---
title: "Venom Strike case on DaddySkins: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Venom Strike ($50.00) on DaddySkins, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 83.28% from 100 items with odds, observed 79.06% over 619 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/480
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:32Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [DaddySkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/daddyskins) / [Venom Strike](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/480)

# [DaddySkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/daddyskins) · Venom Strike

A case on DaddySkins, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is DaddySkins's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/480?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/480?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/480) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/480?window=all)

Price · $50.00

Advertised RTP · 83.28% · EV $41.64 from 100 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 79.06% · 619 openings, odds method

Variance · 4.4× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 15.0% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 73.0% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 35 openings · below min

7 days · 75.92% ±20.10 417 openings

30 days · 79.06% ±16.50 619 openings

since tracking started · 79.06% ±16.50 619 openings

8.0% 78.0% 148.0%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/480?window=24h) | 35 | 78.04% ±69.4 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/480?window=7d) | 417 | 75.92% ±20.1 | −0.7σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/480) | 619 | 79.06% ±16.5 | −0.5σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/480?window=all) | 619 | 79.06% ±16.5 | −0.5σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 100 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 619 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Superconductor (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-superconductor-field-tested) | 1 in 20,000 | $5,403 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Wild Lotus (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wild-lotus-battle-scarred) | 1 in 20,000 | $4,690 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [MP9 \| Wild Lily (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-wild-lily-factory-new) | 1 in 20,000 | $4,591 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Pandora's Box (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-pandoras-box-battle-scarred) | 1 in 20,000 | $4,084 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Karambit \| Fade (Minimal Wear) knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-fade-minimal-wear) | 1 in 20,000 | $3,715 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Desert Hydra (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-desert-hydra-minimal-wear) | 1 in 20,000 | $3,475 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 20,000 | $3,361 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear) | 1 in 20,000 | $2,388 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Specialist Gloves \| Foundation (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-foundation-field-tested) | 1 in 10,000 | $2,202 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Superconductor (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-superconductor-battle-scarred) | 1 in 10,000 | $1,795 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $1,688 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $1,682 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Autotronic (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-autotronic-field-tested) | 1 in 10,000 | $1,308 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Bayonet \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-gamma-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $1,159 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Lore (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-lore-field-tested) | 1 in 10,000 | $1,031 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Blaze (Factory New) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-blaze-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $1,000 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Slaughter (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-slaughter-minimal-wear) | 1 in 10,000 | $994 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Imminent Danger (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-imminent-danger-field-tested) | 1 in 10,000 | $857 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Slingshot (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-slingshot-field-tested) | 1 in 10,000 | $740 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Lore (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-lore-field-tested) | 1 in 10,000 | $739 | 0.2% | 1 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Huntsman Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $615 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Bayonet \| Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $574 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $548 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Fennec Fox (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-fennec-fox-minimal-wear) | 1 in 5,000 | $538 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [AWP \| Oni Taiji (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-oni-taiji-field-tested) | 1 in 5,000 | $517 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Stiletto Knife \| Slaughter (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-slaughter-minimal-wear) | 1 in 5,000 | $508 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Hellfire (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-hellfire-minimal-wear) | 1 in 5,000 | $504 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Driver Gloves \| Snow Leopard (Field-Tested) gloves · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-snow-leopard-field-tested) | 1 in 5,000 | $494 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [SSG 08 \| Death Strike (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-death-strike-field-tested) | 1 in 5,000 | $481 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Vice (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-vice-battle-scarred) | 1 in 4,000 | $462 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [StatTrak™ P2000 \| Ocean Foam (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p2000-ocean-foam-factory-new) | 1 in 4,000 | $441 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Ursus Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 3,333 | $425 | 0.3% | 1 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Bayonet \| Lore (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-lore-minimal-wear) | 1 in 3,333 | $422 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Stiletto Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 3,333 | $412 | 0.3% | 1 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Nomad Knife \| Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-slaughter-factory-new) | 1 in 3,333 | $407 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 2,500 | $372 | 0.4% | 1 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Huntsman Knife \| Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 2,500 | $370 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Ursus Knife \| Fade (Factory New) knife · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 2,500 | $360 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Amphibious (Battle-Scarred) gloves · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-amphibious-battle-scarred) | 1 in 2,500 | $360 | 0.3% | 1 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Stiletto Knife \| Case Hardened (Field-Tested) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-case-hardened-field-tested) | 1 in 2,222 | $342 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [★ Classic Knife \| Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/classic-knife-slaughter-factory-new) | 1 in 2,000 | $323 | 0.4% | 1 | 0.3 | — |
| [★ Specialist Gloves \| Tiger Strike (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-tiger-strike-field-tested) | 1 in 2,000 | $304 | 0.4% | 2 | 0.3 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Case Hardened (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-case-hardened-field-tested) | 1 in 2,000 | $299 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [★ Ursus Knife \| Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 1,818 | $287 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [Galil AR \| Aqua Terrace (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-aqua-terrace-field-tested) | 1 in 1,667 | $260 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [★ Nomad Knife \| Case Hardened (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-case-hardened-field-tested) | 1 in 1,429 | $253 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Case Hardened (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-case-hardened-well-worn) | 1 in 1,429 | $250 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [★ Nomad Knife \| Crimson Web (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-crimson-web-field-tested) | 1 in 1,429 | $250 | 0.4% | 1 | 0.4 | — |
| [★ Driver Gloves \| Black Tie (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-black-tie-field-tested) | 1 in 1,429 | $244 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [★ Classic Knife knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/classic-knife) | 1 in 1,250 | $225 | 0.4% | 1 | 0.5 | — |
| [★ Huntsman Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 1,111 | $209 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.6 | — |
| [★ Hand Wraps \| CAUTION! (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-caution-field-tested) | 1 in 1,111 | $206 | 0.4% | 1 | 0.6 | — |
| [★ Hydra Gloves \| Case Hardened (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hydra-gloves-case-hardened-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,000 | $185 | 0.4% | 1 | 0.6 | — |
| [★ Shadow Daggers \| Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-marble-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $167 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.6 | — |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Bright Water (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-bright-water-field-tested) | 1 in 1,000 | $166 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.6 | — |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Damascus Steel (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-damascus-steel-field-tested) | 1 in 1,000 | $164 | 0.4% | 1 | 0.6 | — |
| [★ Gut Knife \| Autotronic (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-autotronic-field-tested) | 1 in 667 | $158 | 0.6% | 2 | 0.9 | — |
| [MP9 \| Starlight Protector (Factory New) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-starlight-protector-factory-new) | 1 in 500 | $151 | 0.7% | 0 | 1.2 | 0.00× |
| [MAC-10 \| Neon Rider (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-neon-rider-field-tested) | 1 in 500 | $150 | 0.7% | 0 | 1.2 | 0.00× |
| [Glock-18 \| Wasteland Rebel (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-wasteland-rebel-minimal-wear) | 1 in 500 | $148 | 0.7% | 2 | 1.2 | 1.62× |
| [★ Moto Gloves \| Finish Line (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-finish-line-field-tested) | 1 in 500 | $147 | 0.7% | 0 | 1.2 | 0.00× |
| [★ Classic Knife \| Stained (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/classic-knife-stained-field-tested) | 1 in 500 | $146 | 0.7% | 1 | 1.2 | 0.81× |
| [M4A1-S \| Golden Coil (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-golden-coil-minimal-wear) | 1 in 333 | $143 | 1.0% | 1 | 1.9 | 0.54× |
| [★ Gut Knife \| Lore (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-lore-battle-scarred) | 1 in 333 | $139 | 1.0% | 0 | 1.9 | 0.00× |
| [StatTrak™ R8 Revolver \| Fade (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-r8-revolver-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 250 | $131 | 1.3% | 1 | 2.5 | 0.40× |
| [USP-S \| Neo-Noir (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-neo-noir-minimal-wear) | 1 in 200 | $126 | 1.5% | 1 | 3.1 | 0.32× |
| [P250 \| See Ya Later (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-see-ya-later-well-worn) | 1 in 200 | $115 | 1.4% | 4 | 3.1 | 1.29× |
| [FAMAS \| Sundown (Field-Tested) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-sundown-field-tested) | 1 in 200 | $115 | 1.4% | 3 | 3.1 | 0.97× |
| [AK-47 \| The Empress (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-the-empress-field-tested) | 1 in 200 | $114 | 1.4% | 6 | 3.1 | 1.94× |
| [Galil AR \| Sugar Rush (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-sugar-rush-minimal-wear) | 1 in 100 | $112 | 2.7% | 5 | 6.2 | 0.81× |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Black Laminate (Field-Tested) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-black-laminate-field-tested) | 1 in 100 | $108 | 2.6% | 5 | 6.2 | 0.81× |
| [★ Shadow Daggers \| Lore (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-lore-battle-scarred) | 1 in 67 | $106 | 3.8% | 8 | 9.3 | 0.86× |
| [★ Gut Knife \| Black Laminate (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-black-laminate-field-tested) | 1 in 67 | $100 | 3.6% | 12 | 9.3 | 1.29× |
| [★ Hand Wraps \| Giraffe (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-giraffe-field-tested) | 1 in 50 | $85.53 | 4.1% | 13 | 12.4 | 1.05× |
| [M4A4 \| The Emperor (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-the-emperor-field-tested) | 1 in 50 | $70.61 | 3.4% | 11 | 12.4 | 0.89× |
| [MAC-10 \| Stalker (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-stalker-minimal-wear) | 1 in 50 | $70.45 | 3.4% | 12 | 12.4 | 0.97× |
| [M4A1-S \| Player Two (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-player-two-field-tested) | 1 in 50 | $70.28 | 3.4% | 16 | 12.4 | 1.29× |
| [FAMAS \| Mecha Industries (Minimal Wear) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-mecha-industries-minimal-wear) | 1 in 50 | $68.27 | 3.3% | 20 | 12.4 | 1.62× |
| [StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Neo-Noir (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · #eb4b4b](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-glock-18-neo-noir-field-tested) | 1 in 50 | $56.50 | 2.7% | 13 | 12.4 | 1.05× |
| [Tec-9 \| Nuclear Threat (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-nuclear-threat-field-tested) | 1 in 50 | $55.99 | 2.7% | 7 | 12.4 | 0.57× |
| [AWP \| Neo-Noir (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-neo-noir-field-tested) | 1 in 50 | $52.52 | 2.5% | 20 | 12.4 | 1.62× |
| [MAC-10 \| Toybox (Minimal Wear) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-toybox-minimal-wear) | 1 in 33 | $43.20 | 3.1% | 13 | 18.6 | 0.70× |
| [StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Snack Attack (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-glock-18-snack-attack-minimal-wear) | 1 in 33 | $40.64 | 2.9% | 18 | 18.6 | 0.97× |
| [P250 \| Apep's Curse (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-apeps-curse-field-tested) | 1 in 33 | $39.18 | 2.8% | 8 | 18.6 | 0.43× |
| [Galil AR \| CAUTION! (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-caution-well-worn) | 1 in 33 | $37.46 | 2.7% | 18 | 18.6 | 0.97× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Kumicho Dragon (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-kumicho-dragon-field-tested) | 1 in 33 | $26.01 | 1.9% | 22 | 18.6 | 1.18× |
| [SSG 08 \| Bloodshot (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-bloodshot-field-tested) | 1 in 33 | $23.09 | 1.7% | 20 | 18.6 | 1.08× |
| [M4A4 \| 龍王 (Dragon King) (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-dragon-king-field-tested) | 1 in 33 | $20.85 | 1.5% | 14 | 18.6 | 0.75× |
| [Tec-9 \| Avalanche (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-avalanche-factory-new) | 1 in 33 | $20.16 | 1.5% | 20 | 18.6 | 1.08× |
| [SSG 08 \| Turbo Peek (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-turbo-peek-well-worn) | 1 in 25 | $17.03 | 1.6% | 19 | 24.8 | 0.77× |
| [FAMAS \| Djinn (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-djinn-field-tested) | 1 in 25 | $13.97 | 1.3% | 25 | 24.8 | 1.01× |
| [MP9 \| Mount Fuji (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-mount-fuji-minimal-wear) | 1 in 25 | $13.28 | 1.3% | 33 | 24.8 | 1.33× |
| [P250 \| Asiimov (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-asiimov-battle-scarred) | 1 in 25 | $13.11 | 1.3% | 32 | 24.8 | 1.29× |
| [USP-S \| Jawbreaker (Minimal Wear) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-jawbreaker-minimal-wear) | 1 in 25 | $12.29 | 1.2% | 28 | 24.8 | 1.13× |
| [StatTrak™ P2000 \| Imperial Dragon (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p2000-imperial-dragon-field-tested) | 1 in 25 | $12.15 | 1.2% | 25 | 24.8 | 1.01× |
| [Tec-9 \| Fuel Injector (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-fuel-injector-battle-scarred) | 1 in 25 | $11.81 | 1.1% | 16 | 24.8 | 0.65× |
| [R8 Revolver \| Llama Cannon (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-llama-cannon-field-tested) | 1 in 25 | $10.66 | 1.0% | 28 | 24.8 | 1.13× |
| [USP-S \| Cortex (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-cortex-field-tested) | 1 in 20 | $5.44 | 0.7% | 27 | 30.9 | 0.87× |
| [P2000 \| Wicked Sick (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-wicked-sick-well-worn) | 1 in 20 | $4.84 | 0.6% | 32 | 30.9 | 1.03× |
| [R8 Revolver \| Banana Cannon (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-banana-cannon-well-worn) | 1 in 14 | $0.65 | 0.1% | 45 | 43.1 | 1.04× |

Values are DaddySkins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `daddyskins:graphql case(slug: venom-strike)`, 11 Nov, 08:55 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[★ M9 Bayonet | Lore (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-lore-field-tested) [\[BOT\] Darth Vader](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Darth%20Vader) $50.00 $739 14.77x 2026-11-04 04:07 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=daddyskins&case=480)

[P250 | Asiimov (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-asiimov-battle-scarred) [642438](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/642438) $50.00 $13.11 0.26x 2026-11-11 08:26 UTC

[SSG 08 | Bloodshot (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-bloodshot-field-tested) [642438](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/642438) $50.00 $23.09 0.46x 2026-11-11 08:22 UTC

[P2000 | Wicked Sick (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-wicked-sick-well-worn) [642438](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/642438) $50.00 $4.84 0.10x 2026-11-11 07:40 UTC

[★ Hand Wraps | Giraffe (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-giraffe-field-tested) [Jellysquash](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/Jellysquash) $50.00 $85.53 1.71x 2026-11-11 07:38 UTC

[★ Stiletto Knife | Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) [柠檬女孩](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%E6%9F%A0%E6%AA%AC%E5%A5%B3%E5%AD%A9) $50.00 $412 8.25x 2026-11-11 07:38 UTC

[P250 | Apep's Curse (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-apeps-curse-field-tested) [Finding Match](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/Finding%20Match) $50.00 $39.18 0.78x 2026-11-11 07:38 UTC

[P250 | Asiimov (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-asiimov-battle-scarred) [\[HDM\]TDN](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BHDM%5DTDN) $50.00 $13.11 0.26x 2026-11-11 07:38 UTC

[AWP | Neo-Noir (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-neo-noir-field-tested) [Jellysquash](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/Jellysquash) $50.00 $52.52 1.05x 2026-11-11 07:38 UTC

[StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Snack Attack (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-glock-18-snack-attack-minimal-wear) [柠檬女孩](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%E6%9F%A0%E6%AA%AC%E5%A5%B3%E5%AD%A9) $50.00 $40.64 0.81x 2026-11-11 07:38 UTC

[P2000 | Wicked Sick (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-wicked-sick-well-worn) [Finding Match](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/Finding%20Match) $50.00 $4.84 0.10x 2026-11-11 07:38 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $50.00 | 83.28% | 100 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed extraordinary 2.6% covert 15.3% classified 30.1% epic 0.0% sunny 0.1% covert knife 0.0% gold 1.1% rare 0.1% #ffd700 0.0% mil spec 0.1% red 0.2% blue 0.5% pink 29.0% #eb4b4b 2.0% #8847ff 2.0% restricted 17.0% best hit $739 (14.77x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 83.3% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $83.28 on average: an expected loss of $16.72 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt