---
title: "Skuty case on DaddySkins: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Skuty ($35.00) on DaddySkins, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 83.33% from 23 items with odds, observed 65.84% over 989 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/477
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:40Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [DaddySkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/daddyskins) / [Skuty](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/477)

# [DaddySkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/daddyskins) · Skuty

A case on DaddySkins, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is DaddySkins's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/477?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/477?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/477) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/477?window=all)

Price · $35.00

Advertised RTP · 83.33% · EV $29.17 from 23 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 65.84% · 989 openings, odds method

Variance · 7.5× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 13 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 85.5% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 65.35% ±40.66 174 openings

7 days · 66.33% ±18.45 845 openings

30 days · 65.84% ±17.05 989 openings

since tracking started · 65.84% ±17.05 989 openings

24.0% 65.3% 106.5%

**Outside band, 30 days.** Advertised 83.33% sits outside the 95% band of the observed openings (48.79% – 82.89%, 989 openings, 30 days). The band comes from the site's own odds and values; the figure is a fact about these openings, not a verdict on the case.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/477?window=24h) | 174 | 65.35% ±40.7 | −0.9σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/477?window=7d) | 845 | 66.33% ±18.5 | −1.8σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/477) | 989 | 65.84% ±17.1 | −2.0σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/477?window=all) | 989 | 65.84% ±17.1 | −2.0σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 23 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 993 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ Karambit \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-gamma-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $3,859 | 1.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $3,624 | 1.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-gamma-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 5,000 | $2,369 | 1.6% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Emerald Jörmungandr (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-emerald-jormungandr-factory-new) | 1 in 2,500 | $1,319 | 1.8% | 1 | 0.4 | — |
| [AWP \| Containment Breach (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-containment-breach-factory-new) | 1 in 2,000 | $1,263 | 2.2% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Fire Serpent (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fire-serpent-field-tested) | 1 in 2,000 | $1,021 | 1.8% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 2,000 | $990 | 1.7% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| [★ Specialist Gloves \| Emerald Web (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-emerald-web-battle-scarred) | 1 in 1,000 | $613 | 2.1% | 1 | 1.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-falchion-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 500 | $432 | 3.0% | 0 | 2.0 | 0.00× |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 250 | $369 | 5.1% | 3 | 4.0 | 0.76× |
| [Glock-18 \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-gamma-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 200 | $256 | 4.4% | 2 | 5.0 | 0.40× |
| [★ Broken Fang Gloves \| Jade (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/broken-fang-gloves-jade-minimal-wear) | 1 in 200 | $241 | 4.1% | 4 | 5.0 | 0.81× |
| [★ Shadow Daggers \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-gamma-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 167 | $182 | 3.7% | 1 | 6.0 | 0.17× |
| [USP-S \| Monster Mashup (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-monster-mashup-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $153 | 5.3% | 9 | 9.9 | 0.91× |
| [★ Moto Gloves \| Turtle (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-turtle-field-tested) | 1 in 50 | $140 | 9.6% | 21 | 19.9 | 1.06× |
| [P250 \| See Ya Later (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-see-ya-later-well-worn) | 1 in 50 | $113 | 7.8% | 14 | 19.9 | 0.70× |
| [AK-47 \| Aquamarine Revenge (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-aquamarine-revenge-minimal-wear) | 1 in 50 | $96.85 | 6.6% | 20 | 19.9 | 1.01× |
| [★ Hydra Gloves \| Emerald (Field-Tested) gloves · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/hydra-gloves-emerald-field-tested) | 1 in 20 | $77.38 | 13.3% | 47 | 49.6 | 0.95× |
| [AK-47 \| Ice Coaled (Factory New) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-ice-coaled-factory-new) | 15.0% | $23.81 | 12.2% | 141 | 148.9 | 0.95× |
| [Glock-18 \| Nuclear Garden (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-nuclear-garden-factory-new) | 15.0% | $12.45 | 6.4% | 149 | 148.9 | 1.00× |
| [USP-S \| Cortex (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-cortex-field-tested) | 15.5% | $5.06 | 2.7% | 171 | 153.6 | 1.11× |
| [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Flashback (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-flashback-field-tested) | 17.0% | $2.06 | 1.2% | 174 | 168.8 | 1.03× |
| [StatTrak™ P90 \| Traction (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p90-traction-minimal-wear) | 23.0% | $1.20 | 0.9% | 235 | 228.4 | 1.03× |

Values are DaddySkins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `daddyskins:graphql case(slug: skuty)`, 11 Nov, 08:55 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[Desert Eagle | Emerald Jörmungandr (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-emerald-jormungandr-factory-new) [\[BOT\] Sauron](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Sauron) $35.00 $1,319 37.69x 2026-11-06 22:08 UTC

[★ Specialist Gloves | Emerald Web (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-emerald-web-battle-scarred) [\[BOT\] Mr. Blonde](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Mr.%20Blonde) $35.00 $613 17.51x 2026-11-07 01:23 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=daddyskins&case=477)

[StatTrak™ P90 | Traction (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p90-traction-minimal-wear) [642438](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/642438) $35.00 $1.20 0.03x 2026-11-11 08:29 UTC

[StatTrak™ USP-S | Flashback (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-flashback-field-tested) [642438](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/642438) $35.00 $2.06 0.06x 2026-11-11 08:25 UTC

[★ Hydra Gloves | Emerald (Field-Tested) gloves · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/hydra-gloves-emerald-field-tested) [642438](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/642438) $35.00 $77.38 2.21x 2026-11-11 08:24 UTC

[USP-S | Cortex (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-cortex-field-tested) [642438](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/642438) $35.00 $5.06 0.14x 2026-11-11 07:49 UTC

[★ Hydra Gloves | Emerald (Field-Tested) gloves · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/hydra-gloves-emerald-field-tested) [642438](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/642438) $35.00 $77.38 2.21x 2026-11-11 07:47 UTC

[StatTrak™ USP-S | Flashback (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-flashback-field-tested) [User1879353](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/User1879353) $35.00 $2.06 0.06x 2026-11-11 07:34 UTC

[StatTrak™ P90 | Traction (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p90-traction-minimal-wear) [〈†〉 PsychoKiller](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%E3%80%88%E2%80%A0%E3%80%89%20PsychoKiller) $35.00 $1.20 0.03x 2026-11-11 07:20 UTC

[StatTrak™ USP-S | Flashback (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-flashback-field-tested) [12yo proplayer](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/12yo%20proplayer) $35.00 $2.06 0.06x 2026-11-11 07:20 UTC

[Glock-18 | Nuclear Garden (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-nuclear-garden-factory-new) [Schlub](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/Schlub) $35.00 $12.45 0.36x 2026-11-11 07:20 UTC

[★ Hydra Gloves | Emerald (Field-Tested) gloves · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/hydra-gloves-emerald-field-tested) [文明游戏](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%E6%96%87%E6%98%8E%E6%B8%B8%E6%88%8F) $35.00 $77.38 2.21x 2026-11-11 07:20 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $35.00 | 83.33% | 23 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed #ffd700 0.1% gold 5.0% restricted 32.0% covert 4.1% extraordinary 2.6% covert knife 0.2% sunny 0.4% red 0.5% Covert 0.6% classified 16.5% Legendary 15.0% milspec 23.0% best hit $1,319 (37.69x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 83.3% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $83.33 on average: an expected loss of $16.67 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt