--- title: "CS Money Case case on DaddySkins: odds, RTP & drops" description: "CS Money Case ($2.00) on DaddySkins, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 83.32% from 27 items with odds, observed 80.26% over 5,817 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/475 rendered: 2026-11-11T13:29Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [DaddySkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/daddyskins) / [CS Money Case](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/475) # [DaddySkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/daddyskins) · CS Money Case A case on DaddySkins, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is DaddySkins's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/475?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/475?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/475) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/475?window=all) Price · $2.00 Advertised RTP · 83.32% · EV $1.67 from 27 items Observed RTP, 30d · 80.26% · 5,817 openings, odds method Variance · 57.7× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 23 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 80.6% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 80.64% ±43.18 1,189 openings 7 days · 79.94% ±21.09 4,985 openings 30 days · 80.26% ±19.52 5,817 openings since tracking started · 80.26% ±19.52 5,817 openings 37.0% 80.8% 124.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/475?window=24h) | 1,189 | 80.64% ±43.2 | −0.1σ | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/475?window=7d) | 4,985 | 79.94% ±21.1 | −0.3σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/475) | 5,817 | 80.26% ±19.5 | −0.3σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/475?window=all) | 5,817 | 80.26% ±19.5 | −0.3σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 27 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 5,862 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [AK-47 \| Panthera onca (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-panthera-onca-factory-new) | 1 in 20,000 | $1,263 | 3.8% | 0 | 0.3 | — | | [P90 \| Astral Jörmungandr (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-astral-jormungandr-factory-new) | 1 in 20,000 | $690 | 2.1% | 0 | 0.3 | — | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Nocts (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-nocts-battle-scarred) | 1 in 20,000 | $603 | 1.8% | 0 | 0.3 | — | | [SSG 08 \| Sea Calico (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-sea-calico-factory-new) | 1 in 20,000 | $592 | 1.8% | 0 | 0.3 | — | | [M4A4 \| Hellfire (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-hellfire-minimal-wear) | 1 in 20,000 | $511 | 1.5% | 1 | 0.3 | — | | [★ Bayonet \| Slaughter (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-slaughter-minimal-wear) | 1 in 20,000 | $411 | 1.2% | 1 | 0.3 | — | | [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Player Two (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-player-two-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $335 | 2.0% | 1 | 0.6 | — | | [★ Moto Gloves \| Finish Line (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-finish-line-minimal-wear) | 1 in 10,000 | $325 | 2.0% | 0 | 0.6 | — | | [★ Nomad Knife \| Case Hardened (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-case-hardened-minimal-wear) | 1 in 10,000 | $322 | 1.9% | 0 | 0.6 | — | | [★ Bayonet \| Case Hardened (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-case-hardened-battle-scarred) | 1 in 10,000 | $294 | 1.8% | 1 | 0.6 | — | | [★ Gut Knife \| Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $190 | 1.1% | 0 | 0.6 | — | | [AK-47 \| Jaguar (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-jaguar-field-tested) | 1 in 1,000 | $109 | 6.5% | 9 | 5.9 | 1.54× | | [P2000 \| Fire Elemental (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-fire-elemental-field-tested) | 1 in 1,000 | $87.98 | 5.3% | 3 | 5.9 | 0.51× | | [M4A4 \| Neo-Noir (Field-Tested) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-neo-noir-field-tested) | 1 in 500 | $47.39 | 5.7% | 12 | 11.7 | 1.02× | | [StatTrak™ FAMAS \| Sergeant (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-famas-sergeant-minimal-wear) | 1 in 250 | $23.31 | 5.6% | 26 | 23.4 | 1.11× | | [P90 \| Chopper (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-chopper-factory-new) | 1 in 67 | $5.12 | 4.6% | 86 | 87.9 | 0.98× | | [Glock-18 \| Moonrise (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-moonrise-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $4.52 | 5.4% | 110 | 117.2 | 0.94× | | [Five-SeveN \| Urban Hazard (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-urban-hazard-factory-new) | 1 in 33 | $3.58 | 6.4% | 173 | 175.9 | 0.98× | | [AWP \| PAW (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-paw-field-tested) | 1 in 25 | $2.52 | 6.0% | 247 | 234.5 | 1.05× | | [MP7 \| Neon Ply (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-neon-ply-field-tested) | 1 in 25 | $2.38 | 5.7% | 234 | 234.5 | 1.00× | | [Galil AR \| Crimson Tsunami (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-crimson-tsunami-field-tested) | 1 in 25 | $2.22 | 5.3% | 233 | 234.5 | 0.99× | | [P250 \| Nevermore (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-nevermore-minimal-wear) | 1 in 25 | $1.63 | 3.9% | 245 | 234.5 | 1.04× | | [Sawed-Off \| Apocalypto (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-apocalypto-minimal-wear) | 1 in 25 | $1.57 | 3.8% | 239 | 234.5 | 1.02× | | [R8 Revolver \| Night (Minimal Wear) weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-night-minimal-wear) | 1 in 15 | $1.01 | 4.0% | 377 | 388.1 | 0.97× | | [MAC-10 \| Carnivore (Battle-Scarred) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-carnivore-battle-scarred) | 20.0% | $0.37 | 4.4% | 1,168 | 1172.4 | 1.00× | | [MP7 \| Armor Core (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-armor-core-field-tested) | 20.0% | $0.32 | 3.8% | 1,201 | 1172.4 | 1.02× | | [P250 \| Cassette (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-cassette-field-tested) | 26.0% | $0.15 | 2.3% | 1,495 | 1524.1 | 0.98× | Values are DaddySkins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `daddyskins:graphql case(slug: cs-money-case)`, 11 Nov, 08:55 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [M4A4 | Hellfire (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-hellfire-minimal-wear) [pemprayskrim](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/pemprayskrim) $2.00 $511 255.3x 2026-11-04 14:41 UTC [★ Bayonet | Slaughter (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-slaughter-minimal-wear) [\[BOT\] Voldemort](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Voldemort) $2.00 $411 205.5x 2026-11-11 06:49 UTC [StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Player Two (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-player-two-factory-new) [FrozenYogurt24](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/FrozenYogurt24) $2.00 $335 167.4x 2026-11-04 18:11 UTC [★ Bayonet | Case Hardened (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-case-hardened-battle-scarred) [lil one tap](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/lil%20one%20tap) $2.00 $294 147.1x 2026-11-09 08:29 UTC [AK-47 | Jaguar (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-jaguar-field-tested) [✪ P!!ubuziLLa](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%E2%9C%AA%20P!!ubuziLLa) $2.00 $109 54.52x 2026-11-10 21:28 UTC [AK-47 | Jaguar (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-jaguar-field-tested) [Shaktimaan](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/Shaktimaan) $2.00 $109 54.52x 2026-11-09 13:28 UTC [AK-47 | Jaguar (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-jaguar-field-tested) [BiiOO|](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/BiiOO%7C) $2.00 $109 54.52x 2026-11-07 22:34 UTC [AK-47 | Jaguar (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-jaguar-field-tested) [c1MpLe](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/c1MpLe) $2.00 $109 54.52x 2026-11-07 03:33 UTC [AK-47 | Jaguar (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-jaguar-field-tested) [Jezus Zbawiciel](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/Jezus%20Zbawiciel) $2.00 $109 54.52x 2026-11-05 03:36 UTC [AK-47 | Jaguar (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-jaguar-field-tested) [Hi.](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/Hi.) $2.00 $109 54.52x 2026-11-04 17:25 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=daddyskins&case=475) [P250 | Cassette (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-cassette-field-tested) [Cardano](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/Cardano) $2.00 $0.15 0.08x 2026-11-11 13:20 UTC [P250 | Cassette (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-cassette-field-tested) [Kapitan Gówienow](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/Kapitan%20G%C3%B3wienow) $2.00 $0.15 0.08x 2026-11-11 13:20 UTC [P250 | Cassette (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-cassette-field-tested) [✪TRIF](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%E2%9C%AATRIF) $2.00 $0.15 0.08x 2026-11-11 13:20 UTC [MP7 | Armor Core (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-armor-core-field-tested) [Samy](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/Samy) $2.00 $0.32 0.16x 2026-11-11 13:20 UTC [P250 | Cassette (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-cassette-field-tested) [Ninguém404](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/Ningu%C3%A9m404) $2.00 $0.15 0.08x 2026-11-11 13:16 UTC [MP7 | Armor Core (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-armor-core-field-tested) [riquee](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/riquee) $2.00 $0.32 0.16x 2026-11-11 13:16 UTC [MP7 | Neon Ply (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-neon-ply-field-tested) [MaDaRa](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/MaDaRa) $2.00 $2.38 1.19x 2026-11-11 13:16 UTC [MAC-10 | Carnivore (Battle-Scarred) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-carnivore-battle-scarred) [1124827605](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/1124827605) $2.00 $0.37 0.19x 2026-11-11 13:10 UTC [Galil AR | Crimson Tsunami (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-crimson-tsunami-field-tested) [Bugghappen](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/Bugghappen) $2.00 $2.22 1.11x 2026-11-11 13:10 UTC [P250 | Nevermore (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-nevermore-minimal-wear) [Cardano](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/Cardano) $2.00 $1.63 0.82x 2026-11-11 13:10 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $2.00 | 83.32% | 27 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed classified 0.0% restricted 11.9% extraordinary 0.0% covert 0.2% Ancient 0.2% mil spec 23.0% Mythical 8.0% #8847ff 4.0% Consumer Grade 6.6% milspec 46.0% best hit $511 (255.3x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 83.3% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $83.32 on average: an expected loss of $16.68 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt