---
title: "Dadosch official case on DaddySkins: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Dadosch official ($150.00) on DaddySkins, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 82.87% from 23 items with odds, observed 96.17% over 753 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/506
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:43Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [DaddySkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/daddyskins) / [Dadosch official](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/506)

# [DaddySkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/daddyskins) · Dadosch official

A case on DaddySkins, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is DaddySkins's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/506?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/506?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/506) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/506?window=all)

Price · $150.00

Advertised RTP · 82.87% · EV $124.30 from 23 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 96.17% · 753 openings, odds method

Variance · 9.1× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 12 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 75.8% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 24 openings · below min

7 days · 91.37% ±27.24 472 openings

30 days · 96.17% ±21.57 753 openings

since tracking started · 96.17% ±21.57 753 openings

-0.5% 86.3% 173.0%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/506?window=24h) | 24 | 51.39% ±120.8 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/506?window=7d) | 472 | 91.37% ±27.2 | +0.6σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/506) | 753 | 96.17% ±21.6 | +1.2σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/506?window=all) | 753 | 96.17% ±21.6 | +1.2σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 23 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 753 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [AWP \| Gungnir (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-gungnir-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $12.5K | 10.1% | 2 | 0.8 | — |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Hedge Maze (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-hedge-maze-well-worn) | 1 in 1,000 | $3,450 | 2.8% | 1 | 0.8 | — |
| [MP9 \| Wild Lily (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-wild-lily-factory-new) | 1 in 667 | $2,900 | 3.5% | 1 | 1.1 | 0.89× |
| [AWP \| Medusa (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-medusa-field-tested) | 1 in 667 | $2,355 | 2.8% | 1 | 1.1 | 0.89× |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-slaughter-factory-new) | 1 in 400 | $1,550 | 3.1% | 2 | 1.9 | 1.06× |
| [★ Driver Gloves \| Lunar Weave (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-lunar-weave-field-tested) | 1 in 200 | $800 | 3.2% | 4 | 3.8 | 1.06× |
| [M4A1-S \| Welcome to the Jungle (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-welcome-to-the-jungle-well-worn) | 1 in 200 | $620 | 2.5% | 5 | 3.8 | 1.33× |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Night (Well-Worn) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-night-well-worn) | 1 in 200 | $575 | 2.3% | 2 | 3.8 | 0.53× |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Vice (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-vice-field-tested) | 1 in 100 | $500 | 4.0% | 8 | 7.5 | 1.06× |
| [AK-47 \| B the Monster (Factory New) weapon · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-b-the-monster-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $450 | 3.6% | 10 | 7.5 | 1.33× |
| [AK-47 \| Vulcan (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-vulcan-minimal-wear) | 1 in 50 | $400 | 6.4% | 15 | 15.1 | 1.00× |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Slingshot (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-slingshot-field-tested) | 1 in 50 | $400 | 6.4% | 11 | 15.1 | 0.73× |
| [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Mecha Industries (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-mecha-industries-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $250 | 4.0% | 17 | 15.1 | 1.13× |
| [★ Ursus Knife \| Slaughter (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-slaughter-minimal-wear) | 1 in 14 | $180 | 10.1% | 48 | 52.7 | 0.91× |
| [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Neo-Noir (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-neo-noir-factory-new) | 1 in 14 | $164 | 9.2% | 50 | 52.7 | 0.95× |
| [USP-S \| Neo-Noir (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-neo-noir-minimal-wear) | 1 in 14 | $115 | 6.5% | 46 | 52.7 | 0.87× |
| [M4A1-S \| Vaporwave (Minimal Wear) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-vaporwave-minimal-wear) | 1 in 14 | $90.00 | 5.1% | 50 | 52.7 | 0.95× |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Bronze Morph (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-bronze-morph-battle-scarred) | 1 in 14 | $80.00 | 4.5% | 61 | 52.7 | 1.16× |
| [MAC-10 \| Stalker (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-stalker-minimal-wear) | 1 in 14 | $55.00 | 3.1% | 58 | 52.7 | 1.10× |
| [★ Driver Gloves \| Overtake (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-overtake-field-tested) | 1 in 14 | $50.00 | 2.8% | 62 | 52.7 | 1.18× |
| [P90 \| Attack Vector (Factory New) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-attack-vector-factory-new) | 1 in 11 | $20.00 | 1.4% | 61 | 67.8 | 0.90× |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| The Outsiders (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-the-outsiders-well-worn) | 1 in 11 | $20.00 | 1.4% | 67 | 67.8 | 0.99× |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Worm God (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-worm-god-field-tested) | 22.8% | $5.00 | 0.9% | 171 | 171.3 | 1.00× |

Values are DaddySkins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `daddyskins:graphql case(slug: dadosch-official)`, 11 Nov, 08:55 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[AWP | Gungnir (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-gungnir-factory-new) [\[BOT\] Bane](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Bane) $150 $12.5K 83.33x 2026-11-04 14:11 UTC

[AWP | Gungnir (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-gungnir-factory-new) [\[BOT\] Darth Vader](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Darth%20Vader) $150 $12.5K 83.33x 2026-11-04 09:27 UTC

[★ Sport Gloves | Hedge Maze (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-hedge-maze-well-worn) [\[BOT\] Patrick Bateman](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Patrick%20Bateman) $150 $3,450 23.00x 2026-11-04 15:42 UTC

[MP9 | Wild Lily (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-wild-lily-factory-new) [\[BOT\] Sauron](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Sauron) $150 $2,900 19.33x 2026-11-04 08:20 UTC

[AWP | Medusa (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-medusa-field-tested) [Olga](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/Olga) $150 $2,355 15.70x 2026-11-06 10:00 UTC

[★ Butterfly Knife | Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-slaughter-factory-new) [Olga](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/Olga) $150 $1,550 10.33x 2026-11-06 10:04 UTC

[★ Butterfly Knife | Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-slaughter-factory-new) [\[BOT\] Sauron](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Sauron) $150 $1,550 10.33x 2026-11-04 15:43 UTC

[★ Driver Gloves | Lunar Weave (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-lunar-weave-field-tested) [1657280](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/1657280) $150 $800 5.33x 2026-11-10 12:06 UTC

[★ Driver Gloves | Lunar Weave (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-lunar-weave-field-tested) [\[BOT\] Dr. Evil](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Dr.%20Evil) $150 $800 5.33x 2026-11-08 15:53 UTC

[★ Driver Gloves | Lunar Weave (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-lunar-weave-field-tested) [\[BOT\] Frederick Charles Krueger](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Frederick%20Charles%20Krueger) $150 $800 5.33x 2026-11-04 10:58 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=daddyskins&case=506)

[★ Sport Gloves | Bronze Morph (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-bronze-morph-battle-scarred) [\[BOT\] Dr. Evil](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Dr.%20Evil) $150 $80.00 0.53x 2026-11-11 07:12 UTC

[P90 | Attack Vector (Factory New) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-attack-vector-factory-new) [\[BOT\] King Joffrey](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20King%20Joffrey) $150 $20.00 0.13x 2026-11-11 07:12 UTC

[USP-S | Neo-Noir (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-neo-noir-minimal-wear) [\[BOT\] Magneto](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Magneto) $150 $115 0.77x 2026-11-11 07:12 UTC

[MAC-10 | Stalker (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-stalker-minimal-wear) [\[BOT\] Patrick Bateman](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Patrick%20Bateman) $150 $55.00 0.37x 2026-11-11 07:12 UTC

[AK-47 | Vulcan (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-vulcan-minimal-wear) [\[BOT\] Alonzo Harris](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Alonzo%20Harris) $150 $400 2.67x 2026-11-11 07:12 UTC

[★ Sport Gloves | Slingshot (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-slingshot-field-tested) [Dave](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/Dave) $150 $400 2.67x 2026-11-11 07:12 UTC

[M4A1-S | Vaporwave (Minimal Wear) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-vaporwave-minimal-wear) [\[BOT\] Thanos](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Thanos) $150 $90.00 0.60x 2026-11-11 07:11 UTC

[StatTrak™ AWP | Worm God (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-worm-god-field-tested) [\[BOT\] Frederick Charles Krueger](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Frederick%20Charles%20Krueger) $150 $5.00 0.03x 2026-11-11 07:11 UTC

[StatTrak™ AK-47 | The Outsiders (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-the-outsiders-well-worn) [\[BOT\] Voldemort](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Voldemort) $150 $20.00 0.13x 2026-11-11 07:11 UTC

[StatTrak™ AWP | Worm God (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-worm-god-field-tested) [\[BOT\] HAL 9000](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20HAL%209000) $150 $5.00 0.03x 2026-11-11 07:11 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $150 | 82.87% | 23 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 33.0% extraordinary 17.6% classified 0.1% gold 0.5% legendary 1.0% rare 16.0% uncommon 9.0% #8847ff 22.8% best hit $12.5K (83.33x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 82.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $82.87 on average: an expected loss of $17.13 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt