--- title: "Slax case on DaddySkins: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Slax ($50.00) on DaddySkins, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 83.33% from 14 items with odds, observed 86.99% over 938 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/476 rendered: 2026-11-11T14:08Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [DaddySkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/daddyskins) / [Slax](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/476) # [DaddySkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/daddyskins) · Slax A case on DaddySkins, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is DaddySkins's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/476?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/476?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/476) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/476?window=all) Price · $50.00 Advertised RTP · 83.33% · EV $41.67 from 14 items Observed RTP, 30d · 86.99% · 938 openings, odds method Variance · 2.8× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 14 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 85.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 97.58% ±24.30 182 openings 7 days · 84.84% ±11.72 782 openings 30 days · 86.99% ±10.70 938 openings since tracking started · 86.99% ±10.70 938 openings 72.5% 97.5% 122.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/476?window=24h) | 182 | 97.58% ±24.3 | +1.1σ | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/476?window=7d) | 782 | 84.84% ±11.7 | +0.3σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/476) | 938 | 86.99% ±10.7 | +0.7σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/476?window=all) | 938 | 86.99% ±10.7 | +0.7σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 14 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 938 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Huntsman Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $611 | 1.5% | 3 | 0.9 | — | | [★ Falchion Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 500 | $588 | 2.8% | 4 | 1.9 | 2.13× | | [★ Flip Knife \| Autotronic (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-autotronic-factory-new) | 1 in 400 | $499 | 3.0% | 1 | 2.3 | 0.43× | | [★ Ursus Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 333 | $402 | 2.9% | 1 | 2.8 | 0.36× | | [★ Huntsman Knife \| Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 200 | $352 | 4.2% | 5 | 4.7 | 1.07× | | [★ Huntsman Knife \| Slaughter (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-slaughter-minimal-wear) | 1 in 100 | $295 | 7.1% | 14 | 9.4 | 1.49× | | [★ Huntsman Knife \| Autotronic (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-autotronic-factory-new) | 1 in 69 | $275 | 9.6% | 11 | 13.6 | 0.81× | | [★ Flip Knife \| Lore (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-lore-minimal-wear) | 1 in 67 | $271 | 9.8% | 17 | 14.1 | 1.21× | | [★ Paracord Knife \| Fade (Factory New) knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/paracord-knife-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $267 | 12.8% | 19 | 18.8 | 1.01× | | [MP9 \| Starlight Protector (Factory New) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-starlight-protector-factory-new) | 1 in 27 | $144 | 12.8% | 26 | 34.7 | 0.75× | | [P2000 \| Silver (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-silver-factory-new) | 1 in 25 | $100 | 9.6% | 41 | 37.5 | 1.09× | | [M4A4 \| Neo-Noir (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-neo-noir-well-worn) | 10.0% | $40.93 | 9.8% | 91 | 93.8 | 0.97× | | [AK-47 \| Blue Laminate (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-blue-laminate-field-tested) | 25.0% | $20.73 | 12.4% | 235 | 234.5 | 1.00× | | [AWP \| Acheron (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-acheron-minimal-wear) | 50.0% | $1.44 | 1.7% | 470 | 469.0 | 1.00× | Values are DaddySkins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `daddyskins:graphql case(slug: slax)`, 11 Nov, 08:55 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Huntsman Knife | Doppler (Factory New) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-doppler-factory-new) [\[BOT\] HAL 9000](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20HAL%209000) $50.00 $611 12.22x 2026-11-11 06:53 UTC [★ Huntsman Knife | Doppler (Factory New) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-doppler-factory-new) [\[BOT\] Anton Chigurh](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Anton%20Chigurh) $50.00 $611 12.22x 2026-11-06 15:19 UTC [★ Huntsman Knife | Doppler (Factory New) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-doppler-factory-new) [\[BOT\] Dr. Evil](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Dr.%20Evil) $50.00 $611 12.22x 2026-11-06 13:05 UTC [★ Falchion Knife | Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-doppler-factory-new) [\[BOT\] HAL 9000](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20HAL%209000) $50.00 $588 11.77x 2026-11-10 21:47 UTC [★ Falchion Knife | Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-doppler-factory-new) [soiboom](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/soiboom) $50.00 $588 11.77x 2026-11-05 03:01 UTC [★ Falchion Knife | Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-doppler-factory-new) [你有多少分够你这么送](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%E4%BD%A0%E6%9C%89%E5%A4%9A%E5%B0%91%E5%88%86%E5%A4%9F%E4%BD%A0%E8%BF%99%E4%B9%88%E9%80%81) $50.00 $588 11.77x 2026-11-03 16:03 UTC [★ Falchion Knife | Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-doppler-factory-new) [使你才能](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%E4%BD%BF%E4%BD%A0%E6%89%8D%E8%83%BD) $50.00 $588 11.77x 2026-11-03 13:08 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=daddyskins&case=476) [AWP | Acheron (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-acheron-minimal-wear) [\[BOT\] Anton Chigurh](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Anton%20Chigurh) $50.00 $1.44 0.03x 2026-11-11 14:01 UTC [★ Flip Knife | Lore (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-lore-minimal-wear) [\[BOT\] Bane](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Bane) $50.00 $271 5.43x 2026-11-11 14:01 UTC [AWP | Acheron (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-acheron-minimal-wear) [\[BOT\] Dr. Evil](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Dr.%20Evil) $50.00 $1.44 0.03x 2026-11-11 14:01 UTC [MP9 | Starlight Protector (Factory New) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-starlight-protector-factory-new) [\[BOT\] Max Cady](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Max%20Cady) $50.00 $144 2.88x 2026-11-11 14:01 UTC [AWP | Acheron (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-acheron-minimal-wear) [\[BOT\] Darth Vader](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Darth%20Vader) $50.00 $1.44 0.03x 2026-11-11 14:01 UTC [M4A4 | Neo-Noir (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-neo-noir-well-worn) [kevinlowroller](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/kevinlowroller) $50.00 $40.93 0.82x 2026-11-11 14:01 UTC [AK-47 | Blue Laminate (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-blue-laminate-field-tested) [\[BOT\] Bane](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Bane) $50.00 $20.73 0.41x 2026-11-11 13:50 UTC [AWP | Acheron (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-acheron-minimal-wear) [\[BOT\] Voldemort](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Voldemort) $50.00 $1.44 0.03x 2026-11-11 13:50 UTC [★ Flip Knife | Lore (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-lore-minimal-wear) [\[BOT\] Anton Chigurh](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Anton%20Chigurh) $50.00 $271 5.43x 2026-11-11 13:50 UTC [AWP | Acheron (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-acheron-minimal-wear) [\[BOT\] Thanos](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Thanos) $50.00 $1.44 0.03x 2026-11-11 13:50 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $50.00 | 83.33% | 14 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed #ffd700 0.1% sunny 1.9% covert 13.3% epic 2.0% red 3.7% mil spec 4.0% restricted 25.0% Rare 50.0% best hit $611 (12.22x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 83.3% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $83.33 on average: an expected loss of $16.67 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt