---
title: "3I/ATLAS case on DaddySkins: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "3I/ATLAS ($20.00) on DaddySkins, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 83.27% from 42 items with odds, observed 110.31% over 1,068 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/495
rendered: 2026-11-11T15:53Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [DaddySkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/daddyskins) / [3I/ATLAS](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/495)

# [DaddySkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/daddyskins) · 3I/ATLAS

A case on DaddySkins, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is DaddySkins's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/495?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/495?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/495) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/495?window=all)

Price · $20.00

Advertised RTP · 83.27% · EV $16.65 from 42 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 110.31% · 1,068 openings, odds method

Variance · 8.3× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 22 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 89.5% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 86.88% ±52.38 116 openings

7 days · 111.53% ±18.98 883 openings

30 days · 110.31% ±17.26 1,068 openings

since tracking started · 110.31% ±17.26 1,068 openings

34.0% 87.0% 140.0%

**Outside band, 30 days.** Advertised 83.27% sits outside the 95% band of the observed openings (93.05% – 127.57%, 1,068 openings, 30 days). The band comes from the site's own odds and values; the figure is a fact about these openings, not a verdict on the case.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/495?window=24h) | 116 | 86.88% ±52.4 | +0.1σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/495?window=7d) | 883 | 111.53% ±19.0 | +2.9σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/495) | 1,068 | 110.31% ±17.3 | +3.1σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/495?window=all) | 1,068 | 110.31% ±17.3 | +3.1σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 42 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,070 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [M4A1-S \| Welcome to the Jungle (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-welcome-to-the-jungle-minimal-wear) | 1 in 20,000 | $2,338 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Karambit \| Crimson Web (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-crimson-web-minimal-wear) | 1 in 10,000 | $1,605 | 1.0% | 1 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Crimson Web (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-crimson-web-minimal-wear) | 1 in 10,000 | $1,485 | 0.9% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Emerald Jörmungandr (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-emerald-jormungandr-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $1,297 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Autotronic (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-autotronic-field-tested) | 1 in 10,000 | $1,114 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Blaze (Factory New) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-blaze-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $1,069 | 0.6% | 1 | 0.1 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Hyper Beast (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-hyper-beast-factory-new) | 1 in 2,000 | $679 | 2.0% | 1 | 0.5 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Asiimov (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-asiimov-field-tested) | 1 in 1,000 | $386 | 2.3% | 2 | 1.1 | 1.87× |
| [M4A1-S \| Printstream (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-printstream-field-tested) | 1 in 1,000 | $327 | 2.0% | 0 | 1.1 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Case Hardened (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-case-hardened-field-tested) | 1 in 667 | $319 | 2.9% | 2 | 1.6 | 1.25× |
| [AK-47 \| Fuel Injector (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fuel-injector-field-tested) | 1 in 500 | $278 | 3.3% | 3 | 2.1 | 1.40× |
| [★ Specialist Gloves \| Crimson Web (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-crimson-web-field-tested) | 1 in 333 | $238 | 4.3% | 9 | 3.2 | 2.80× |
| [★ Moto Gloves \| Polygon (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-polygon-field-tested) | 1 in 333 | $224 | 4.0% | 2 | 3.2 | 0.62× |
| [AWP \| Asiimov (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-asiimov-field-tested) | 1 in 200 | $173 | 5.2% | 9 | 5.4 | 1.68× |
| [USP-S \| Kill Confirmed (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-kill-confirmed-minimal-wear) | 1 in 200 | $171 | 5.1% | 6 | 5.4 | 1.12× |
| [Glock-18 \| Wasteland Rebel (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-wasteland-rebel-factory-new) | 1 in 200 | $169 | 5.1% | 7 | 5.4 | 1.31× |
| [MAC-10 \| Neon Rider (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-neon-rider-factory-new) | 1 in 133 | $147 | 6.6% | 7 | 8.0 | 0.87× |
| [AWP \| Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-man-o-war-minimal-wear) | 1 in 100 | $136 | 8.1% | 7 | 10.7 | 0.65× |
| [FAMAS \| Roll Cage (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-roll-cage-field-tested) | 1 in 100 | $130 | 7.8% | 17 | 10.7 | 1.59× |
| [M4A4 \| Desolate Space (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-desolate-space-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $124 | 7.4% | 16 | 10.7 | 1.50× |
| [AK-47 \| The Empress (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-the-empress-field-tested) | 1 in 100 | $104 | 6.3% | 9 | 10.7 | 0.84× |
| [M4A1-S \| Atomic Alloy (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-atomic-alloy-minimal-wear) | 1 in 100 | $71.23 | 4.3% | 15 | 10.7 | 1.40× |
| [M4A4 \| Desert-Strike (Minimal Wear) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-desert-strike-minimal-wear) | 1 in 100 | $56.69 | 3.4% | 11 | 10.7 | 1.03× |
| [AK-47 \| Blue Laminate (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-blue-laminate-minimal-wear) | 1 in 100 | $21.36 | 1.3% | 18 | 10.7 | 1.68× |
| [AWP \| Fever Dream (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-fever-dream-field-tested) | 1 in 100 | $17.66 | 1.1% | 7 | 10.7 | 0.65× |
| [P250 \| Muertos (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-muertos-field-tested) | 1 in 100 | $14.09 | 0.8% | 14 | 10.7 | 1.31× |
| [AUG \| Syd Mead (Minimal Wear) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-syd-mead-minimal-wear) | 1 in 100 | $13.96 | 0.8% | 13 | 10.7 | 1.21× |
| [AK-47 \| Slate (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-slate-minimal-wear) | 1 in 100 | $9.46 | 0.6% | 9 | 10.7 | 0.84× |
| [MP9 \| Hydra (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-hydra-field-tested) | 1 in 100 | $9.00 | 0.5% | 21 | 10.7 | 1.96× |
| [M4A1-S \| Nightmare (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-nightmare-battle-scarred) | 1 in 100 | $8.73 | 0.5% | 7 | 10.7 | 0.65× |
| [AK-47 \| Phantom Disruptor (Field-Tested) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-phantom-disruptor-field-tested) | 1 in 100 | $7.26 | 0.4% | 8 | 10.7 | 0.75× |
| [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Flashback (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-flashback-minimal-wear) | 1 in 100 | $7.05 | 0.4% | 8 | 10.7 | 0.75× |
| [MAC-10 \| Disco Tech (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-disco-tech-well-worn) | 1 in 100 | $6.11 | 0.4% | 8 | 10.7 | 0.75× |
| [M4A1-S \| Flashback (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-flashback-minimal-wear) | 1 in 91 | $6.09 | 0.4% | 12 | 11.8 | 1.02× |
| [UMP-45 \| Momentum (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-momentum-field-tested) | 1 in 91 | $6.00 | 0.4% | 11 | 11.8 | 0.93× |
| [AK-47 \| Slate (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-slate-field-tested) | 1 in 91 | $5.74 | 0.4% | 9 | 11.8 | 0.76× |
| [AK-47 \| Safety Net (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-safety-net-minimal-wear) | 1 in 91 | $5.10 | 0.3% | 12 | 11.8 | 1.02× |
| [AK-47 \| Rat Rod (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-rat-rod-well-worn) | 1 in 14 | $4.96 | 2.1% | 65 | 75.9 | 0.86× |
| [MAC-10 \| Allure (Factory New) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-allure-factory-new) | 10.0% | $4.35 | 2.6% | 108 | 107.0 | 1.01× |
| [StatTrak™ P90 \| Chopper (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p90-chopper-field-tested) | 10.0% | $1.72 | 1.0% | 123 | 107.0 | 1.15× |
| [StatTrak™ P90 \| Traction (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p90-traction-minimal-wear) | 10.0% | $1.17 | 0.7% | 105 | 107.0 | 0.98× |
| [AK-47 \| Safari Mesh (Field-Tested) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-safari-mesh-field-tested) | 39.0% | $0.13 | 0.3% | 387 | 417.3 | 0.93× |

Values are DaddySkins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `daddyskins:graphql case(slug: 3i-atlas)`, 11 Nov, 15:00 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[★ Karambit | Crimson Web (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-crimson-web-minimal-wear) [Garri Gudiηi 四](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/Garri%20Gudi%CE%B7i%20%E5%9B%9B) $20.00 $1,605 80.27x 2026-11-09 22:28 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Blaze (Factory New) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-blaze-factory-new) [soLo07](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/soLo07) $20.00 $1,069 53.47x 2026-11-10 08:57 UTC

[M4A1-S | Hyper Beast (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-hyper-beast-factory-new) [\[BOT\] Hans Landa](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Hans%20Landa) $20.00 $679 33.95x 2026-11-06 10:58 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=daddyskins&case=495)

[AK-47 | Rat Rod (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-rat-rod-well-worn) [kauamaurey](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/kauamaurey) $20.00 $4.96 0.25x 2026-11-11 14:56 UTC

[AK-47 | Safari Mesh (Field-Tested) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-safari-mesh-field-tested) [Electric Sun](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/Electric%20Sun) $20.00 $0.13 0.01x 2026-11-11 14:56 UTC

[AK-47 | Rat Rod (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-rat-rod-well-worn) [motar2k](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/motar2k) $20.00 $4.96 0.25x 2026-11-11 14:56 UTC

[P250 | Muertos (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-muertos-field-tested) [kauamaurey](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/kauamaurey) $20.00 $14.09 0.70x 2026-11-11 14:56 UTC

[M4A4 | Desert-Strike (Minimal Wear) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-desert-strike-minimal-wear) [Electric Sun](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/Electric%20Sun) $20.00 $56.69 2.83x 2026-11-11 14:56 UTC

[StatTrak™ P90 | Chopper (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p90-chopper-field-tested) [motar2k](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/motar2k) $20.00 $1.72 0.09x 2026-11-11 14:56 UTC

[AK-47 | Safari Mesh (Field-Tested) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-safari-mesh-field-tested) [kauamaurey](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/kauamaurey) $20.00 $0.13 0.01x 2026-11-11 14:56 UTC

[AK-47 | Safari Mesh (Field-Tested) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-safari-mesh-field-tested) [Electric Sun](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/Electric%20Sun) $20.00 $0.13 0.01x 2026-11-11 14:56 UTC

[AK-47 | Safari Mesh (Field-Tested) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-safari-mesh-field-tested) [motar2k](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/motar2k) $20.00 $0.13 0.01x 2026-11-11 14:56 UTC

[AK-47 | Safari Mesh (Field-Tested) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-safari-mesh-field-tested) [kauamaurey](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/kauamaurey) $20.00 $0.13 0.01x 2026-11-11 14:56 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $20.00 | 83.27% | 42 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 5.7% restricted 20.2% rare 0.0% classified 6.2% extraordinary 0.6% Ancient 1.0% Legendary 2.1% pink 1.0% #d32ee6 1.0% Mythical 13.2% milspec 10.0% Uncommon 39.0% best hit $1,605 (80.27x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 83.3% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $83.27 on average: an expected loss of $16.73 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt