---
title: "Shattered Web Case CS2 (CSGO) on DaddySkins: odds & RTP"
description: "Item values at the site’s own prices, biggest and latest drops. Independent and free, no sign-up. Figures from public feeds and chains."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/472
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:30Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [DaddySkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/daddyskins) / [Shattered Web Case CS2 (CSGO)](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/472)

# [DaddySkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/daddyskins) · Shattered Web Case CS2 (CSGO)

A case on DaddySkins, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is DaddySkins's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/472?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/472?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/472) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/472?window=all)

Price · $6.77

Advertised RTP · 83.25% · EV $5.64 from 64 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 77.52% · 1,576 openings, odds method

Variance · 13.8× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 25.0% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 97.0% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 69.94% ±37.24 383 openings

7 days · 79.54% ±19.79 1,356 openings

30 days · 77.52% ±18.36 1,576 openings

since tracking started · 77.52% ±18.36 1,576 openings

32.0% 70.0% 108.0%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/472?window=24h) | 383 | 69.94% ±37.2 | −0.7σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/472?window=7d) | 1,356 | 79.54% ±19.8 | −0.4σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/472) | 1,576 | 77.52% ±18.4 | −0.6σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/472?window=all) | 1,576 | 77.52% ±18.4 | −0.6σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 64 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,576 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ Paracord Knife \| Crimson Web (Factory New) knife · Immortal](https://gambatracker.com/items/paracord-knife-crimson-web-factory-new) | 1 in 20,000 | $1,429 | 1.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [AWP \| Containment Breach (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-containment-breach-factory-new) | 1 in 20,000 | $1,340 | 1.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Nomad Knife \| Crimson Web (Factory New) knife · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-crimson-web-factory-new) | 1 in 20,000 | $1,237 | 1.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Survival Knife \| Crimson Web (Factory New) knife · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/survival-knife-crimson-web-factory-new) | 1 in 20,000 | $837 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Skeleton Knife \| Fade (Factory New) knife · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 20,000 | $754 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Skeleton Knife \| Night Stripe (Factory New) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-night-stripe-factory-new) | 1 in 20,000 | $676 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Skeleton Knife \| Case Hardened (Factory New) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-case-hardened-factory-new) | 1 in 20,000 | $609 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Skeleton Knife \| Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-slaughter-factory-new) | 1 in 20,000 | $543 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Skeleton Knife \| Scorched (Factory New) knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-scorched-factory-new) | 1 in 20,000 | $501 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Skeleton Knife \| Blue Steel (Factory New) knife · Immortal](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-blue-steel-factory-new) | 1 in 20,000 | $488 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Skeleton Knife \| Stained (Factory New) knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-stained-factory-new) | 1 in 20,000 | $468 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Nomad Knife \| Case Hardened (Factory New) knife · Immortal](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-case-hardened-factory-new) | 1 in 20,000 | $436 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Nomad Knife \| Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-slaughter-factory-new) | 1 in 20,000 | $410 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Nomad Knife \| Urban Masked (Factory New) knife · knifes](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-urban-masked-factory-new) | 1 in 20,000 | $383 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Skeleton Knife \| Boreal Forest (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-boreal-forest-factory-new) | 1 in 20,000 | $381 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Nomad Knife \| Fade (Factory New) knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 20,000 | $377 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [SSG 08 \| Blood in the Water (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-blood-in-the-water-factory-new) | 1 in 20,000 | $353 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Skeleton Knife \| Forest DDPAT (Factory New) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-forest-ddpat-factory-new) | 1 in 20,000 | $335 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Paracord Knife \| Night Stripe (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/paracord-knife-night-stripe-factory-new) | 1 in 20,000 | $324 | 0.3% | 1 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Paracord Knife \| Case Hardened (Factory New) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/paracord-knife-case-hardened-factory-new) | 1 in 20,000 | $322 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Nomad Knife \| Blue Steel (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-blue-steel-factory-new) | 1 in 20,000 | $305 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Nomad Knife \| Stained (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-stained-factory-new) | 1 in 20,000 | $299 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Survival Knife \| Case Hardened (Factory New) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/survival-knife-case-hardened-factory-new) | 1 in 20,000 | $272 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Paracord Knife \| Urban Masked (Factory New) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/paracord-knife-urban-masked-factory-new) | 1 in 20,000 | $252 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Nomad Knife \| Night Stripe (Factory New) knife · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-night-stripe-factory-new) | 1 in 20,000 | $248 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Paracord Knife \| Fade (Factory New) knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/paracord-knife-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 20,000 | $245 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Nomad Knife \| Scorched (Factory New) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-scorched-factory-new) | 1 in 20,000 | $230 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Survival Knife \| Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/survival-knife-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 20,000 | $222 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Nomad Knife \| Boreal Forest (Factory New) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-boreal-forest-factory-new) | 1 in 20,000 | $221 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Nomad Knife \| Forest DDPAT (Factory New) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-forest-ddpat-factory-new) | 1 in 20,000 | $215 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Paracord Knife \| Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/paracord-knife-slaughter-factory-new) | 1 in 20,000 | $214 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [MAC-10 \| Stalker (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-stalker-factory-new) | 1 in 2,000 | $207 | 1.8% | 0 | 0.8 | — |
| [★ Paracord Knife \| Blue Steel (Factory New) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/paracord-knife-blue-steel-factory-new) | 1 in 20,000 | $205 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Nomad Knife \| Safari Mesh (Factory New) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-safari-mesh-factory-new) | 1 in 20,000 | $201 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Skeleton Knife \| Safari Mesh (Factory New) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-safari-mesh-factory-new) | 1 in 20,000 | $200 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Survival Knife \| Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/survival-knife-slaughter-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $195 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Skeleton Knife \| Urban Masked (Factory New) knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-urban-masked-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $187 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Survival Knife \| Blue Steel (Factory New) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/survival-knife-blue-steel-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $164 | 0.3% | 1 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Paracord Knife \| Boreal Forest (Factory New) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/paracord-knife-boreal-forest-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $163 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Paracord Knife \| Scorched (Factory New) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/paracord-knife-scorched-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $159 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Survival Knife \| Scorched (Factory New) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/survival-knife-scorched-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $158 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Survival Knife \| Night Stripe (Factory New) knife · knifes](https://gambatracker.com/items/survival-knife-night-stripe-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $154 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Survival Knife \| Urban Masked (Factory New) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/survival-knife-urban-masked-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $145 | 0.3% | 1 | 0.2 | — |
| [Tec-9 \| Decimator (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-decimator-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $143 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Survival Knife \| Stained (Factory New) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/survival-knife-stained-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $138 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Paracord Knife \| Forest DDPAT (Factory New) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/paracord-knife-forest-ddpat-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $134 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Survival Knife \| Forest DDPAT (Factory New) knife · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/survival-knife-forest-ddpat-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $133 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Paracord Knife \| Stained (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/paracord-knife-stained-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $130 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Paracord Knife \| Safari Mesh (Factory New) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/paracord-knife-safari-mesh-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $123 | 2.2% | 3 | 1.6 | 1.90× |
| [AK-47 \| Rat Rod (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-rat-rod-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $117 | 2.1% | 0 | 1.6 | 0.00× |
| [★ Survival Knife \| Safari Mesh (Factory New) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/survival-knife-safari-mesh-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $117 | 2.1% | 2 | 1.6 | 1.27× |
| [★ Survival Knife \| Boreal Forest (Factory New) knife · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/survival-knife-boreal-forest-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $114 | 2.0% | 3 | 1.6 | 1.90× |
| [SG 553 \| Colony IV (Factory New) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-colony-iv-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $94.65 | 1.7% | 2 | 1.6 | 1.27× |
| [PP-Bizon \| Embargo (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-embargo-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $58.06 | 1.0% | 4 | 1.6 | 2.54× |
| [P2000 \| Obsidian (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-obsidian-factory-new) | 1 in 400 | $29.83 | 1.3% | 8 | 3.9 | 2.03× |
| [MP7 \| Neon Ply (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-neon-ply-factory-new) | 1 in 333 | $17.84 | 0.9% | 3 | 4.7 | 0.63× |
| [AUG \| Arctic Wolf (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-arctic-wolf-factory-new) | 1 in 200 | $16.01 | 1.4% | 6 | 7.9 | 0.76× |
| [Dual Berettas \| Balance (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-balance-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $9.00 | 1.6% | 18 | 15.8 | 1.14× |
| [M249 \| Warbird (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/m249-warbird-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $6.40 | 2.3% | 30 | 31.5 | 0.95× |
| [R8 Revolver \| Memento (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-memento-factory-new) | 10.0% | $4.65 | 8.3% | 161 | 157.6 | 1.02× |
| [G3SG1 \| Black Sand (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-black-sand-factory-new) | 10.0% | $4.18 | 7.4% | 175 | 157.6 | 1.11× |
| [Nova \| Plume (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-plume-factory-new) | 25.0% | $3.69 | 16.4% | 393 | 394.0 | 1.00× |
| [MP5-SD \| Acid Wash (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-acid-wash-factory-new) | 25.0% | $3.63 | 16.1% | 377 | 394.0 | 0.96× |
| [SCAR-20 \| Torn (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-torn-factory-new) | 25.0% | $3.17 | 14.1% | 388 | 394.0 | 0.98× |

Values are DaddySkins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `daddyskins:graphql case(slug: shattered-web-case)`, 11 Nov, 08:55 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=daddyskins&case=472)

[MP5-SD | Acid Wash (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-acid-wash-factory-new) [1124827605](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/1124827605) $6.77 $3.63 0.54x 2026-11-11 13:08 UTC

[R8 Revolver | Memento (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-memento-factory-new) [RetroGod](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/RetroGod) $6.77 $4.65 0.69x 2026-11-11 13:08 UTC

[MP5-SD | Acid Wash (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-acid-wash-factory-new) [big250](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/big250) $6.77 $3.63 0.54x 2026-11-11 12:48 UTC

[Nova | Plume (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-plume-factory-new) [Giorno Giovanna](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/Giorno%20Giovanna) $6.77 $3.69 0.55x 2026-11-11 12:48 UTC

[G3SG1 | Black Sand (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-black-sand-factory-new) [abd28](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/abd28) $6.77 $4.18 0.62x 2026-11-11 12:48 UTC

[SCAR-20 | Torn (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-torn-factory-new) [Schlub](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/Schlub) $6.77 $3.17 0.47x 2026-11-11 12:48 UTC

[Nova | Plume (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-plume-factory-new) [big250](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/big250) $6.77 $3.69 0.55x 2026-11-11 12:48 UTC

[R8 Revolver | Memento (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-memento-factory-new) [Giorno Giovanna](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/Giorno%20Giovanna) $6.77 $4.65 0.69x 2026-11-11 12:48 UTC

[SCAR-20 | Torn (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-torn-factory-new) [abd28](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/abd28) $6.77 $3.17 0.47x 2026-11-11 12:48 UTC

[MP5-SD | Acid Wash (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-acid-wash-factory-new) [Schlub](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/Schlub) $6.77 $3.63 0.54x 2026-11-11 12:48 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $6.77 | 83.25% | 64 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed Immortal 0.0% covert 0.1% legendary 0.0% Covert 0.0% gold 0.0% epic 0.0% knifes 0.0% covert knife 0.3% rare 0.1% classified 0.0% restricted 1.3% #d32ee6 0.1% mil spec 98.0% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 83.2% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $83.25 on average: an expected loss of $16.75 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt