---
title: "Overpass case on DaddySkins: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Overpass ($29.00) on DaddySkins, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 82.96% from 78 items with odds, observed 76.98% over 861 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/496
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:34Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [DaddySkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/daddyskins) / [Overpass](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/496)

# [DaddySkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/daddyskins) · Overpass

A case on DaddySkins, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is DaddySkins's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/496?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/496?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/496) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/496?window=all)

Price · $29.00

Advertised RTP · 82.96% · EV $24.06 from 78 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 76.98% · 861 openings, odds method

Variance · 4.0× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 11.5% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 72.5% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 60 openings · below min

7 days · 76.52% ±13.91 789 openings

30 days · 76.98% ±13.31 861 openings

since tracking started · 76.98% ±13.31 861 openings

60.0% 111.0% 162.0%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/496?window=24h) | 60 | 110.90% ±50.4 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/496?window=7d) | 789 | 76.52% ±13.9 | −0.9σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/496) | 861 | 76.98% ±13.3 | −0.9σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/496?window=all) | 861 | 76.98% ±13.3 | −0.9σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 78 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 871 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [AK-47 \| B the Monster (Factory New) weapon · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-b-the-monster-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $1,366 | 5.7% | 0 | 0.9 | — |
| [AK-47 \| B the Monster (Minimal Wear) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-b-the-monster-minimal-wear) | 1 in 667 | $512 | 3.2% | 0 | 1.3 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Crakow! (Factory New) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-crakow-factory-new) | 1 in 400 | $296 | 3.1% | 4 | 2.2 | 1.84× |
| [AK-47 \| B the Monster (Field-Tested) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-b-the-monster-field-tested) | 1 in 400 | $269 | 2.8% | 2 | 2.2 | 0.92× |
| [Zeus x27 \| Dragon Snore (Factory New) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/zeus-x27-dragon-snore-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $205 | 8.5% | 8 | 8.7 | 0.92× |
| [AK-47 \| B the Monster (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-b-the-monster-well-worn) | 1 in 400 | $201 | 2.1% | 0 | 2.2 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| B the Monster (Battle-Scarred) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-b-the-monster-battle-scarred) | 1 in 133 | $122 | 3.8% | 9 | 6.5 | 1.38× |
| [AWP \| Crakow! (Minimal Wear) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-crakow-minimal-wear) | 1 in 80 | $103 | 5.3% | 13 | 10.9 | 1.19× |
| [Zeus x27 \| Dragon Snore (Minimal Wear) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/zeus-x27-dragon-snore-minimal-wear) | 1 in 67 | $89.90 | 5.6% | 15 | 13.1 | 1.15× |
| [AWP \| Crakow! (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-crakow-field-tested) | 1 in 50 | $50.66 | 4.2% | 23 | 17.4 | 1.32× |
| [AWP \| Crakow! (Well-Worn) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-crakow-well-worn) | 1 in 25 | $34.76 | 5.8% | 32 | 34.8 | 0.92× |
| [Zeus x27 \| Dragon Snore (Field-Tested) weapon · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/zeus-x27-dragon-snore-field-tested) | 1 in 25 | $33.86 | 5.6% | 32 | 34.8 | 0.92× |
| [AUG \| Eye of Zapems (Factory New) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-eye-of-zapems-factory-new) | 1 in 25 | $32.52 | 5.4% | 29 | 34.8 | 0.83× |
| [Dual Berettas \| Sweet Little Angels (Factory New) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-sweet-little-angels-factory-new) | 1 in 25 | $30.23 | 5.0% | 26 | 34.8 | 0.75× |
| [XM1014 \| Monster Melt (Factory New) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-monster-melt-factory-new) | 1 in 25 | $29.30 | 4.9% | 34 | 34.8 | 0.98× |
| [Zeus x27 \| Dragon Snore (Well-Worn) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/zeus-x27-dragon-snore-well-worn) | 1 in 25 | $27.49 | 4.6% | 37 | 34.8 | 1.06× |
| [AWP \| Crakow! (Battle-Scarred) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-crakow-battle-scarred) | 1 in 25 | $27.30 | 4.5% | 35 | 34.8 | 1.00× |
| [Zeus x27 \| Dragon Snore (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/zeus-x27-dragon-snore-battle-scarred) | 1 in 25 | $22.17 | 3.7% | 37 | 34.8 | 1.06× |
| [AUG \| Eye of Zapems (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-eye-of-zapems-minimal-wear) | 1 in 20 | $12.95 | 2.7% | 54 | 43.5 | 1.24× |
| [Dual Berettas \| Sweet Little Angels (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-sweet-little-angels-minimal-wear) | 1 in 20 | $12.75 | 2.6% | 43 | 43.5 | 0.99× |
| [XM1014 \| Monster Melt (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-monster-melt-minimal-wear) | 1 in 22 | $12.75 | 2.5% | 37 | 40.5 | 0.91× |
| [MAC-10 \| Pipsqueak (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-pipsqueak-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $10.07 | 2.1% | 45 | 43.5 | 1.03× |
| [AUG \| Eye of Zapems (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-eye-of-zapems-field-tested) | 1 in 20 | $5.10 | 1.1% | 49 | 43.5 | 1.13× |
| [XM1014 \| Monster Melt (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-monster-melt-field-tested) | 1 in 20 | $5.10 | 1.1% | 38 | 43.5 | 0.87× |
| [Dual Berettas \| Sweet Little Angels (Field-Tested) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-sweet-little-angels-field-tested) | 1 in 20 | $5.05 | 1.0% | 38 | 43.5 | 0.87× |
| [Nova \| Wurst Hölle (Factory New) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-wurst-holle-factory-new) | 1 in 461 | $4.37 | 0.0% | 1 | 1.9 | 0.53× |
| [AUG \| Eye of Zapems (Well-Worn) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-eye-of-zapems-well-worn) | 1 in 20 | $4.36 | 0.9% | 36 | 43.5 | 0.83× |
| [XM1014 \| Monster Melt (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-monster-melt-well-worn) | 1 in 20 | $4.32 | 0.9% | 42 | 43.5 | 0.96× |
| [Dual Berettas \| Sweet Little Angels (Well-Worn) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-sweet-little-angels-well-worn) | 1 in 20 | $4.25 | 0.9% | 60 | 43.5 | 1.38× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Tilted (Factory New) weapon · blueLight](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-tilted-factory-new) | 1 in 461 | $4.11 | 0.0% | 0 | 1.9 | 0.00× |
| [Galil AR \| Metallic Squeezer (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-metallic-squeezer-factory-new) | 1 in 461 | $3.79 | 0.0% | 0 | 1.9 | 0.00× |
| [Glock-18 \| Teal Graf (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-teal-graf-factory-new) | 1 in 461 | $3.61 | 0.0% | 2 | 1.9 | 1.06× |
| [Dual Berettas \| Sweet Little Angels (Battle-Scarred) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-sweet-little-angels-battle-scarred) | 1 in 461 | $3.24 | 0.0% | 1 | 1.9 | 0.53× |
| [XM1014 \| Monster Melt (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-monster-melt-battle-scarred) | 1 in 461 | $3.14 | 0.0% | 1 | 1.9 | 0.53× |
| [AUG \| Eye of Zapems (Battle-Scarred) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-eye-of-zapems-battle-scarred) | 1 in 461 | $3.09 | 0.0% | 2 | 1.9 | 1.06× |
| [MAC-10 \| Pipsqueak (Minimal Wear) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-pipsqueak-minimal-wear) | 1 in 461 | $2.01 | 0.0% | 4 | 1.9 | 2.12× |
| [Nova \| Wurst Hölle (Minimal Wear) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-wurst-holle-minimal-wear) | 1 in 461 | $1.69 | 0.0% | 0 | 1.9 | 0.00× |
| [Galil AR \| Metallic Squeezer (Minimal Wear) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-metallic-squeezer-minimal-wear) | 1 in 461 | $1.68 | 0.0% | 2 | 1.9 | 1.06× |
| [Glock-18 \| Teal Graf (Minimal Wear) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-teal-graf-minimal-wear) | 1 in 461 | $1.58 | 0.0% | 1 | 1.9 | 0.53× |
| [M4A1-S \| Wash me plz (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-wash-me-plz-factory-new) | 1 in 461 | $1.44 | 0.0% | 0 | 1.9 | 0.00× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Tilted (Minimal Wear) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-tilted-minimal-wear) | 1 in 461 | $1.08 | 0.0% | 2 | 1.9 | 1.06× |
| [Negev \| Wall Bang (Factory New) weapon · #5e98d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-wall-bang-factory-new) | 1 in 461 | $0.84 | 0.0% | 4 | 1.9 | 2.12× |
| [MAC-10 \| Pipsqueak (Field-Tested) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-pipsqueak-field-tested) | 1 in 461 | $0.78 | 0.0% | 2 | 1.9 | 1.06× |
| [Nova \| Wurst Hölle (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-wurst-holle-field-tested) | 1 in 461 | $0.77 | 0.0% | 1 | 1.9 | 0.53× |
| [Glock-18 \| Teal Graf (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-teal-graf-field-tested) | 1 in 461 | $0.75 | 0.0% | 1 | 1.9 | 0.53× |
| [Galil AR \| Metallic Squeezer (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-metallic-squeezer-field-tested) | 1 in 461 | $0.75 | 0.0% | 0 | 1.9 | 0.00× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Midnight Paintover (Factory New) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-midnight-paintover-factory-new) | 1 in 461 | $0.67 | 0.0% | 2 | 1.9 | 1.06× |
| [P90 \| Wash me (Factory New) weapon · #5e98d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-wash-me-factory-new) | 1 in 461 | $0.67 | 0.0% | 3 | 1.9 | 1.59× |
| [Galil AR \| Metallic Squeezer (Well-Worn) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-metallic-squeezer-well-worn) | 1 in 461 | $0.56 | 0.0% | 5 | 1.9 | 2.65× |
| [MAC-10 \| Pipsqueak (Well-Worn) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-pipsqueak-well-worn) | 1 in 461 | $0.55 | 0.0% | 1 | 1.9 | 0.53× |
| [Glock-18 \| Teal Graf (Well-Worn) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-teal-graf-well-worn) | 1 in 461 | $0.54 | 0.0% | 2 | 1.9 | 1.06× |
| [Glock-18 \| Teal Graf (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-teal-graf-battle-scarred) | 1 in 461 | $0.50 | 0.0% | 3 | 1.9 | 1.59× |
| [Nova \| Wurst Hölle (Well-Worn) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-wurst-holle-well-worn) | 1 in 461 | $0.49 | 0.0% | 4 | 1.9 | 2.12× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Tilted (Well-Worn) weapon · blueLight](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-tilted-well-worn) | 1 in 461 | $0.48 | 0.0% | 4 | 1.9 | 2.12× |
| [Galil AR \| Metallic Squeezer (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-metallic-squeezer-battle-scarred) | 1 in 461 | $0.44 | 0.0% | 1 | 1.9 | 0.53× |
| [MAC-10 \| Pipsqueak (Battle-Scarred) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-pipsqueak-battle-scarred) | 1 in 461 | $0.43 | 0.0% | 2 | 1.9 | 1.06× |
| [Nova \| Wurst Hölle (Battle-Scarred) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-wurst-holle-battle-scarred) | 1 in 461 | $0.43 | 0.0% | 3 | 1.9 | 1.59× |
| [M4A1-S \| Wash me plz (Minimal Wear) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-wash-me-plz-minimal-wear) | 1 in 461 | $0.42 | 0.0% | 2 | 1.9 | 1.06× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Tilted (Field-Tested) weapon · #5e98d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-tilted-field-tested) | 1 in 461 | $0.30 | 0.0% | 2 | 1.9 | 1.06× |
| [M4A1-S \| Wash me plz (Well-Worn) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-wash-me-plz-well-worn) | 1 in 461 | $0.30 | 0.0% | 1 | 1.9 | 0.53× |
| [P90 \| Wash me (Minimal Wear) weapon · #5e98d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-wash-me-minimal-wear) | 1 in 461 | $0.29 | 0.0% | 3 | 1.9 | 1.59× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Midnight Paintover (Minimal Wear) weapon · #5e98d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-midnight-paintover-minimal-wear) | 1 in 461 | $0.28 | 0.0% | 4 | 1.9 | 2.12× |
| [Negev \| Wall Bang (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-wall-bang-minimal-wear) | 1 in 461 | $0.28 | 0.0% | 2 | 1.9 | 1.06× |
| [MP5-SD \| Neon Squeezer (Field-Tested) weapon · #5e98d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-neon-squeezer-field-tested) | 1 in 461 | $0.23 | 0.0% | 2 | 1.9 | 1.06× |
| [M4A1-S \| Wash me plz (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-wash-me-plz-field-tested) | 1 in 461 | $0.21 | 0.0% | 0 | 1.9 | 0.00× |
| [M4A1-S \| Wash me plz (Battle-Scarred) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-wash-me-plz-battle-scarred) | 1 in 461 | $0.19 | 0.0% | 3 | 1.9 | 1.59× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Tilted (Battle-Scarred) weapon · blueLight](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-tilted-battle-scarred) | 1 in 461 | $0.17 | 0.0% | 2 | 1.9 | 1.06× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Midnight Paintover (Field-Tested) weapon · #5e98d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-midnight-paintover-field-tested) | 1 in 461 | $0.17 | 0.0% | 2 | 1.9 | 1.06× |
| [P90 \| Wash me (Field-Tested) weapon · #5e98d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-wash-me-field-tested) | 1 in 461 | $0.17 | 0.0% | 1 | 1.9 | 0.53× |
| [Negev \| Wall Bang (Field-Tested) weapon · blueLight](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-wall-bang-field-tested) | 1 in 461 | $0.17 | 0.0% | 0 | 1.9 | 0.00× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Midnight Paintover (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-midnight-paintover-battle-scarred) | 1 in 461 | $0.13 | 0.0% | 0 | 1.9 | 0.00× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Midnight Paintover (Well-Worn) weapon · #5e98d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-midnight-paintover-well-worn) | 1 in 461 | $0.13 | 0.0% | 0 | 1.9 | 0.00× |
| [MP5-SD \| Neon Squeezer (Well-Worn) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-neon-squeezer-well-worn) | 1 in 461 | $0.12 | 0.0% | 5 | 1.9 | 2.65× |
| [P90 \| Wash me (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #5e98d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-wash-me-battle-scarred) | 1 in 461 | $0.11 | 0.0% | 5 | 1.9 | 2.65× |
| [P90 \| Wash me (Well-Worn) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-wash-me-well-worn) | 1 in 461 | $0.11 | 0.0% | 1 | 1.9 | 0.53× |
| [Negev \| Wall Bang (Well-Worn) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-wall-bang-well-worn) | 1 in 461 | $0.11 | 0.0% | 2 | 1.9 | 1.06× |
| [MP5-SD \| Neon Squeezer (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #5e98d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-neon-squeezer-battle-scarred) | 1 in 461 | $0.10 | 0.0% | 0 | 1.9 | 0.00× |
| [Negev \| Wall Bang (Battle-Scarred) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-wall-bang-battle-scarred) | 1 in 461 | $0.10 | 0.0% | 2 | 1.9 | 1.06× |

Values are DaddySkins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `daddyskins:graphql case(slug: overpass)`, 11 Nov, 08:55 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=daddyskins&case=496)

[Zeus x27 | Dragon Snore (Field-Tested) weapon · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/zeus-x27-dragon-snore-field-tested) [\[BOT\] Thanos](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Thanos) $29.00 $33.86 1.17x 2026-11-11 01:24 UTC

[Zeus x27 | Dragon Snore (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/zeus-x27-dragon-snore-battle-scarred) [\[BOT\] Voldemort](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Voldemort) $29.00 $22.17 0.76x 2026-11-11 01:24 UTC

[Dual Berettas | Sweet Little Angels (Well-Worn) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-sweet-little-angels-well-worn) [Q群124210043](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/Q%E7%BE%A4124210043) $29.00 $4.25 0.15x 2026-11-11 01:24 UTC

[Dual Berettas | Sweet Little Angels (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-sweet-little-angels-minimal-wear) [\[BOT\] Darth Vader](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Darth%20Vader) $29.00 $12.75 0.44x 2026-11-11 00:18 UTC

[AUG | Eye of Zapems (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-eye-of-zapems-minimal-wear) [\[BOT\] Mr. Blonde](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Mr.%20Blonde) $29.00 $12.95 0.45x 2026-11-11 00:18 UTC

[Dual Berettas | Sweet Little Angels (Field-Tested) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-sweet-little-angels-field-tested) [\[BOT\] Magneto](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Magneto) $29.00 $5.05 0.17x 2026-11-11 00:18 UTC

[MAC-10 | Pipsqueak (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-pipsqueak-factory-new) [\[BOT\] Voldemort](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Voldemort) $29.00 $10.07 0.35x 2026-11-11 00:18 UTC

[Dual Berettas | Sweet Little Angels (Field-Tested) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-sweet-little-angels-field-tested) [\[BOT\] Hans Landa](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Hans%20Landa) $29.00 $5.05 0.17x 2026-11-11 00:18 UTC

[XM1014 | Monster Melt (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-monster-melt-field-tested) [Code Tarkox](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/Code%20Tarkox) $29.00 $5.10 0.18x 2026-11-11 00:18 UTC

[XM1014 | Monster Melt (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-monster-melt-minimal-wear) [\[BOT\] Darth Vader](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Darth%20Vader) $29.00 $12.75 0.44x 2026-11-11 00:16 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $29.00 | 82.96% | 78 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed legendary 0.1% Ancient 0.1% rare 9.0% covert 0.3% pink 6.0% #d32ce6 4.0% uncommon 35.2% Mythical 10.0% restricted 9.9% Rare 5.4% violet 10.2% milspec 2.0% blueLight 0.9% blue 0.7% industrial 2.0% Uncommon 0.9% #5e98d9 2.4% #4b69ff 1.1% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 83.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $82.96 on average: an expected loss of $17.04 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

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How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt