---
title: "Labubu Case case on DaddySkins: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Labubu Case ($7.36) on DaddySkins, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 83.25% from 33 items with odds, observed 77.50% over 1,659 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/494
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:31Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [DaddySkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/daddyskins) / [Labubu Case](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/494)

# [DaddySkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/daddyskins) · Labubu Case

A case on DaddySkins, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is DaddySkins's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/494?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/494?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/494) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/494?window=all)

Price · $7.36

Advertised RTP · 83.25% · EV $6.13 from 33 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 77.50% · 1,659 openings, odds method

Variance · 24.6× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 34 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 88.8% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 41.55% ±72.62 179 openings

7 days · 79.84% ±27.71 1,229 openings

30 days · 77.50% ±23.85 1,659 openings

since tracking started · 77.50% ±23.85 1,659 openings

-0.5% 57.3% 115.0%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/494?window=24h) | 179 | 41.55% ±72.6 | −1.1σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/494?window=7d) | 1,229 | 79.84% ±27.7 | −0.2σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/494) | 1,659 | 77.50% ±23.9 | −0.5σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/494?window=all) | 1,659 | 77.50% ±23.9 | −0.5σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 33 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,659 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [AK-47 \| Gold Arabesque (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-gold-arabesque-well-worn) | 1 in 20,000 | $1,943 | 1.6% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $1,403 | 2.3% | 1 | 0.2 | — |
| [M4A4 \| The Coalition (Minimal Wear) weapon · #eb4b4b](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-the-coalition-minimal-wear) | 1 in 10,000 | $1,211 | 2.0% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Blaze (Factory New) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-blaze-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $1,112 | 1.8% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [MP9 \| Bulldozer (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-bulldozer-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $1,060 | 1.7% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Karambit \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 6,667 | $1,057 | 2.6% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Buzz Kill (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-buzz-kill-field-tested) | 1 in 5,000 | $585 | 1.9% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [★ Bayonet \| Lore (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-lore-minimal-wear) | 1 in 5,000 | $378 | 1.2% | 1 | 0.3 | — |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Omega (Field-Tested) gloves · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-omega-field-tested) | 1 in 2,857 | $309 | 1.8% | 0 | 0.6 | — |
| [★ Specialist Gloves \| Field Agent (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-field-agent-field-tested) | 1 in 2,857 | $231 | 1.3% | 0 | 0.6 | — |
| [★ Hand Wraps \| CAUTION! (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-caution-field-tested) | 1 in 1,250 | $211 | 2.8% | 2 | 1.3 | 1.51× |
| [Tec-9 \| Terrace (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-terrace-field-tested) | 1 in 1,000 | $182 | 3.0% | 2 | 1.7 | 1.21× |
| [M4A1-S \| Golden Coil (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-golden-coil-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,000 | $172 | 2.8% | 1 | 1.7 | 0.60× |
| [AK-47 \| Fuel Injector (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fuel-injector-battle-scarred) | 1 in 667 | $155 | 3.8% | 4 | 2.5 | 1.61× |
| [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Chantico's Fire (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-chanticos-fire-well-worn) | 1 in 500 | $144 | 4.7% | 1 | 3.3 | 0.30× |
| [MAC-10 \| Stalker (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-stalker-minimal-wear) | 1 in 250 | $72.10 | 4.7% | 8 | 6.6 | 1.21× |
| [AWP \| Wildfire (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-wildfire-field-tested) | 1 in 250 | $70.66 | 4.6% | 2 | 6.6 | 0.30× |
| [UMP-45 \| Blaze (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-blaze-factory-new) | 1 in 200 | $53.70 | 4.4% | 9 | 8.3 | 1.08× |
| [MP7 \| Nemesis (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-nemesis-factory-new) | 1 in 125 | $47.15 | 6.2% | 7 | 13.3 | 0.53× |
| [MAG-7 \| Hazard (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-hazard-minimal-wear) | 1 in 125 | $45.82 | 6.0% | 6 | 13.3 | 0.45× |
| [StatTrak™ Tec-9 \| Fuel Injector (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-tec-9-fuel-injector-field-tested) | 1 in 67 | $18.15 | 4.4% | 21 | 24.9 | 0.84× |
| [StatTrak™ Five-SeveN \| Monkey Business (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-five-seven-monkey-business-field-tested) | 1 in 67 | $17.28 | 4.2% | 40 | 24.9 | 1.61× |
| [AUG \| Torque (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-torque-minimal-wear) | 1 in 50 | $10.74 | 3.5% | 31 | 33.2 | 0.93× |
| [StatTrak™ XM1014 \| Incinegator (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-xm1014-incinegator-field-tested) | 1 in 40 | $8.46 | 3.5% | 36 | 41.5 | 0.87× |
| [Dual Berettas \| Marina (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-marina-battle-scarred) | 1 in 33 | $5.94 | 2.9% | 51 | 49.8 | 1.02× |
| [StatTrak™ P250 \| Wingshot (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-wingshot-field-tested) | 1 in 20 | $4.59 | 3.7% | 99 | 83.0 | 1.19× |
| [R8 Revolver \| Blaze (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-blaze-factory-new) | 1 in 22 | $4.47 | 3.3% | 66 | 74.7 | 0.88× |
| [XM1014 \| Teclu Burner (Field-Tested) weapon · 3](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-teclu-burner-field-tested) | 10.0% | $2.09 | 3.4% | 166 | 165.9 | 1.00× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Buddy (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-buddy-field-tested) | 10.0% | $1.67 | 2.7% | 186 | 165.9 | 1.12× |
| [FAMAS \| Neural Net (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-neural-net-field-tested) | 10.0% | $1.62 | 2.6% | 171 | 165.9 | 1.03× |
| [P2000 \| Amber Fade (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-amber-fade-field-tested) | 11.3% | $0.71 | 1.3% | 197 | 187.5 | 1.05× |
| [R8 Revolver \| Banana Cannon (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-banana-cannon-well-worn) | 15.0% | $0.67 | 1.6% | 241 | 248.8 | 0.97× |
| [MP7 \| Akoben (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-akoben-minimal-wear) | 20.0% | $0.49 | 1.6% | 310 | 331.8 | 0.93× |

Values are DaddySkins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `daddyskins:graphql case(slug: labubu)`, 11 Nov, 08:55 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[★ Butterfly Knife | Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) [Klleyn](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/Klleyn) $7.36 $1,403 190.7x 2026-11-07 01:51 UTC

[★ Bayonet | Lore (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-lore-minimal-wear) [\[BOT\] T-1000](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20T-1000) $7.36 $378 51.41x 2026-11-09 01:25 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=daddyskins&case=494)

[StatTrak™ P250 | Wingshot (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-wingshot-field-tested) [Can I get an OhHH YeeEEaaaHH?](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/Can%20I%20get%20an%20OhHH%20YeeEEaaaHH%3F) $7.36 $4.59 0.62x 2026-11-11 13:27 UTC

[R8 Revolver | Banana Cannon (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-banana-cannon-well-worn) [Maniac](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/Maniac) $7.36 $0.67 0.09x 2026-11-11 13:27 UTC

[Five-SeveN | Buddy (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-buddy-field-tested) [白色领带Oba](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%E7%99%BD%E8%89%B2%E9%A2%86%E5%B8%A6Oba) $7.36 $1.67 0.23x 2026-11-11 13:03 UTC

[R8 Revolver | Banana Cannon (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-banana-cannon-well-worn) [Pucho](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/Pucho) $7.36 $0.67 0.09x 2026-11-11 13:03 UTC

[StatTrak™ P250 | Wingshot (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-wingshot-field-tested) [WHITEBEARD](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/WHITEBEARD) $7.36 $4.59 0.62x 2026-11-11 13:03 UTC

[FAMAS | Neural Net (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-neural-net-field-tested) [Psych](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/Psych) $7.36 $1.62 0.22x 2026-11-11 11:50 UTC

[FAMAS | Neural Net (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-neural-net-field-tested) [Caro Pardiaco](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/Caro%20Pardiaco) $7.36 $1.62 0.22x 2026-11-11 11:50 UTC

[R8 Revolver | Banana Cannon (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-banana-cannon-well-worn) [默默](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%E9%BB%98%E9%BB%98) $7.36 $0.67 0.09x 2026-11-11 11:50 UTC

[P2000 | Amber Fade (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-amber-fade-field-tested) [arrakul](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/arrakul) $7.36 $0.71 0.10x 2026-11-11 11:24 UTC

[R8 Revolver | Banana Cannon (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-banana-cannon-well-worn) [VeraBrr](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/VeraBrr) $7.36 $0.67 0.09x 2026-11-11 11:24 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $7.36 | 83.25% | 33 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed 3 10.0% covert 1.3% #eb4b4b 0.0% rare 0.0% restricted 42.0% extraordinary 0.1% mil spec 21.4% classified 3.8% Classified 2.5% #8847ff 3.0% blue 4.5% Mythical 11.3% best hit $1,403 (190.7x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 83.2% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $83.25 on average: an expected loss of $16.75 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt