--- title: "Wahy case on DaddySkins: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Wahy ($91.40) on DaddySkins, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 83.33% from 12 items with odds, observed 69.59% over 441 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/453 rendered: 2026-11-11T13:34Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [DaddySkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/daddyskins) / [Wahy](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/453) # [DaddySkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/daddyskins) · Wahy A case on DaddySkins, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is DaddySkins's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/453?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/453?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/453) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/453?window=all) Price · $91.40 Advertised RTP · 83.33% · EV $76.17 from 12 items Observed RTP, 30d · 69.59% · 441 openings, odds method Variance · 7.8× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 11 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 82.2% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 80.46% ±52.59 108 openings 7 days · 65.56% ±29.68 339 openings 30 days · 69.59% ±26.03 441 openings since tracking started · 69.59% ±26.03 441 openings 27.0% 80.3% 133.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/453?window=24h) | 108 | 80.46% ±52.6 | −0.1σ | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/453?window=7d) | 339 | 65.56% ±29.7 | −1.2σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/453) | 441 | 69.59% ±26.0 | −1.0σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/453?window=all) | 441 | 69.59% ±26.0 | −1.0σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 12 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 441 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [M4A1-S \| Knight (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-knight-minimal-wear) | 1 in 303 | $3,832 | 16.6% | 0 | 1.5 | 0.00× | | [M4A1-S \| Hot Rod (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-hot-rod-minimal-wear) | 1 in 100 | $1,130 | 14.8% | 3 | 4.4 | 0.68× | | [★ Skeleton Knife \| Case Hardened (Well-Worn) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-case-hardened-well-worn) | 1 in 29 | $323 | 14.8% | 19 | 15.4 | 1.23× | | [AK-47 \| Case Hardened (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-case-hardened-field-tested) | 1 in 25 | $310 | 16.3% | 18 | 17.6 | 1.02× | | [M4A4 \| Asiimov (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-asiimov-battle-scarred) | 1 in 11 | $110 | 13.0% | 43 | 39.7 | 1.08× | | [★ Survival Knife \| Boreal Forest (Minimal Wear) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/survival-knife-boreal-forest-minimal-wear) | 10.0% | $78.50 | 10.3% | 48 | 44.1 | 1.09× | | [M4A4 \| In Living Color (Field-Tested) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-in-living-color-field-tested) | 10.0% | $49.93 | 6.6% | 41 | 44.1 | 0.93× | | [StatTrak™ P250 \| Asiimov (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-asiimov-field-tested) | 10.0% | $20.88 | 2.7% | 38 | 44.1 | 0.86× | | [P90 \| Trigon (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-trigon-field-tested) | 10.0% | $12.25 | 1.6% | 44 | 44.1 | 1.00× | | [M4A1-S \| Flashback (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-flashback-minimal-wear) | 10.0% | $10.01 | 1.3% | 43 | 44.1 | 0.98× | | [AWP \| Mortis (Minimal Wear) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-mortis-minimal-wear) | 12.2% | $7.99 | 1.3% | 51 | 53.7 | 0.95× | | [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Flashback (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-flashback-field-tested) | 20.0% | $2.29 | 0.6% | 93 | 88.2 | 1.05× | Values are DaddySkins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `daddyskins:graphql case(slug: wahy)`, 11 Nov, 08:55 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [M4A1-S | Hot Rod (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-hot-rod-minimal-wear) [JamesArtifact](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/JamesArtifact) $91.40 $1,130 12.36x 2026-11-10 19:57 UTC [M4A1-S | Hot Rod (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-hot-rod-minimal-wear) [\[BOT\] Anton Chigurh](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Anton%20Chigurh) $91.40 $1,130 12.36x 2026-11-03 22:46 UTC [M4A1-S | Hot Rod (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-hot-rod-minimal-wear) [\[BOT\] Patrick Bateman](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Patrick%20Bateman) $91.40 $1,130 12.36x 2026-11-03 17:09 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=daddyskins&case=453) [StatTrak™ P250 | Asiimov (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-asiimov-field-tested) [\[CRP\] GeNy](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BCRP%5D%20GeNy) $91.40 $20.88 0.23x 2026-11-11 07:44 UTC [AWP | Mortis (Minimal Wear) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-mortis-minimal-wear) [Somebody](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/Somebody) $91.40 $7.99 0.09x 2026-11-11 07:44 UTC [★ Survival Knife | Boreal Forest (Minimal Wear) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/survival-knife-boreal-forest-minimal-wear) [Schlub](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/Schlub) $91.40 $78.50 0.86x 2026-11-11 07:44 UTC [M4A4 | Asiimov (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-asiimov-battle-scarred) [\[CRP\] GeNy](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BCRP%5D%20GeNy) $91.40 $110 1.21x 2026-11-11 07:44 UTC [AWP | Mortis (Minimal Wear) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-mortis-minimal-wear) [Somebody](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/Somebody) $91.40 $7.99 0.09x 2026-11-11 07:44 UTC [AWP | Mortis (Minimal Wear) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-mortis-minimal-wear) [Schlub](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/Schlub) $91.40 $7.99 0.09x 2026-11-11 07:44 UTC [M4A1-S | Flashback (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-flashback-minimal-wear) [\[CRP\] GeNy](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BCRP%5D%20GeNy) $91.40 $10.01 0.11x 2026-11-11 07:44 UTC [StatTrak™ USP-S | Flashback (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-flashback-field-tested) [Somebody](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/Somebody) $91.40 $2.29 0.03x 2026-11-11 07:44 UTC [StatTrak™ USP-S | Flashback (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-flashback-field-tested) [Schlub](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/Schlub) $91.40 $2.29 0.03x 2026-11-11 07:44 UTC [★ Skeleton Knife | Case Hardened (Well-Worn) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-case-hardened-well-worn) [\[CRP\] GeNy](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BCRP%5D%20GeNy) $91.40 $323 3.53x 2026-11-11 07:44 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $91.40 | 83.33% | 12 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed classified 25.3% gold 3.5% covert 9.0% #ffd700 10.0% Ancient 10.0% Mythical 10.0% Legendary 12.2% restricted 20.0% best hit $1,130 (12.36x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 83.3% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $83.33 on average: an expected loss of $16.67 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt