 1.1% red 0.6% Mythical 5.6% violet 1.5% Rare 2.0% #8847ff 13.9% mil spec 9.0% milspec 10.0% Restricted 5.0% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 83.3% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $83.33 on average: an expected loss of $16.67 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt