---
title: "farmskins case case on DaddySkins: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "farmskins case ($20.00) on DaddySkins, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 83.31% from 104 items with odds, observed 76.33% over 1,927 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/485
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:30Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [DaddySkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/daddyskins) / [farmskins case](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/485)

# [DaddySkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/daddyskins) · farmskins case

A case on DaddySkins, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is DaddySkins's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/485?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/485?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/485) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/485?window=all)

Price · $20.00

Advertised RTP · 83.31% · EV $16.66 from 104 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 76.33% · 1,927 openings, odds method

Variance · 14.2× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 65 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 96.3% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 83.86% ±34.12 468 openings

7 days · 77.68% ±17.91 1,699 openings

30 days · 76.33% ±16.82 1,927 openings

since tracking started · 76.33% ±16.82 1,927 openings

49.0% 83.8% 118.5%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/485?window=24h) | 468 | 83.86% ±34.1 | +0.0σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/485?window=7d) | 1,699 | 77.68% ±17.9 | −0.6σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/485) | 1,927 | 76.33% ±16.8 | −0.8σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/485?window=all) | 1,927 | 76.33% ±16.8 | −0.8σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 104 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,933 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Stained (Minimal Wear) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-stained-minimal-wear) | 1 in 10,000 | $1,590 | 1.0% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Bayonet \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-gamma-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $1,172 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Karambit \| Blue Steel (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-blue-steel-minimal-wear) | 1 in 10,000 | $1,054 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Damascus Steel (Field-Tested) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-damascus-steel-field-tested) | 1 in 5,000 | $996 | 1.2% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 5,000 | $990 | 1.2% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Slaughter (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-slaughter-minimal-wear) | 1 in 5,000 | $984 | 1.2% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Case Hardened (Field-Tested) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-case-hardened-field-tested) | 1 in 5,000 | $981 | 1.2% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 5,000 | $965 | 1.2% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Crimson Web (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-crimson-web-field-tested) | 1 in 5,000 | $957 | 1.1% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [★ Talon Knife \| Slaughter (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-slaughter-minimal-wear) | 1 in 5,000 | $923 | 1.1% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [★ Bayonet \| Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 5,000 | $915 | 1.1% | 1 | 0.4 | — |
| [★ Karambit \| Black Laminate (Field-Tested) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-black-laminate-field-tested) | 1 in 5,000 | $872 | 1.0% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [★ Stiletto Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 5,000 | $822 | 1.0% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [★ Talon Knife \| Case Hardened (Minimal Wear) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-case-hardened-minimal-wear) | 1 in 5,000 | $789 | 0.9% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [★ Talon Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 5,000 | $787 | 0.9% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [★ Karambit \| Damascus Steel (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-damascus-steel-field-tested) | 1 in 5,000 | $763 | 0.9% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [★ Talon Knife \| Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 5,000 | $761 | 0.9% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [★ Karambit \| Lore (Field-Tested) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-lore-field-tested) | 1 in 5,000 | $742 | 0.9% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Lore (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-lore-field-tested) | 1 in 5,000 | $699 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [★ Stiletto Knife \| Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 5,000 | $680 | 0.8% | 1 | 0.4 | — |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 5,000 | $657 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [★ Karambit \| Ultraviolet (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-ultraviolet-field-tested) | 1 in 5,000 | $643 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Urban Masked (Field-Tested) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-urban-masked-field-tested) | 1 in 5,000 | $642 | 0.8% | 1 | 0.4 | — |
| [★ Karambit \| Freehand (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-freehand-field-tested) | 1 in 5,000 | $636 | 0.8% | 1 | 0.4 | — |
| [★ Huntsman Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 5,000 | $618 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [★ Skeleton Knife \| Slaughter (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-slaughter-minimal-wear) | 1 in 5,000 | $606 | 0.7% | 1 | 0.4 | — |
| [★ Karambit \| Bright Water (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-bright-water-field-tested) | 1 in 5,000 | $590 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Crimson Web (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-crimson-web-field-tested) | 1 in 5,000 | $588 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Damascus Steel (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-damascus-steel-field-tested) | 1 in 5,000 | $579 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [★ Talon Knife \| Crimson Web (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-crimson-web-field-tested) | 1 in 5,000 | $571 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [★ Talon Knife \| Ultraviolet (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-ultraviolet-minimal-wear) | 1 in 5,000 | $570 | 0.7% | 2 | 0.4 | — |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Boreal Forest (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-boreal-forest-field-tested) | 1 in 5,000 | $567 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [★ Bayonet \| Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 5,000 | $561 | 0.7% | 1 | 0.4 | — |
| [★ Stiletto Knife \| Slaughter (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-slaughter-minimal-wear) | 1 in 5,000 | $546 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 5,000 | $542 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [★ Classic Knife \| Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/classic-knife-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 5,000 | $538 | 0.6% | 2 | 0.4 | — |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Lore (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-lore-factory-new) | 1 in 3,333 | $485 | 0.9% | 1 | 0.6 | — |
| [★ Stiletto Knife \| Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 3,333 | $481 | 0.9% | 0 | 0.6 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Ultraviolet (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-ultraviolet-field-tested) | 1 in 3,333 | $452 | 0.8% | 2 | 0.6 | — |
| [★ Huntsman Knife \| Case Hardened (Minimal Wear) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-case-hardened-minimal-wear) | 1 in 3,333 | $452 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.6 | — |
| [★ Stiletto Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 3,333 | $449 | 0.8% | 1 | 0.6 | — |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 3,333 | $444 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.6 | — |
| [★ Karambit \| Forest DDPAT (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-forest-ddpat-field-tested) | 1 in 3,333 | $438 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.6 | — |
| [★ Bayonet \| Lore (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-lore-minimal-wear) | 1 in 3,333 | $429 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.6 | — |
| [★ Skeleton Knife \| Crimson Web (Well-Worn) knife · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-crimson-web-well-worn) | 1 in 3,333 | $425 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.6 | — |
| [★ Skeleton Knife \| Case Hardened (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-case-hardened-field-tested) | 1 in 3,333 | $408 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.6 | — |
| [★ Huntsman Knife \| Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-slaughter-factory-new) | 1 in 3,333 | $400 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.6 | — |
| [★ Bayonet \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 3,333 | $390 | 0.7% | 2 | 0.6 | — |
| [★ Ursus Knife \| Fade (Factory New) knife · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 3,333 | $385 | 0.7% | 2 | 0.6 | — |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 3,333 | $377 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.6 | — |
| [★ Stiletto Knife \| Case Hardened (Field-Tested) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-case-hardened-field-tested) | 1 in 3,333 | $361 | 0.6% | 1 | 0.6 | — |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-slaughter-factory-new) | 1 in 3,333 | $360 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.6 | — |
| [★ Huntsman Knife \| Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 3,333 | $355 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.6 | — |
| [★ Stiletto Knife \| Crimson Web (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-crimson-web-field-tested) | 1 in 3,333 | $354 | 0.6% | 1 | 0.6 | — |
| [★ Gut Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · Immortal](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 3,333 | $343 | 0.6% | 1 | 0.6 | — |
| [★ Classic Knife \| Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/classic-knife-slaughter-factory-new) | 1 in 3,333 | $325 | 0.6% | 1 | 0.6 | — |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-slaughter-factory-new) | 1 in 3,333 | $320 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.6 | — |
| [★ Huntsman Knife \| Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 3,333 | $317 | 0.6% | 1 | 0.6 | — |
| [★ Falchion Knife \| Slaughter (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-slaughter-minimal-wear) | 1 in 3,333 | $302 | 0.5% | 2 | 0.6 | — |
| [★ Ursus Knife \| Crimson Web (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-crimson-web-minimal-wear) | 1 in 2,500 | $299 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.8 | — |
| [★ Falchion Knife \| Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 2,500 | $298 | 0.7% | 2 | 0.8 | — |
| [★ Ursus Knife \| Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 2,500 | $297 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.8 | — |
| [★ Ursus Knife \| Slaughter (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-slaughter-minimal-wear) | 1 in 2,500 | $289 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.8 | — |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 2,500 | $271 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.8 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-gamma-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 2,500 | $269 | 0.6% | 3 | 0.8 | — |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 2,500 | $268 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.8 | — |
| [★ Falchion Knife \| Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 2,500 | $266 | 0.6% | 1 | 0.8 | — |
| [★ Falchion Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 2,500 | $265 | 0.6% | 1 | 0.8 | — |
| [★ Ursus Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 2,500 | $258 | 0.6% | 1 | 0.8 | — |
| [★ Classic Knife \| Crimson Web (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/classic-knife-crimson-web-field-tested) | 1 in 2,000 | $245 | 0.7% | 0 | 1.0 | — |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 2,000 | $218 | 0.7% | 1 | 1.0 | — |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Crimson Web (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-crimson-web-field-tested) | 1 in 2,000 | $216 | 0.6% | 0 | 1.0 | — |
| [★ Classic Knife \| Case Hardened (Field-Tested) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/classic-knife-case-hardened-field-tested) | 1 in 2,000 | $215 | 0.6% | 1 | 1.0 | — |
| [★ Huntsman Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 2,000 | $215 | 0.6% | 1 | 1.0 | — |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Crimson Web (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-crimson-web-field-tested) | 1 in 2,000 | $198 | 0.6% | 3 | 1.0 | — |
| [★ Falchion Knife \| Crimson Web (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-crimson-web-field-tested) | 1 in 2,000 | $197 | 0.6% | 0 | 1.0 | — |
| [★ Gut Knife \| Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 2,000 | $188 | 0.6% | 4 | 1.0 | — |
| [★ Huntsman Knife \| Ultraviolet (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-ultraviolet-minimal-wear) | 1 in 2,000 | $185 | 0.6% | 1 | 1.0 | — |
| [★ Gut Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 2,000 | $182 | 0.5% | 3 | 1.0 | — |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Ultraviolet (Minimal Wear) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-ultraviolet-minimal-wear) | 1 in 2,000 | $168 | 0.5% | 0 | 1.0 | — |
| [★ Gut Knife \| Autotronic (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-autotronic-field-tested) | 1 in 2,000 | $165 | 0.5% | 1 | 1.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Neon Revolution (Minimal Wear) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-neon-revolution-minimal-wear) | 1 in 2,000 | $156 | 0.5% | 1 | 1.0 | — |
| [★ Moto Gloves \| Transport (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-transport-minimal-wear) | 1 in 2,000 | $153 | 0.5% | 1 | 1.0 | — |
| [★ Falchion Knife \| Ultraviolet (Field-Tested) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-ultraviolet-field-tested) | 1 in 2,000 | $144 | 0.4% | 2 | 1.0 | — |
| [★ Gut Knife \| Ultraviolet (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-ultraviolet-minimal-wear) | 1 in 2,000 | $135 | 0.4% | 1 | 1.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Neon Revolution (Field-Tested) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-neon-revolution-field-tested) | 1 in 2,000 | $134 | 0.4% | 0 | 1.0 | — |
| [★ Gut Knife \| Bright Water (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-bright-water-minimal-wear) | 1 in 2,000 | $117 | 0.4% | 0 | 1.0 | — |
| [★ Gut Knife \| Urban Masked (Field-Tested) knife · Immortal](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-urban-masked-field-tested) | 1 in 1,429 | $95.52 | 0.4% | 3 | 1.4 | 2.22× |
| [P2000 \| Fire Elemental (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-fire-elemental-field-tested) | 1 in 1,429 | $93.99 | 0.4% | 0 | 1.4 | 0.00× |
| [StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Crimson Web (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-crimson-web-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,429 | $93.97 | 0.4% | 1 | 1.4 | 0.74× |
| [M4A1-S \| Dark Water (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-dark-water-field-tested) | 1 in 1,429 | $93.25 | 0.4% | 0 | 1.4 | 0.00× |
| [★ Gut Knife \| Scorched (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-scorched-field-tested) | 1 in 1,429 | $92.10 | 0.4% | 2 | 1.4 | 1.48× |
| [FAMAS \| Mecha Industries (Minimal Wear) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-mecha-industries-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,000 | $62.04 | 0.4% | 2 | 1.9 | 1.03× |
| [AWP \| Hyper Beast (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-hyper-beast-well-worn) | 1 in 556 | $46.08 | 0.5% | 3 | 3.5 | 0.86× |
| [M4A4 \| Desolate Space (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-desolate-space-minimal-wear) | 1 in 286 | $29.82 | 0.6% | 10 | 6.8 | 1.48× |
| [AWP \| Fever Dream (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-fever-dream-field-tested) | 1 in 143 | $18.20 | 0.8% | 14 | 13.5 | 1.03× |
| [StatTrak™ MP9 \| Rose Iron (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp9-rose-iron-minimal-wear) | 1 in 125 | $15.31 | 0.7% | 16 | 15.5 | 1.03× |
| [P90 \| Nostalgia (Minimal Wear) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-nostalgia-minimal-wear) | 1 in 100 | $9.07 | 0.5% | 31 | 19.3 | 1.60× |
| [M4A4 \| Griffin (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-griffin-minimal-wear) | 1 in 100 | $8.91 | 0.5% | 17 | 19.3 | 0.88× |
| [MP7 \| Fade (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $8.79 | 0.5% | 13 | 19.3 | 0.67× |
| [StatTrak™ AUG \| Stymphalian (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-aug-stymphalian-minimal-wear) | 1 in 100 | $8.61 | 0.5% | 22 | 19.3 | 1.14× |
| [AK-47 \| Rat Rod (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-rat-rod-field-tested) | 28.5% | $5.83 | 10.0% | 579 | 550.9 | 1.05× |
| [AWP \| Mortis (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-mortis-field-tested) | 29.3% | $5.24 | 9.2% | 538 | 567.1 | 0.95× |
| [USP-S \| Cyrex (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-cyrex-field-tested) | 33.0% | $4.98 | 9.9% | 629 | 637.9 | 0.99× |

Values are DaddySkins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `daddyskins:graphql case(slug: farmskins-case)`, 11 Nov, 08:55 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[★ Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-doppler-factory-new) [\[BOT\] HAL 9000](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20HAL%209000) $20.00 $915 45.74x 2026-11-08 09:15 UTC

[★ Stiletto Knife | Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-fade-factory-new) [\[BOT\] Patrick Bateman](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Patrick%20Bateman) $20.00 $680 34.02x 2026-11-03 18:10 UTC

[★ Butterfly Knife | Urban Masked (Field-Tested) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-urban-masked-field-tested) [NéRoN](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/N%C3%A9RoN) $20.00 $642 32.09x 2026-11-06 15:40 UTC

[★ Karambit | Freehand (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-freehand-field-tested) [\[BOT\] Hans Landa](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Hans%20Landa) $20.00 $636 31.82x 2026-11-08 09:08 UTC

[★ Skeleton Knife | Slaughter (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-slaughter-minimal-wear) [\[BOT\] Agent Smith](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Agent%20Smith) $20.00 $606 30.32x 2026-11-11 03:23 UTC

[★ Talon Knife | Ultraviolet (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-ultraviolet-minimal-wear) [Jermin8or](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/Jermin8or) $20.00 $570 28.52x 2026-11-10 22:22 UTC

[★ Talon Knife | Ultraviolet (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-ultraviolet-minimal-wear) [Reckless877797](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/Reckless877797) $20.00 $570 28.52x 2026-11-08 09:03 UTC

[★ Bayonet | Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-fade-factory-new) [\[BOT\] John Doe](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20John%20Doe) $20.00 $561 28.05x 2026-11-08 09:01 UTC

[★ Classic Knife | Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/classic-knife-fade-factory-new) [Code Tarkox](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/Code%20Tarkox) $20.00 $538 26.89x 2026-11-08 23:44 UTC

[★ Classic Knife | Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/classic-knife-fade-factory-new) [STRYCK](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/STRYCK) $20.00 $538 26.89x 2026-11-07 20:12 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=daddyskins&case=485)

[USP-S | Cyrex (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-cyrex-field-tested) [RENGOKU KYOJURO](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/RENGOKU%20KYOJURO) $20.00 $4.98 0.25x 2026-11-11 12:02 UTC

[AK-47 | Rat Rod (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-rat-rod-field-tested) [♕H4PPY F33T♕](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%E2%99%95H4PPY%20F33T%E2%99%95) $20.00 $5.83 0.29x 2026-11-11 12:02 UTC

[AK-47 | Rat Rod (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-rat-rod-field-tested) [\[BOT\] Anton Chigurh](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Anton%20Chigurh) $20.00 $5.83 0.29x 2026-11-11 03:24 UTC

[AK-47 | Rat Rod (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-rat-rod-field-tested) [\[BOT\] Agent Smith](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Agent%20Smith) $20.00 $5.83 0.29x 2026-11-11 03:24 UTC

[USP-S | Cyrex (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-cyrex-field-tested) [\[BOT\] Max Cady](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Max%20Cady) $20.00 $4.98 0.25x 2026-11-11 03:24 UTC

[AK-47 | Rat Rod (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-rat-rod-field-tested) [\[BOT\] The Joker](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20The%20Joker) $20.00 $5.83 0.29x 2026-11-11 03:24 UTC

[USP-S | Cyrex (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-cyrex-field-tested) [\[BOT\] Alonzo Harris](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Alonzo%20Harris) $20.00 $4.98 0.25x 2026-11-11 03:24 UTC

[USP-S | Cyrex (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-cyrex-field-tested) [1914592585](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/1914592585) $20.00 $4.98 0.25x 2026-11-11 03:24 UTC

[USP-S | Cyrex (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-cyrex-field-tested) [\[BOT\] Anton Chigurh](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Anton%20Chigurh) $20.00 $4.98 0.25x 2026-11-11 03:24 UTC

[★ Bayonet | Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-tiger-tooth-factory-new) [\[BOT\] Agent Smith](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Agent%20Smith) $20.00 $390 19.51x 2026-11-11 03:24 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $20.00 | 83.31% | 104 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed gold 0.2% covert 2.2% #ffd700 0.1% sunny 0.1% epic 0.0% legendary 0.0% rare 0.1% Immortal 0.1% red 0.1% covert knife 0.1% extraordinary 0.1% restricted 35.1% pink 0.1% classified 31.4% #8847ff 0.8% Legendary 1.0% violet 28.5% best hit $915 (45.74x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 83.3% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $83.31 on average: an expected loss of $16.69 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt