---
title: "Hell Case CS2 (CSGO) case on DaddySkins: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Hell Case CS2 (CSGO) ($8.00) on DaddySkins, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 83.33% from 39 items with odds, observed 77.66% over 1,332 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/466
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:31Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [DaddySkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/daddyskins) / [Hell Case CS2 (CSGO)](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/466)

# [DaddySkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/daddyskins) · Hell Case CS2 (CSGO)

A case on DaddySkins, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is DaddySkins's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/466?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/466?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/466) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/466?window=all)

Price · $8.00

Advertised RTP · 83.33% · EV $6.67 from 39 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 77.66% · 1,332 openings, odds method

Variance · 16.3× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 12 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 91.3% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 80.45% ±66.80 140 openings

7 days · 81.47% ±24.22 1,065 openings

30 days · 77.66% ±21.66 1,332 openings

since tracking started · 77.66% ±21.66 1,332 openings

13.0% 80.5% 148.0%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/466?window=24h) | 140 | 80.45% ±66.8 | −0.1σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/466?window=7d) | 1,065 | 81.47% ±24.2 | −0.2σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/466) | 1,332 | 77.66% ±21.7 | −0.5σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/466?window=all) | 1,332 | 77.66% ±21.7 | −0.5σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 39 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,352 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Arid (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-arid-field-tested) | 1 in 20,000 | $2,232 | 1.7% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Fire Serpent (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fire-serpent-minimal-wear) | 1 in 20,000 | $1,943 | 1.5% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Printstream (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-printstream-factory-new) | 1 in 14,286 | $1,027 | 1.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Slaughter (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-slaughter-minimal-wear) | 1 in 10,000 | $992 | 1.5% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Ultraviolet (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-ultraviolet-field-tested) | 1 in 10,000 | $782 | 1.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Huntsman Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 9,091 | $611 | 1.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Nomad Knife \| Fade (Factory New) knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 9,091 | $607 | 1.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Safari Mesh (Field-Tested) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-safari-mesh-field-tested) | 1 in 9,091 | $606 | 1.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Bayonet \| Lore (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-lore-minimal-wear) | 1 in 6,667 | $571 | 1.3% | 1 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Shadow Daggers \| Doppler (Factory New) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 6,667 | $437 | 1.0% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [AWP \| Graphite (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-graphite-factory-new) | 1 in 4,000 | $263 | 1.0% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Big Game (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-big-game-field-tested) | 1 in 3,125 | $253 | 1.2% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Cyrex (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-cyrex-minimal-wear) | 1 in 2,222 | $207 | 1.4% | 1 | 0.6 | — |
| [★ Moto Gloves \| POW! (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-pow-field-tested) | 1 in 1,667 | $159 | 1.4% | 0 | 0.8 | — |
| [FAMAS \| Roll Cage (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-roll-cage-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,429 | $155 | 1.6% | 1 | 0.9 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Bullet Rain (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-bullet-rain-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,250 | $142 | 1.7% | 1 | 1.1 | 0.92× |
| [USP-S \| Neo-Noir (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-neo-noir-field-tested) | 1 in 725 | $110 | 2.3% | 2 | 1.9 | 1.07× |
| [AK-47 \| The Empress (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-the-empress-well-worn) | 1 in 556 | $103 | 2.8% | 4 | 2.4 | 1.64× |
| [★ Navaja Knife \| Stained (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-stained-field-tested) | 1 in 417 | $83.80 | 3.0% | 2 | 3.2 | 0.62× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Code Red (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-code-red-well-worn) | 1 in 167 | $50.11 | 4.5% | 6 | 8.1 | 0.74× |
| [MP7 \| Bloodsport (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-bloodsport-field-tested) | 1 in 143 | $47.79 | 5.0% | 12 | 9.5 | 1.27× |
| [AWP \| Fever Dream (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-fever-dream-field-tested) | 1 in 59 | $17.01 | 4.3% | 23 | 23.0 | 1.00× |
| [P250 \| Asiimov (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-asiimov-battle-scarred) | 1 in 45 | $12.74 | 4.2% | 32 | 29.7 | 1.08× |
| [R8 Revolver \| Llama Cannon (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-llama-cannon-field-tested) | 1 in 40 | $10.20 | 3.8% | 35 | 33.8 | 1.04× |
| [M4A4 \| Tooth Fairy (Minimal Wear) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-tooth-fairy-minimal-wear) | 1 in 33 | $7.39 | 3.3% | 37 | 40.6 | 0.91× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Mecha Industries (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-mecha-industries-field-tested) | 1 in 30 | $7.13 | 3.6% | 42 | 45.0 | 0.93× |
| [FAMAS \| Valence (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-valence-field-tested) | 1 in 20 | $5.06 | 3.8% | 73 | 67.6 | 1.08× |
| [USP-S \| Cortex (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-cortex-field-tested) | 1 in 20 | $4.97 | 3.7% | 59 | 67.6 | 0.87× |
| [Glock-18 \| Vogue (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-vogue-field-tested) | 1 in 20 | $4.85 | 3.6% | 76 | 67.6 | 1.12× |
| [AWP \| Mortis (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-mortis-field-tested) | 1 in 20 | $4.73 | 3.5% | 77 | 67.6 | 1.14× |
| [MP9 \| Food Chain (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-food-chain-well-worn) | 1 in 20 | $4.66 | 3.5% | 63 | 67.6 | 0.93× |
| [MP7 \| Olive Plaid (Minimal Wear) weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-olive-plaid-minimal-wear) | 1 in 20 | $3.77 | 2.8% | 73 | 67.6 | 1.08× |
| [Galil AR \| Tuxedo (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-tuxedo-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $3.33 | 2.5% | 62 | 67.6 | 0.92× |
| [Galil AR \| Rocket Pop (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-rocket-pop-minimal-wear) | 1 in 20 | $3.01 | 2.3% | 67 | 67.6 | 0.99× |
| [R8 Revolver \| Amber Fade (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-amber-fade-factory-new) | 10.0% | $2.89 | 4.3% | 134 | 135.2 | 0.99× |
| [MP7 \| Impire (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-impire-field-tested) | 1 in 20 | $2.88 | 2.2% | 61 | 67.6 | 0.90× |
| [MP9 \| Ruby Poison Dart (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-ruby-poison-dart-minimal-wear) | 10.0% | $2.69 | 4.0% | 128 | 135.2 | 0.95× |
| [Glock-18 \| Grinder (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-grinder-minimal-wear) | 10.0% | $2.58 | 3.9% | 142 | 135.2 | 1.05× |
| [P250 \| Nevermore (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-nevermore-minimal-wear) | 10.0% | $1.61 | 2.4% | 138 | 135.2 | 1.02× |

Values are DaddySkins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `daddyskins:graphql case(slug: hell-case)`, 11 Nov, 08:55 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[★ Bayonet | Lore (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-lore-minimal-wear) [R3NOS](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/R3NOS) $8.00 $571 71.34x 2026-11-06 07:54 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=daddyskins&case=466)

[Glock-18 | Vogue (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-vogue-field-tested) [Gravity Destroyer-](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/Gravity%20Destroyer-) $8.00 $4.85 0.61x 2026-11-11 12:24 UTC

[MP9 | Food Chain (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-food-chain-well-worn) [Schlub](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/Schlub) $8.00 $4.66 0.58x 2026-11-11 12:24 UTC

[Glock-18 | Grinder (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-grinder-minimal-wear) [AT11](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/AT11) $8.00 $2.58 0.32x 2026-11-11 12:24 UTC

[FAMAS | Valence (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-valence-field-tested) [EVI7QUEEN](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/EVI7QUEEN) $8.00 $5.06 0.63x 2026-11-11 12:24 UTC

[MP7 | Olive Plaid (Minimal Wear) weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-olive-plaid-minimal-wear) [Sr\_CleitinhoF](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/Sr_CleitinhoF) $8.00 $3.77 0.47x 2026-11-11 12:24 UTC

[Glock-18 | Vogue (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-vogue-field-tested) [Gravity Destroyer-](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/Gravity%20Destroyer-) $8.00 $4.85 0.61x 2026-11-11 12:24 UTC

[Galil AR | Rocket Pop (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-rocket-pop-minimal-wear) [Schlub](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/Schlub) $8.00 $3.01 0.38x 2026-11-11 12:24 UTC

[Glock-18 | Vogue (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-vogue-field-tested) [AT11](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/AT11) $8.00 $4.85 0.61x 2026-11-11 12:24 UTC

[MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-ruby-poison-dart-minimal-wear) [EVI7QUEEN](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/EVI7QUEEN) $8.00 $2.69 0.34x 2026-11-11 12:24 UTC

[Glock-18 | Grinder (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-grinder-minimal-wear) [Sr\_CleitinhoF](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/Sr_CleitinhoF) $8.00 $2.58 0.32x 2026-11-11 12:24 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $8.00 | 83.33% | 39 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed extraordinary 0.1% covert 2.1% #ffd700 0.0% epic 0.0% gold 0.0% Covert 0.0% classified 28.9% pink 2.5% #d32ee6 3.0% Legendary 8.3% restricted 25.0% Consumer Grade 5.0% Rare 5.0% mil spec 5.0% #8847ff 5.0% Mythical 10.0% best hit $571 (71.34x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 83.3% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $83.33 on average: an expected loss of $16.67 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt