--- title: "Prisma 2 Case CS2 (CSGO) on DaddySkins: odds & RTP" description: "Prisma 2 Case CS2 (CSGO) ($3.93) on DaddySkins, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 83.24% from 35 items with odds, observed 85.58% over 5,237 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/468 rendered: 2026-11-11T13:33Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [DaddySkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/daddyskins) / [Prisma 2 Case CS2 (CSGO)](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/468) # [DaddySkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/daddyskins) · Prisma 2 Case CS2 (CSGO) A case on DaddySkins, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is DaddySkins's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/468?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/468?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/468) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/468?window=all) Price · $3.93 Advertised RTP · 83.24% · EV $3.27 from 35 items Observed RTP, 30d · 85.58% · 5,237 openings, odds method Variance · 13.6× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 11 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 85.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 82.68% ±28.75 631 openings 7 days · 86.42% ±11.11 4,224 openings 30 days · 85.58% ±9.98 5,237 openings since tracking started · 85.58% ±9.98 5,237 openings 53.5% 82.8% 112.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/468?window=24h) | 631 | 82.68% ±28.7 | −0.0σ | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/468?window=7d) | 4,224 | 86.42% ±11.1 | +0.6σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/468) | 5,237 | 85.58% ±9.98 | +0.5σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/468?window=all) | 5,237 | 85.58% ±9.98 | +0.5σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 35 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 5,255 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Ursus Knife \| Ultraviolet (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-ultraviolet-factory-new) | 1 in 20,000 | $604 | 0.9% | 0 | 0.3 | — | | [★ Stiletto Knife \| Ultraviolet (Factory New) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-ultraviolet-factory-new) | 1 in 20,000 | $604 | 0.9% | 0 | 0.3 | — | | [★ Talon Knife \| Damascus Steel (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-damascus-steel-factory-new) | 1 in 20,000 | $529 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.3 | — | | [★ Stiletto Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 20,000 | $408 | 0.6% | 1 | 0.3 | — | | [★ Ursus Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 20,000 | $379 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.3 | — | | [M4A1-S \| Player Two (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-player-two-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $352 | 1.1% | 0 | 0.5 | — | | [★ Talon Knife \| Rust Coat (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-rust-coat-well-worn) | 1 in 10,000 | $349 | 1.1% | 1 | 0.5 | — | | [★ Stiletto Knife \| Damascus Steel (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-damascus-steel-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $317 | 1.0% | 2 | 0.5 | — | | [Glock-18 \| Bullet Queen (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-bullet-queen-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $302 | 0.9% | 0 | 0.5 | — | | [★ Ursus Knife \| Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $253 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.5 | — | | [★ Stiletto Knife \| Rust Coat (Well-Worn) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-rust-coat-well-worn) | 1 in 10,000 | $220 | 0.7% | 1 | 0.5 | — | | [★ Ursus Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $215 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.5 | — | | [★ Navaja Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 2,000 | $175 | 2.7% | 2 | 2.6 | 0.76× | | [★ Navaja Knife \| Ultraviolet (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-ultraviolet-factory-new) | 1 in 2,000 | $173 | 2.6% | 4 | 2.6 | 1.52× | | [★ Ursus Knife \| Damascus Steel (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-damascus-steel-factory-new) | 1 in 2,000 | $145 | 2.2% | 3 | 2.6 | 1.14× | | [★ Navaja Knife \| Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 2,000 | $138 | 2.1% | 4 | 2.6 | 1.52× | | [★ Navaja Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 2,000 | $114 | 1.7% | 3 | 2.6 | 1.14× | | [★ Ursus Knife \| Rust Coat (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-rust-coat-well-worn) | 1 in 2,000 | $104 | 1.6% | 2 | 2.6 | 0.76× | | [★ Navaja Knife \| Damascus Steel (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-damascus-steel-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $88.59 | 2.7% | 9 | 5.3 | 1.71× | | [★ Navaja Knife \| Rust Coat (Well-Worn) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-rust-coat-well-worn) | 1 in 1,000 | $70.13 | 2.1% | 5 | 5.3 | 0.95× | | [MAC-10 \| Disco Tech (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-disco-tech-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $55.69 | 1.7% | 3 | 5.3 | 0.57× | | [AK-47 \| Phantom Disruptor (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-phantom-disruptor-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $51.85 | 1.6% | 4 | 5.3 | 0.76× | | [MAG-7 \| Justice (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-justice-factory-new) | 1 in 500 | $40.73 | 2.5% | 11 | 10.5 | 1.05× | | [P2000 \| Acid Etched (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-acid-etched-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $13.51 | 4.1% | 58 | 52.6 | 1.10× | | [SCAR-20 \| Enforcer (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-enforcer-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $8.24 | 5.0% | 100 | 105.1 | 0.95× | | [SG 553 \| Darkwing (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-darkwing-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $8.14 | 5.0% | 106 | 105.1 | 1.01× | | [Sawed-Off \| Apocalypto (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-apocalypto-factory-new) | 1 in 33 | $7.82 | 7.2% | 140 | 157.7 | 0.89× | | [SSG 08 \| Fever Dream (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-fever-dream-factory-new) | 1 in 33 | $6.48 | 5.9% | 161 | 157.7 | 1.02× | | [AWP \| Capillary (Factory New) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-capillary-factory-new) | 1 in 33 | $6.26 | 5.7% | 184 | 157.7 | 1.17× | | [Desert Eagle \| Blue Ply (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-blue-ply-factory-new) | 1 in 14 | $3.71 | 7.9% | 359 | 368.1 | 0.98× | | [CZ75-Auto \| Distressed (Factory New) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-distressed-factory-new) | 10.0% | $1.77 | 5.4% | 532 | 525.5 | 1.01× | | [MP5-SD \| Desert Strike (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-desert-strike-factory-new) | 16.0% | $1.50 | 7.3% | 857 | 840.8 | 1.02× | | [AUG \| Tom Cat (Factory New) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-tom-cat-factory-new) | 16.0% | $0.87 | 4.3% | 804 | 840.8 | 0.96× | | [R8 Revolver \| Bone Forged (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-bone-forged-factory-new) | 18.0% | $0.78 | 4.3% | 942 | 945.9 | 1.00× | | [Negev \| Prototype (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-prototype-factory-new) | 18.0% | $0.76 | 4.2% | 957 | 945.9 | 1.01× | Values are DaddySkins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `daddyskins:graphql case(slug: prisma-2-case)`, 11 Nov, 08:55 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Stiletto Knife | Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) [??????? ♿](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%3F%20%E2%99%BF) $3.93 $408 103.8x 2026-11-06 10:32 UTC [★ Talon Knife | Rust Coat (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-rust-coat-well-worn) [Leotuor csgostep.com](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/Leotuor%20csgostep.com) $3.93 $349 88.80x 2026-11-04 10:48 UTC [★ Stiletto Knife | Damascus Steel (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-damascus-steel-factory-new) [Re\[w\]\_TNK](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/Re%5Bw%5D_TNK) $3.93 $317 80.64x 2026-11-09 11:39 UTC [★ Stiletto Knife | Damascus Steel (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-damascus-steel-factory-new) [ekan.18 SITE\_NAME](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/ekan.18%20SITE_NAME) $3.93 $317 80.64x 2026-11-04 19:30 UTC [★ Stiletto Knife | Rust Coat (Well-Worn) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-rust-coat-well-worn) [Dallas](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/Dallas) $3.93 $220 56.06x 2026-11-08 07:51 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=daddyskins&case=468) [CZ75-Auto | Distressed (Factory New) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-distressed-factory-new) [✦ Cuervo™✦ 2.0](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%E2%9C%A6%20Cuervo%E2%84%A2%E2%9C%A6%202.0) $3.93 $1.77 0.45x 2026-11-11 13:29 UTC [CZ75-Auto | Distressed (Factory New) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-distressed-factory-new) [NicoBoyzzzz |](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/NicoBoyzzzz%20%7C) $3.93 $1.77 0.45x 2026-11-11 13:29 UTC [R8 Revolver | Bone Forged (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-bone-forged-factory-new) [Miguel](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/Miguel) $3.93 $0.78 0.20x 2026-11-11 13:29 UTC [R8 Revolver | Bone Forged (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-bone-forged-factory-new) [Can I get an OhHH YeeEEaaaHH?](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/Can%20I%20get%20an%20OhHH%20YeeEEaaaHH%3F) $3.93 $0.78 0.20x 2026-11-11 13:27 UTC [Desert Eagle | Blue Ply (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-blue-ply-factory-new) [Maniac](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/Maniac) $3.93 $3.71 0.94x 2026-11-11 13:27 UTC [SCAR-20 | Enforcer (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-enforcer-factory-new) [Can I get an OhHH YeeEEaaaHH?](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/Can%20I%20get%20an%20OhHH%20YeeEEaaaHH%3F) $3.93 $8.24 2.10x 2026-11-11 13:19 UTC [AUG | Tom Cat (Factory New) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-tom-cat-factory-new) [Ninguém404](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/Ningu%C3%A9m404) $3.93 $0.87 0.22x 2026-11-11 13:19 UTC [Desert Eagle | Blue Ply (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-blue-ply-factory-new) [Miguel](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/Miguel) $3.93 $3.71 0.94x 2026-11-11 13:19 UTC [AUG | Tom Cat (Factory New) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-tom-cat-factory-new) [HLXG](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/HLXG) $3.93 $0.87 0.22x 2026-11-11 13:19 UTC [SSG 08 | Fever Dream (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-fever-dream-factory-new) [1124827605](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/1124827605) $3.93 $6.48 1.65x 2026-11-11 13:11 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $3.93 | 83.24% | 35 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 0.4% Covert 0.1% sunny 0.0% rare 0.0% covert knife 0.0% gold 0.1% classified 0.4% restricted 11.0% #4b69ff 13.0% mil spec 7.0% Rare 34.0% milspec 16.0% blue 18.0% best hit $408 (103.8x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 83.2% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $83.24 on average: an expected loss of $16.76 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt