---
title: "Tradeit GG Case case on DaddySkins: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Tradeit GG Case ($4.00) on DaddySkins, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 83.27% from 30 items with odds, observed 84.41% over 2,931 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/478
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:33Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [DaddySkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/daddyskins) / [Tradeit GG Case](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/478)

# [DaddySkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/daddyskins) · Tradeit GG Case

A case on DaddySkins, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is DaddySkins's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/478?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/478?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/478) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/478?window=all)

Price · $4.00

Advertised RTP · 83.27% · EV $3.33 from 30 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 84.41% · 2,931 openings, odds method

Variance · 9.6× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 17 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 91.5% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 74.34% ±36.17 282 openings

7 days · 86.28% ±12.00 2,563 openings

30 days · 84.41% ±11.22 2,931 openings

since tracking started · 84.41% ±11.22 2,931 openings

37.5% 74.3% 111.0%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/478?window=24h) | 282 | 74.34% ±36.2 | −0.5σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/478?window=7d) | 2,563 | 86.28% ±12.0 | +0.5σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/478) | 2,931 | 84.41% ±11.2 | +0.2σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/478?window=all) | 2,931 | 84.41% ±11.2 | +0.2σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 30 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 2,935 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [SSG 08 \| Sea Calico (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-sea-calico-factory-new) | 1 in 20,000 | $592 | 0.9% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Vulcan (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-vulcan-minimal-wear) | 1 in 20,000 | $527 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Big Game (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-big-game-minimal-wear) | 1 in 20,000 | $517 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Huntsman Knife \| Case Hardened (Minimal Wear) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-case-hardened-minimal-wear) | 1 in 20,000 | $441 | 0.7% | 1 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Huntsman Knife \| Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $370 | 1.1% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [★ Moto Gloves \| Finish Line (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-finish-line-minimal-wear) | 1 in 10,000 | $339 | 1.0% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [★ Bayonet \| Lore (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-lore-field-tested) | 1 in 10,000 | $315 | 0.9% | 1 | 0.3 | — |
| [★ Ursus Knife \| Slaughter (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-slaughter-minimal-wear) | 1 in 10,000 | $277 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [★ Skeleton Knife \| Scorched (Field-Tested) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-scorched-field-tested) | 1 in 10,000 | $194 | 0.6% | 1 | 0.3 | — |
| [★ Survival Knife \| Crimson Web (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/survival-knife-crimson-web-field-tested) | 1 in 10,000 | $158 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [USP-S \| Orion (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-orion-minimal-wear) | 1 in 444 | $75.72 | 5.1% | 6 | 6.6 | 0.91× |
| [P90 \| Shallow Grave (Well-Worn) weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-shallow-grave-well-worn) | 1 in 286 | $50.65 | 5.3% | 7 | 10.3 | 0.68× |
| [AK-47 \| Asiimov (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-asiimov-battle-scarred) | 1 in 286 | $50.39 | 5.3% | 13 | 10.3 | 1.27× |
| [M4A4 \| Neo-Noir (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-neo-noir-well-worn) | 1 in 200 | $42.98 | 6.5% | 16 | 14.7 | 1.09× |
| [AK-47 \| Orbit Mk01 (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-orbit-mk01-field-tested) | 1 in 143 | $39.45 | 8.3% | 22 | 20.5 | 1.07× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Conspiracy (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-conspiracy-minimal-wear) | 1 in 80 | $21.78 | 8.2% | 27 | 36.8 | 0.73× |
| [M4A4 \| Tooth Fairy (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-tooth-fairy-field-tested) | 1 in 40 | $5.14 | 3.9% | 90 | 73.4 | 1.23× |
| [M4A4 \| Griffin (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-griffin-field-tested) | 1 in 40 | $4.52 | 3.4% | 79 | 73.4 | 1.08× |
| [M4A4 \| Evil Daimyo (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-evil-daimyo-field-tested) | 1 in 40 | $3.89 | 2.9% | 75 | 73.4 | 1.02× |
| [AWP \| Acheron (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-acheron-factory-new) | 1 in 39 | $3.73 | 2.8% | 73 | 74.5 | 0.98× |
| [P90 \| Virus (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-virus-field-tested) | 1 in 33 | $3.19 | 2.9% | 81 | 88.0 | 0.92× |
| [AWP \| Worm God (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-worm-god-field-tested) | 1 in 33 | $2.66 | 2.4% | 94 | 88.0 | 1.07× |
| [AWP \| PAW (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-paw-field-tested) | 1 in 33 | $2.51 | 2.3% | 93 | 88.0 | 1.06× |
| [PP-Bizon \| Embargo (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-embargo-field-tested) | 1 in 33 | $2.37 | 2.1% | 86 | 88.0 | 0.98× |
| [Galil AR \| Crimson Tsunami (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-crimson-tsunami-field-tested) | 1 in 20 | $2.27 | 3.4% | 164 | 146.8 | 1.12× |
| [StatTrak™ P250 \| X-Ray (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-x-ray-field-tested) | 1 in 18 | $2.25 | 3.7% | 160 | 161.4 | 0.99× |
| [StatTrak™ MP9 \| Goo (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp9-goo-field-tested) | 1 in 11 | $1.91 | 5.2% | 285 | 264.1 | 1.08× |
| [StatTrak™ SG 553 \| Phantom (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-sg-553-phantom-field-tested) | 15.0% | $1.51 | 6.8% | 449 | 440.3 | 1.02× |
| [Galil AR \| Black Sand (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-black-sand-minimal-wear) | 20.0% | $1.05 | 6.3% | 541 | 587.0 | 0.92× |
| [Dual Berettas \| Heist (Field-Tested) weapon · grey](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-heist-field-tested) | 20.0% | $0.86 | 5.2% | 571 | 587.0 | 0.97× |

Values are DaddySkins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `daddyskins:graphql case(slug: tradeit-gg-case)`, 11 Nov, 08:55 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[★ Huntsman Knife | Case Hardened (Minimal Wear) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-case-hardened-minimal-wear) [\[BOT\] Darth Vader](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Darth%20Vader) $4.00 $441 110.2x 2026-11-09 14:26 UTC

[★ Bayonet | Lore (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-lore-field-tested) [\[BOT\] Voldemort](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Voldemort) $4.00 $315 78.79x 2026-11-08 09:53 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=daddyskins&case=478)

[StatTrak™ MP9 | Goo (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp9-goo-field-tested) [Mantelli](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/Mantelli) $4.00 $1.91 0.48x 2026-11-11 13:23 UTC

[Galil AR | Crimson Tsunami (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-crimson-tsunami-field-tested) [Cardano](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/Cardano) $4.00 $2.27 0.57x 2026-11-11 13:23 UTC

[StatTrak™ P250 | X-Ray (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-x-ray-field-tested) [\[BOT\] Sauron](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Sauron) $4.00 $2.25 0.56x 2026-11-11 12:27 UTC

[Galil AR | Black Sand (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-black-sand-minimal-wear) [\[BOT\] HAL 9000](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20HAL%209000) $4.00 $1.05 0.26x 2026-11-11 12:27 UTC

[StatTrak™ MP9 | Goo (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp9-goo-field-tested) [\[BOT\] Thanos](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Thanos) $4.00 $1.91 0.48x 2026-11-11 12:27 UTC

[M4A4 | Griffin (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-griffin-field-tested) [\[BOT\] Magneto](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Magneto) $4.00 $4.52 1.13x 2026-11-11 12:27 UTC

[Galil AR | Crimson Tsunami (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-crimson-tsunami-field-tested) [\[BOT\] Dr. Evil](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Dr.%20Evil) $4.00 $2.27 0.57x 2026-11-11 12:27 UTC

[StatTrak™ P250 | X-Ray (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-x-ray-field-tested) [Senior Vac](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/Senior%20Vac) $4.00 $2.25 0.56x 2026-11-11 12:27 UTC

[Dual Berettas | Heist (Field-Tested) weapon · grey](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-heist-field-tested) [\[BOT\] Sauron](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Sauron) $4.00 $0.86 0.22x 2026-11-11 12:27 UTC

[Dual Berettas | Heist (Field-Tested) weapon · grey](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-heist-field-tested) [\[BOT\] HAL 9000](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20HAL%209000) $4.00 $0.86 0.22x 2026-11-11 12:27 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $4.00 | 83.27% | 30 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed restricted 26.0% covert 0.9% extraordinary 0.0% #ffd700 0.0% covert knife 0.0% classified 1.5% Classified 0.3% violet 0.7% Legendary 2.5% Mythical 5.5% Rare 22.5% #8847ff 20.0% grey 20.0% best hit $441 (110.2x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 83.3% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $83.27 on average: an expected loss of $16.73 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt