---
title: "Destroyer Case case on DaddySkins: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Destroyer Case ($10.31) on DaddySkins, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 80.83% from 21 items with odds, observed 80.60% over 1,195 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/443
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:29Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [DaddySkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/daddyskins) / [Destroyer Case](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/443)

# [DaddySkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/daddyskins) · Destroyer Case

A case on DaddySkins, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is DaddySkins's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/443?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/443?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/443) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/443?window=all)

Price · $10.31

Advertised RTP · 80.83% · EV $8.33 from 21 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 80.60% · 1,195 openings, odds method

Variance · 8.3× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 16 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 86.8% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 66.55% ±46.95 145 openings

7 days · 78.57% ±17.47 1,047 openings

30 days · 80.60% ±16.35 1,195 openings

since tracking started · 80.60% ±16.35 1,195 openings

19.0% 66.5% 114.0%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/443?window=24h) | 145 | 66.55% ±47.0 | −0.6σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/443?window=7d) | 1,047 | 78.57% ±17.5 | −0.3σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/443) | 1,195 | 80.60% ±16.4 | −0.0σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/443?window=all) | 1,195 | 80.60% ±16.4 | −0.0σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 21 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,195 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [SSG 08 \| Dragonfire (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-dragonfire-minimal-wear) | 1 in 649 | $565 | 10.5% | 3 | 1.8 | 1.63× |
| [StatTrak™ P90 \| Death by Kitty (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p90-death-by-kitty-minimal-wear) | 1 in 500 | $323 | 7.8% | 1 | 2.4 | 0.42× |
| [Nova \| Baroque Orange (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-baroque-orange-factory-new) | 1 in 333 | $171 | 6.2% | 8 | 3.6 | 2.23× |
| [XM1014 \| Ancient Lore (Factory New) weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-ancient-lore-factory-new) | 1 in 303 | $111 | 4.4% | 1 | 3.9 | 0.25× |
| [AWP \| Chromatic Aberration (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-chromatic-aberration-minimal-wear) | 1 in 143 | $66.99 | 5.6% | 7 | 8.4 | 0.84× |
| [M4A1-S \| Basilisk (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-basilisk-factory-new) | 1 in 91 | $41.26 | 5.4% | 11 | 13.1 | 0.84× |
| [M4A1-S \| Control Panel (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-control-panel-minimal-wear) | 1 in 87 | $33.51 | 4.6% | 9 | 13.7 | 0.65× |
| [AK-47 \| Cartel (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-cartel-minimal-wear) | 1 in 83 | $31.30 | 4.5% | 16 | 14.3 | 1.12× |
| [AK-47 \| Green Laminate (Minimal Wear) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-green-laminate-minimal-wear) | 1 in 77 | $30.32 | 4.7% | 4 | 15.5 | 0.26× |
| [USP-S \| Pathfinder (Field-Tested) weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-pathfinder-field-tested) | 1 in 77 | $26.88 | 4.2% | 13 | 15.5 | 0.84× |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Slate (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-slate-field-tested) | 1 in 50 | $19.80 | 4.8% | 23 | 23.9 | 0.96× |
| [XM1014 \| Entombed (Factory New) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-entombed-factory-new) | 1 in 29 | $11.90 | 5.0% | 37 | 41.8 | 0.88× |
| [AK-47 \| Slate (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-slate-minimal-wear) | 1 in 24 | $9.34 | 4.6% | 44 | 49.0 | 0.90× |
| [USP-S \| Blueprint (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-blueprint-field-tested) | 1 in 20 | $8.00 | 4.8% | 68 | 59.8 | 1.14× |
| [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Flashback (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-flashback-minimal-wear) | 1 in 20 | $7.23 | 4.3% | 58 | 59.8 | 0.97× |
| [AK-47 \| Slate (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-slate-field-tested) | 1 in 20 | $5.91 | 3.5% | 67 | 59.8 | 1.12× |
| [AK-47 \| Safety Net (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-safety-net-minimal-wear) | 1 in 20 | $4.96 | 3.0% | 69 | 59.8 | 1.15× |
| [M4A4 \| Griffin (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-griffin-field-tested) | 1 in 17 | $3.98 | 2.8% | 72 | 70.5 | 1.02× |
| [StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Moonrise (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-glock-18-moonrise-well-worn) | 1 in 14 | $2.90 | 2.4% | 81 | 82.5 | 0.98× |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Red Astor (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-red-astor-minimal-wear) | 1 in 10 | $1.94 | 2.3% | 132 | 118.3 | 1.12× |
| [Galil AR \| Black Sand (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-black-sand-minimal-wear) | 40.0% | $0.95 | 4.6% | 471 | 477.6 | 0.99× |

Values are DaddySkins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `daddyskins:graphql case(slug: destroyer)`, 11 Nov, 08:55 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[SSG 08 | Dragonfire (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-dragonfire-minimal-wear) [SaVaGe LiFe](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/SaVaGe%20LiFe) $10.31 $565 54.85x 2026-11-08 07:17 UTC

[SSG 08 | Dragonfire (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-dragonfire-minimal-wear) [\[BOT\] King Joffrey](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20King%20Joffrey) $10.31 $565 54.85x 2026-11-05 13:56 UTC

[SSG 08 | Dragonfire (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-dragonfire-minimal-wear) [llegal](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/llegal) $10.31 $565 54.85x 2026-11-04 04:45 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=daddyskins&case=443)

[Galil AR | Black Sand (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-black-sand-minimal-wear) [Leminence](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/Leminence) $10.31 $0.95 0.09x 2026-11-11 13:23 UTC

[USP-S | Pathfinder (Field-Tested) weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-pathfinder-field-tested) [adrian10127](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/adrian10127) $10.31 $26.88 2.61x 2026-11-11 13:23 UTC

[M4A4 | Griffin (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-griffin-field-tested) [Leminence](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/Leminence) $10.31 $3.98 0.39x 2026-11-11 13:23 UTC

[Galil AR | Black Sand (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-black-sand-minimal-wear) [adrian10127](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/adrian10127) $10.31 $0.95 0.09x 2026-11-11 13:23 UTC

[Galil AR | Black Sand (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-black-sand-minimal-wear) [Leminence](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/Leminence) $10.31 $0.95 0.09x 2026-11-11 13:23 UTC

[CZ75-Auto | Red Astor (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-red-astor-minimal-wear) [adrian10127](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/adrian10127) $10.31 $1.94 0.19x 2026-11-11 13:23 UTC

[CZ75-Auto | Red Astor (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-red-astor-minimal-wear) [Leminence](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/Leminence) $10.31 $1.94 0.19x 2026-11-11 13:23 UTC

[Galil AR | Black Sand (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-black-sand-minimal-wear) [adrian10127](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/adrian10127) $10.31 $0.95 0.09x 2026-11-11 13:23 UTC

[CZ75-Auto | Red Astor (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-red-astor-minimal-wear) [Leminence](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/Leminence) $10.31 $1.94 0.19x 2026-11-11 13:23 UTC

[CZ75-Auto | Red Astor (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-red-astor-minimal-wear) [adrian10127](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/adrian10127) $10.31 $1.94 0.19x 2026-11-11 13:23 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $10.31 | 80.83% | 21 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 0.9% Covert 0.2% restricted 28.3% Restricted 7.2% classified 2.4% blue 1.3% Industrial Grade 1.3% Legendary 3.5% mil spec 5.0% Mythical 10.0% Rare 40.0% best hit $565 (54.85x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 80.8% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $80.83 on average: an expected loss of $19.17 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt