---
title: "Skinsmonkey case case on DaddySkins: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Skinsmonkey case ($21.66) on DaddySkins, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 83.33% from 127 items with odds, observed 96.79% over 1,900 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/481
rendered: 2026-11-11T15:27Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [DaddySkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/daddyskins) / [Skinsmonkey case](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/481)

# [DaddySkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/daddyskins) · Skinsmonkey case

A case on DaddySkins, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is DaddySkins's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/481?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/481?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/481) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/481?window=all)

Price · $21.66

Advertised RTP · 83.33% · EV $18.05 from 127 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 96.79% · 1,900 openings, odds method

Variance · 3.3× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 15 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 77.9% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 97.85% ±28.85 154 openings

7 days · 100.94% ±10.51 1,212 openings

30 days · 96.79% ±8.42 1,900 openings

since tracking started · 96.79% ±8.42 1,900 openings

68.5% 98.0% 127.5%

**Outside band, 30 days.** Advertised 85.47% sits outside the 95% band of the observed openings (88.36% – 105.21%, 1,900 openings, 30 days). The band comes from the site's own odds and values; the figure is a fact about these openings, not a verdict on the case.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/481?window=24h) | 154 | 97.85% ±28.8 | +1.0σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/481?window=7d) | 1,212 | 100.94% ±10.5 | +2.9σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/481) | 1,900 | 96.79% ±8.42 | +2.6σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/481?window=all) | 1,900 | 96.79% ±8.42 | +2.6σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 127 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,900 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [Glock-18 \| Neo-Noir (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-neo-noir-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $537 | 3.0% | 4 | 1.9 | 2.11× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Hyper Beast (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-hyper-beast-field-tested) | 1 in 1,000 | $480 | 2.7% | 4 | 1.9 | 2.11× |
| [StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Neo-Noir (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-glock-18-neo-noir-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $321 | 1.8% | 1 | 1.9 | 0.53× |
| [Glock-18 \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-gamma-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $268 | 1.5% | 3 | 1.9 | 1.58× |
| [Glock-18 \| Snack Attack (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-snack-attack-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $251 | 1.4% | 3 | 1.9 | 1.58× |
| [StatTrak™ Five-SeveN \| Hyper Beast (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-five-seven-hyper-beast-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,000 | $241 | 1.3% | 3 | 1.9 | 1.58× |
| [USP-S \| Orange Anolis (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-orange-anolis-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $228 | 1.3% | 2 | 1.9 | 1.05× |
| [Glock-18 \| Wasteland Rebel (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-wasteland-rebel-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $197 | 1.1% | 2 | 1.9 | 1.05× |
| [Glock-18 \| Brass (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-brass-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $197 | 1.1% | 4 | 1.9 | 2.11× |
| [USP-S \| Whiteout (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-whiteout-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,000 | $186 | 1.0% | 0 | 1.9 | 0.00× |
| [USP-S \| Neo-Noir (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-neo-noir-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $182 | 1.0% | 0 | 1.9 | 0.00× |
| [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Monster Mashup (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-monster-mashup-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $166 | 0.9% | 2 | 1.9 | 1.05× |
| [StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Ocean Drive (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-ocean-drive-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,000 | $164 | 0.9% | 2 | 1.9 | 1.05× |
| [USP-S \| Monster Mashup (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-monster-mashup-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $156 | 0.9% | 1 | 1.9 | 0.53× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Fairy Tale (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-fairy-tale-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $156 | 0.9% | 2 | 1.9 | 1.05× |
| [Glock-18 \| Wasteland Rebel (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-wasteland-rebel-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,000 | $148 | 0.8% | 5 | 1.9 | 2.63× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Ocean Drive (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-ocean-drive-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,000 | $147 | 0.8% | 4 | 1.9 | 2.11× |
| [Glock-18 \| Wasteland Rebel (Field-Tested) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-wasteland-rebel-field-tested) | 1 in 1,000 | $138 | 0.8% | 0 | 1.9 | 0.00× |
| [StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Wasteland Rebel (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-glock-18-wasteland-rebel-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $137 | 0.8% | 1 | 1.9 | 0.53× |
| [P2000 \| Fire Elemental (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-fire-elemental-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $134 | 0.7% | 2 | 1.9 | 1.05× |
| [Glock-18 \| Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) weapon · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,000 | $134 | 0.7% | 1 | 1.9 | 0.53× |
| [Glock-18 \| Wasteland Rebel (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-wasteland-rebel-well-worn) | 1 in 100 | $132 | 7.3% | 27 | 19.0 | 1.42× |
| [Glock-18 \| Wasteland Rebel (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-wasteland-rebel-battle-scarred) | 1 in 1,000 | $129 | 0.7% | 3 | 1.9 | 1.58× |
| [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Neo-Noir (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-neo-noir-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,000 | $128 | 0.7% | 1 | 1.9 | 0.53× |
| [USP-S \| Neo-Noir (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-neo-noir-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,000 | $126 | 0.7% | 2 | 1.9 | 1.05× |
| [StatTrak™ P2000 \| Fire Elemental (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p2000-fire-elemental-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,000 | $118 | 0.7% | 5 | 1.9 | 2.63× |
| [StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Wasteland Rebel (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-glock-18-wasteland-rebel-field-tested) | 1 in 1,000 | $116 | 0.6% | 3 | 1.9 | 1.58× |
| [USP-S \| Neo-Noir (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-neo-noir-field-tested) | 1 in 1,000 | $115 | 0.6% | 2 | 1.9 | 1.05× |
| [StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Neo-Noir (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-glock-18-neo-noir-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,000 | $109 | 0.6% | 8 | 1.9 | 4.21× |
| [Glock-18 \| Gamma Doppler (Field-Tested) weapon · #eb4b4b](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-gamma-doppler-field-tested) | 1 in 1,000 | $108 | 0.6% | 1 | 1.9 | 0.53× |
| [Glock-18 \| Neo-Noir (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-neo-noir-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,000 | $105 | 0.6% | 1 | 1.9 | 0.53× |
| [Glock-18 \| Pink DDPAT (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-pink-ddpat-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,000 | $104 | 0.6% | 3 | 1.9 | 1.58× |
| [Tec-9 \| Decimator (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-decimator-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $104 | 0.6% | 2 | 1.9 | 1.05× |
| [Glock-18 \| Gamma Doppler (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-gamma-doppler-well-worn) | 1 in 1,000 | $103 | 0.6% | 1 | 1.9 | 0.53× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Ocean Drive (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-ocean-drive-field-tested) | 1 in 1,000 | $103 | 0.6% | 2 | 1.9 | 1.05× |
| [P2000 \| Fire Elemental (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-fire-elemental-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,000 | $102 | 0.6% | 2 | 1.9 | 1.05× |
| [P2000 \| Silver (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-silver-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $97.95 | 0.5% | 4 | 1.9 | 2.11× |
| [Glock-18 \| Gamma Doppler (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-gamma-doppler-battle-scarred) | 1 in 1,000 | $96.74 | 0.5% | 2 | 1.9 | 1.05× |
| [P2000 \| Fire Elemental (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-fire-elemental-field-tested) | 1 in 1,000 | $92.57 | 0.5% | 1 | 1.9 | 0.53× |
| [P2000 \| Fire Elemental (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-fire-elemental-battle-scarred) | 1 in 1,000 | $90.27 | 0.5% | 1 | 1.9 | 0.53× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Kumicho Dragon (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-kumicho-dragon-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $88.98 | 0.5% | 1 | 1.9 | 0.53× |
| [P2000 \| Corticera (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-corticera-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $86.20 | 0.5% | 2 | 1.9 | 1.05× |
| [Glock-18 \| Pink DDPAT (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-pink-ddpat-field-tested) | 1 in 1,000 | $84.82 | 0.5% | 2 | 1.9 | 1.05× |
| [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Monster Mashup (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-monster-mashup-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,000 | $83.78 | 0.5% | 2 | 1.9 | 1.05× |
| [Glock-18 \| Bullet Queen (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-bullet-queen-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,000 | $78.42 | 0.4% | 5 | 1.9 | 2.63× |
| [USP-S \| Orion (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-orion-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,000 | $76.27 | 0.4% | 1 | 1.9 | 0.53× |
| [USP-S \| Whiteout (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-whiteout-field-tested) | 1 in 1,000 | $74.24 | 0.4% | 2 | 1.9 | 1.05× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Angry Mob (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-angry-mob-field-tested) | 1 in 1,000 | $71.87 | 0.4% | 2 | 1.9 | 1.05× |
| [Glock-18 \| Bullet Queen (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-bullet-queen-field-tested) | 1 in 1,000 | $71.42 | 0.4% | 0 | 1.9 | 0.00× |
| [Glock-18 \| Bullet Queen (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-bullet-queen-well-worn) | 1 in 1,000 | $67.83 | 0.4% | 0 | 1.9 | 0.00× |
| [Glock-18 \| Brass (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-brass-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,000 | $61.87 | 0.3% | 1 | 1.9 | 0.53× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Crimson Web (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-crimson-web-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,000 | $57.43 | 0.3% | 6 | 1.9 | 3.16× |
| [StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Neo-Noir (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · #eb4b4b](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-glock-18-neo-noir-field-tested) | 1 in 1,000 | $57.20 | 0.3% | 1 | 1.9 | 0.53× |
| [Tec-9 \| Nuclear Threat (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-nuclear-threat-field-tested) | 1 in 1,000 | $55.99 | 0.3% | 0 | 1.9 | 0.00× |
| [USP-S \| Road Rash (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-road-rash-field-tested) | 1 in 1,000 | $54.66 | 0.3% | 1 | 1.9 | 0.53× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Code Red (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-code-red-well-worn) | 1 in 1,000 | $54.61 | 0.3% | 0 | 1.9 | 0.00× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Code Red (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-code-red-battle-scarred) | 1 in 1,000 | $53.64 | 0.3% | 3 | 1.9 | 1.58× |
| [Glock-18 \| Snack Attack (Minimal Wear) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-snack-attack-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,000 | $52.47 | 0.3% | 0 | 1.9 | 0.00× |
| [Glock-18 \| Neo-Noir (Field-Tested) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-neo-noir-field-tested) | 1 in 1,000 | $51.67 | 0.3% | 7 | 1.9 | 3.68× |
| [StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Kumicho Dragon (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-kumicho-dragon-field-tested) | 1 in 1,000 | $51.01 | 0.3% | 3 | 1.9 | 1.58× |
| [Dual Berettas \| Emerald (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-emerald-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,000 | $50.34 | 0.3% | 1 | 1.9 | 0.53× |
| [USP-S \| Purple DDPAT (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-purple-ddpat-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $50.29 | 0.3% | 4 | 1.9 | 2.11× |
| [Glock-18 \| Water Elemental (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-water-elemental-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $50.15 | 0.3% | 2 | 1.9 | 1.05× |
| [USP-S \| The Traitor (Field-Tested) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-the-traitor-field-tested) | 1 in 1,000 | $49.87 | 0.3% | 1 | 1.9 | 0.53× |
| [Glock-18 \| Neo-Noir (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-neo-noir-well-worn) | 1 in 1,000 | $46.87 | 0.3% | 3 | 1.9 | 1.58× |
| [P2000 \| Silver (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-silver-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,000 | $43.86 | 0.2% | 2 | 1.9 | 1.05× |
| [StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Snack Attack (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-glock-18-snack-attack-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,000 | $42.07 | 0.2% | 1 | 1.9 | 0.53× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Kumicho Dragon (Minimal Wear) weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-kumicho-dragon-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,000 | $38.30 | 0.2% | 1 | 1.9 | 0.53× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Conspiracy (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-conspiracy-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $35.59 | 0.2% | 4 | 1.9 | 2.11× |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Xiangliu (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-xiangliu-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $33.57 | 0.2% | 0 | 1.9 | 0.00× |
| [P250 \| Cartel (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-cartel-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $33.44 | 0.2% | 2 | 1.9 | 1.05× |
| [USP-S \| Monster Mashup (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-monster-mashup-field-tested) | 1 in 1,000 | $31.31 | 0.2% | 3 | 1.9 | 1.58× |
| [Glock-18 \| Groundwater (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-groundwater-minimal-wear) | 1 in 100 | $29.03 | 1.6% | 14 | 19.0 | 0.74× |
| [StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Crimson Web (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-crimson-web-field-tested) | 1 in 100 | $28.62 | 1.6% | 21 | 19.0 | 1.11× |
| [StatTrak™ P2000 \| Corticera (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p2000-corticera-minimal-wear) | 1 in 100 | $28.22 | 1.6% | 17 | 19.0 | 0.89× |
| [USP-S \| Monster Mashup (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-monster-mashup-battle-scarred) | 1 in 100 | $27.45 | 1.5% | 18 | 19.0 | 0.95× |
| [StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto \| Xiangliu (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-cz75-auto-xiangliu-minimal-wear) | 1 in 100 | $27.41 | 1.5% | 20 | 19.0 | 1.05× |
| [StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Water Elemental (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-glock-18-water-elemental-field-tested) | 1 in 100 | $26.53 | 1.5% | 18 | 19.0 | 0.95× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Kumicho Dragon (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-kumicho-dragon-field-tested) | 1 in 100 | $26.11 | 1.4% | 14 | 19.0 | 0.74× |
| [P2000 \| Pathfinder (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-pathfinder-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $25.36 | 1.4% | 24 | 19.0 | 1.26× |
| [Glock-18 \| Water Elemental (Minimal Wear) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-water-elemental-minimal-wear) | 1 in 100 | $24.73 | 1.4% | 23 | 19.0 | 1.21× |
| [USP-S \| Royal Blue (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-royal-blue-minimal-wear) | 1 in 100 | $24.17 | 1.3% | 14 | 19.0 | 0.74× |
| [P2000 \| Corticera (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-corticera-minimal-wear) | 1 in 100 | $24.05 | 1.3% | 18 | 19.0 | 0.95× |
| [USP-S \| Purple DDPAT (Field-Tested) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-purple-ddpat-field-tested) | 1 in 100 | $23.97 | 1.3% | 18 | 19.0 | 0.95× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Conspiracy (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-conspiracy-minimal-wear) | 1 in 100 | $22.61 | 1.3% | 25 | 19.0 | 1.32× |
| [Glock-18 \| Snack Attack (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-snack-attack-field-tested) | 1 in 100 | $21.77 | 1.2% | 12 | 19.0 | 0.63× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Conspiracy (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-conspiracy-field-tested) | 1 in 100 | $21.56 | 1.2% | 18 | 19.0 | 0.95× |
| [Glock-18 \| Water Elemental (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-water-elemental-field-tested) | 1 in 100 | $21.36 | 1.2% | 22 | 19.0 | 1.16× |
| [Glock-18 \| Groundwater (Battle-Scarred) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-groundwater-battle-scarred) | 1 in 100 | $21.10 | 1.2% | 18 | 19.0 | 0.95× |
| [P250 \| Mehndi (Field-Tested) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-mehndi-field-tested) | 1 in 100 | $20.91 | 1.2% | 22 | 19.0 | 1.16× |
| [Tec-9 \| Decimator (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-decimator-field-tested) | 1 in 100 | $20.83 | 1.2% | 17 | 19.0 | 0.89× |
| [Tec-9 \| Decimator (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-decimator-well-worn) | 1 in 100 | $20.00 | 1.1% | 15 | 19.0 | 0.79× |
| [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Cyrex (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-cyrex-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $18.80 | 1.0% | 18 | 19.0 | 0.95× |
| [Dual Berettas \| Hemoglobin (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-hemoglobin-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $18.75 | 1.0% | 24 | 19.0 | 1.26× |
| [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Cortex (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-cortex-minimal-wear) | 1 in 100 | $18.40 | 1.0% | 16 | 19.0 | 0.84× |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Xiangliu (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-xiangliu-field-tested) | 1 in 100 | $17.22 | 1.0% | 20 | 19.0 | 1.05× |
| [P2000 \| Imperial Dragon (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-imperial-dragon-minimal-wear) | 1 in 100 | $16.24 | 0.9% | 14 | 19.0 | 0.74× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Crimson Web (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-crimson-web-field-tested) | 1 in 100 | $14.77 | 0.8% | 20 | 19.0 | 1.05× |
| [Glock-18 \| Snack Attack (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-snack-attack-well-worn) | 1 in 100 | $13.97 | 0.8% | 23 | 19.0 | 1.21× |
| [USP-S \| Blueprint (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-blueprint-minimal-wear) | 1 in 100 | $13.70 | 0.8% | 13 | 19.0 | 0.68× |
| [Glock-18 \| Nuclear Garden (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-nuclear-garden-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $13.11 | 0.7% | 23 | 19.0 | 1.21× |
| [Dual Berettas \| Twin Turbo (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-twin-turbo-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $12.25 | 0.7% | 13 | 19.0 | 0.68× |
| [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Guardian (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-guardian-minimal-wear) | 1 in 100 | $12.08 | 0.7% | 18 | 19.0 | 0.95× |
| [StatTrak™ P2000 \| Imperial Dragon (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p2000-imperial-dragon-field-tested) | 1 in 100 | $12.05 | 0.7% | 12 | 19.0 | 0.63× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Mecha Industries (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-mecha-industries-minimal-wear) | 1 in 100 | $10.07 | 0.6% | 16 | 19.0 | 0.84× |
| [Dual Berettas \| Demolition (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-demolition-battle-scarred) | 1 in 100 | $9.45 | 0.5% | 18 | 19.0 | 0.95× |
| [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Cortex (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-cortex-field-tested) | 1 in 100 | $9.43 | 0.5% | 24 | 19.0 | 1.26× |
| [USP-S \| Cortex (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-cortex-minimal-wear) | 1 in 100 | $9.42 | 0.5% | 26 | 19.0 | 1.37× |
| [P2000 \| Coach Class (Field-Tested) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-coach-class-field-tested) | 1 in 100 | $8.08 | 0.4% | 20 | 19.0 | 1.05× |
| [StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Vogue (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-glock-18-vogue-field-tested) | 1 in 100 | $8.03 | 0.4% | 24 | 19.0 | 1.26× |
| [USP-S \| Guardian (Minimal Wear) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-guardian-minimal-wear) | 1 in 100 | $7.93 | 0.4% | 21 | 19.0 | 1.11× |
| [Glock-18 \| Vogue (Minimal Wear) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-vogue-minimal-wear) | 1 in 100 | $7.67 | 0.4% | 25 | 19.0 | 1.32× |
| [USP-S \| Stainless (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-stainless-field-tested) | 1 in 100 | $7.61 | 0.4% | 21 | 19.0 | 1.11× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Mecha Industries (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-mecha-industries-field-tested) | 1 in 100 | $7.60 | 0.4% | 20 | 19.0 | 1.05× |
| [USP-S \| Blueprint (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-blueprint-field-tested) | 1 in 100 | $7.31 | 0.4% | 15 | 19.0 | 0.79× |
| [Glock-18 \| Royal Legion (Minimal Wear) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-royal-legion-minimal-wear) | 1 in 67 | $6.53 | 0.5% | 25 | 28.5 | 0.88× |
| [USP-S \| Cortex (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-cortex-field-tested) | 1 in 67 | $5.44 | 0.5% | 35 | 28.5 | 1.23× |
| [Glock-18 \| Vogue (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-vogue-field-tested) | 1 in 67 | $5.30 | 0.4% | 25 | 28.5 | 0.88× |
| [P2000 \| Amber Fade (Minimal Wear) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-amber-fade-minimal-wear) | 1 in 67 | $5.00 | 0.4% | 29 | 28.5 | 1.02× |
| [USP-S \| Black Lotus (Minimal Wear) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-black-lotus-minimal-wear) | 1 in 67 | $4.37 | 0.4% | 27 | 28.5 | 0.95× |
| [Glock-18 \| Blue Fissure (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-blue-fissure-minimal-wear) | 1 in 50 | $3.26 | 0.4% | 44 | 38.0 | 1.16× |
| [Glock-18 \| Night (Field-Tested) weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-night-field-tested) | 1 in 50 | $2.42 | 0.3% | 35 | 38.0 | 0.92× |
| [P2000 \| Amber Fade (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-amber-fade-field-tested) | 1 in 33 | $2.29 | 0.4% | 55 | 57.0 | 0.96× |
| [StatTrak™ P2000 \| Imperial (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p2000-imperial-factory-new) | 1 in 29 | $2.16 | 0.4% | 58 | 66.5 | 0.87× |
| [Glock-18 \| Nuclear Garden (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-nuclear-garden-field-tested) | 1 in 22 | $1.64 | 0.4% | 90 | 85.5 | 1.05× |
| [P2000 \| Ivory (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-ivory-minimal-wear) | 1 in 18 | $0.79 | 0.2% | 89 | 104.5 | 0.85× |
| [Tec-9 \| Groundwater (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-groundwater-field-tested) | 20.9% | $0.04 | 0.0% | 396 | 397.1 | 1.00× |

Values are DaddySkins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `daddyskins:graphql case(slug: skinsmonkey-case)`, 11 Nov, 15:00 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[Glock-18 | Neo-Noir (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-neo-noir-factory-new) [onlyfans.com/Seyden](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/onlyfans.com%2FSeyden) $21.66 $537 24.77x 2026-11-11 06:24 UTC

[Glock-18 | Neo-Noir (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-neo-noir-factory-new) [Borz](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/Borz) $21.66 $537 24.77x 2026-11-10 01:57 UTC

[Glock-18 | Neo-Noir (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-neo-noir-factory-new) [BuDdEr.](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/BuDdEr.) $20.99 $537 25.56x 2026-11-07 12:42 UTC

[Glock-18 | Neo-Noir (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-neo-noir-factory-new) [\[BOT\] John Doe](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20John%20Doe) $20.99 $537 25.56x 2026-11-03 09:26 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=daddyskins&case=481)

[Tec-9 | Groundwater (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-groundwater-field-tested) [☝Day4☝](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%E2%98%9DDay4%E2%98%9D) $21.66 $0.04 0.00x 2026-11-11 14:49 UTC

[Glock-18 | Night (Field-Tested) weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-night-field-tested) [RACCOON](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/RACCOON) $21.66 $2.42 0.11x 2026-11-11 14:49 UTC

[Glock-18 | Wasteland Rebel (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-wasteland-rebel-battle-scarred) [Wulf](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/Wulf) $21.66 $129 5.93x 2026-11-11 14:49 UTC

[Glock-18 | Groundwater (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-groundwater-minimal-wear) [Tobi](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/Tobi) $21.66 $29.03 1.34x 2026-11-11 14:49 UTC

[StatTrak™ USP-S | Cortex (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-cortex-field-tested) [STRYCK](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/STRYCK) $21.66 $9.43 0.44x 2026-11-11 14:39 UTC

[P250 | Mehndi (Field-Tested) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-mehndi-field-tested) [kauamaurey](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/kauamaurey) $21.66 $20.91 0.97x 2026-11-11 14:39 UTC

[USP-S | Royal Blue (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-royal-blue-minimal-wear) [motar2k](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/motar2k) $21.66 $24.17 1.12x 2026-11-11 14:39 UTC

[USP-S | Purple DDPAT (Field-Tested) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-purple-ddpat-field-tested) [STRYCK](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/STRYCK) $21.66 $23.97 1.11x 2026-11-11 14:39 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Mecha Industries (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-mecha-industries-minimal-wear) [kauamaurey](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/kauamaurey) $21.66 $10.07 0.46x 2026-11-11 14:39 UTC

[Glock-18 | Blue Fissure (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-blue-fissure-minimal-wear) [motar2k](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/motar2k) $21.66 $3.26 0.15x 2026-11-11 14:39 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 9 Nov, 14:16 UTC | $21.66 | 83.33% | 127 |
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $20.99 | 85.99% | 127 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 4.0% red 0.3% classified 20.2% restricted 12.2% Covert 0.3% #eb4b4b 0.2% mil spec 4.4% #8847ff 1.6% pink 2.1% Ancient 0.1% Legendary 6.6% Classified 0.1% industrial 4.0% #d32ee6 2.0% blue 2.5% Uncommon 1.0% violet 2.5% #4b69ff 4.5% Industrial Grade 2.0% Mythical 3.0% Rare 5.5% consumer 20.9% best hit $537 (24.77x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 83.3% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $83.33 on average: an expected loss of $16.67 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt