--- title: "Revilo case on DaddySkins: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Revilo ($18.33) on DaddySkins, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 83.30% from 28 items with odds, observed 84.79% over 922 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/505 rendered: 2026-11-11T16:05Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [DaddySkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/daddyskins) / [Revilo](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/505) # [DaddySkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/daddyskins) · Revilo A case on DaddySkins, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is DaddySkins's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/505?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/505?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/505) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/505?window=all) Price · $18.33 Advertised RTP · 83.30% · EV $15.27 from 28 items Observed RTP, 30d · 84.79% · 922 openings, odds method Variance · 1.5× · of price², per opening Tail share · 12.3% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 74.7% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 12 openings · below min 7 days · 85.54% ±8.68 758 openings 30 days · 84.79% ±7.87 922 openings since tracking started · 84.79% ±7.87 922 openings 49.5% 119.0% 188.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/505?window=24h) | 12 | 119.10% ±69.0 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/505?window=7d) | 758 | 85.54% ±8.68 | +0.5σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/505) | 922 | 84.79% ±7.87 | +0.4σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/505?window=all) | 922 | 84.79% ±7.87 | +0.4σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 28 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 922 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Nocts (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-nocts-field-tested) | 1 in 100,000 | $959 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ M9 Bayonet \| Black Laminate (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-black-laminate-minimal-wear) | 1 in 100,000 | $619 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ M9 Bayonet \| Night (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-night-minimal-wear) | 1 in 100,000 | $587 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Driver Gloves \| Snow Leopard (Field-Tested) gloves · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-snow-leopard-field-tested) | 1 in 100,000 | $486 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AK-47 \| Vulcan (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-vulcan-minimal-wear) | 1 in 20,000 | $469 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Moto Gloves \| Smoke Out (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-smoke-out-minimal-wear) | 1 in 20,000 | $372 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [M4A1-S \| Printstream (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-printstream-field-tested) | 1 in 20,000 | $323 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Skeleton Knife knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife) | 1 in 20,000 | $320 | 0.1% | 1 | 0.0 | — | | [AWP \| Graphite (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-graphite-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $288 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [★ Driver Gloves \| Black Tie (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-black-tie-field-tested) | 1 in 10,000 | $239 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [USP-S \| Whiteout (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-whiteout-field-tested) | 1 in 10,000 | $192 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [AWP \| Printstream (Minimal Wear) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-printstream-minimal-wear) | 1 in 2,000 | $149 | 0.5% | 1 | 0.5 | — | | [M4A1-S \| Mecha Industries (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-mecha-industries-field-tested) | 1 in 2,000 | $144 | 0.5% | 1 | 0.5 | — | | [★ Huntsman Knife \| Damascus Steel (Field-Tested) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-damascus-steel-field-tested) | 1 in 1,000 | $126 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.9 | — | | [★ Survival Knife \| Urban Masked (Field-Tested) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/survival-knife-urban-masked-field-tested) | 1 in 50 | $83.02 | 10.9% | 20 | 18.4 | 1.08× | | [P250 \| Whiteout (Field-Tested) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-whiteout-field-tested) | 1 in 20 | $65.01 | 21.3% | 52 | 46.1 | 1.13× | | [Desert Eagle \| Printstream (Field-Tested) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-printstream-field-tested) | 1 in 20 | $51.22 | 16.8% | 47 | 46.1 | 1.02× | | [MP7 \| Whiteout (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-whiteout-field-tested) | 1 in 15 | $33.31 | 14.2% | 40 | 59.9 | 0.67× | | [M4A4 \| Urban DDPAT (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-urban-ddpat-factory-new) | 1 in 15 | $26.84 | 11.4% | 68 | 59.9 | 1.13× | | [Desert Eagle \| Night (Field-Tested) weapon · light blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-night-field-tested) | 1 in 15 | $16.71 | 7.1% | 54 | 59.9 | 0.90× | | [Tec-9 \| Whiteout (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-whiteout-field-tested) | 1 in 15 | $9.93 | 4.2% | 65 | 59.9 | 1.08× | | [StatTrak™ XM1014 \| Black Tie (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-xm1014-black-tie-minimal-wear) | 1 in 14 | $6.37 | 2.9% | 62 | 64.5 | 0.96× | | [Glock-18 \| Night (Field-Tested) weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-night-field-tested) | 1 in 14 | $4.79 | 2.3% | 63 | 66.8 | 0.94× | | [Galil AR \| Tuxedo (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-tuxedo-factory-new) | 1 in 11 | $3.73 | 2.2% | 87 | 83.0 | 1.05× | | [StatTrak™ MP9 \| Goo (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp9-goo-field-tested) | 1 in 11 | $2.39 | 1.4% | 79 | 83.0 | 0.95× | | [USP-S \| Ticket to Hell (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-ticket-to-hell-minimal-wear) | 1 in 11 | $1.89 | 1.2% | 97 | 87.6 | 1.11× | | [StatTrak™ UMP-45 \| Arctic Wolf (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ump-45-arctic-wolf-field-tested) | 10.0% | $1.08 | 0.7% | 81 | 92.2 | 0.88× | | [MAG-7 \| SWAG-7 (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-swag-7-field-tested) | 10.0% | $0.79 | 0.5% | 104 | 92.2 | 1.13× | Values are DaddySkins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `daddyskins:graphql case(slug: revilo)`, 11 Nov, 15:00 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=daddyskins&case=505) [M4A4 | Urban DDPAT (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-urban-ddpat-factory-new) [\[BOT\] Anton Chigurh](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Anton%20Chigurh) $18.33 $26.84 1.46x 2026-11-10 19:57 UTC [P250 | Whiteout (Field-Tested) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-whiteout-field-tested) [\[BOT\] HAL 9000](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20HAL%209000) $18.33 $65.01 3.55x 2026-11-10 19:57 UTC [MAG-7 | SWAG-7 (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-swag-7-field-tested) [\[BOT\] Darth Vader](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Darth%20Vader) $18.33 $0.79 0.04x 2026-11-10 19:57 UTC [MP7 | Whiteout (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-whiteout-field-tested) [\[BOT\] Dr. Evil](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Dr.%20Evil) $18.33 $33.31 1.82x 2026-11-10 19:57 UTC [USP-S | Ticket to Hell (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-ticket-to-hell-minimal-wear) [\[BOT\] Bane](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Bane) $18.33 $1.89 0.10x 2026-11-10 19:57 UTC [★ Survival Knife | Urban Masked (Field-Tested) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/survival-knife-urban-masked-field-tested) [User1926336](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/User1926336) $18.33 $83.02 4.53x 2026-11-10 19:57 UTC [USP-S | Ticket to Hell (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-ticket-to-hell-minimal-wear) [\[BOT\] Alonzo Harris](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Alonzo%20Harris) $18.33 $1.89 0.10x 2026-11-10 19:39 UTC [USP-S | Ticket to Hell (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-ticket-to-hell-minimal-wear) [\[BOT\] Max Cady](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Max%20Cady) $18.33 $1.89 0.10x 2026-11-10 19:39 UTC [M4A4 | Urban DDPAT (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-urban-ddpat-factory-new) [\[BOT\] The Joker](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20The%20Joker) $18.33 $26.84 1.46x 2026-11-10 19:39 UTC [USP-S | Ticket to Hell (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-ticket-to-hell-minimal-wear) [\[BOT\] Darth Vader](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Darth%20Vader) $18.33 $1.89 0.10x 2026-11-10 19:39 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $18.33 | 83.30% | 28 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed extraordinary 0.0% covert 0.1% sunny 0.0% classified 0.0% Ancient 5.1% covert knife 2.1% blue 5.0% mil spec 6.5% industrial 6.5% light blue 6.5% Mythical 16.0% Restricted 7.0% Industrial Grade 7.2% Rare 9.0% restricted 29.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 83.3% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $83.30 on average: an expected loss of $16.70 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt