---
title: "Operation Riptide Case CS2 (CSGO) on DaddySkins: odds & RTP"
description: "Item values at the site’s own prices, biggest and latest drops. Independent and free, no sign-up. Figures from public feeds and chains."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/469
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:51Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [DaddySkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/daddyskins) / [Operation Riptide Case CS2 (CSGO)](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/469)

# [DaddySkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/daddyskins) · Operation Riptide Case CS2 (CSGO)

A case on DaddySkins, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is DaddySkins's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/469?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/469?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/469) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/469?window=all)

Price · $12.02

Advertised RTP · 83.31% · EV $10.01 from 44 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 78.48% · 1,669 openings, odds method

Variance · 4.1× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 20.8% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 79.2% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 83.71% ±33.69 139 openings

7 days · 79.88% ±10.32 1,480 openings

30 days · 78.48% ±9.72 1,669 openings

since tracking started · 78.48% ±9.72 1,669 openings

49.5% 83.7% 118.0%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/469?window=24h) | 139 | 83.71% ±33.7 | +0.0σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/469?window=7d) | 1,480 | 79.88% ±10.3 | −0.7σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/469) | 1,669 | 78.48% ±9.72 | −1.0σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/469?window=all) | 1,669 | 78.48% ±9.72 | −1.0σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 44 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,692 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Autotronic (Factory New) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-autotronic-factory-new) | 1 in 20,000 | $1,878 | 0.9% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Leet Museo (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-leet-museo-factory-new) | 1 in 20,000 | $1,289 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Black Laminate (Factory New) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-black-laminate-factory-new) | 1 in 20,000 | $1,098 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Freehand (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-freehand-factory-new) | 1 in 20,000 | $854 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Bright Water (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-bright-water-factory-new) | 1 in 20,000 | $782 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Ocean Drive (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-ocean-drive-factory-new) | 1 in 20,000 | $567 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Falchion Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 20,000 | $346 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Huntsman Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 20,000 | $345 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 20,000 | $312 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Lore (Factory New) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-lore-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $289 | 0.3% | 1 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Huntsman Knife \| Autotronic (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-autotronic-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $285 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Snack Attack (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-snack-attack-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $271 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Falchion Knife \| Autotronic (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-autotronic-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $237 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Falchion Knife \| Lore (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-lore-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $237 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Huntsman Knife \| Lore (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-lore-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $222 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Autotronic (Factory New) knife · Immortal](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-autotronic-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $221 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Huntsman Knife \| Black Laminate (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-black-laminate-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $204 | 0.2% | 1 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Shadow Daggers \| Lore (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-lore-factory-new) | 1 in 5,000 | $170 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [★ Falchion Knife \| Black Laminate (Factory New) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-black-laminate-factory-new) | 1 in 5,000 | $154 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [★ Shadow Daggers \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-gamma-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 5,000 | $153 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [★ Falchion Knife \| Freehand (Factory New) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-freehand-factory-new) | 1 in 5,000 | $148 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Spider Lily (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-spider-lily-factory-new) | 1 in 5,000 | $141 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [★ Falchion Knife \| Bright Water (Factory New) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-bright-water-factory-new) | 1 in 3,333 | $138 | 0.4% | 1 | 0.5 | — |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Freehand (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-freehand-factory-new) | 1 in 3,333 | $133 | 0.4% | 1 | 0.5 | — |
| [★ Huntsman Knife \| Freehand (Factory New) knife · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-freehand-factory-new) | 1 in 3,333 | $133 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| [★ Shadow Daggers \| Autotronic (Factory New) knife · Immortal](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-autotronic-factory-new) | 1 in 3,333 | $128 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| [MAC-10 \| Toybox (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-toybox-factory-new) | 1 in 3,333 | $128 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| [★ Huntsman Knife \| Bright Water (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-bright-water-factory-new) | 1 in 3,333 | $117 | 0.4% | 1 | 0.5 | — |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Bright Water (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-bright-water-factory-new) | 1 in 2,000 | $111 | 0.6% | 2 | 0.8 | — |
| [SSG 08 \| Turbo Peek (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-turbo-peek-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $102 | 1.0% | 1 | 1.7 | 0.59× |
| [★ Shadow Daggers \| Freehand (Factory New) knife · Immortal](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-freehand-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $95.90 | 1.0% | 1 | 1.7 | 0.59× |
| [★ Shadow Daggers \| Black Laminate (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-black-laminate-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $91.28 | 0.9% | 2 | 1.7 | 1.18× |
| [★ Shadow Daggers \| Bright Water (Factory New) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-bright-water-factory-new) | 1 in 200 | $75.37 | 3.8% | 7 | 8.5 | 0.83× |
| [USP-S \| Black Lotus (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-black-lotus-factory-new) | 1 in 67 | $33.83 | 5.1% | 26 | 25.4 | 1.02× |
| [MP9 \| Mount Fuji (Factory New) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-mount-fuji-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $29.10 | 5.8% | 38 | 33.8 | 1.12× |
| [FAMAS \| ZX Spectron (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-zx-spectron-factory-new) | 1 in 33 | $27.79 | 8.3% | 42 | 50.8 | 0.83× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Boost Protocol (Factory New) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-boost-protocol-factory-new) | 1 in 17 | $13.27 | 8.0% | 115 | 101.5 | 1.13× |
| [MAG-7 \| BI83 Spectrum (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-bi83-spectrum-factory-new) | 1 in 14 | $12.71 | 8.9% | 110 | 118.4 | 0.93× |
| [XM1014 \| Watchdog (Factory New) weapon · 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-watchdog-factory-new) | 1 in 11 | $8.68 | 7.8% | 148 | 152.3 | 0.97× |
| [MP7 \| Guerrilla (Factory New) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-guerrilla-factory-new) | 1 in 11 | $7.15 | 6.4% | 148 | 152.3 | 0.97× |
| [Dual Berettas \| Tread (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-tread-factory-new) | 1 in 11 | $6.54 | 5.9% | 156 | 152.3 | 1.02× |
| [PP-Bizon \| Lumen (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-lumen-factory-new) | 12.2% | $5.67 | 6.9% | 229 | 207.2 | 1.11× |
| [G3SG1 \| Keeping Tabs (Factory New) weapon · Mil Spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-keeping-tabs-factory-new) | 15.0% | $5.30 | 7.9% | 251 | 253.8 | 0.99× |
| [AUG \| Plague (Factory New) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-plague-factory-new) | 25.0% | $4.90 | 12.2% | 411 | 423.0 | 0.97× |

Values are DaddySkins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `daddyskins:graphql case(slug: operation-riptide-case)`, 11 Nov, 08:55 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=daddyskins&case=469)

[G3SG1 | Keeping Tabs (Factory New) weapon · Mil Spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-keeping-tabs-factory-new) [Sanji](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/Sanji) $12.02 $5.30 0.44x 2026-11-11 13:51 UTC

[G3SG1 | Keeping Tabs (Factory New) weapon · Mil Spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-keeping-tabs-factory-new) [✪ Kim Jong-un](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%E2%9C%AA%20Kim%20Jong-un) $12.02 $5.30 0.44x 2026-11-11 13:51 UTC

[Dual Berettas | Tread (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-tread-factory-new) [| Jocimar](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%7C%20Jocimar) $12.02 $6.54 0.54x 2026-11-11 13:51 UTC

[G3SG1 | Keeping Tabs (Factory New) weapon · Mil Spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-keeping-tabs-factory-new) [Hajzlát](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/Hajzl%C3%A1t) $12.02 $5.30 0.44x 2026-11-11 13:20 UTC

[MP9 | Mount Fuji (Factory New) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-mount-fuji-factory-new) [Miguel](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/Miguel) $12.02 $29.10 2.42x 2026-11-11 13:20 UTC

[PP-Bizon | Lumen (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-lumen-factory-new) [Kapitan Gówienow](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/Kapitan%20G%C3%B3wienow) $12.02 $5.67 0.47x 2026-11-11 13:20 UTC

[MP7 | Guerrilla (Factory New) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-guerrilla-factory-new) [\[BOT\] John Doe](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20John%20Doe) $12.02 $7.15 0.59x 2026-11-11 12:28 UTC

[AUG | Plague (Factory New) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-plague-factory-new) [User1917263](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/User1917263) $12.02 $4.90 0.41x 2026-11-11 12:28 UTC

[MP9 | Mount Fuji (Factory New) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-mount-fuji-factory-new) [\[BOT\] Max Cady](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Max%20Cady) $12.02 $29.10 2.42x 2026-11-11 12:28 UTC

[XM1014 | Watchdog (Factory New) weapon · 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-watchdog-factory-new) [\[BOT\] T-1000](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20T-1000) $12.02 $8.68 0.72x 2026-11-11 12:28 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $12.02 | 83.31% | 44 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed 1 9.0% covert knife 0.1% covert 0.3% gold 0.5% sunny 0.0% Covert 0.0% classified 0.1% Immortal 0.1% restricted 10.0% rare 0.0% mil spec 22.7% violet 2.0% Mythical 6.0% Mil Spec Grade 34.0% Mil Spec 15.0% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 83.3% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $83.31 on average: an expected loss of $16.69 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt