---
title: "Clash GG Case case on DaddySkins: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Clash GG Case ($2.00) on DaddySkins, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 83.31% from 25 items with odds, observed 85.50% over 5,347 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/474
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:40Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [DaddySkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/daddyskins) / [Clash GG Case](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/474)

# [DaddySkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/daddyskins) · Clash GG Case

A case on DaddySkins, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is DaddySkins's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/474?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/474?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/474) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/474?window=all)

Price · $2.00

Advertised RTP · 83.31% · EV $1.67 from 25 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 85.50% · 5,347 openings, odds method

Variance · 27.7× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 20.1% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 88.9% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 67.19% ±42.12 601 openings

7 days · 87.06% ±15.32 4,544 openings

30 days · 85.50% ±14.12 5,347 openings

since tracking started · 85.50% ±14.12 5,347 openings

24.5% 67.3% 110.0%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/474?window=24h) | 601 | 67.19% ±42.1 | −0.8σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/474?window=7d) | 4,544 | 87.06% ±15.3 | +0.5σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/474) | 5,347 | 85.50% ±14.1 | +0.3σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/474?window=all) | 5,347 | 85.50% ±14.1 | +0.3σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 25 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 5,380 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ Huntsman Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 20,000 | $611 | 1.8% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Case Hardened (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-case-hardened-field-tested) | 1 in 20,000 | $594 | 1.8% | 2 | 0.3 | — |
| [AWP \| Oni Taiji (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-oni-taiji-field-tested) | 1 in 20,000 | $526 | 1.6% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Vulcan (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-vulcan-minimal-wear) | 1 in 20,000 | $521 | 1.6% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [P90 \| Asiimov (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-asiimov-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $301 | 1.8% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| [★ Ursus Knife \| Slaughter (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-slaughter-minimal-wear) | 1 in 10,000 | $263 | 1.6% | 2 | 0.5 | — |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Big Game (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-big-game-field-tested) | 1 in 10,000 | $253 | 1.5% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Wasteland Rebel (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-wasteland-rebel-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $214 | 1.3% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| [★ Shadow Daggers \| Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 5,000 | $184 | 2.2% | 0 | 1.1 | 0.00× |
| [★ Moto Gloves \| POW! (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-pow-field-tested) | 1 in 3,333 | $161 | 2.9% | 1 | 1.6 | 0.62× |
| [P90 \| Shallow Grave (Well-Worn) weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-shallow-grave-well-worn) | 1 in 909 | $50.46 | 3.3% | 10 | 5.9 | 1.69× |
| [M4A4 \| In Living Color (Field-Tested) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-in-living-color-field-tested) | 1 in 769 | $43.01 | 3.4% | 2 | 7.0 | 0.29× |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Xiangliu (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-xiangliu-field-tested) | 1 in 333 | $16.71 | 3.0% | 16 | 16.1 | 0.99× |
| [AUG \| Syd Mead (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-syd-mead-field-tested) | 1 in 286 | $13.41 | 2.8% | 17 | 18.8 | 0.90× |
| [StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Light Rail (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-light-rail-field-tested) | 1 in 111 | $4.49 | 2.4% | 52 | 48.4 | 1.07× |
| [M4A4 \| Griffin (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-griffin-field-tested) | 1 in 100 | $4.14 | 2.5% | 58 | 53.8 | 1.08× |
| [MP7 \| Impire (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-impire-field-tested) | 1 in 67 | $2.99 | 2.7% | 64 | 80.7 | 0.79× |
| [StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Directive (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-directive-field-tested) | 1 in 59 | $2.85 | 2.9% | 100 | 91.5 | 1.09× |
| [Galil AR \| Crimson Tsunami (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-crimson-tsunami-field-tested) | 1 in 20 | $2.22 | 6.7% | 293 | 269.0 | 1.09× |
| [StatTrak™ MP9 \| Goo (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp9-goo-field-tested) | 1 in 11 | $1.91 | 10.3% | 453 | 484.2 | 0.94× |
| [StatTrak™ SG 553 \| Phantom (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-sg-553-phantom-field-tested) | 11.0% | $1.51 | 10.0% | 593 | 591.8 | 1.00× |
| [XM1014 \| Ziggy (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-ziggy-field-tested) | 11.0% | $1.07 | 7.1% | 561 | 591.8 | 0.95× |
| [USP-S \| Flashback (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-flashback-field-tested) | 11.0% | $0.89 | 5.9% | 597 | 591.8 | 1.01× |
| [M4A4 \| Converter (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-converter-minimal-wear) | 11.0% | $0.73 | 4.8% | 593 | 591.8 | 1.00× |
| [P250 \| Cyber Shell (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-cyber-shell-field-tested) | 35.9% | $0.66 | 14.2% | 1,966 | 1931.4 | 1.02× |

Values are DaddySkins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `daddyskins:graphql case(slug: clash-gg-case)`, 11 Nov, 08:55 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[StatTrak™ AK-47 | Case Hardened (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-case-hardened-field-tested) [我拿AK47突突突你死](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%E6%88%91%E6%8B%BFAK47%E7%AA%81%E7%AA%81%E7%AA%81%E4%BD%A0%E6%AD%BB) $2.00 $594 297.2x 2026-11-08 13:48 UTC

[StatTrak™ AK-47 | Case Hardened (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-case-hardened-field-tested) [Goloden](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/Goloden) $2.00 $594 297.2x 2026-11-04 22:40 UTC

[★ Ursus Knife | Slaughter (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-slaughter-minimal-wear) [EL1TE](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/EL1TE) $2.00 $263 131.4x 2026-11-10 04:46 UTC

[★ Ursus Knife | Slaughter (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-slaughter-minimal-wear) [LOSE STREAK](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/LOSE%20STREAK) $2.00 $263 131.4x 2026-11-06 18:30 UTC

[★ Moto Gloves | POW! (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-pow-field-tested) [MomysAysYes](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/MomysAysYes) $2.00 $161 80.49x 2026-11-04 08:40 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=daddyskins&case=474)

[USP-S | Flashback (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-flashback-field-tested) [Cardano](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/Cardano) $2.00 $0.89 0.45x 2026-11-11 13:19 UTC

[StatTrak™ SG 553 | Phantom (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-sg-553-phantom-field-tested) [Kapitan Gówienow](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/Kapitan%20G%C3%B3wienow) $2.00 $1.51 0.76x 2026-11-11 13:19 UTC

[StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Directive (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-directive-field-tested) [✪TRIF](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%E2%9C%AATRIF) $2.00 $2.85 1.43x 2026-11-11 13:19 UTC

[StatTrak™ MP9 | Goo (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp9-goo-field-tested) [Samy](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/Samy) $2.00 $1.91 0.96x 2026-11-11 13:19 UTC

[StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Directive (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-directive-field-tested) [Hath Master](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/Hath%20Master) $2.00 $2.85 1.43x 2026-11-11 13:07 UTC

[StatTrak™ MP9 | Goo (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp9-goo-field-tested) [Tamerunal98](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/Tamerunal98) $2.00 $1.91 0.96x 2026-11-11 13:07 UTC

[Galil AR | Crimson Tsunami (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-crimson-tsunami-field-tested) [\`bizzkit](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%60bizzkit) $2.00 $2.22 1.11x 2026-11-11 13:07 UTC

[M4A4 | Griffin (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-griffin-field-tested) [Mayers](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/Mayers) $2.00 $4.14 2.07x 2026-11-11 13:07 UTC

[StatTrak™ MP9 | Goo (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp9-goo-field-tested) [loens](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/loens) $2.00 $1.91 0.96x 2026-11-11 13:06 UTC

[XM1014 | Ziggy (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-ziggy-field-tested) [\`bizzkit](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%60bizzkit) $2.00 $1.07 0.54x 2026-11-11 13:06 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $2.00 | 83.31% | 25 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed #ffd700 0.0% classified 0.0% covert 0.1% extraordinary 0.0% Classified 0.1% Ancient 0.1% Legendary 0.3% pink 0.3% restricted 23.6% #8847ff 53.4% violet 11.0% mil spec 11.0% best hit $594 (297.2x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 83.3% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $83.31 on average: an expected loss of $16.69 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt