--- title: "PGL Cluj-Napoca case on DaddySkins: odds, RTP & drops" description: "PGL Cluj-Napoca ($9.99) on DaddySkins, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 83.32% from 16 items with odds, observed 87.40% over 1,380 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/503 rendered: 2026-11-11T16:55Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [DaddySkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/daddyskins) / [PGL Cluj-Napoca](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/503) # [DaddySkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/daddyskins) · PGL Cluj-Napoca A case on DaddySkins, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is DaddySkins's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/503?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/503?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/503) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/503?window=all) Price · $9.99 Advertised RTP · 83.32% · EV $8.32 from 16 items Observed RTP, 30d · 87.40% · 1,380 openings, odds method Variance · 5.1× · of price², per opening Tail share · 19.1% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 80.9% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 115.05% ±32.76 184 openings 7 days · 89.71% ±12.83 1,199 openings 30 days · 87.40% ±11.96 1,380 openings since tracking started · 87.40% ±11.96 1,380 openings 75.0% 111.8% 148.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/503?window=24h) | 184 | 115.05% ±32.8 | +1.9σ | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/503?window=7d) | 1,199 | 89.71% ±12.8 | +1.0σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/503) | 1,380 | 87.40% ±12.0 | +0.7σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/503?window=all) | 1,380 | 87.40% ±12.0 | +0.7σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 16 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,380 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [AK-47 \| Wild Lotus (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wild-lotus-field-tested) | 1 in 50,000 | $1,700 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Desert Eagle \| Blaze (Factory New) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-blaze-factory-new) | 1 in 20,000 | $1,112 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [AK-47 \| Fire Serpent (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fire-serpent-battle-scarred) | 1 in 10,000 | $623 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [★ M9 Bayonet \| Crimson Web (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-crimson-web-field-tested) | 1 in 4,348 | $551 | 1.5% | 0 | 0.3 | — | | [AK-47 \| Case Hardened (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-case-hardened-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,667 | $292 | 2.1% | 1 | 0.8 | — | | [AWP \| Printstream (Minimal Wear) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-printstream-minimal-wear) | 1 in 400 | $149 | 4.5% | 8 | 3.5 | 2.32× | | [AWP \| Asiimov (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-asiimov-well-worn) | 1 in 400 | $129 | 3.9% | 3 | 3.5 | 0.87× | | [USP-S \| Kill Confirmed (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-kill-confirmed-field-tested) | 1 in 200 | $100 | 6.0% | 9 | 6.9 | 1.30× | | [P2000 \| Fire Elemental (Well-Worn) weapon · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-fire-elemental-well-worn) | 1 in 100 | $86.38 | 10.4% | 18 | 13.8 | 1.30× | | [Desert Eagle \| Printstream (Field-Tested) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-printstream-field-tested) | 1 in 100 | $51.22 | 6.2% | 14 | 13.8 | 1.01× | | [AK-47 \| Redline (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-redline-well-worn) | 1 in 100 | $38.82 | 4.7% | 10 | 13.8 | 0.72× | | [M4A4 \| Desolate Space (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-desolate-space-field-tested) | 1 in 50 | $21.24 | 5.1% | 30 | 27.6 | 1.09× | | [AUG \| Eye of Zapems (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-eye-of-zapems-minimal-wear) | 1 in 50 | $14.31 | 3.4% | 28 | 27.6 | 1.01× | | [MP9 \| Mount Fuji (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-mount-fuji-field-tested) | 11.0% | $10.00 | 13.2% | 124 | 151.8 | 0.82× | | [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Cyrex (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-cyrex-field-tested) | 40.0% | $6.07 | 29.2% | 560 | 552.0 | 1.01× | | [MAC-10 \| Button Masher (Minimal Wear) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-button-masher-minimal-wear) | 40.9% | $1.64 | 8.1% | 575 | 564.4 | 1.02× | Values are DaddySkins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `daddyskins:graphql case(slug: pgl-cluj-napoca)`, 11 Nov, 15:00 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=daddyskins&case=503) [MAC-10 | Button Masher (Minimal Wear) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-button-masher-minimal-wear) [\[BOT\] Anton Chigurh](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Anton%20Chigurh) $9.99 $1.64 0.16x 2026-11-11 16:11 UTC [MAC-10 | Button Masher (Minimal Wear) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-button-masher-minimal-wear) [\[BOT\] Magneto](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Magneto) $9.99 $1.64 0.16x 2026-11-11 16:11 UTC [MAC-10 | Button Masher (Minimal Wear) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-button-masher-minimal-wear) [\[BOT\] Darth Vader](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Darth%20Vader) $9.99 $1.64 0.16x 2026-11-11 16:11 UTC [MAC-10 | Button Masher (Minimal Wear) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-button-masher-minimal-wear) [\[BOT\] HAL 9000](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20HAL%209000) $9.99 $1.64 0.16x 2026-11-11 16:11 UTC [AUG | Eye of Zapems (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-eye-of-zapems-minimal-wear) [Forever](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/Forever) $9.99 $14.31 1.43x 2026-11-11 16:11 UTC [AUG | Eye of Zapems (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-eye-of-zapems-minimal-wear) [\[BOT\] Mr. Blonde](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Mr.%20Blonde) $9.99 $14.31 1.43x 2026-11-11 16:11 UTC [MAC-10 | Button Masher (Minimal Wear) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-button-masher-minimal-wear) [76561198162552199](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/76561198162552199) $9.99 $1.64 0.16x 2026-11-11 14:06 UTC [MP9 | Mount Fuji (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-mount-fuji-field-tested) [Chubby](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/Chubby) $9.99 $10.00 1.00x 2026-11-11 14:06 UTC [MAC-10 | Button Masher (Minimal Wear) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-button-masher-minimal-wear) [Chubby](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/Chubby) $9.99 $1.64 0.16x 2026-11-11 14:01 UTC [MAC-10 | Button Masher (Minimal Wear) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-button-masher-minimal-wear) [soufiw](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/soufiw) $9.99 $1.64 0.16x 2026-11-11 14:01 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $9.99 | 83.32% | 16 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 0.8% rare 0.0% classified 3.1% Ancient 1.3% Covert 1.0% Mythical 2.0% violet 51.9% restricted 40.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 83.3% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $83.32 on average: an expected loss of $16.68 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt