--- title: "Olkuna Case Skins Collection on DaddySkins: odds & RTP" description: "Item values at the site’s own prices, biggest and latest drops. Independent and free, no sign-up. Figures from public feeds and chains." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/449 rendered: 2026-11-11T14:04Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [DaddySkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/daddyskins) / [Olkuna Case Skins Collection](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/449) # [DaddySkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/daddyskins) · Olkuna Case Skins Collection A case on DaddySkins, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is DaddySkins's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/449?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/449?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/449) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/449?window=all) Price · $47.33 Advertised RTP · 83.33% · EV $39.44 from 18 items Observed RTP, 30d · 99.84% · 489 openings, odds method Variance · 2.2× · of price², per opening Tail share · 21.2% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 78.8% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 74 openings · below min 7 days · 103.45% ±14.23 419 openings 30 days · 99.84% ±13.17 489 openings since tracking started · 99.84% ±13.17 489 openings 82.5% 120.5% 158.5% **Outside band, 30 days.** Advertised 83.33% sits outside the 95% band of the observed openings (86.66% – 113.01%, 489 openings, 30 days). The band comes from the site's own odds and values; the figure is a fact about these openings, not a verdict on the case. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/449?window=24h) | 74 | 123.82% ±33.9 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/449?window=7d) | 419 | 103.45% ±14.2 | +2.8σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/449) | 489 | 99.84% ±13.2 | +2.5σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/449?window=all) | 489 | 99.84% ±13.2 | +2.5σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 18 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 489 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Desert Eagle \| Fennec Fox (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-fennec-fox-factory-new) | 1 in 2,000 | $1,678 | 2.1% | 2 | 0.2 | — | | [AK-47 \| Hydroponic (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-hydroponic-field-tested) | 1 in 1,250 | $1,494 | 3.0% | 1 | 0.4 | — | | [Glock-18 \| Twilight Galaxy (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-twilight-galaxy-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $997 | 2.5% | 1 | 0.5 | — | | [AK-47 \| Case Hardened (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-case-hardened-minimal-wear) | 1 in 500 | $342 | 1.7% | 0 | 1.0 | — | | [AWP \| Graphite (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-graphite-factory-new) | 1 in 333 | $283 | 2.1% | 1 | 1.5 | 0.68× | | [AWP \| BOOM (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-boom-minimal-wear) | 1 in 250 | $211 | 2.1% | 0 | 2.0 | 0.00× | | [Dual Berettas \| Cobra Strike (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-cobra-strike-factory-new) | 1 in 167 | $171 | 2.6% | 2 | 2.9 | 0.68× | | [M4A1-S \| Guardian (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-guardian-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $115 | 2.9% | 3 | 4.9 | 0.61× | | [M4A1-S \| Atomic Alloy (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-atomic-alloy-minimal-wear) | 1 in 40 | $94.12 | 6.0% | 20 | 12.2 | 1.64× | | [AWP \| Corticera (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-corticera-minimal-wear) | 1 in 33 | $67.41 | 5.1% | 18 | 14.7 | 1.23× | | [Five-SeveN \| Monkey Business (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-monkey-business-minimal-wear) | 1 in 18 | $66.09 | 9.2% | 20 | 26.9 | 0.74× | | [MP9 \| Airlock (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-airlock-factory-new) | 1 in 13 | $55.38 | 10.5% | 44 | 36.7 | 1.20× | | [AK-47 \| Point Disarray (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-point-disarray-minimal-wear) | 10.0% | $35.12 | 8.9% | 46 | 48.9 | 0.94× | | [Five-SeveN \| Fowl Play (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-fowl-play-minimal-wear) | 12.5% | $30.32 | 9.6% | 62 | 61.0 | 1.02× | | [FAMAS \| Afterimage (Field-Tested) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-afterimage-field-tested) | 12.5% | $29.28 | 9.3% | 58 | 61.1 | 0.95× | | [M4A4 \| Desolate Space (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-desolate-space-field-tested) | 14.2% | $26.04 | 9.4% | 70 | 69.4 | 1.01× | | [P90 \| Shapewood (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-shapewood-minimal-wear) | 14.7% | $18.55 | 6.9% | 76 | 71.9 | 1.06× | | [Nova \| Bloomstick (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-bloomstick-well-worn) | 14.9% | $15.54 | 5.9% | 65 | 72.9 | 0.89× | Values are DaddySkins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `daddyskins:graphql case(slug: olkuna)`, 11 Nov, 08:55 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [Desert Eagle | Fennec Fox (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-fennec-fox-factory-new) [\[BOT\] HAL 9000](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20HAL%209000) $47.33 $1,678 35.45x 2026-11-11 06:52 UTC [Desert Eagle | Fennec Fox (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-fennec-fox-factory-new) [Gl\\u00fcck](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/Gl%5Cu00fcck) $47.33 $1,678 35.45x 2026-11-06 10:32 UTC [AK-47 | Hydroponic (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-hydroponic-field-tested) [LOSE STREAK](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/LOSE%20STREAK) $47.33 $1,494 31.56x 2026-11-09 17:34 UTC [Glock-18 | Twilight Galaxy (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-twilight-galaxy-factory-new) [\[BOT\] Hans Landa](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Hans%20Landa) $47.33 $997 21.07x 2026-11-08 23:12 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=daddyskins&case=449) [M4A4 | Desolate Space (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-desolate-space-field-tested) [\[BOT\] Frederick Charles Krueger](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Frederick%20Charles%20Krueger) $47.33 $26.04 0.55x 2026-11-11 06:52 UTC [M4A1-S | Atomic Alloy (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-atomic-alloy-minimal-wear) [\[BOT\] John Doe](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20John%20Doe) $47.33 $94.12 1.99x 2026-11-11 06:52 UTC [P90 | Shapewood (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-shapewood-minimal-wear) [\[BOT\] Patrick Bateman](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Patrick%20Bateman) $47.33 $18.55 0.39x 2026-11-11 06:52 UTC [Desert Eagle | Fennec Fox (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-fennec-fox-factory-new) [\[BOT\] HAL 9000](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20HAL%209000) $47.33 $1,678 35.45x 2026-11-11 06:52 UTC [P90 | Shapewood (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-shapewood-minimal-wear) [\[BOT\] Sauron](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Sauron) $47.33 $18.55 0.39x 2026-11-11 06:52 UTC [M4A4 | Desolate Space (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-desolate-space-field-tested) [Dave](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/Dave) $47.33 $26.04 0.55x 2026-11-11 06:52 UTC [P90 | Shapewood (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-shapewood-minimal-wear) [最帅ZhiZunBao最](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%E6%9C%80%E5%B8%85ZhiZunBao%E6%9C%80) $47.33 $18.55 0.39x 2026-11-11 01:18 UTC [Nova | Bloomstick (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-bloomstick-well-worn) [telephone1410](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/telephone1410) $47.33 $15.54 0.33x 2026-11-11 01:18 UTC [MP9 | Airlock (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-airlock-factory-new) [Ward-](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/Ward-) $47.33 $55.38 1.17x 2026-11-11 01:18 UTC [P90 | Shapewood (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-shapewood-minimal-wear) [SHIBAL KIMCHI](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/SHIBAL%20KIMCHI) $47.33 $18.55 0.39x 2026-11-11 01:18 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $47.33 | 83.33% | 18 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed classified 87.5% #d32ee6 12.5% best hit $1,678 (35.45x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 83.3% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $83.33 on average: an expected loss of $16.67 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt