---
title: "Mine Case case on DaddySkins: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Mine Case ($32.65) on DaddySkins, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 83.32% from 31 items with odds, observed 91.50% over 953 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/493
rendered: 2026-11-11T16:57Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [DaddySkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/daddyskins) / [Mine Case](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/493)

# [DaddySkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/daddyskins) · Mine Case

A case on DaddySkins, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is DaddySkins's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/493?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/493?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/493) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/493?window=all)

Price · $32.65

Advertised RTP · 83.32% · EV $27.20 from 31 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 91.50% · 953 openings, odds method

Variance · 7.1× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 19 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 83.7% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 68 openings · below min

7 days · 89.38% ±21.01 617 openings

30 days · 91.50% ±16.90 953 openings

since tracking started · 91.50% ±16.90 953 openings

14.0% 78.0% 142.0%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/493?window=24h) | 68 | 77.86% ±63.3 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/493?window=7d) | 617 | 89.38% ±21.0 | +0.6σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/493) | 953 | 91.50% ±16.9 | +0.9σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/493?window=all) | 953 | 91.50% ±16.9 | +0.9σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 31 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 953 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-butterfly-knife-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear) | 1 in 10,000 | $3,097 | 1.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Specialist Gloves \| Emerald Web (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-emerald-web-field-tested) | 1 in 10,000 | $2,858 | 1.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear) | 1 in 10,000 | $2,010 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Hydroponic (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-hydroponic-minimal-wear) | 1 in 6,667 | $1,782 | 1.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Specialist Gloves \| Emerald Web (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-emerald-web-well-worn) | 1 in 5,000 | $1,357 | 1.0% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Emerald Jörmungandr (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-emerald-jormungandr-factory-new) | 1 in 4,000 | $1,297 | 1.2% | 1 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Boreal Forest (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-boreal-forest-field-tested) | 1 in 2,000 | $634 | 1.2% | 1 | 0.5 | — |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 1,333 | $409 | 1.1% | 0 | 0.7 | — |
| [★ Gut Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · Immortal](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 1,250 | $344 | 1.0% | 0 | 0.8 | — |
| [★ Talon Knife \| Forest DDPAT (Field-Tested) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-forest-ddpat-field-tested) | 1 in 100 | $332 | 12.2% | 14 | 9.5 | 1.47× |
| [★ Moto Gloves \| Turtle (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-turtle-minimal-wear) | 1 in 100 | $331 | 12.2% | 13 | 9.5 | 1.36× |
| [AWP \| Containment Breach (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-containment-breach-minimal-wear) | 1 in 100 | $316 | 11.6% | 9 | 9.5 | 0.94× |
| [P90 \| Emerald Dragon (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-emerald-dragon-minimal-wear) | 1 in 50 | $148 | 10.9% | 22 | 19.1 | 1.15× |
| [USP-S \| Ancient Visions (Factory New) weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-ancient-visions-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $123 | 9.0% | 17 | 19.1 | 0.89× |
| [P250 \| See Ya Later (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-see-ya-later-field-tested) | 1 in 50 | $119 | 8.8% | 24 | 19.1 | 1.26× |
| [Tec-9 \| Nuclear Threat (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-nuclear-threat-field-tested) | 1 in 33 | $52.53 | 5.8% | 28 | 28.6 | 0.98× |
| [Galil AR \| Cerberus (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-cerberus-field-tested) | 1 in 25 | $35.33 | 5.2% | 38 | 38.1 | 1.00× |
| [USP-S \| Monster Mashup (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-monster-mashup-field-tested) | 1 in 25 | $29.72 | 4.4% | 32 | 38.1 | 0.84× |
| [AK-47 \| Green Laminate (Field-Tested) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-green-laminate-field-tested) | 1 in 25 | $27.47 | 4.0% | 42 | 38.1 | 1.10× |
| [Galil AR \| Eco (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-eco-field-tested) | 1 in 25 | $12.20 | 1.8% | 37 | 38.6 | 0.96× |
| [MP9 \| Hydra (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-hydra-field-tested) | 1 in 20 | $9.00 | 1.7% | 47 | 47.7 | 0.99× |
| [AWP \| Atheris (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-atheris-field-tested) | 1 in 20 | $5.89 | 1.1% | 35 | 47.7 | 0.73× |
| [SSG 08 \| Acid Fade (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-acid-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $2.84 | 0.5% | 53 | 47.7 | 1.11× |
| [Glock-18 \| Nuclear Garden (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-nuclear-garden-field-tested) | 1 in 20 | $1.46 | 0.3% | 51 | 47.7 | 1.07× |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Eco (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-eco-field-tested) | 1 in 20 | $1.20 | 0.2% | 54 | 47.7 | 1.13× |
| [SCAR-20 \| Powercore (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-powercore-field-tested) | 1 in 20 | $1.16 | 0.2% | 44 | 47.7 | 0.92× |
| [MP7 \| Powercore (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-powercore-field-tested) | 1 in 20 | $1.10 | 0.2% | 50 | 47.7 | 1.05× |
| [AWP \| Pit Viper (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-pit-viper-battle-scarred) | 1 in 20 | $0.83 | 0.2% | 55 | 47.7 | 1.15× |
| [SSG 08 \| Necropos (Battle-Scarred) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-necropos-battle-scarred) | 1 in 17 | $0.49 | 0.1% | 53 | 57.2 | 0.93× |
| [MP9 \| Bioleak (Battle-Scarred) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-bioleak-battle-scarred) | 12.7% | $0.32 | 0.1% | 121 | 120.6 | 1.00× |
| [SCAR-20 \| Green Marine (Well-Worn) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-green-marine-well-worn) | 13.0% | $0.26 | 0.1% | 112 | 123.9 | 0.90× |

Values are DaddySkins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `daddyskins:graphql case(slug: mine-case)`, 11 Nov, 15:00 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[Desert Eagle | Emerald Jörmungandr (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-emerald-jormungandr-factory-new) [Pinante®](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/Pinante%C2%AE) $32.65 $1,297 39.72x 2026-11-10 01:51 UTC

[★ Butterfly Knife | Boreal Forest (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-boreal-forest-field-tested) [包夜2000](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%E5%8C%85%E5%A4%9C2000) $32.65 $634 19.42x 2026-11-04 16:51 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=daddyskins&case=493)

[MP9 | Bioleak (Battle-Scarred) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-bioleak-battle-scarred) [\[BOT\] Mr. Blonde](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Mr.%20Blonde) $32.65 $0.32 0.01x 2026-11-11 14:02 UTC

[SCAR-20 | Powercore (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-powercore-field-tested) [\[BOT\] Frederick Charles Krueger](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Frederick%20Charles%20Krueger) $32.65 $1.16 0.04x 2026-11-11 14:02 UTC

[CZ75-Auto | Eco (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-eco-field-tested) [\[BOT\] HAL 9000](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20HAL%209000) $32.65 $1.20 0.04x 2026-11-11 14:02 UTC

[SSG 08 | Necropos (Battle-Scarred) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-necropos-battle-scarred) [\[BOT\] Bane](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Bane) $32.65 $0.49 0.02x 2026-11-11 14:02 UTC

[SSG 08 | Necropos (Battle-Scarred) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-necropos-battle-scarred) [\[BOT\] Max Cady](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Max%20Cady) $32.65 $0.49 0.02x 2026-11-11 14:02 UTC

[SSG 08 | Acid Fade (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-acid-fade-factory-new) [kevinlowroller](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/kevinlowroller) $32.65 $2.84 0.09x 2026-11-11 14:02 UTC

[SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Well-Worn) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-green-marine-well-worn) [\[BOT\] Mr. Blonde](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Mr.%20Blonde) $32.65 $0.26 0.01x 2026-11-11 14:02 UTC

[MP9 | Bioleak (Battle-Scarred) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-bioleak-battle-scarred) [\[BOT\] Frederick Charles Krueger](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Frederick%20Charles%20Krueger) $32.65 $0.32 0.01x 2026-11-11 14:02 UTC

[MP9 | Hydra (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-hydra-field-tested) [\[BOT\] HAL 9000](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20HAL%209000) $32.65 $9.00 0.28x 2026-11-11 14:02 UTC

[MP9 | Bioleak (Battle-Scarred) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-bioleak-battle-scarred) [\[BOT\] Bane](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Bane) $32.65 $0.32 0.01x 2026-11-11 14:02 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $32.65 | 83.32% | 31 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert knife 1.0% extraordinary 1.0% classified 10.1% restricted 24.0% covert 3.0% sunny 0.1% Immortal 0.1% Restricted 2.0% #8847ff 3.0% blue 16.7% pink 5.0% mil spec 11.0% violet 5.0% Mythical 5.0% Rare 13.0% best hit $1,297 (39.72x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 83.3% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $83.32 on average: an expected loss of $16.68 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt