--- title: "Kevinlowroller case on DaddySkins: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Kevinlowroller ($35.00) on DaddySkins, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 83.28% from 13 items with odds, observed 107.75% over 1,044 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/488 rendered: 2026-11-11T15:42Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [DaddySkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/daddyskins) / [Kevinlowroller](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/488) # [DaddySkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/daddyskins) · Kevinlowroller A case on DaddySkins, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is DaddySkins's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/488?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/488?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/488) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/488?window=all) Price · $35.00 Advertised RTP · 83.28% · EV $29.15 from 13 items Observed RTP, 30d · 107.75% · 1,044 openings, odds method Variance · 20.5× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 47 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 85.1% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 141 openings · below min 7 days · 104.16% ±29.39 913 openings 30 days · 107.75% ±27.49 1,044 openings since tracking started · 107.75% ±27.49 1,044 openings 51.5% 126.8% 202.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/488?window=24h) | 141 | 126.78% ±74.8 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/488?window=7d) | 913 | 104.16% ±29.4 | +1.4σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/488) | 1,044 | 107.75% ±27.5 | +1.7σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/488?window=all) | 1,044 | 107.75% ±27.5 | +1.7σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 13 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,044 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Butterfly Knife \| Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $4,125 | 1.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [★ Butterfly Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 5,000 | $3,402 | 2.3% | 1 | 0.2 | — | | [AWP \| Medusa (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-medusa-field-tested) | 1 in 2,000 | $2,753 | 4.7% | 1 | 0.5 | — | | [★ Butterfly Knife \| Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 667 | $2,216 | 11.4% | 5 | 1.6 | 3.19× | | [M4A4 \| Poseidon (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-poseidon-minimal-wear) | 1 in 500 | $1,776 | 12.2% | 0 | 2.1 | 0.00× | | [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Case Hardened (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-case-hardened-battle-scarred) | 1 in 143 | $490 | 11.8% | 6 | 7.3 | 0.82× | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Big Game (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-big-game-field-tested) | 1 in 100 | $285 | 9.8% | 13 | 10.4 | 1.25× | | [AWP \| Graphite (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-graphite-factory-new) | 1 in 77 | $258 | 11.5% | 17 | 13.6 | 1.25× | | [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Neo-Noir (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-neo-noir-factory-new) | 1 in 67 | $219 | 11.3% | 18 | 15.7 | 1.15× | | [Desert Eagle \| Printstream (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-printstream-minimal-wear) | 1 in 20 | $67.31 | 11.5% | 54 | 52.2 | 1.03× | | [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Leaded Glass (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-leaded-glass-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $66.05 | 11.3% | 50 | 52.2 | 0.96× | | [Sticker \| Stan sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-stan) | 40.1% | $0.33 | 0.5% | 429 | 418.3 | 1.03× | | [Sticker \| Silent Ninja sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-silent-ninja) | 45.0% | $0.18 | 0.3% | 450 | 469.8 | 0.96× | Values are DaddySkins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `daddyskins:graphql case(slug: kevinlowroller)`, 11 Nov, 15:00 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Butterfly Knife | Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-doppler-factory-new) [\[BOT\] Alonzo Harris](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Alonzo%20Harris) $35.00 $3,402 97.19x 2026-11-11 13:50 UTC [AWP | Medusa (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-medusa-field-tested) [\[BOT\] Mr. Blonde](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Mr.%20Blonde) $35.00 $2,753 78.64x 2026-11-06 22:05 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) [\[BOT\] T-1000](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20T-1000) $35.00 $2,216 63.32x 2026-11-08 14:59 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) [Pelsik](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/Pelsik) $35.00 $2,216 63.32x 2026-11-06 22:03 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) [\[BOT\] Sauron](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Sauron) $35.00 $2,216 63.32x 2026-11-05 08:26 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) [\[BOT\] Darth Vader](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Darth%20Vader) $35.00 $2,216 63.32x 2026-11-04 02:40 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) [\[BOT\] Bane](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Bane) $35.00 $2,216 63.32x 2026-11-04 02:40 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=daddyskins&case=488) [Sticker | Stan sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-stan) [\[BOT\] Frederick Charles Krueger](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Frederick%20Charles%20Krueger) $35.00 $0.33 0.01x 2026-11-11 13:51 UTC [Sticker | Stan sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-stan) [\[BOT\] Anton Chigurh](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Anton%20Chigurh) $35.00 $0.33 0.01x 2026-11-11 13:51 UTC [Sticker | Stan sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-stan) [\[BOT\] HAL 9000](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20HAL%209000) $35.00 $0.33 0.01x 2026-11-11 13:51 UTC [Sticker | Stan sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-stan) [\[BOT\] The Joker](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20The%20Joker) $35.00 $0.33 0.01x 2026-11-11 13:51 UTC [Sticker | Silent Ninja sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-silent-ninja) [\[BOT\] King Joffrey](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20King%20Joffrey) $35.00 $0.18 0.01x 2026-11-11 13:51 UTC [Sticker | Silent Ninja sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-silent-ninja) [kevinlowroller](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/kevinlowroller) $35.00 $0.18 0.01x 2026-11-11 13:51 UTC [Sticker | Silent Ninja sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-silent-ninja) [\[BOT\] Frederick Charles Krueger](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Frederick%20Charles%20Krueger) $35.00 $0.18 0.01x 2026-11-11 13:51 UTC [Sticker | Silent Ninja sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-silent-ninja) [\[BOT\] Anton Chigurh](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Anton%20Chigurh) $35.00 $0.18 0.01x 2026-11-11 13:51 UTC [Sticker | Silent Ninja sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-silent-ninja) [\[BOT\] HAL 9000](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20HAL%209000) $35.00 $0.18 0.01x 2026-11-11 13:51 UTC [Sticker | Silent Ninja sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-silent-ninja) [\[BOT\] The Joker](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20The%20Joker) $35.00 $0.18 0.01x 2026-11-11 13:51 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $35.00 | 83.28% | 13 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 6.7% sunny 0.0% classified 7.2% extraordinary 1.0% high 85.1% best hit $3,402 (97.19x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 83.3% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $83.28 on average: an expected loss of $16.72 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt