---
title: "MemoTV CS2 Case case on DaddySkins: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "MemoTV CS2 Case ($17.05) on DaddySkins, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 83.32% from 30 items with odds, observed 80.26% over 1,580 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/450
rendered: 2026-11-11T15:55Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [DaddySkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/daddyskins) / [MemoTV CS2 Case](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/450)

# [DaddySkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/daddyskins) · MemoTV CS2 Case

A case on DaddySkins, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is DaddySkins's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/450?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/450?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/450) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/450?window=all)

Price · $17.05

Advertised RTP · 83.32% · EV $14.21 from 30 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 80.26% · 1,580 openings, odds method

Variance · 18.5× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 59 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 94.9% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 104 openings · below min

7 days · 83.73% ±22.69 1,384 openings

30 days · 80.26% ±21.24 1,580 openings

since tracking started · 80.26% ±21.24 1,580 openings

8.5% 91.8% 175.0%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/450?window=24h) | 104 | 91.77% ±82.8 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/450?window=7d) | 1,384 | 83.73% ±22.7 | +0.0σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/450) | 1,580 | 80.26% ±21.2 | −0.3σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/450?window=all) | 1,580 | 80.26% ±21.2 | −0.3σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 30 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,580 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $1,946 | 1.4% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Slingshot (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-slingshot-minimal-wear) | 1 in 6,667 | $1,756 | 1.9% | 1 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Stained (Minimal Wear) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-stained-minimal-wear) | 1 in 5,000 | $1,590 | 2.2% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [M4A4 \| The Coalition (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-the-coalition-factory-new) | 1 in 5,000 | $1,577 | 2.2% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Welcome to the Jungle (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-welcome-to-the-jungle-field-tested) | 1 in 3,333 | $1,221 | 2.6% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Amphibious (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-amphibious-minimal-wear) | 1 in 3,333 | $1,200 | 2.5% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-marble-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 2,500 | $1,055 | 3.0% | 0 | 0.6 | — |
| [★ Skeleton Knife \| Case Hardened (Factory New) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-case-hardened-factory-new) | 1 in 2,000 | $718 | 2.5% | 1 | 0.8 | — |
| [★ Bloodhound Gloves \| Charred (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/bloodhound-gloves-charred-field-tested) | 1 in 2,000 | $655 | 2.3% | 2 | 0.8 | — |
| [AWP \| Lightning Strike (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-lightning-strike-minimal-wear) | 1 in 2,000 | $652 | 2.3% | 2 | 0.8 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Golden Koi (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-golden-koi-factory-new) | 1 in 1,429 | $578 | 2.8% | 1 | 1.1 | 0.90× |
| [SSG 08 \| Dragonfire (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-dragonfire-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,429 | $573 | 2.8% | 1 | 1.1 | 0.90× |
| [★ Nomad Knife \| Case Hardened (Factory New) knife · Immortal](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-case-hardened-factory-new) | 1 in 1,429 | $566 | 2.8% | 1 | 1.1 | 0.90× |
| [AK-47 \| Vulcan (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-vulcan-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,000 | $482 | 3.4% | 1 | 1.6 | 0.63× |
| [★ Moto Gloves \| Finish Line (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-finish-line-minimal-wear) | 1 in 667 | $356 | 3.8% | 1 | 2.4 | 0.42× |
| [M4A4 \| Hellfire (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-hellfire-well-worn) | 1 in 556 | $251 | 3.2% | 3 | 2.8 | 1.05× |
| [USP-S \| Neo-Noir (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-neo-noir-factory-new) | 1 in 500 | $235 | 3.3% | 1 | 3.2 | 0.32× |
| [USP-S \| Orange Anolis (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-orange-anolis-factory-new) | 1 in 417 | $211 | 3.6% | 7 | 3.8 | 1.85× |
| [P90 \| Death by Kitty (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-death-by-kitty-minimal-wear) | 1 in 333 | $184 | 3.9% | 4 | 4.7 | 0.84× |
| [MAC-10 \| Toybox (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-toybox-factory-new) | 1 in 250 | $119 | 3.3% | 8 | 6.3 | 1.27× |
| [★ Gut Knife \| Ultraviolet (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-ultraviolet-minimal-wear) | 1 in 238 | $113 | 3.3% | 5 | 6.6 | 0.75× |
| [AK-47 \| Aquamarine Revenge (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-aquamarine-revenge-field-tested) | 1 in 111 | $60.39 | 3.8% | 16 | 14.2 | 1.13× |
| [MAG-7 \| Justice (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-justice-factory-new) | 1 in 59 | $32.45 | 3.9% | 26 | 26.9 | 0.97× |
| [MP9 \| Mount Fuji (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-mount-fuji-minimal-wear) | 1 in 29 | $15.52 | 3.8% | 72 | 55.3 | 1.30× |
| [Galil AR \| Rocket Pop (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-rocket-pop-factory-new) | 1 in 27 | $13.74 | 3.6% | 47 | 59.3 | 0.79× |
| [Galil AR \| Chromatic Aberration (Minimal Wear) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-chromatic-aberration-minimal-wear) | 1 in 22 | $11.85 | 3.9% | 76 | 73.2 | 1.04× |
| [AK-47 \| Rat Rod (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-rat-rod-field-tested) | 10.0% | $7.46 | 5.3% | 154 | 158.0 | 0.97× |
| [FAMAS \| Valence (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-valence-field-tested) | 15.0% | $5.22 | 5.5% | 216 | 237.0 | 0.91× |
| [MP7 \| Fade (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-fade-field-tested) | 19.0% | $4.11 | 5.5% | 294 | 300.2 | 0.98× |
| [Galil AR \| Tuxedo (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-tuxedo-minimal-wear) | 39.0% | $2.03 | 5.6% | 640 | 616.2 | 1.04× |

Values are DaddySkins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `daddyskins:graphql case(slug: memotv)`, 11 Nov, 15:00 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[★ Sport Gloves | Slingshot (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-slingshot-minimal-wear) [\[BOT\] Anton Chigurh](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Anton%20Chigurh) $17.05 $1,756 103.0x 2026-11-08 18:38 UTC

[★ Skeleton Knife | Case Hardened (Factory New) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-case-hardened-factory-new) [\[BOT\] Voldemort](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Voldemort) $17.05 $718 42.10x 2026-11-04 22:49 UTC

[★ Bloodhound Gloves | Charred (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/bloodhound-gloves-charred-field-tested) [User1926336](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/User1926336) $17.05 $655 38.45x 2026-11-10 19:38 UTC

[★ Bloodhound Gloves | Charred (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/bloodhound-gloves-charred-field-tested) [\[BOT\] Dr. Evil](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Dr.%20Evil) $17.05 $655 38.45x 2026-11-04 21:00 UTC

[AWP | Lightning Strike (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-lightning-strike-minimal-wear) [\[BOT\] Hans Landa](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Hans%20Landa) $17.05 $652 38.24x 2026-11-07 20:31 UTC

[AWP | Lightning Strike (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-lightning-strike-minimal-wear) [Sl1ck](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/Sl1ck) $17.05 $652 38.24x 2026-11-06 05:12 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Golden Koi (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-golden-koi-factory-new) [\[BOT\] Mr. Blonde](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Mr.%20Blonde) $17.05 $578 33.92x 2026-11-08 18:37 UTC

[SSG 08 | Dragonfire (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-dragonfire-minimal-wear) [Just a NooB](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/Just%20a%20NooB) $17.05 $573 33.63x 2026-11-08 18:40 UTC

[★ Nomad Knife | Case Hardened (Factory New) knife · Immortal](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-case-hardened-factory-new) [Vlader\_man](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/Vlader_man) $17.05 $566 33.20x 2026-11-08 20:53 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=daddyskins&case=450)

[MP7 | Fade (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-fade-field-tested) [KERORO\_GUNSO(GILMER)](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/KERORO_GUNSO%28GILMER%29) $17.05 $4.11 0.24x 2026-11-11 10:40 UTC

[Galil AR | Tuxedo (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-tuxedo-minimal-wear) [Garri Gudiηi 四](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/Garri%20Gudi%CE%B7i%20%E5%9B%9B) $17.05 $2.03 0.12x 2026-11-11 10:40 UTC

[AK-47 | Rat Rod (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-rat-rod-field-tested) [KERORO\_GUNSO(GILMER)](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/KERORO_GUNSO%28GILMER%29) $17.05 $7.46 0.44x 2026-11-11 10:40 UTC

[MP7 | Fade (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-fade-field-tested) [Garri Gudiηi 四](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/Garri%20Gudi%CE%B7i%20%E5%9B%9B) $17.05 $4.11 0.24x 2026-11-11 10:40 UTC

[Galil AR | Tuxedo (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-tuxedo-minimal-wear) [KERORO\_GUNSO(GILMER)](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/KERORO_GUNSO%28GILMER%29) $17.05 $2.03 0.12x 2026-11-11 10:40 UTC

[MP7 | Fade (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-fade-field-tested) [Garri Gudiηi 四](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/Garri%20Gudi%CE%B7i%20%E5%9B%9B) $17.05 $4.11 0.24x 2026-11-11 10:40 UTC

[FAMAS | Valence (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-valence-field-tested) [KERORO\_GUNSO(GILMER)](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/KERORO_GUNSO%28GILMER%29) $17.05 $5.22 0.31x 2026-11-11 10:40 UTC

[USP-S | Orange Anolis (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-orange-anolis-factory-new) [Garri Gudiηi 四](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/Garri%20Gudi%CE%B7i%20%E5%9B%9B) $17.05 $211 12.39x 2026-11-11 10:40 UTC

[Galil AR | Tuxedo (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-tuxedo-minimal-wear) [KERORO\_GUNSO(GILMER)](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/KERORO_GUNSO%28GILMER%29) $17.05 $2.03 0.12x 2026-11-11 10:39 UTC

[MP9 | Mount Fuji (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-mount-fuji-minimal-wear) [Garri Gudiηi 四](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/Garri%20Gudi%CE%B7i%20%E5%9B%9B) $17.05 $15.52 0.91x 2026-11-11 10:39 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $17.05 | 83.32% | 30 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 2.2% extraordinary 0.2% gold 0.1% Immortal 0.1% classified 2.3% restricted 37.7% Rare 3.8% Legendary 4.6% violet 10.0% Mil Spec Grade 39.0% best hit $1,756 (103.0x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 83.3% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $83.32 on average: an expected loss of $16.68 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt