---
title: "Cyber Assault Case case on DaddySkins: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Cyber Assault Case ($36.08) on DaddySkins, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 80.82% from 34 items with odds, observed 90.61% over 650 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/458
rendered: 2026-11-11T15:54Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [DaddySkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/daddyskins) / [Cyber Assault Case](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/458)

# [DaddySkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/daddyskins) · Cyber Assault Case

A case on DaddySkins, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is DaddySkins's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/458?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/458?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/458) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/458?window=all)

Price · $36.08

Advertised RTP · 80.82% · EV $29.16 from 34 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 90.61% · 650 openings, odds method

Variance · 5.6× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 11.8% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 93.0% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 28 openings · below min

7 days · 97.85% ±20.20 528 openings

30 days · 90.61% ±18.21 650 openings

since tracking started · 90.61% ±18.21 650 openings

-0.5% 61.5% 123.5%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/458?window=24h) | 28 | 35.25% ±87.7 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/458?window=7d) | 528 | 97.85% ±20.2 | +1.7σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/458) | 650 | 90.61% ±18.2 | +1.1σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/458?window=all) | 650 | 90.61% ±18.2 | +1.1σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 34 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 650 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Lore (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-lore-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,000 | $1,581 | 5.4% | 0 | 0.7 | — |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Scorched (Minimal Wear) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-scorched-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,000 | $1,393 | 4.8% | 2 | 0.7 | — |
| [★ Karambit \| Ultraviolet (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-ultraviolet-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,000 | $1,017 | 3.5% | 2 | 0.7 | — |
| [★ Skeleton Knife \| Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-slaughter-factory-new) | 1 in 909 | $637 | 2.4% | 0 | 0.7 | — |
| [★ Bayonet \| Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 909 | $573 | 2.2% | 1 | 0.7 | — |
| [★ Talon Knife \| Case Hardened (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-case-hardened-field-tested) | 1 in 909 | $555 | 2.1% | 2 | 0.7 | — |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Case Hardened (Minimal Wear) knife · Immortal](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-case-hardened-minimal-wear) | 1 in 909 | $320 | 1.2% | 1 | 0.7 | — |
| [★ Stiletto Knife \| Blue Steel (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-blue-steel-field-tested) | 1 in 909 | $275 | 1.0% | 1 | 0.7 | — |
| [★ Nomad Knife \| Case Hardened (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-case-hardened-field-tested) | 1 in 667 | $248 | 1.3% | 1 | 1.0 | — |
| [★ Falchion Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 667 | $240 | 1.2% | 0 | 1.0 | — |
| [★ Classic Knife \| Blue Steel (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/classic-knife-blue-steel-minimal-wear) | 1 in 500 | $189 | 1.3% | 1 | 1.3 | 0.77× |
| [★ Gut Knife \| Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-slaughter-factory-new) | 1 in 500 | $186 | 1.3% | 1 | 1.3 | 0.77× |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Black Laminate (Field-Tested) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-black-laminate-field-tested) | 1 in 476 | $168 | 1.2% | 0 | 1.4 | 0.00× |
| [★ Navaja Knife \| Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 455 | $161 | 1.2% | 1 | 1.4 | 0.70× |
| [★ Shadow Daggers \| Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-marble-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 455 | $159 | 1.2% | 1 | 1.4 | 0.70× |
| [★ Huntsman Knife \| Lore (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-lore-field-tested) | 1 in 400 | $158 | 1.4% | 1 | 1.6 | 0.62× |
| [★ Ursus Knife \| Night Stripe (Minimal Wear) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-night-stripe-minimal-wear) | 1 in 182 | $132 | 2.5% | 4 | 3.6 | 1.12× |
| [★ Survival Knife \| Urban Masked (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/survival-knife-urban-masked-minimal-wear) | 1 in 67 | $110 | 5.7% | 6 | 9.8 | 0.62× |
| [★ Paracord Knife \| Safari Mesh (Field-Tested) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/paracord-knife-safari-mesh-field-tested) | 1 in 40 | $79.42 | 6.8% | 22 | 16.3 | 1.35× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Kumicho Dragon (Minimal Wear) weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-kumicho-dragon-minimal-wear) | 1 in 21 | $35.94 | 5.9% | 33 | 31.2 | 1.06× |
| [FAMAS \| Eye of Athena (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-eye-of-athena-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $34.34 | 5.9% | 35 | 32.5 | 1.08× |
| [AK-47 \| Green Laminate (Field-Tested) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-green-laminate-field-tested) | 1 in 20 | $30.00 | 5.1% | 37 | 32.5 | 1.14× |
| [P2000 \| Wicked Sick (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-wicked-sick-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $28.78 | 4.9% | 20 | 32.5 | 0.62× |
| [M4A1-S \| Decimator (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-decimator-minimal-wear) | 1 in 19 | $28.07 | 5.0% | 38 | 33.8 | 1.12× |
| [P90 \| ScaraB Rush (Factory New) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-scarab-rush-factory-new) | 1 in 19 | $20.13 | 3.6% | 33 | 33.8 | 0.98× |
| [M4A4 \| Desert Storm (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-desert-storm-minimal-wear) | 1 in 18 | $18.51 | 3.5% | 47 | 35.8 | 1.31× |
| [MP9 \| Hypnotic (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-hypnotic-factory-new) | 1 in 18 | $16.60 | 3.1% | 40 | 35.8 | 1.12× |
| [AWP \| POP AWP (Minimal Wear) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-pop-awp-minimal-wear) | 1 in 17 | $12.32 | 2.5% | 37 | 39.0 | 0.95× |
| [XM1014 \| Entombed (Factory New) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-entombed-factory-new) | 1 in 14 | $11.90 | 2.9% | 45 | 45.5 | 0.99× |
| [USP-S \| Cortex (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-cortex-minimal-wear) | 1 in 14 | $9.12 | 2.2% | 27 | 45.5 | 0.59× |
| [Sawed-Off \| Kiss♥Love (Minimal Wear) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-kiss-love-minimal-wear) | 1 in 13 | $8.61 | 2.3% | 70 | 50.7 | 1.38× |
| [P250 \| Mint Kimono (Minimal Wear) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-mint-kimono-minimal-wear) | 1 in 13 | $8.43 | 2.3% | 52 | 52.0 | 1.00× |
| [P2000 \| Amber Fade (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-amber-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 13 | $6.34 | 1.7% | 42 | 52.0 | 0.81× |
| [MP9 \| Storm (Minimal Wear) weapon · common](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-storm-minimal-wear) | 1 in 13 | $4.84 | 1.3% | 47 | 52.0 | 0.90× |

Values are DaddySkins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `daddyskins:graphql case(slug: cyber-assault)`, 11 Nov, 15:00 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[★ Butterfly Knife | Scorched (Minimal Wear) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-scorched-minimal-wear) [\[BOT\] King Joffrey](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20King%20Joffrey) $36.08 $1,393 38.62x 2026-11-08 18:03 UTC

[★ Butterfly Knife | Scorched (Minimal Wear) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-scorched-minimal-wear) [Pumpinator](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/Pumpinator) $36.08 $1,393 38.62x 2026-11-08 13:53 UTC

[★ Karambit | Ultraviolet (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-ultraviolet-minimal-wear) [\[BOT\] Dr. Evil](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Dr.%20Evil) $36.08 $1,017 28.20x 2026-11-08 18:01 UTC

[★ Karambit | Ultraviolet (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-ultraviolet-minimal-wear) [barkfallout723](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/barkfallout723) $36.08 $1,017 28.20x 2026-11-07 09:35 UTC

[★ Bayonet | Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-fade-factory-new) [大裤衩灬](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%E5%A4%A7%E8%A3%A4%E8%A1%A9%E7%81%AC) $36.08 $573 15.89x 2026-11-06 19:24 UTC

[★ Talon Knife | Case Hardened (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-case-hardened-field-tested) [\[BOT\] Magneto](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Magneto) $36.08 $555 15.39x 2026-11-08 18:04 UTC

[★ Talon Knife | Case Hardened (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-case-hardened-field-tested) [\[BOT\] King Joffrey](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20King%20Joffrey) $36.08 $555 15.39x 2026-11-08 18:04 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=daddyskins&case=458)

[P250 | Mint Kimono (Minimal Wear) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-mint-kimono-minimal-wear) [\[BOT\] Dr. Evil](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Dr.%20Evil) $36.08 $8.43 0.23x 2026-11-11 14:01 UTC

[USP-S | Cortex (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-cortex-minimal-wear) [\[BOT\] Sauron](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Sauron) $36.08 $9.12 0.25x 2026-11-11 14:01 UTC

[P2000 | Amber Fade (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-amber-fade-factory-new) [\[BOT\] Frederick Charles Krueger](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Frederick%20Charles%20Krueger) $36.08 $6.34 0.18x 2026-11-11 14:01 UTC

[MP9 | Hypnotic (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-hypnotic-factory-new) [\[BOT\] Magneto](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Magneto) $36.08 $16.60 0.46x 2026-11-11 14:01 UTC

[M4A4 | Desert Storm (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-desert-storm-minimal-wear) [\[BOT\] King Joffrey](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20King%20Joffrey) $36.08 $18.51 0.51x 2026-11-11 14:01 UTC

[MP9 | Hypnotic (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-hypnotic-factory-new) [kevinlowroller](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/kevinlowroller) $36.08 $16.60 0.46x 2026-11-11 14:01 UTC

[Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love (Minimal Wear) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-kiss-love-minimal-wear) [\[BOT\] Voldemort](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Voldemort) $36.08 $8.61 0.24x 2026-11-11 07:05 UTC

[XM1014 | Entombed (Factory New) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-entombed-factory-new) [\[BOT\] Bane](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Bane) $36.08 $11.90 0.33x 2026-11-11 07:05 UTC

[Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love (Minimal Wear) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-kiss-love-minimal-wear) [\[BOT\] Hans Landa](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Hans%20Landa) $36.08 $8.61 0.24x 2026-11-11 07:05 UTC

[AWP | POP AWP (Minimal Wear) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-pop-awp-minimal-wear) [\[BOT\] T-1000](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20T-1000) $36.08 $12.32 0.34x 2026-11-11 07:05 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $36.08 | 80.82% | 34 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 3.5% gold 0.1% Immortal 0.1% sunny 0.2% covert knife 3.1% Classified 4.8% classified 22.2% blue 5.0% violet 11.2% industrial 5.5% restricted 13.5% Legendary 7.0% pink 7.8% consumer 8.0% common 8.0% best hit $1,393 (38.62x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 80.8% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $80.82 on average: an expected loss of $19.18 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt